• 제목/요약/키워드: disease model

검색결과 3,056건 처리시간 0.034초

MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS OF AN "SIR" EPIDEMIC MODEL IN A CONTINUOUS REACTOR - DETERMINISTIC AND PROBABILISTIC APPROACHES

  • El Hajji, Miled;Sayari, Sayed;Zaghdani, Abdelhamid
    • 대한수학회지
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    • 제58권1호
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    • pp.45-67
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, a mathematical dynamical system involving both deterministic (with or without delay) and stochastic "SIR" epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate in a continuous reactor is considered. A profound qualitative analysis is given. It is proved that, for both deterministic models, if ��d > 1, then the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. However, if ��d ≤ 1, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Concerning the stochastic model, the Feller's test combined with the canonical probability method were used in order to conclude on the long-time dynamics of the stochastic model. The results improve and extend the results obtained for the deterministic model in its both forms. It is proved that if ��s > 1, the disease is stochastically permanent with full probability. However, if ��s ≤ 1, then the disease dies out with full probability. Finally, some numerical tests are done in order to validate the obtained results.

PREVENTION STRATEGIES TO CONTROL AN EPIDEMIC USING A SEIQHRV MODEL

  • Mohit Soni;Rajesh Kumar Sharma;Shivram Sharma
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈B:순수및응용수학
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.131-158
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    • 2024
  • This study investigates the impact of precautionary measures, such as isolating exposed individuals, wearing masks, and maintaining physical distance, on preventing infectious disease. A deterministic SEIQHRV epidemic model is employed for this purpose. The model's positivity, boundedness, disease-free, and endemic equilibrium points are identified. A sensitivity test assesses the impact of preventive measures on infected classes. Results show that a basic reproduction number less than unity drives disease eradiction, while a higher unity value encourages the adoption of preventive measures.

빅데이터와 딥러닝을 활용한 동물 감염병 확산 차단 (Animal Infectious Diseases Prevention through Big Data and Deep Learning)

  • 김성현;최준기;김재석;장아름;이재호;차경진;이상원
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.137-154
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    • 2018
  • 조류인플루엔자와 구제역 같은 동물감염병은 거의 매년 발생하며 국가에 막대한 경제적 사회적 손실을 일으키고 있다. 이를 예방하기 위해서 그간 방역당국은 다양한 인적, 물적 노력을 기울였지만 감염병은 지속적으로 발생해 왔다. 최근 빅데이터와 딥러닝 기술을 활용하여 감염병의 예측모델을 개발하고자 하는 시도가 시작되고 있지만, 실제로 활용가능한 모델구축 연구와 사례보고는 활발히 진행되고 있지 않은 실정이다. KT와 과학기술정보통신부는 2014년부터 국가 R&D사업의 일환으로 축산관련 차량의 이동경로를 분석하여 예측하는 빅데이터 사업을 수행하고 있다. 동물감염병 예방을 위하여 연구진은 최초에는 차량이동 데이터를 활용한 회귀분석모델을 기반으로 한 예측모델을 개발하였다. 이후에는 기계학습을 활용하여 좀 더 정확한 예측 모델을 구성하였다. 특히, 2017년 예측모델에서는 시설물에 대한 확산 위험도를 추가하였고 모델링의 하이퍼 파라미터를 다양하게 고려하여 모델의 성능을 높였다. 정오분류표와 ROC 커브를 확인한 결과, 기계 학습 모델보다 2017년 구성된 모형이 우수함을 확인 할 수 있었다. 또한 2017에는 결과에 대한 설명을 추가하여 방역당국의 의사결정을 돕고 이해관계자를 설득할 수 있는 근거를 확보하였다. 본 연구는 빅데이터를 활용하여 동물감염병예방시스템을 구축한 사례연구로 모델주요변수값, 이에따른 실제예측성능결과, 그리고 상세하게 기술된 시스템구축 프로세스는 향후 감염병예방 영역의 지속적인 빅데이터활용 및 분석 모델 개발에 기여할 수 있을 것이다. 또한 본 연구에서 구축한 시스템을 통해 보다 사전적이고 효과적인 방역을 할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

SIP-3 한약 처방 및 도네페질의 병용 치료: 아밀로이드 베타로 유도된 알츠하이머병 생쥐 모델에서의 NGS 연구 (Combination Treatment with SIP-3 Herb Formula and Donepezil: An NGS Study in the Mouse Model of Alzheimer's Disease Induced by Amyloid-β)

  • 오영제;송수진;류천봉;손태권;김근우;구병수
    • 동의신경정신과학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.327-340
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a complex disease accompanied by slow impairment of memory and coordination leading to behavioral changes. To date, the only treatment option is to delay the progress of the disease. The purpose of this study was to investigate the synergistic effects of combination treatment with donepezil and three herbal extracts SIP-3 in the AD mouse model induced by amyloid-β (Aβ). Methods: We tested SIP-3 extracts for the cytotoxicity on Aβ-treated SH-SY5Y cells. Then the synergistic effects of SIP-3 and donepezil were evaluated in the AD mouse model using animal experiments and the next generation sequencing (NGS) study. Results: We found that co-treatment with SIP-3 extracts and donepezil increased the viability in Aβ-treated SH-SY5Y cells. The beneficial effects of the co-treatment were also observed in the Aβ-induced AD mouse model. The NGS study was performed to show that the co-treatment of SIP-3 and donepezil restored the disease phenotype closely to the normal level in the AD mouse model in terms of mRNA expression. However, the phenotypes were only partially restored. Conclusions: This study suggests that the combination treatment has a potential to be used for the treatment of AD. However, longer periods of treatment may be required.

한의(韓醫) 내상질환(內傷疾患)에 대한 진단치료(診斷治療) 모델의 유형화(類型化)작업 (A Typification of Diagnosis and Treatment Model for Internal Disease in Oriental medicine)

  • 김광중
    • 제3의학
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.57-89
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    • 1996
  • A Typification of diagnosis and treatment(DT) model must be done in order to generalize the objective stage to the result of treatment to internal disease in connection with the type of viscera and bowel symptom. We could find 108 DT models in internal disease from the combination of 18 types of viscera and bowel and 6 types of DT treatment processes. Thus, the typification of 108 models of DT can be viewed as a modeling processes of utilizing DT knowledge at each stage. We argue that objectivity in diagnosis and treatment of internal disease can be obtained practically from typification of DT model.

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벚나무 추출물의 OVA 유도 천식동물모델에서 항염증 효능 (Ant-Inflammatory Effect of Prunus serrulata var. spontanea Extract in OVA-Induced Asthma Animal Model)

  • 김명규;강순아
    • 한국식품영양학회지
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.172-184
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    • 2023
  • The objective of this study was to determine the efficacy of a natural product of cherry tree (Prunus serrulata var. spontanea: PS) as a test substance for improving cytokine and ovalbumin-specific IgE using an ovalbumin-induced asthma disease model of 5-week-old male BALB/c mice. Lung tissue pathology was analyzed to confirm anti-inflammatory and asthmatic effects. As a result of examining the effect on changes in inflammatory cells in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid in an ovalbumin-induced asthma disease model by administering the PS sample, total cells, eosinophil, neutrophil, lymphocyte, and monocytes were significantly decreased. Concentrations of cytokine-based TNF-alpha and IL-4 and immunoglobulin E in serum were significantly increased in the asthma-inducing negative control group than in the normal group. However, high concentrations of PS decreased them. In histopathological examination of the lung tissue, it was confirmed that inflammatory cells infiltrated around the alveoli and bronchioles were increased in ovalbumin-induced asthma disease model. After administration of cherry tree extract, bronchiolar morphological changes such as mucosal thickening were slightly improved. From the above results, it was confirmed that extract of cherry tree significantly reduced inflammation expression and tissue damage in alveolar tissues. It was also confirmed that the cherry tree extract had an excellent efficacy in improving asthma inflammation.

VGG16을 활용한 미학습 농작물의 효율적인 질병 진단 모델 (An Efficient Disease Inspection Model for Untrained Crops Using VGG16)

  • 정석봉;윤협상
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2020
  • 농작물 질병에 대한 조기 진단은 질병의 확산을 억제하고 농업 생산성을 증대하는 데에 있어 중요한 역할을 하고 있다. 최근 합성곱신경망(convolutional neural network, CNN)과 같은 딥러닝 기법을 활용하여 농작물 잎사귀 이미지 데이터세트를 분석하여 농작물 질병을 진단하는 다수의 연구가 진행되었다. 이와 같은 연구를 통해 농작물 질병을 90% 이상의 정확도로 분류할 수 있지만, 사전 학습된 농작물 질병 외에는 진단할 수 없다는 한계를 갖는다. 본 연구에서는 미학습 농작물에 대해 효율적으로 질병 여부를 진단하는 모델을 제안한다. 이를 위해, 먼저 VGG16을 활용한 농작물 질병 분류기(CDC)를 구축하고 PlantVillage 데이터세트을 통해 학습하였다. 이어 미학습 농작물의 질병 진단이 가능하도록 수정된 질병 분류기(mCDC)의 구축방안을 제안하였다. 실험을 통해 본 연구에서 제안한 수정된 질병 분류기(mCDC)가 미학습 농작물의 질병진단에 대해 기존 질병 분류기(CDC)보다 높은 성능을 보임을 확인하였다.

Evaluation of Therapeutic Efficacy using [18F]FP-CIT in 6-OHDA-induced Parkinson's Animal Model

  • Jang Woo Park;Yi Seul Choi;Dong Hyun Kim;Eun Sang Lee;Chan Woo Park;Hye Kyung Chung;Ran Ji Yoo
    • 대한방사성의약품학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 2023
  • Parkinson's disease is a neurodegenerative disease caused by damage to brain neurons related to dopamine. Non-clinical animal models mainly used in Parkinson's disease research include drug-induced models of 1-methyl-4-phenyl-1,2,3,6-tetrahydropyridine and 6-hydroxydopamine, and genetically modified transgenic animal models. Parkinson's diagnosis can be made using brain imaging of the substantia nigra-striatal dopamine system and using a radiotracer that specifically binds to the dopamine transporter. In this study, 18F-N-(3-fluoropropyl)-2β-carboxymethoxy-3β-(4-iodophenyl) nortropane was used to confirm the image evaluation cutoff between normal and parkinson's disease models, and to confirm model persistence over time. In addition, the efficacy of single or combined administration of clinically used therapeutic drugs in parkinson's animal models was evaluated. Image analysis was performed using the PMOD software. Converted to standardized uptake value, and analyzed by standardized uptake value ratio by dividing the average value of left striatum by the average value of right striatum obtained by applying positron emission tomography images to the atlas magnetic resonance template. The image cutoff of the normal and the parkinson's disease model was calculated as SUVR=0.829, and it was confirmed that it was maintained during the test period. In the three-drug combination administration group, the right and left striatum showed a high symmetry of more than 0.942 on average and recovered significantly. Images using 18F-N-(3-fluoropropyl)-2β-carboxymethoxy-3β-(4-iodophenyl) nortropane are thought to be able to diagnose and evaluate treatment efficacy of non-clinical Parkinson's disease.

Application of Numerical Weather Prediction Data to Estimate Infection Risk of Bacterial Grain Rot of Rice in Korea

  • Kim, Hyo-suk;Do, Ki Seok;Park, Joo Hyeon;Kang, Wee Soo;Lee, Yong Hwan;Park, Eun Woo
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.54-66
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to evaluate usefulness of numerical weather prediction data generated by the Unified Model (UM) for plant disease forecast. Using the UM06- and UM18-predicted weather data, which were released at 0600 and 1800 Universal Time Coordinated (UTC), respectively, by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), disease forecast on bacterial grain rot (BGR) of rice was examined as compared with the model output based on the automated weather stations (AWS)-observed weather data. We analyzed performance of BGRcast based on the UM-predicted and the AWS-observed daily minimum temperature and average relative humidity in 2014 and 2015 from 29 locations representing major rice growing areas in Korea using regression analysis and two-way contingency table analysis. Temporal changes in weather conduciveness at two locations in 2014 were also analyzed with regard to daily weather conduciveness (Ci) and the 20-day and 7-day moving averages of Ci for the inoculum build-up phase (Cinc) prior to the panicle emergence of rice plants and the infection phase (Cinf) during the heading stage of rice plants, respectively. Based on Cinc and Cinf, we were able to obtain the same disease warnings at all locations regardless of the sources of weather data. In conclusion, the numerical weather prediction data from KMA could be reliable to apply as input data for plant disease forecast models. Weather prediction data would facilitate applications of weather-driven disease models for better disease management. Crop growers would have better options for disease control including both protective and curative measures when weather prediction data are used for disease warning.