• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제17권1_2_3호
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• pp.361-377
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• 2005

A mathematical model dealing with a prey-predator system with disease in the prey is considered. The functional response of the predator is governed by a Hoilling type-2 function. Mathematical analysis of the model regarding stability and persistence has been performed. The effect of delay and diffusion on the above system is studied. The role of diffusivity on stability and persistence criteria of the system has also been discussed.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.33-39
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• 1997

Tsutakawa(1988) proposed a mixed model for using empirical Bayes method to study the geographic variability in mortality rates of a disease. In particular cases of the analysis in mortality rate, we need to consider the effect of time. If observed data are collected annually for the time period, then time effect will be emphasized. Here, an extended model for estimating the geographic effect and the mortality rates of the disease with time effect is proposed.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.925-940
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• 2000

The spatial spread of a disease in an SIRS epidemic model with immunity imparted by subclinical infection on a population has been considered. The incidence rate of infection and the rate of immunization are both of nonlinear type. The dynamics of the infectious disease and its endemicity in local and global sense have been investigated.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.17-32
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• 2005

An agricultural commodity production cycle model consisting of corn, beef, and dairy sectors was constructed for the purpose of exploring the propagating effects of large-scale disruptive events. In an initial proof-of-concept exercise, we considered an agricultural disruption scenario in which foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is introduced into the U.S., causing a large-scale outbreak of the disease in both beef and dairy cattle. The magnitude of disruption to the beef and dairy sectors are presented under the existing W response policy and then improvements under two alternative policies are shown.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.354-360
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• 2022

대사성 질환은 국내의 경우 유병률이 26%에 이르는 질환으로 복부비만, 고혈압, 공복혈당장애, 고중성지방, 낮은 HDL 콜레스테롤 5가지 상태 중 3가지를 동시에 가진 상태를 말한다. 본 논문은 농촌진흥청의 소비자패널 데이터와 건강보험공단의 진료 데이터를 연계하여 식품 소비 특성을 통해 대사성 질환자군과 대조군으로 나누는 분류 모델을 생성하고 차이를 비교하고자 한다. 기존의 국내외에서 연구된 많은 대사성 질환과 식품 소비 특성 관련 연구는 특정 식품군이나 특정 성분의 질환 상관성 연구이며, 본 논문은 일반 식사에서 포함하는 모든 식품군을 고려한 로지스틱 회귀를 이용한 분류 모델, 의사결정나무 기반 분류 모델, XGBoost를 활용한 분류 모델을 생성하였다. 세 가지 모델 중 정확도가 높은 모델은 XGBoost 분류 모델이지만, 정확도가 0.7 미만으로 높지 않았다. 향후 연구로 환자군의 식품 소비 관찰 기간을 5년 이상으로 확대하고 섭취한 식품을 영양적 특성으로 변환한 후 대사성 질환 분류 모델 연구가 필요하다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.923-932
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• 2013

이 논문에서는 우리나라에서 발생하는 원인균별 식중독 발생건수를 예측하는 방법을 제안한다. 우리나라에서 보고되는 주별 식중독 발생 건수를 원인균로 나누면 자료에 많은 0의 관측값이 포함되어 있으며 식중독 발생 간에 종속성을 가진다. 이 현상을 모형화하기 위해 이 논문에서는 전체 식중독 건수를 자기회귀모형으로 예측하고 원인균별 식중독 발생 확률을 다범주 로짓모형으로 추정한다. 예측된 식중독 건수와 추정된 원인균별 식중독 발생 확률을 곱하여 원인균별 식중독 발생건수를 예측한다. 제안된 방법의 타당성을 확인하기 위해 평균제곱오차와 평균절대편차를 이용하여 제안 방법과 영과잉모형을 비교해 본다.

• The Plant Pathology Journal
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.46-51
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• 2008

With the goal of achieving better integrated pest management for hot pepper, a disease-forecasting system was compared to a conventional disease-control method. Experimental field plots were established at Asan, Chungnam, in 2005 to 2006, and hourly temperature and leaf wetness were measured and used as model inputs. One treatment group received applications of a protective fungicide, dithianon, every 7 days, whereas another received a curative fungicide, dimethomorph, when the model-determined infection risk (IR) exceeded a value of 3. In the unsprayed plot, fruits showed 18.9% (2005) and 14.0% (2006) anthracnose infection. Fruits sprayed with dithianon at 7-day intervals had 4.7% (2005) and 15.4% (2006) infection. The receiving model-advised sprays of dimethomorph had 9.4% (2005) and 10.9% (2006) anthracnose infection. Differences in the anthracnose levels between the conventional and model-advised treatments were not statistically significant. The efficacy of 10 (2005) and 8 (2006) applications of calendar-based sprays was same as that of three (2005 and 2006) sprays based on the disease-forecast system. In addition, we found much higher the IRs with the leaf wetness sensor from the field plots comparing without leaf wetness sensor from the weather station at Asan within 10km away. Since the wetness-periods were critical to forecast anthracnose in the model, the measurement of wetness-period in commercial fields must be refined to improve the anthracnose-forecast model.

• The Plant Pathology Journal
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.350-362
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• 2015

A disease forecast model for bacterial grain rot (BGR) of rice, which is caused by Burkholderia glumae, was developed in this study. The model, which was named 'BGRcast', determined daily conduciveness of weather conditions to epidemic development of BGR and forecasted risk of BGR development. All data that were used to develop and validate the BGRcast model were collected from field observations on disease incidence at Naju, Korea during 1998-2004 and 2010. In this study, we have proposed the environmental conduciveness as a measure of conduciveness of weather conditions for population growth of B. glumae and panicle infection in the field. The BGRcast calculated daily environmental conduciveness, $C_i$, based on daily minimum temperature and daily average relative humidity. With regard to the developmental stages of rice plants, the epidemic development of BGR was divided into three phases, i.e., lag, inoculum build-up and infection phases. Daily average of $C_i$ was calculated for the inoculum build-up phase ($C_{inf}$) and the infection phase ($C_{inc}$). The $C_{inc}$ and $C_{inf}$ were considered environmental conduciveness for the periods of inoculum build-up in association with rice plants and panicle infection during the heading stage, respectively. The BGRcast model was able to forecast actual occurrence of BGR at the probability of 71.4% and its false alarm ratio was 47.6%. With the thresholds of $C_{inc}=0.3$ and $C_{inf}=0.5$, the model was able to provide advisories that could be used to make decisions on whether to spray bactericide at the preand post-heading stage.

• International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.231-243
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• 2021

In Recent years the way we analyze the breast cancer has changed dramatically. Breast cancer is the most common and complex disease diagnosed among women. There are several subtypes of breast cancer and many options are there for the treatment. The most important is to educate the patients. As the research continues to expand, the understanding of the disease and its current treatments types, the researchers are constantly being updated with new researching techniques. Breast cancer survival rates have been increased with the use of new advanced treatments, largely due to the factors such as earlier detection, a new personalized approach to treatment and a better understanding of the disease. Many machine learning classification models have been adopted and modified to diagnose the breast cancer disease. In order to enhance the performance of classification model, our research proposes a model using A Hybrid Modified K-Means Clustering with Modified SVM (Support Vector Machine) Machine learning algorithm to create a new method which can highly improve the performance and prediction. The proposed Machine Learning model is to improve the performance of machine learning classifier. The Proposed Model rectifies the irregularity in the dataset and they can create a new high quality dataset with high accuracy performance and prediction. The recognized datasets Wisconsin Diagnostic Breast Cancer (WDBC) Dataset have been used to perform our research. Using the Wisconsin Diagnostic Breast Cancer (WDBC) Dataset, We have created our Model that can help to diagnose the patients and predict the probability of the breast cancer. A few machine learning classifiers will be explored in this research and compared with our Proposed Model "A Hybrid Modified K-Means with Modified SVM Machine Learning Algorithm to Enhance the Cancer Prediction" to implement and evaluated. Our research results show that our Proposed Model has a significant performance compared to other previous research and with high accuracy level of 99% which will enhance the Cancer Prediction.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• 제17권11호
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• pp.2924-2944
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• 2023

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a neurological condition that is recognized as one of the primary causes of memory loss. AD currently has no cure. Therefore, the need to develop an efficient model with high precision for timely detection of the disease is very essential. When AD is detected early, treatment would be most likely successful. The most often utilized indicators for AD identification are the Mini-mental state examination (MMSE), and the clinical dementia. However, the use of these indicators as ground truth marking could be imprecise for AD detection. Researchers have proposed several computer-aided frameworks and lately, the supervised model is mostly used. In this study, we propose a novel 3D Convolutional Neural Network Multilayer Perceptron (3D CNN-MLP) based model for AD classification. The model uses Attention Mechanism to automatically extract relevant features from Magnetic Resonance Images (MRI) to generate probability maps which serves as input for the MLP classifier. Three MRI scan categories were considered, thus AD dementia patients, Mild Cognitive Impairment patients (MCI), and Normal Control (NC) or healthy patients. The performance of the model is assessed by comparing basic CNN, VGG16, DenseNet models, and other state of the art works. The models were adjusted to fit the 3D images before the comparison was done. Our model exhibited excellent classification performance, with an accuracy of 91.27% for AD and NC, 80.85% for MCI and NC, and 87.34% for AD and MCI.