• 제목/요약/키워드: distribution of credit

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부도확률맵과 AHP를 이용한 기업 신용등급 산출모형의 개발 (Developing Corporate Credit Rating Models Using Business Failure Probability Map and Analytic Hierarchy Process)

  • 홍태호;신택수
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2007
  • Most researches on the corporate credit rating are generally classified into the area of bankruptcy prediction and bond rating. The studies on bankruptcy prediction have focused on improving the performance in binary classification problem, since the criterion variable is categorical, bankrupt or non-bankrupt. The other studies on bond rating have predicted the credit ratings, which was already evaluated by bond rating experts. The financial institute, however, should perform effective loan evaluation and risk management by employing the corporate credit rating model, which is able to determine the credit of corporations. Therefore, this study presents a corporate credit rating method using business failure probability map(BFPM) and AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process). The BFPM enables us to rate the credit of corporations according to business failure probability and data distribution or frequency on each credit rating level. Also, we developed AHP model for credit rating using non-financial information. For the purpose of completed credit rating model, we integrated the BFPM and the AHP model using both financial and non-financial information. Finally, the credit ratings of each firm are assigned by our proposed method. This method will be helpful for the loan evaluators of financial institutes to decide more objective and effective credit ratings.

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소비자의 신용카드 사용행동 분석 -광주시 소비자를 중심으로- (Credit cards use of consumers in Kwang-ju)

  • 노채영
    • 가족자원경영과 정책
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.65-78
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    • 2002
  • The proposes of this study were designed to practical use of credit cards on consumers in Kwang-ju. The 371 subjects formatted questionnaires were analyzed to frequency, percentage, crosstabulation and chi-square test by SPSS WIN 10.0. The main results of this study were as following : First, it is analyzed that most consumers have had more than credit cards. Second, it is tended that consumers have influenced to practical use of credit cards by sex, age, marriage, income and living expenses. Third, consumer is use to the spur of credit card, requirement about businessman, credit card connection system and distinction of sex, age, marriage, income, showed difference of relevant distribution between living expenses all. Based on the above, to make the use of credit cards practical and active, it needs more attention from consumers as well as it needs continuous efforts from the authorities concerned. Accordingly, to prevent consumers from overconsuming possibly by imprudent use of credit cards, it suggests systematic consumer training, from which consumers will learn responsible life as a consumer.

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Determinants of Bank Credit Distribution in Supporting Regional Economic Growth in South Sulawesi Province

  • Emily Nur SAIDY;Muhammad AMRI;Sanusi FATTAH;Sri Undai NURBAYANI
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제22권8호
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2024
  • Economic growth is influenced by various factors, including support from the banking world in channeling funds ownedthrough bank credit which will be a stimulus from economic activities as a source of economic growth. Purpose: Thisstudy aims to analyze the determinants of bank lending in supporting regional economic growth in South Sulawesi Province. Research Design, Data, and Methodology: This study uses secondary data taken from banking data and analyzed using path analysis Data analysis is carried out using the help of SPSS statistical analysis tools. Results: Non-Performance Loan, Three Partied Fund, Inflation, Exchange Rate directly affect economic growth. For the analysis of the indirect effect of Non-performance loans and Three Partied Funds have an indirect effect on economic growth through lending while the Loan to deposit Ratio, Inflation and exchange rate do not indirectly affect economic growththrough lending. Credit disbursement has a positive and significant effect on economic growth Conclusion: Economicgrowth of a region is influenced by many factors and these factors are influences from the banking world, the results ofthis study show that economic growth is strongly influenced by bank support through lending to support the economy by considering other factors such as interest rates and currency exchange rates

신용평가를 위한 Kolmogorov-Smirnov 수정통계량 (Modified Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistic for Credit Evaluation)

  • 홍종선;방글
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.1065-1075
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    • 2008
  • 신용평가모형 개발과 적합성 검정 연구에서 부도율분포로부터 부도기업과 정상기업의 판별력을 검정하는 방법으로 비모수적인 방법인 Kolmogorov-Smirnov(K-S) 검정방법을 많이 사용한다. 모집단에 대한 누적분포함수를 알고있으며 이 분포함수가 두 개의 분포함수로 분할되었다는 가정하에서 두 분포함수 동일성을 검정하는 신용평가 연구에서 스코어 또는 부도율이 다양한 확률분포를 따른다고 가정하고 기존의 K-S 통계량과 수정된 K-S 통계량을 비교 토론한다.

Study of Personal Credit Risk Assessment Based on SVM

  • LI, Xin;XIA, Han
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제13권10호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Support vector machines (SVMs) ensemble has been proposed to improve classification performance of Credit risk recently. However, currently used fusion strategies do not evaluate the importance degree of the output of individual component SVM classifier when combining the component predictions to the final decision. To deal with this problem, this paper designs a support vector machines (SVMs) ensemble method based on fuzzy integral, which aggregates the outputs of separate component SVMs with importance of each component SVM. Research design, data, and methodology: This paper designs a personal credit risk evaluation index system including 16 indicators and discusses a support vector machines (SVMs) ensemble method based on fuzzy integral for designing a credit risk assessment system to discriminate good creditors from bad ones. This paper randomly selects 1500 sample data of personal loan customers of a commercial bank in China 2015-2020 for simulation experiments. Results: By comparing the experimental result SVMs ensemble with the single SVM, the neural network ensemble, the proposed method outperforms the single SVM, and neural network ensemble in terms of classification accuracy. Conclusions: The results show that the method proposed in this paper has higher classification accuracy than other classification methods, which confirms the feasibility and effectiveness of this method.

Roles of Capital Adequacy and Liquidity to Improve Banking Performance

  • MARGONO, Hery;WARDANI, Mursida Kusuma;SAFITRI, Julia
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권11호
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to empirically test the effect of liquidity and adequacy on bank performance through interest rate risk and credit risk. Capital adequacy and liquidity are variables that can affect the ups and downs of opinion, where the bank's performance in this study is the dependent variable. Good credit distribution can minimize the occurrence of defaults. This study uses banking companies in Indonesia that are listed on the Indonesian stock exchange, with a total number of 43 banking companies, this study however, uses only 30 companies ranging from years 2014 to 2019, primarily due to the availability of the limited data. The data analysis techniques used in this study is PLS-SEM with the WarpPLS application. The research results show that capital adequacy and liquidity has a positive effect on bank performance, interest rate risk and credit risk can mediate capital adequacy on bank performance, interest rate risk can mediate liquidity on bank performance, and interest rate risk has a positive effect on bank performance. However, credit risk can't mediate liquidity on bank performance and credit risk does not have a positive effect on bank performance. This is in line with the commercial loan theory, shiftability theory and the doctrine of anticipated income, which explains how best to give credit, both in longer and the shorter term.

Formal versus Informal Credit: Which is Better in Helping Rural Areas in Vietnam?

  • TRUONG, Thi Hoai Linh;LE, Thi Nhu Quynh;PHAN, Hong Mai
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2020
  • The study seeks to evaluate the impacts of three types of credit - formal, semi-formal, and informal credits - on the well-being of households in Vietnam's rural areas. Based on data from the Vietnam Household Living Standard Surveys in 2014 and 2016, the research uses the instrumental variable fixed-effect models to estimate the effects of three kinds of credit on household's per capita income and expenditure. There are some significant findings. First, in rural areas, formal credit is the most popular source with stable and cheap borrowing costs. Informal credit is a complement to formal credit to meet urgent needs. Funding agriculture activities is the most commonly cited purpose of borrowing, followed by purchasing assets. The highest misuse rate belongs to the group of loans for agriculture production. Second, the results show that credit helps smoothen consumption rather than generate income for rural households. Three types of credit have insignificant or negative effects on household's per capita income. Formal loans significantly improve total expenditure and spending on healthcare and education. Informal and semi-formal credits show a little influence on consumption. Informal loans have a significantly positive effect on healthcare expenditure. In contrast, having semi-formal loans tends to decrease spending on foods.

The Impact of Credit on Income Inequality in Vietnam

  • LE, Quoc Hoi;NGUYEN, Bich Ngoc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2020
  • This paper examines the impacts of credit on income inequality in Vietnam. Though it is one of the most common measures of financial development, there is a dearth of research in this area. Unlike previous studies, the paper disaggregates the impact of each type of credit on income inequality, looking at the Gini coefficient. We employ the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) to solve the endogenous problem. The primary data set contains a panel of 60 Provincial observations, from data collected from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam from 2002 to 2016. The empirical findings show that, while commercial credit increases income inequality, policy credit contributes to reducing income inequality in Vietnam. The results also confirm the important roles of education, institutional quality and foreign direct investment in fighting against income inequality in Vietnam. However, the paper does not provide adequate evidence to support the inverted U-shaped relationship between credit and income inequality. Based on the findings, we argue that the government should direct flows of credit to real economic activities rather than speculative investment; more bank credit should be allocated to rural areas and agriculture; and favorable credit programs should be designed to promote education, especially of those living in rural areas.

SME Profitability of Trade Credit during and after a Financial Crisis: Evidence from Korea

  • KWON, Ohsung;HAN, Seung Hun;LEE, Duk Hee
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권7호
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    • pp.35-47
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    • 2020
  • An economic downturn can occurred through unexpected events in various fields, such as the subprime mortgage crisis and the outbreak of Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19). Trade credit is important for small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), especially during a monetary contraction, as it is the last option for firms that lack bank credit. This study aims to determine whether trade credit is profitable for the buyer and supplier firms during and after a financial crisis. We use panel data consisting of all trade credit transactions and financial statements of 5,751 Korean firms during the period 2008-2012. It shows that trade credit is more profitable for both buyers and suppliers in the post-crisis period than during the crisis. Moreover, trade payable is more effective for unconstrained buyers than for constrained buyers. Finally, a mixed strategy is superior to an aggressive or passive strategy of SMEs. The results suggest less profitability of trade credit during a period of contraction and greater sensitivity of the buyer SMEs, emphasizing the idiosyncratic liquidity strategy of each firm. This study can be helpful to develop a strategy of profitable trade credit for SMEs and to establish a policy of managing liquidity for the authority.

Credit Risk Evaluations of Online Retail Enterprises Using Support Vector Machines Ensemble: An Empirical Study from China

  • LI, Xin;XIA, Han
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권8호
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2022
  • The e-commerce market faces significant credit risks due to the complexity of the industry and information asymmetries. Therefore, credit risk has started to stymie the growth of e-commerce. However, there is no reliable system for evaluating the creditworthiness of e-commerce companies. Therefore, this paper constructs a credit risk evaluation index system that comprehensively considers the online and offline behavior of online retail enterprises, including 15 indicators that reflect online credit risk and 15 indicators that reflect offline credit risk. This paper establishes an integration method based on a fuzzy integral support vector machine, which takes the factor analysis results of the credit risk evaluation index system of online retail enterprises as the input and the credit risk evaluation results of online retail enterprises as the output. The classification results of each sub-classifier and the importance of each sub-classifier decision to the final decision have been taken into account in this method. Select the sample data of 1500 online retail loan customers from a bank to test the model. The empirical results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms a single SVM and traditional SVMs aggregation technique via majority voting in terms of classification accuracy, which provides a basis for banks to establish a reliable evaluation system.