• Title/Summary/Keyword: deterioration prediction

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A Study on Evaluation of Complex Deterioration evaluation and Prediction of Residual Life through Concrete Core (콘크리트 코어 분석을 통한 복합열화 평가와 잔존수명 예측 연구)

  • Shim, Jaeyoung
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.332-339
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    • 2017
  • In the case of aged structures, the information of the structure is often lost after the completion of construction, and there is a great difficulty in predicting the durability life of the structure due to the lack of information on concrete formulations. In this study, the durability of concrete specimens was evaluated by various field and indoor test methods based on the core specimens collected from the field, and the durability life of the concrete structures was predicted by using the FEM analysis technique.As a result, the neutralization rate coefficient was $5.38E-6(cm^2/day)$ and the rate of progress was low. And the possibility of complex deterioration due to carbonation and salting was found to be very low.

Factors Influencing Cognitive Impairment in Elders with Dementia Living at Home (재가치매노인의 인지장애 영향 요인)

  • Ha, Eun-Ho;Park, Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Fundamentals of Nursing
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.317-327
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to contribute data toward prevention from advancing dementia and also prevention of deterioration in cognitive impairment by constructing an optimal prediction model and verifying factors influencing cognitive impairment in elders with dementia who reside at home. Methods: The participants in this study were 351 elders who were registered at dementia day care centers in 11 regions of Metropolitan Incheon. Collected data were analyzed using SPSS Statistics 17.0 and SAS 9.1. Bootstrap method using the Clementine program 12.0 was applied to build an optimum prediction model. Results: Gender and education (general characteristics), alcohol, urinary/fecal incontinence, exercise, weight, and ADL (state of health), and depression (psychological state) were found to have an affect on cognitive impairment in these elders. Conclusion: Study results indicate nine key factors that affect cognitive impairment of elders with dementia who reside at home and that could be useful in prevention and management nursing plans. These factors could also be used to expand the role of nurses who are working in community day care centers, and can be applied in the development and provision of various programs to aid retention and improve cognitive function as well as preventing deterioration of cognition.

Service life prediction of a reinforced concrete bridge exposed to chloride induced deterioration

  • Papadakis, Vagelis G.
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.201-213
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    • 2013
  • While recognizing the problem of reinforcement corrosion and premature structural deterioration of reinforced concrete (RC) structures as a combined effect of mechanical and environmental actions (carbonation, ingress of chlorides), emphasis is given on the effect of the latter, as most severe and unpredictable action. In this study, a simulation tool, based on proven predictive models utilizing principles of chemical and material engineering, for the estimation of concrete service life is applied on an existing reinforced concrete bridge (${\O}$resund Link) located in a chloride environment. After a brief introduction to the structure of the models used, emphasis is given on the physicochemical processes in concrete leading to chloride induced corrosion of the embedded reinforcement. By taking under consideration the concrete, structural and environmental properties of the bridge investigated, an accurate prediction of its service life is taking place. It was observed that the proposed, and already used, relationship of service lifetime- cover is almost identical with a mean line between the lines derived from the minimum and maximum critical values considered for corrosion initiation. Thus, an excellent agreement with the project specifications is observed despite the different ways used to approach the problem. Furthermore, different scenarios of concrete cover failure, in the case when a coating is utilized, and extreme deicing salts attack are also investigated.

Development of Heterogeneous Damage Cause Estimation Technology for Bridge Decks using Random Forest (랜덤포레스트를 활용한 교량 바닥판의 이종손상 원인 추정 기술 개발)

  • Jung, Hyun-Jin;Park, Ki Tae;Kim, Jae Hwan;Kwon, Tae Ho;Lee, Jong-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 2024
  • An investigation into the detailed safety diagnosis report indicates that domestic highway bridges mainly suffer from defects, deterioration, and damage due to physical forces. In particular, deterioration is an inevitable damage that occurs due to various environmental and external factors over time. In particular, bridge deck is very vulnerable to cracks, which occur along with various types of damages such as rebar corrosion and surface delamination. Thus, this study evaluates a correlation between heterogeneous damage and deterioration environment and then identifies the main causes of such heterogeneous damage. After all, a bridge heterogeneous damage prediction model was developed using random forests to determine the top five factors contributing to the occurrence of the heterogeneous damage. The results of the study would serve as a basic data for estimating bridge maintenance and budget.

Effect of Carbonation Threshold Depth on the Initiation Time of Corrosion at the Concrete Durability Design (콘크리트의 내구성 설계시 탄산화 임계깊이가 철근부식 개시시기에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Jae-Won;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Song, Hun;Lee, Han-Seung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.229-230
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    • 2010
  • The Carbonation, one of the main deterioration factors of concrete, reduces capacity of members with providing rebar corrosion environment. Consequently it suggested standards of all countries of world, carbonation depth prediction equation of respective researchers and time to rebar corrosion initiation. As a result of carbonation depth prediction equation calculation, difference of time to rebar corrosion initiation is 149 years and difference of carbonation depth prediction equation is 162 years when water cement ratio is 50%. So a study on rebar corrosion with carbonation depth will need existing reliable data and verifications by experiment.

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Computer-aided approach of parameters influencing concrete service life and field validation

  • Papadakis, V.G.;Efstathiou, M.P.;Apostolopoulos, C.A.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2007
  • Over the past decades, an enormous amount of effort has been expended in laboratory and field studies on concrete durability estimation. The results of this research are still either widely scattered in the journal literature or mentioned briefly in the standard textbooks. Moreover, the theoretical approaches of deterioration mechanisms with a predictive character are limited to some complicated mathematical models not widespread in practice. A significant step forward could be the development of appropriate software for computer-based estimation of concrete service life, including reliable mathematical models and adequate experimental data. In the present work, the basis for the development of a computer estimation of the concrete service life is presented. After the definition of concrete mix design and structure characteristics, as well as the consideration regarding the environmental conditions where the structure will be found, the concrete service life can be reliably predicted using fundamental mathematical models that simulate the deterioration mechanisms. The prediction is focused on the basic deterioration phenomena of reinforced concrete, such as carbonation and chloride penetration, that initiate the reinforcing bars corrosion. Aspects on concrete strength and the production cost are also considered. Field observations and data collection from existing structures are compared with predictions of service life using the above model. A first attempt to develop a database of service lives of different types of reinforced concrete structure exposed to varying environments is finally included.

Fuzzy methodology application for modeling uncertainties in chloride ingress models of RC building structure

  • Do, Jeongyun;Song, Hun;So, Seungyoung;Soh, Yangseob
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.325-343
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    • 2005
  • Chloride ingress is a common cause of deterioration of reinforced concrete located in coastal zone. Modeling the chloride ingress is an important basis for designing reinforced concrete structures and for assessing the reliability of an existing structure. The modeling is also needed for predicting the deterioration of a reinforced structure. The existing deterministic solution for prediction model of corrosion initiation cannot reflect uncertainties which input variables have. This paper presents an approach to the fuzzy arithmetic based modeling of the chloride-induced corrosion of reinforcement in concrete structures that takes into account the uncertainties in the physical models of chloride penetration into concrete and corrosion of steel reinforcement, as well as the uncertainties in the governing parameters, including concrete diffusivity, concrete cover depth, surface chloride concentration and critical chloride level for corrosion initiation. There are a lot of prediction model for predicting the time of reinforcement corrosion of structures exposed to chloride-induced corrosion environment. In this work, RILEM model formula and Crank's solution of Fick's second law of diffusion is used. The parameters of the models are regarded as fuzzy numbers with proper membership function adapted to statistical data of the governing parameters instead of random variables of probabilistic modeling of Monte Carlo Simulation and the fuzziness of the time to corrosion initiation is determined by the fuzzy arithmetic of interval arithmetic and extension principle. An analysis is implemented by comparing deterministic calculation with fuzzy arithmetic for above two prediction models.

Evaluation of Water Quality Prediction Models at Intake Station by Data Mining Techniques (데이터마이닝 기법을 적용한 취수원 수질예측모형 평가)

  • Kim, Ju-Hwan;Chae, Soo-Kwon;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.705-716
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    • 2011
  • For the efficient discovery of knowledge and information from the observed systems, data mining techniques can be an useful tool for the prediction of water quality at intake station in rivers. Deterioration of water quality can be caused at intake station in dry season due to insufficient flow. This demands additional outflow from dam since some extent of deterioration can be attenuated by dam reservoir operation to control outflow considering predicted water quality. A seasonal occurrence of high ammonia nitrogen ($NH_3$-N) concentrations has hampered chemical treatment processes of a water plant in Geum river. Monthly flow allocation from upstream dam is important for downstream $NH_3$-N control. In this study, prediction models of water quality based on multiple regression (MR), artificial neural network and data mining methods were developed to understand water quality variation and to support dam operations through providing predicted $NH_3$-N concentrations at intake station. The models were calibrated with eight years of monthly data and verified with another two years of independent data. In those models, the $NH_3$-N concentration for next time step is dependent on dam outflow, river water quality such as alkalinity, temperature, and $NH_3$-N of previous time step. The model performances are compared and evaluated by error analysis and statistical characteristics like correlation and determination coefficients between the observed and the predicted water quality. It is expected that these data mining techniques can present more efficient data-driven tools in modelling stage and it is found that those models can be applied well to predict water quality in stream river systems.

Remaining Service Life Prediction of Concrete Structures under Chloride-induced Loads (염해환경하의 콘크리트 구조물의 잔존수명 예측)

  • Song, Ha-Won;Luc, Dao Ngoc The
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.1037-1040
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    • 2008
  • In order to predict the remaining life of marine concrete structures under climatic loads, it is necessary to develop an analytical approach to predict the time and space dependent deterioration of concrete structures due to mainly chloride attack up to corrosion initiation and additional deterioration like cracking of cover concrete. This study aims to introduce FEM model for life-time simulation of concrete structures subjected to chloride attack. In order to consider uncertainties in materials as well as environmental parameters for the prediction, Monte Carlo Simulation is integrated in that FEM modeling for reliability-based remaining service life prediction. The paper is organized as follows: firstly general scheme for reliability-based remaining service life of concrete structures is introduced, then the FEM models for chloride penetration, corrosion product expansion and cover cracking are briefly explained, finally an example is demonstrated and the effects of localization of chloride concentration and corrosion product expansion on service life using above model are discussed.

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