• Title/Summary/Keyword: distribution parameter

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A Study on the Characteristics of Software Reliability Model Using Exponential-Exponential Life Distribution (수명분포가 지수화-지수분포를 따르는 소프트웨어 신뢰모형 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul;Moon, Song Chul
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we applied the shape parameters of the exponentialized exponential life distribution widely used in the field of software reliability, and compared the reliability properties of the software using the non-homogeneous Poisson process in finite failure. In addition, the average value function is also a non-decreasing form. In the case of the larger the shape parameter, the smaller the estimated error in predicting the predicted value in comparison with the true value, so it can be regarded as an efficient model in terms of relative accuracy. Also, in the larger the shape parameter, the larger the estimated value of the coefficient of determination, which can be regarded as an efficient model in terms of suitability. So. the larger the shape parameter model can be regarded as an efficient model in terms of goodness-of-fit. In the form of the reliability function, it gradually appears as a non-increasing pattern and the higher the shape parameter, the lower it is as the mission time elapses. Through this study, software operators can use the pattern of mean square error, mean value, and hazard function as a basic guideline for exploring software failures.

Bayesian estimation of the Korea professional baseball players' hitting ability based on the batting average (한국프로야구 선수들의 타율에 기반된 타격 능력의 베이지안 추정)

  • Cho, Yong Ju;Lee, Kwang Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.197-207
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    • 2015
  • In baseball game, the hitting ability of batter is frequently assessed by a batting average, a run batted in, a home run, a run scored, an on-base percentage, etc. Recently, more comprehensive indicators such as OPS, ISO, SECA, TA, RC and XR are often used. But, these measures generally shows large deviations since they are calculated from the data for a certain period of time, and they are not an estimate of a population parameter, either. In this paper, we will presume the pure hitting ability of the korea professional baseball players as a parameter which is depend upon at bat. We will estimate the parameter by using the Bayesian method.

Time-frequency Analysis of Vibroarthrographic Signals for Non-invasive Diagnosis of Articular Pathology (비침습적 관절질환 진단을 위한 관절음의 시주파수 분석)

  • Kim, Keo-Sik;Song, Chul-Gyu;Seo, Jeong-Hwan
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.4
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    • pp.729-734
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    • 2008
  • Vibroarthrographic(VAG) signals, emitted by human knee joints, are non-stationary and multi-component in nature and time-frequency distributions(TFD) provide powerful means to analyze such signals. The objective of this paper is to classify VAG signals, generated during joint movement, into two groups(normal and patient group) using the characteristic parameters extracted by time-frequency transform, and to evaluate the classification accuracy. Noise within TFD was reduced by singular value decomposition and back-propagation neural network(BPNN) was used for classifying VAG signals. The characteristic parameters consist of the energy parameter, energy spread parameter, frequency parameter, frequency spread parameter by Wigner-Ville distribution and the amplitude of frequency distribution, the mean and the median frequency by fast Fourier transform. Totally 1408 segments(normal 1031, patient 377) were used for training and evaluating BPNN. As a result, the average value of the classification accuracy was 92.3(standard deviation ${\pm}0.9$)%. The proposed method was independent of clinical information, and showed good potential for non-invasive diagnosis and monitoring of joint disorders such as osteoarthritis and chondromalacia patella.

A Study on the Property Analysis of Software Reliability Model with Shape Parameter Change of Finite Fault NHPP Erlang Distribution (유한고장 NHPP 어랑분포의 형상모수 변화에 따른 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형의 속성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Min, Kyung Il
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2018
  • Software reliability has the greatest impact on computer system reliability and software quality. For this software reliability analysis, In this study, we compare and analyze the trends of the properties affecting the reliability according to the shape parameters of Erlang distribution based on the finite fault NHPP. Software failure time data were used to analyze software failure phenomena, the maximum likelihood estimation method was used for parameter estimation. As a result, it can be seen that the intensity function is effective because it shows a tendency to decrease with time when the shape parameters a = 1 and a = 3. However, the pattern of the mean value function showed an underestimation pattern for the true values when the shape parameters a = 1 and a = 2, but it was found to be more efficient when a = 3 because the error width from the true value was small. Also, in the reliability evaluation of the future mission time, the stable and high trend was shown when the shape parameters a = 1 and a = 3, but on the contrary, when a = 2, the reliability decreased with the failure time. Through this study, the property of finite fault NHPP Erlang model according to the change of shape parameter without existing research case was newly analyzed, and new research information that software developers can use as basic guideline was presented.

A Fundamental Study of Probability Functions and Relationship of Wave Heights. -On the Wave Heights of the East Coast of Korea- (파고의 확률분포 및 상관에 관한 기초적 연구 - 동해안의 파고를 중심으로 하여 -)

  • 윤해식;이순탁
    • Water for future
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 1974
  • The records of wave heights which were observed at Muk ho and Po hang of the East Coast of Korea were analized by several probility functions. The exponential 2 parameter distribution was found as the best fit probability function to the historical distribution of wave heights by the test of goodness of fit. But log-normal 2 parameter and log-extremal type A distributions were also fit to the historical distribution, especially in the Smirnov-Kolmogorov test. Therefore, it can't be always regarded that those two distributions are not fit to the wave heiht's distribution. In the test of goodness of fit, the Chi-Square test gave very sensitive results and Smirnov-Kolmogorov test, which is a distribution free and non-parametric test, gave more inclusive results. At the next stage, the inter-relationship between the mean and the one-third wave heights, the mean and the one-=tenth wave heights, the one-third and the one-tenth wave heights, the one-third and the highest wave heights were obtained and discussed.

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A new extended Birnbaum-Saunders model with cure fraction: classical and Bayesian approach

  • Ortega, Edwin M.M.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Suzuki, Adriano K.;Ramires, Thiago G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.397-419
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    • 2017
  • A four-parameter extended fatigue lifetime model called the odd Birnbaum-Saunders geometric distribution is proposed. This model extends the odd Birnbaum-Saunders and Birnbaum-Saunders distributions. We derive some properties of the new distribution that include expressions for the ordinary moments and generating and quantile functions. The method of maximum likelihood and a Bayesian approach are adopted to estimate the model parameters; in addition, various simulations are performed for different parameter settings and sample sizes. We propose two new models with a cure rate called the odd Birnbaum-Saunders mixture and odd Birnbaum-Saunders geometric models by assuming that the number of competing causes for the event of interest has a geometric distribution. The applicability of the new models are illustrated by means of ethylene data and melanoma data with cure fraction.

Prediction of Stand Structure Dynamics for Unthinned Slash Pine Plantations

  • Lee, Young-Jin;Cho, Hyun-Je;Hong, Sung-Cheon
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.435-438
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    • 2000
  • Diameter distributions describe forest stand structure information. Prediction equations for percentiles of diameter distribution and parameter recovery procedures for the Weibull distribution function based on four percentile equations were applied to develop prediction system of even-aged slash pine stand structure development in terms of the number of stems per diameter class changes. Four percentiles of the cumulative diameter distribution were predicted as a function of stand characteristics. The predicted diameter distributions were tested against the observed diameter distributions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov two sample test at the ${\alpha}$=0.05 level. Statistically, no significant differences were detected based on the data from 236 evaluation data sets. This stand level diameter distribution prediction system will be useful in slash pine stand structure modeling and in updating forest inventories for the long-term forest management planning.

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A Probabilistic Analysis on Fracture Strength of Ceramics (세라믹스의 파괴강도에 관한 확률론적 해석)

  • 김선진
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 1996
  • Weibull distribution function is applied very successfully to the strength of brittle materials such as ceramics and the weakest link model is applied to explain the ovents. This paper deals with the effect of specimen size on the strength of ceramics. The values of tensile strength were calculated by the Monte-Calro simuation. The tensile strength obtained was plotted on Weibull probabillity papers and represented by the 3-parameter Weibull distribution. The strength distribution function was compared with the theoretical weibull distribution. As a result, it was found that the Weibull shape parameter was changed due to the size and there was a possibility of a false indication as if the weakest link model holds good. We should be very careful when we apply the Weibull statistics to estimate the strength of products.

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Parameter estimation of an extended inverse power Lomax distribution with Type I right censored data

  • Hassan, Amal S.;Nassr, Said G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.99-118
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we introduce an extended form of the inverse power Lomax model via Marshall-Olkin approach. We call it the Marshall-Olkin inverse power Lomax (MOIPL) distribution. The four- parameter MOIPL distribution is very flexible which contains some former and new models. Vital properties of the MOIPL distribution are affirmed. Maximum likelihood estimators and approximate confidence intervals are considered under Type I censored samples. Maximum likelihood estimates are evaluated according to simulation study. Bayesian estimators as well as Bayesian credible intervals under symmetric loss function are obtained via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. Finally, the flexibility of the new model is analyzed by means of two real data sets. It is found that the MOIPL model provides closer fits than some other models based on the selected criteria.