• Title/Summary/Keyword: distribution modeling

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Mechanical buckling of FG-CNTs reinforced composite plate with parabolic distribution using Hamilton's energy principle

  • Tayeb, Tayeb Si;Zidour, Mohamed;Bensattalah, Tayeb;Heireche, Houari;Benahmed, Abdelillah;Bedia, E.A. Adda
    • Advances in nano research
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.135-148
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    • 2020
  • The incorporation of carbon nanotubes in a polymer matrix makes it possible to obtain nanocomposite materials with exceptional properties. It's in this scientific background that this work was based. There are several theories that deal with the behavior of plates, in this research based on the Mindlin-Reissner theory that takes into account the transversal shear effect, for analysis of the critical buckling load of a reinforced polymer plate with parabolic distribution of carbon nanotubes. The equations of the model are derived and the critical loads of linear and parabolic distribution of carbon nanotubes are obtained. With different disposition of nanotubes of carbon in the polymer matrix, the effects of different parameters such as the volume fractions, the plate geometric ratios and the number of modes on the critical load buckling are analysed and discussed. The results show that the critical buckling load of parabolic distribution is larger than the linear distribution. This variation is attributed to the concentration of reinforcement (CNTs) at the top and bottom faces for the X-CNT type which make the plate more rigid against buckling.

Extreme value modeling of structural load effects with non-identical distribution using clustering

  • Zhou, Junyong;Ruan, Xin;Shi, Xuefei;Pan, Chudong
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.74 no.1
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    • pp.55-67
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    • 2020
  • The common practice to predict the characteristic structural load effects (LEs) in long reference periods is to employ the extreme value theory (EVT) for building limit distributions. However, most applications ignore that LEs are driven by multiple loading events and thus do not have the identical distribution, a prerequisite for EVT. In this study, we propose the composite extreme value modeling approach using clustering to (a) cluster initial blended samples into finite identical distributed subsamples using the finite mixture model, expectation-maximization algorithm, and the Akaike information criterion; (b) combine limit distributions of subsamples into a composite prediction equation using the generalized Pareto distribution based on a joint threshold. The proposed approach was validated both through numerical examples with known solutions and engineering applications of bridge traffic LEs on a long-span bridge. The results indicate that a joint threshold largely benefits the composite extreme value modeling, many appropriate tail approaching models can be used, and the equation form is simply the sum of the weighted models. In numerical examples, the proposed approach using clustering generated accurate extrema prediction of any reference period compared with the known solutions, whereas the common practice of employing EVT without clustering on the mixture data showed large deviations. Real-world bridge traffic LEs are driven by multi-events and present multipeak distributions, and the proposed approach is more capable of capturing the tendency of tailed LEs than the conventional approach. The proposed approach is expected to have wide applications to general problems such as samples that are driven by multiple events and that do not have the identical distribution.

A Comparison Study on Statistical Modeling Methods (통계모델링 방법의 비교 연구)

  • Noh, Yoojeong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.645-652
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    • 2016
  • The statistical modeling of input random variables is necessary in reliability analysis, reliability-based design optimization, and statistical validation and calibration of analysis models of mechanical systems. In statistical modeling methods, there are the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), AIC correction (AICc), Bayesian Information Criterion, Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), and Bayesian method. Those methods basically select the best fitted distribution among candidate models by calculating their likelihood function values from a given data set. The number of data or parameters in some methods are considered to identify the distribution types. On the other hand, the engineers in a real field have difficulties in selecting the statistical modeling method to obtain a statistical model of the experimental data because of a lack of knowledge of those methods. In this study, commonly used statistical modeling methods were compared using statistical simulation tests. Their advantages and disadvantages were then analyzed. In the simulation tests, various types of distribution were assumed as populations and the samples were generated randomly from them with different sample sizes. Real engineering data were used to verify each statistical modeling method.

The Proportional Hazards Modeling for Consecutive Pipe Failures Based on an Individual Pipe Identification Method using the Characteristics of Water Distribution Pipes (상수도 배수관로의 특성에 따른 개별관로 정의 방법을 이용한 파손사건 사이의 비례위험모델링)

  • Park, Suwan;Kim, Jung Wook;Jun, Hwan Don
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2007
  • In this paper a methodology of identifying individual pipes according to the internal and external characteristics of pipe is developed, and the methodology is applied to a case study water distribution pipe break database. Using the newly defined individual pipes the hazard rates of the cast iron 6 inch pipes are modeled by implementing the proportional hazards modeling approach for consecutive pipe failures. The covariates to be considered in the modeling procedures are selected by considering the general availability of the data and the practical applicability of the modeling results. The individual cast iron 6 inch pipes are categorized into seven ordered survival time groups according to the total number of breaks recorded in a pipe to construct distinct proportional hazard model (PHM) for each survival time group (STG). The modeling results show that all of the PHMs have the hazard rate forms of the Weibull distribution. In addition, the estimated baseline survivor functions show that the survival probabilities of the STGs generally decrease as the number of break increases. It is found that STG I has an increasing hazard rate whereas the other STGs have decreasing hazard rates. Regarding the first failure the hazard ratio of spun-rigid and spun-flex cast iron pipes to pit cast iron pipes is estimated as 1.8 and 6.3, respectively. For the second or more failures the relative effects of pipe material/joint type on failure were not conclusive. The degree of land development affected pipe failure for STGs I, II, and V, and the average hazard ratio was estimated as 1.8. The effects of length on failure decreased as more breaks occur and the population in a GRID affected the hazard rate of the first pipe failure.

Transmuted new generalized Weibull distribution for lifetime modeling

  • Khan, Muhammad Shuaib;King, Robert;Hudson, Irene Lena
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.363-383
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    • 2016
  • The Weibull family of lifetime distributions play a fundamental role in reliability engineering and life testing problems. This paper investigates the potential usefulness of transmuted new generalized Weibull (TNGW) distribution for modeling lifetime data. This distribution is an important competitive model that contains twenty-three lifetime distributions as special cases. We can obtain the TNGW distribution using the quadratic rank transmutation map (QRTM) technique. We derive the analytical shapes of the density and hazard functions for graphical illustrations. In addition, we explore some mathematical properties of the TNGW model including expressions for the quantile function, moments, entropies, mean deviation, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves and the moments of order statistics. The method of maximum likelihood is used to estimate the model parameters. Finally the applicability of the TNGW model is presented using nicotine in cigarettes data for illustration.

Stochastic Modeling of Plug-in Electric Vehicle Distribution in Power Systems

  • Son, Hyeok Jin;Kook, Kyung Soo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.1276-1282
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a stochastic modeling of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) distribution in power systems, and analyzes the corresponding clustering characteristic. It is essential for power utilities to estimate the PEV charging demand as the penetration level of PEV is expected to increase rapidly in the near future. Although the distribution of PEVs in power systems is the primary factor for estimating the PEV charging demand, the data currently available are statistics related to fuel-driven vehicles and to existing electric demands in power systems. In this paper, we calculate the number of households using electricity at individual ending buses of a power system based on the electric demands. Then, we estimate the number of PEVs per household using the probability density function of PEVs derived from the given statistics about fuel-driven vehicles. Finally, we present the clustering characteristic of the PEV distribution via case studies employing the test systems.

The guided field distribution characteristics in the ion-exchange channel glass waveguide (이온 교환 채널 유리 도파로의 도파광 분포특성)

  • 박정일;박태성;천석표;정홍배
    • Electrical & Electronic Materials
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.332-339
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    • 1995
  • In this paper, it was investigated the guided field intensity distribution of the channel in the silver & potassium ion-exchange glass-waveguide. The guided field intensity distribution analysis of ion-exchange glass-waveguide was based on the combination of the WKB dispersion relationship method with a Gaussian distribution function of refractive index profile and the Field Shadow method to the modeling of the channel waveguide. As the results of the channel waveguide modeling, it was represented 2-dimensional and 3-dimensional field distribution of ion-exchange glass waveguide.

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Prediction of Stand Structure Dynamics for Unthinned Slash Pine Plantations

  • Lee, Young-Jin;Cho, Hyun-Je;Hong, Sung-Cheon
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.435-438
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    • 2000
  • Diameter distributions describe forest stand structure information. Prediction equations for percentiles of diameter distribution and parameter recovery procedures for the Weibull distribution function based on four percentile equations were applied to develop prediction system of even-aged slash pine stand structure development in terms of the number of stems per diameter class changes. Four percentiles of the cumulative diameter distribution were predicted as a function of stand characteristics. The predicted diameter distributions were tested against the observed diameter distributions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov two sample test at the ${\alpha}$=0.05 level. Statistically, no significant differences were detected based on the data from 236 evaluation data sets. This stand level diameter distribution prediction system will be useful in slash pine stand structure modeling and in updating forest inventories for the long-term forest management planning.

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Families of Distributions Arising from Distributions of Ordered Data

  • Ahmadi, Mosayeb;Razmkhah, M.;Mohtashami Borzadaran, G.R.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.105-120
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    • 2015
  • A large family of distributions arising from distributions of ordered data is proposed which contains other models studied in the literature. This extension subsume many cases of weighted random variables such as order statistics, records, k-records and many others in variety. Such a distribution can be used for modeling data which are not identical in distribution. Some properties of the theoretical model such as moment, mean deviation, entropy criteria, symmetry and unimodality are derived. The proposed model also studies the problem of parameter estimation and derives maximum likelihood estimators in a weighted gamma distribution. Finally, it will be shown that the proposed model is the best among the previously introduced distributions for modeling a real data set.

Predicting the likelihood of impaired stream segments using Geographic Information System on Abandoned Mine Land in Gangwon Province

  • Lee, Ju-Young;Yang, Jung-Suk;Choi, Jae-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1081-1083
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    • 2007
  • The study in river basin has been performed for the identify water quality impaired stream segments, to create a priority ranking of those segments, and to calculate the heavy metal ion distribution for each impaired segment based on chemical and physical water quality standards. Two methods for modeling the potential area-specific heavy metal distribution are pursued in this study. First, a novel approach focuses on distance. Heavy metal distribution can be associated with a particular small geographic area. Based on the derived estimates an distribution map can be generated. Second, the approach is used the near watershed by means of kriging interpolation algorithm. These approaches provide an alternative distribution mapping of the area. The exposure estimates from both of these modeling methods are then compared with other environmental monitoring data. A GIS-based model will be used to mimic the hierarchical stream structure and processes found in natural watershed. Specifically, the relationship between landscape variables and reach scale habitat conditions most influential found in the Abandoned mine will be explored.

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