• Title/Summary/Keyword: decision tree(C4.5)

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Verification Test of High-Stability SMEs Using Technology Appraisal Items (기술력 평가항목을 이용한 고안정성 중소기업 판별력 검증)

  • Jun-won Lee
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.79-96
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    • 2018
  • This study started by focusing on the internalization of the technology appraisal model into the credit rating model to increase the discriminative power of the credit rating model not only for SMEs but also for all companies, reflecting the items related to the financial stability of the enterprises among the technology appraisal items. Therefore, it is aimed to verify whether the technology appraisal model can be applied to identify high-stability SMEs in advance. We classified companies into industries (manufacturing vs. non-manufacturing) and the age of company (initial vs. non-initial), and defined as a high-stability company that has achieved an average debt ratio less than 1/2 of the group for three years. The C5.0 was applied to verify the discriminant power of the model. As a result of the analysis, there is a difference in importance according to the type of industry and the age of company at the sub-item level, but in the mid-item level the R&D capability was a key variable for discriminating high-stability SMEs. In the early stage of establishment, the funding capacity (diversification of funding methods, capital structure and capital cost which taking into account profitability) is an important variable in financial stability. However, we concluded that technology development infrastructure, which enables continuous performance as the age of company increase, becomes an important variable affecting financial stability. The classification accuracy of the model according to the age of company and industry is 71~91%, and it is confirmed that it is possible to identify high-stability SMEs by using technology appraisal items.

Application of HACCP System on Establishing Hygienic Standards in Pizza Specialty Restaurant - Focused on Salad Items - (HACCP제도를 활용한 피자 전문 패스트푸드 업체의 자체 위생관리기준 설정 - 샐러드를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee Bog-Hieu;Kim In-Ho;Huh Kyoung-Sook;Cho Kyong-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.41 no.10 s.188
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    • pp.101-116
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    • 2003
  • The study was conducted to establish hygienic standards of salad items for pizza restaurant located in Seoul by applying HACCP system during the summer of 2000. The study measured temperature, time, pH, Aw and microbial assessments. The hygienic conditions of the kitchen and workers were on the average(1.21, 1.0 out of 3 pts.), but some improvement should be made: separate use of trash can and leftover disposal, separate use of knives and cutting boards, habits for hand washing and wearing hygienic gloves. For salad production, all procedures were peformed under food safety danger zone ($5{\~}60^{\circ}C$). The ingredients were mostly above pH 5.0 and high in Aw($0.94{\~}0.99$). Microbial assessments for salad production revealed that TPC($1.8{\times}10^3{\~}1.0{\times}10^{10}CFU/g$) and coliforms($1.5{\times}10{\~}5.2{\times}10^5 CFU/g$) exceeded the standards by Solberg et al.(TPC: $10^6CFU/g$, coliforms: $10^3CFU/g$). S. aureus was not detected but Salmonella was found in three food items(egg, macaroni and macaroni salad). Moreover, the workers' hands contained 3.1 104 CFU/g of TPC and 4.2 102 CFU/g of S. aureus requiring further remedy since it exceeded the safety standards suggested by Harrigan and McCance (500 CFU/g of TPC per $100cm^2$ and 10 CFU/g of coliforms per $100cm^2$). According to the critical control point(CCP) decision tree analysis, vegetable receiving, vegetable holding, mixing, display on coleslaw, macaroni draining, display on macaroni salad, egg peeling & cutting, apple cutting, and display on salad bar were determined as CCPs. From the findings it would be suggested that purchase of Quality materials, short holding and display time, storing food at right temperature, using sanitary cooking utensils, and improvement of workers' food handing practices are needed to ensure the safe salad production in this specific pizza restaurant.

HACCP Model for Quality Control of Sushi Production in the Eine Japanese Restaurants in Korea (일본전문식당의 급식품질 개선을 위한 HACCP 시스템 적용 연구)

  • 김혜경;이복희;김인호;조경동
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.25-38
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    • 2003
  • This study was conducted to establish the microbiological quality standards applying the HACCP system on sushi items of Japanese restaurant in Korea. The study evaluated hygienic conditions of kitchen and workers, pH time-temperature relationship, and microbial assessments during whole process of sushi making in 2001. Overall hygienic conditions were normal for both kitchen and for workers by 3 point scale, but hygienic controls against the cross-contamination were still needed. Each process of sushi making was performed under the risk of microbial contamination, since pH value of most of ingredients was over pH 4.6 and also production time(3.5~6 hrs) were long enough to cause problems. Microorganisms were high enough to cause foodborne illness ranged 8.0$\times$10$^2$~3.3$\times$10$^{6}$ CFU/g of TPC and 1.0$\times$10$^1$~1.6$\times$10$^3$CFU/g of coliforms, although TPC, coliforms and Staphylcoccus aureus were within the standard limits (TPC 10$^2$~10$^{6}$ CFU/g, coliforms 10$^3$CFU/g). However, Salmonella and Vibrio parahaemolyticus were not detected. High populations TPC and coliforms were also found in the cooks' hands and cooking utensils(TPC 10$^2$~10$^{6}$ CFU/100cm$^2$and Coliforms 10$^1$~10$^3$CFU/100cm$^2$). Based on the CCP decision tree analysis, the CCPs were the holding steps far six sushi production line except the tuna and the thawing step for tuna sushi. In conclusion, overall state of sushi production was fairly good but much improvement was still needed.

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Rough Set Analysis for Stock Market Timing (러프집합분석을 이용한 매매시점 결정)

  • Huh, Jin-Nyung;Kim, Kyoung-Jae;Han, In-Goo
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.77-97
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    • 2010
  • Market timing is an investment strategy which is used for obtaining excessive return from financial market. In general, detection of market timing means determining when to buy and sell to get excess return from trading. In many market timing systems, trading rules have been used as an engine to generate signals for trade. On the other hand, some researchers proposed the rough set analysis as a proper tool for market timing because it does not generate a signal for trade when the pattern of the market is uncertain by using the control function. The data for the rough set analysis should be discretized of numeric value because the rough set only accepts categorical data for analysis. Discretization searches for proper "cuts" for numeric data that determine intervals. All values that lie within each interval are transformed into same value. In general, there are four methods for data discretization in rough set analysis including equal frequency scaling, expert's knowledge-based discretization, minimum entropy scaling, and na$\ddot{i}$ve and Boolean reasoning-based discretization. Equal frequency scaling fixes a number of intervals and examines the histogram of each variable, then determines cuts so that approximately the same number of samples fall into each of the intervals. Expert's knowledge-based discretization determines cuts according to knowledge of domain experts through literature review or interview with experts. Minimum entropy scaling implements the algorithm based on recursively partitioning the value set of each variable so that a local measure of entropy is optimized. Na$\ddot{i}$ve and Booleanreasoning-based discretization searches categorical values by using Na$\ddot{i}$ve scaling the data, then finds the optimized dicretization thresholds through Boolean reasoning. Although the rough set analysis is promising for market timing, there is little research on the impact of the various data discretization methods on performance from trading using the rough set analysis. In this study, we compare stock market timing models using rough set analysis with various data discretization methods. The research data used in this study are the KOSPI 200 from May 1996 to October 1998. KOSPI 200 is the underlying index of the KOSPI 200 futures which is the first derivative instrument in the Korean stock market. The KOSPI 200 is a market value weighted index which consists of 200 stocks selected by criteria on liquidity and their status in corresponding industry including manufacturing, construction, communication, electricity and gas, distribution and services, and financing. The total number of samples is 660 trading days. In addition, this study uses popular technical indicators as independent variables. The experimental results show that the most profitable method for the training sample is the na$\ddot{i}$ve and Boolean reasoning but the expert's knowledge-based discretization is the most profitable method for the validation sample. In addition, the expert's knowledge-based discretization produced robust performance for both of training and validation sample. We also compared rough set analysis and decision tree. This study experimented C4.5 for the comparison purpose. The results show that rough set analysis with expert's knowledge-based discretization produced more profitable rules than C4.5.