• 제목/요약/키워드: decision tree regression

검색결과 323건 처리시간 0.026초

로지스틱 회귀모형과 의사결정 나무모형을 활용한 청소년 자살 시도 예측모형 비교: 2019 청소년 건강행태 온라인조사를 이용한 2차 자료분석 (Comparison of the Prediction Model of Adolescents' Suicide Attempt Using Logistic Regression and Decision Tree: Secondary Data Analysis of the 2019 Youth Health Risk Behavior Web-Based Survey)

  • 이윤주;김희진;이예슬;정혜선
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제51권1호
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    • pp.40-53
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop and compare the prediction model for suicide attempts by Korean adolescents using logistic regression and decision tree analysis. Methods: This study utilized secondary data drawn from the 2019 Youth Health Risk Behavior web-based survey. A total of 20 items were selected as the explanatory variables (5 of sociodemographic characteristics, 10 of health-related behaviors, and 5 of psychosocial characteristics). For data analysis, descriptive statistics and logistic regression with complex samples and decision tree analysis were performed using IBM SPSS ver. 25.0 and Stata ver. 16.0. Results: A total of 1,731 participants (3.0%) out of 57,303 responded that they had attempted suicide. The most significant predictors of suicide attempts as determined using the logistic regression model were experience of sadness and hopelessness, substance abuse, and violent victimization. Girls who have experience of sadness and hopelessness, and experience of substance abuse have been identified as the most vulnerable group in suicide attempts in the decision tree model. Conclusion: Experiences of sadness and hopelessness, experiences of substance abuse, and experiences of violent victimization are the common major predictors of suicide attempts in both logistic regression and decision tree models, and the predict rates of both models were similar. We suggest to provide programs considering combination of high-risk predictors for adolescents to prevent suicide attempt.

A customer credit Prediction Researched to Improve Credit Stability based on Artificial Intelligence

  • MUN, Ji-Hui;JUNG, Sang Woo
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2021
  • In this Paper, Since the 1990s, Korea's credit card industry has steadily developed. As a result, various problems have arisen, such as careless customer information management and loans to low-credit customers. This, in turn, had a high delinquency rate across the card industry and a negative impact on the economy. Therefore, in this paper, based on Azure, we analyze and predict the delinquency and delinquency periods of credit loans according to gender, own car, property, number of children, education level, marital status, and employment status through linear regression analysis and enhanced decision tree algorithm. These predictions can consequently reduce the likelihood of reckless credit lending and issuance of credit cards, reducing the number of bad creditors and reducing the risk of banks. In addition, after classifying and dividing the customer base based on the predicted result, it can be used as a basis for reducing the risk of credit loans by developing a credit product suitable for each customer. The predicted result through Azure showed that when predicting with Linear Regression and Boosted Decision Tree algorithm, the Boosted Decision Tree algorithm made more accurate prediction. In addition, we intend to increase the accuracy of the analysis by assigning a number to each data in the future and predicting again.

전자건강기록 데이터 기반 욕창 발생 예측모델의 개발 및 평가 (Development and Evaluation of Electronic Health Record Data-Driven Predictive Models for Pressure Ulcers)

  • 박슬기;박현애;황희
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제49권5호
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    • pp.575-585
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop predictive models for pressure ulcer incidence using electronic health record (EHR) data and to compare their predictive validity performance indicators with that of the Braden Scale used in the study hospital. Methods: A retrospective case-control study was conducted in a tertiary teaching hospital in Korea. Data of 202 pressure ulcer patients and 14,705 non-pressure ulcer patients admitted between January 2015 and May 2016 were extracted from the EHRs. Three predictive models for pressure ulcer incidence were developed using logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and decision tree modeling. The predictive validity performance indicators of the three models were compared with those of the Braden Scale. Results: The logistic regression model was most efficient with a high area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) estimate of 0.97, followed by the decision tree model (AUC 0.95), Cox proportional hazards regression model (AUC 0.95), and the Braden Scale (AUC 0.82). Decreased mobility was the most significant factor in the logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models, and the endotracheal tube was the most important factor in the decision tree model. Conclusion: Predictive validity performance indicators of the Braden Scale were lower than those of the logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and decision tree models. The models developed in this study can be used to develop a clinical decision support system that automatically assesses risk for pressure ulcers to aid nurses.

데이터 마이닝을 활용한 장기저장탄약 상태 결정요인 분석 연구 (A Study on Determinants of Stockpile Ammunition using Data Mining)

  • 노유찬;조남욱;이동녁
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.297-307
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors that affect ammunition performance by applying data mining techniques to the Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program (ASRP) data of the 155mm propelling charge. Methods: The ASRP data from 1999 to 2017 have been utilized. Logistic regression and decision tree analysis were used to investigate the factors that affect performance of ammunition. The performance evaluation of each model was conducted through comparison with an artificial neural networks(ANN) model. Results: The results of this study are as follows; logistic regression and the decision tree analysis showed that major defect rate of visual inspection is the most significant factor. Also, muzzle velocity by base charge and muzzle velocity by increment charge are also among the significant factors affecting the performance of 155mm propelling charge. To validate the logistic regression and decision tree models, their classification accuracies have been compared with the results of an ANN model. The results indicate that the logistic regression and decision tree models show sufficient performance which conforms the validity of the models. Conclusion: The main contribution of this paper is that, to our best knowledge, it is the first attempt at identifying the significant factors of ASPR data by using data mining techniques. The approaches suggested in the paper could also be extended to other types ammunition data.

머신러닝 알고리즘 기반의 의료비 예측 모델 개발 (Development of Medical Cost Prediction Model Based on the Machine Learning Algorithm)

  • Han Bi KIM;Dong Hoon HAN
    • Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2023
  • Accurate hospital case modeling and prediction are crucial for efficient healthcare. In this study, we demonstrate the implementation of regression analysis methods in machine learning systems utilizing mathematical statics and machine learning techniques. The developed machine learning model includes Bayesian linear, artificial neural network, decision tree, decision forest, and linear regression analysis models. Through the application of these algorithms, corresponding regression models were constructed and analyzed. The results suggest the potential of leveraging machine learning systems for medical research. The experiment aimed to create an Azure Machine Learning Studio tool for the speedy evaluation of multiple regression models. The tool faciliates the comparision of 5 types of regression models in a unified experiment and presents assessment results with performance metrics. Evaluation of regression machine learning models highlighted the advantages of boosted decision tree regression, and decision forest regression in hospital case prediction. These findings could lay the groundwork for the deliberate development of new directions in medical data processing and decision making. Furthermore, potential avenues for future research may include exploring methods such as clustering, classification, and anomaly detection in healthcare systems.

머신러닝을 활용한 모돈의 생산성 예측모델 (Forecasting Sow's Productivity using the Machine Learning Models)

  • 이민수;최영찬
    • 농촌지도와개발
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.939-965
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    • 2009
  • The Machine Learning has been identified as a promising approach to knowledge-based system development. This study aims to examine the ability of machine learning techniques for farmer's decision making and to develop the reference model for using pig farm data. We compared five machine learning techniques: logistic regression, decision tree, artificial neural network, k-nearest neighbor, and ensemble. All models are well performed to predict the sow's productivity in all parity, showing over 87.6% predictability. The model predictability of total litter size are highest at 91.3% in third parity and decreasing as parity increases. The ensemble is well performed to predict the sow's productivity. The neural network and logistic regression is excellent classifier for all parity. The decision tree and the k-nearest neighbor was not good classifier for all parity. Performance of models varies over models used, showing up to 104% difference in lift values. Artificial Neural network and ensemble models have resulted in highest lift values implying best performance among models.

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로지스틱 회귀분석과 의사결정나무 분석을 이용한 일 대도시 주민의 우울 예측요인 비교 연구 (Comparative Analysis of Predictors of Depression for Residents in a Metropolitan City using Logistic Regression and Decision Making Tree)

  • 김수진;김보영
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제13권12호
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    • pp.829-839
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 로지스틱 회귀분석과 의사결정나무 분석을 활용하여 일 대도시 주민의 우울에 영향을 주는 요인을 예측하고 비교하고자 시도된 서술적 조사연구이다. 연구대상은 20세에서 65세 미만의 일 대도시 주민 462명이었다. 자료 수집은 2011년 10월 7일부터 10월 21일까지이었으며, 자료 분석은 SPSS 18.0 프로그램을 이용하여 빈도, 백분율, 평균과 표준편차 및 ${\chi}^2$-test, t-test, 로지스틱 회귀분석, roc curve, 의사결정나무 분석으로 분석하였다. 본 연구 결과, 로지스틱 회귀분석과 의사결정나무 분석에서 공통적으로 나타난 우울 예측요인은 사회부적응, 주관적 신체증상 및 가족 지지이었다. 로지스틱 회귀분석에서 특이도 93.8%, 민감도 42.5%이었고, 본 연구의 모형 적합도를 roc curve 검증 한 결과 AUC=.84으로 본 연구 모형은 적합(p=<.001)하다고 할 수 있다. 우울예측에 대한 의사결정나무 분석은 분류에 대한 예측 정확도에서 특이도 98.3%, 민감도 20.8%이었고, 전체 분류 정확도는 로지스틱 회귀분석은 82.0%, 의사결정나무 분석은 80.5% 이었다. 본 연구 결과 민감성과 분류 정확도와 더 높게 나타난 로지스틱 회귀분석 방법이 지역 주민의 우울 예측 모형을 구축하는데 더 유용한 자료로 사용될 수 있으리라 사료된다.

기계학습을 적용한 자기보고 증상 기반의 어혈 변증 모델 구축 (Machine Learning Approach to Blood Stasis Pattern Identification Based on Self-reported Symptoms)

  • 김현호;양승범;강연석;박영배;김재효
    • Korean Journal of Acupuncture
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.102-113
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    • 2016
  • Objectives : This study is aimed at developing and discussing the prediction model of blood stasis pattern of traditional Korean medicine(TKM) using machine learning algorithms: multiple logistic regression and decision tree model. Methods : First, we reviewed the blood stasis(BS) questionnaires of Korean, Chinese, and Japanese version to make a integrated BS questionnaire of patient-reported outcomes. Through a human subject research, patients-reported BS symptoms data were acquired. Next, experts decisions of 5 Korean medicine doctor were also acquired, and supervised learning models were developed using multiple logistic regression and decision tree. Results : Integrated BS questionnaire with 24 items was developed. Multiple logistic regression models with accuracy of 0.92(male) and 0.95(female) validated by 10-folds cross-validation were constructed. By decision tree modeling methods, male model with 8 decision node and female model with 6 decision node were made. In the both models, symptoms of 'recent physical trauma', 'chest pain', 'numbness', and 'menstrual disorder(female only)' were considered as important factors. Conclusions : Because machine learning, especially supervised learning, can reveal and suggest important or essential factors among the very various symptoms making up a pattern identification, it can be a very useful tool in researching diagnostics of TKM. With a proper patient-reported outcomes or well-structured database, it can also be applied to a pre-screening solutions of healthcare system in Mibyoung stage.

Prediction of Academic Performance of College Students with Bipolar Disorder using different Deep learning and Machine learning algorithms

  • Peerbasha, S.;Surputheen, M. Mohamed
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권7호
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    • pp.350-358
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    • 2021
  • In modern years, the performance of the students is analysed with lot of difficulties, which is a very important problem in all the academic institutions. The main idea of this paper is to analyze and evaluate the academic performance of the college students with bipolar disorder by applying data mining classification algorithms using Jupiter Notebook, python tool. This tool has been generally used as a decision-making tool in terms of academic performance of the students. The various classifiers could be logistic regression, random forest classifier gini, random forest classifier entropy, decision tree classifier, K-Neighbours classifier, Ada Boost classifier, Extra Tree Classifier, GaussianNB, BernoulliNB are used. The results of such classification model deals with 13 measures like Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F1 Measure, Sensitivity, Specificity, R Squared, Mean Absolute Error, Mean Squared Error, Root Mean Squared Error, TPR, TNR, FPR and FNR. Therefore, conclusion could be reached that the Decision Tree Classifier is better than that of different algorithms.

고혈압관리를 위한 의사지원결정시스템의 데이터마이닝 접근 (Data Mining Approach to Clinical Decision Support System for Hypertension Management)

  • 김태수;채영문;조승연;윤진희;김도마
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지능정보시스템학회 2002년도 추계정기학술대회
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2002
  • This study examined the predictive power of data mining algorithms by comparing the performance of logistic regression and decision tree algorithm, called CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection), On the contrary to the previous studies, decision tree performed better than logistic regression. We have also developed a CDSS (Clinical Decision Support System) with three modules (doctor, nurse, and patient) based on data warehouse architecture. Data warehouse collects and integrates relevant information from various databases from hospital information system (HIS ). This system can help improve decision making capability of doctors and improve accessibility of educational material for patients.

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