• Title/Summary/Keyword: disaster model

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Defense Strategy of Network Security based on Dynamic Classification

  • Wei, Jinxia;Zhang, Ru;Liu, Jianyi;Niu, Xinxin;Yang, Yixian
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.12
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    • pp.5116-5134
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, due to the network security defense is mainly static defense, a dynamic classification network security defense strategy model is proposed by analyzing the security situation of complex computer network. According to the network security impact parameters, eight security elements and classification standard are obtained. At the same time, the dynamic classification algorithm based on fuzzy theory is also presented. The experimental analysis results show that the proposed model and algorithm are feasible and effective. The model is a good way to solve a safety problem that the static defense cannot cope with tactics and lack of dynamic change.

An Extended Model Evaluation Method under Uncertainty in Hydrologic Modeling

  • Lee, Giha;Youn, Sangkuk;Kim, Yeonsu
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes an extended model evaluation method that considers not only the model performance but also the model structure and parameter uncertainties in hydrologic modeling. A simple reservoir model (SFM) and distributed kinematic wave models (KWMSS1 and KWMSS2 using topography from 250-m, 500-m, and 1-km digital elevation models) were developed and assessed by three evaluative criteria for model performance, model structural stability, and parameter identifiability. All the models provided acceptable performance in terms of a global response, but the simpler SFM and KWMSS1 could not accurately represent the local behaviors of hydrographs. Moreover, SFM and KWMSS1 were structurally unstable; their performance was sensitive to the applied objective functions. On the other hand, the most sophisticated model, KWMSS2, performed well, satisfying both global and local behaviors. KMSS2 also showed good structural stability, reproducing hydrographs regardless of the applied objective functions; however, superior parameter identifiability was not guaranteed. A number of parameter sets could result in indistinguishable hydrographs. This result indicates that while making hydrologic models complex increases its performance accuracy and reduces its structural uncertainty, the model is likely to suffer from parameter uncertainty.

Development of an Operational Storm Surge Prediction System for the Korean Coast

  • Park, Kwang-Soon;Lee, Jong-Chan;Jun, Ki-Cheon;Kim, Sang-Ik;Kwon, Jae-Il
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.369-377
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    • 2009
  • Performance of the Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute (KORDI) operational storm surge prediction system for the Korean coast is presented here. Results for storm surge hindcasts and forecasts calculations were analyzed. The KORDI storm surge system consists of two important components. The first component is atmospheric models, based on US Army Corps of Engineers (CE) wind model and the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, and the second components is the KORDI-storm surge model (KORDI-S). The atmospheric inputs are calculated by the CE wind model for typhoon period and by the WRF model for non-typhoon period. The KORDI-S calculates the storm surges using the atmospheric inputs and has 3-step nesting grids with the smallest horizontal resolution of ${\sim}$300 m. The system runs twice daily for a 72-hour storm surge prediction. It successfully reproduced storm surge signals around the Korean Peninsula for a selection of four major typhoons, which recorded the maximum storm surge heights ranging from 104 to 212 cm. The operational capability of this system was tested for forecasts of Typhoon Nari in 2007 and a low-pressure event on August 27, 2009. This system responded correctly to the given typhoon information for Typhoon Nari. In particular, for the low-pressure event the system warned of storm surge occurrence approximately 68 hours ahead.

A Study on the Safety Index Service Model by Disaster Sector using Big Data Analysis (빅데이터 분석을 활용한 재해 분야별 안전지수 서비스 모델 연구)

  • Jeong, Myoung Gyun;Lee, Seok Hyung;Kim, Chang Soo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.682-690
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study builds a database by collecting and refining disaster occurrence data and real-time weather and atmospheric data. In conjunction with the public data provided by the API, we propose a service model for the Big Data-based Urban Safety Index. Method: The plan is to provide a way to collect various information related to disaster occurrence by utilizing public data and SNS, and to identify and cope with disaster situations in areas of interest by real-time dashboards. Result: Compared with the prediction model by extracting the characteristics of the local safety index and weather and air relationship by area, the regional safety index in the area of traffic accidents confirmed that there is a significant correlation with weather and atmospheric data. Conclusion: It proposed a system that generates a prediction model for safety index based on machine learning algorithm and displays safety index by sector on a map in areas of interest to users.

Risk Assessment Method for Activities of Apartment Construction (공동주택 건축공사 단위작업의 위험성 평가 방법)

  • Park, Sungpyo;Choi, Jae-Wook;Lee, Chansik
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2020
  • Recently, the disaster rate of the construction industry has increased with high-rise, and complexity of the building, unlike the decrease in the disaster rate in other industries. Although risk assessment is performed to reduce the occurrence of disasters, it is difficult to estimate the risks accurately due to activity in which no disaster has occurred, and inconsistencies in the level of details of work. In this study, in order to evaluate the risk of the major activity for the apartment construction work, the activity was identified by referring to the risk assessment model of construction industry type by the KOSHA. The construction work types and activities were consistently organized in level of work into nine work types and 82 activities were through experts consultation. Analyzing the disaster types that occurred during work through KOSHA disaster cases, calculating the probability of disaster occurrence according to the type of disaster, and combining the probability of disaster with the severity of disaster to estimate the risk assessment method was presented. Using the daily report of the construction site of the apartment, the results of a case study confirmed the validity of the risk calculation method presented in this study.

Development of Disaster Response and Management System using GIS Technique (GIS기법을 이용한 재해상황 통보 및 관리 지원 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Kam-Lae;Cheong, Hae-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.359-365
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    • 2006
  • Recently generated natural disaster of rainfall is transformed into nationwide generate form from a specific region of generated form that damages are steadily growing. such natural disaster lead to much influence such as socioeconomic, financial, physical and casualties etc, therefore model collection can be a step required establishment of systematically management foundation and offer of systematic solved plan. this study proposed to analyze and arrange pattern of disaster and systems designed plan and establishment further scientific, prompt service of disaster. with GIS technique for decision-making offer the necessary preliminary data. also, each city have orthophoto and digital elevation model that analyze real topography and situation. with establish management system in order to carry out appropriate service of disaster management and establish realistic management system. system had established that OpenGL make three dimensional illustrate scale image data and digital elevation model therefore a module of section analysis developed way to illustrate and to analyze topography and longitudinal section in screen.

Nonlinear Buckling Analysis of H-Type Honeycombed Composite Column with Rectangular Concrete-Filled Steel Tube Flanges

  • Ji, Jing;Xu, Zhichao;Jiang, Liangqin;Yuan, Chaoqing;Zhang, Yunfeng;Zhou, Lijian;Zhang, Shilong
    • International journal of steel structures
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1153-1166
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    • 2018
  • This paper was concerned with the nonlinear analysis on the overall stability of H-type honeycombed composite column with rectangular concrete-filled steel tube flanges (STHCC). The nonlinear analysis was performed using ABAQUS, a commercially available finite element (FE) program. Nonlinear buckling analysis was carried out by inducing the first buckling mode shape of the hinged column to the model as the initial imperfection with imperfection amplitude value of L/1000 and importing the simplified constitutive model of steel and nonlinear constitutive model of concrete considering hoop effect. Close agreement was shown between the experimental results of 17 concrete-filled steel tube (CFST) specimens and 4 I-beams with top flanges of rectangular concrete-filled steel tube (CFSFB) specimens conducted by former researchers and the predicted results, verifying the correctness of the method of FE analysis. Then, the FE models of 30 STHCC columns were established to investigate the influences of the concrete strength grade, the nominal slenderness ratio, the hoop coefficient and the flange width on the nonlinear stability capacity of SHTCC column. It was found that the hoop coefficient and the nominal slenderness ratio affected the nonlinear stability capacity more significantly. Based on the results of parameter analysis, a formula was proposed to predict the nonlinear stability capacity of STHCC column which laid the foundation of the application of STHCC column in practical engineering.

Beach Nourishment Design for Minimum Beach Width Management at Gwangalli Beach (광안리 해수욕장의 최소 해빈폭 관리를 위한 양빈 설계)

  • Bae, Soen-Han;Lee, Jung-Lyul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2015.11a
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    • pp.141-143
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 해변의 양측에서 퇴적되고 해변 중앙에서 침식이 일어나고 있는 광안리 해수욕장에 최소 해빈폭을 최대로 하는 최적의 양빈 설계를 하고자 실시하였다. 광안리 해수욕장에 3가지 case의 양빈안을 수치 모의 시나리오로 구성하여 OneLine Shoreline Model을 적용하여 해빈폭의 시간적 변화를 모의하였으며, Cross-shore Profile Model을 적용하여 연평균 파고에 따른 전진폭과 최고 파고에 따른 침식폭을 추정하였다.

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Analysis of Initial Mass Distribution and Facility Shape to Determine Structural Alternative for Hazardous Zone Vulnerable to Debris Flow Disaster (토사재해 위험지역의 구조적 대안 설정을 위한 사태물질 초기 질량분포 및 방어시설물 형상의 영향 분석)

  • Seong, Joo-Hyun;Oh, Seung Myeong;Jung, Younghun;Byun, Yoseph;Song, Chang Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.76-82
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    • 2016
  • A 2-D hydrodynamic model for predicting the movement of debris flow was developed. The developed model was validated against a dam break flow problem conducted in EU CADAM project, and the performance of the model was shown to be satisfactory. In order to suggest structural alternative for hazardous zone vulnerable to debris flow disaster, two types of initial mass distribution and two shapes of defensive structure were considered. It was found that 1) the collapse of debris mass initiated with square pyramid shape induced more damage compared with that of cubic shape; and 2) a defensive structure with semi-circular shape was vulnerable to debris flow disaster in terms of debris control or primary defense compared with that of rectangular-shaped structure.