• Title/Summary/Keyword: decision making framework

Search Result 546, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

A Dynamic Asset Allocation Method based on Reinforcement learning Exploiting Local Traders (지역 투자 정책을 이용한 강화학습 기반 동적 자산 할당 기법)

  • O Jangmin;Lee Jongwoo;Zhang Byoung-Tak
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
    • /
    • v.32 no.8
    • /
    • pp.693-703
    • /
    • 2005
  • Given the local traders with pattern-based multi-predictors of stock prices, we study a method of dynamic asset allocation to maximize the trading performance. To optimize the proportion of asset allocated to each recommendation of the predictors, we design an asset allocation strategy called meta policy in the reinforcement teaming framework. We utilize both the information of each predictor's recommendations and the ratio of the stock fund over the total asset to efficiently describe the state space. The experimental results on Korean stock market show that the trading system with the proposed meta policy outperforms other systems with fixed asset allocation methods. This means that reinforcement learning can bring synergy effects to the decision making problem through exploiting supervised-learned predictors.

A Network Optimization Model for Strategic Itinerary Planning of Cruise Fleet (크루즈 선대의 운항일정계획을 위한 네트워크 최적화 모형)

  • Cho, Seong-Cheol;Won, You-kyung;Kim, Jung-Hyeon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.51-58
    • /
    • 2012
  • In spite of today's rapid growth of world cruise industry, little academic attention has yet been given to the decision making problems for cruise operations. This research deals with strategic cruise itinerary planning that any cruise company should face. Increasing demands for international itineraries and redeployments of cruise ships are adding complexity to the itinerary planning. A slight modification of the conventional PERT/CPM network is adopted. to cope with this complexity systematically. By this, the concept of candidate itinerary network is suggested for each cruise ship. To integrate these candidate itinerary networks for each ship in a single framework, an integer programming model has been developed to find the optimal itinerary planning for any fleet of cruise ships. A numerical example, based on real cruise itinerary practices, is tested to validate and interpret the model.

A SD approach to the ecosystems of Korean venture business

  • Lee, Myoung-Ho;Hoon Huh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
    • /
    • 2001.10a
    • /
    • pp.50-59
    • /
    • 2001
  • Since 1998, government-led Korean venture business boom now proceeds into the stage of market-oriented venture business growth. At such a moment, this research is to clarify the relations between the Critical Success Factors of Korean venture businesses, based on domestic and foreign literature surveys and inquiry surveys over domestic venture capitalists. This research starts from the necessity to overcome the limits of the existing researches by uni-dimensional Korean venture businesses and to manifest the multi-dimensional relations between the success factors from the various viewpoints. And this research adopts System-Dynamics methodology to manifest and utilize relations among those factors, avoiding the existing metrical approaches. This research can be called a new approach to the current ecosystems of Korean venture in which whether venture businesses in Korea succeed is considered to depend on the list on the stock market. For this, this research implemented verification analysis through the simulations of each factor at various levels to build causality map which clarifies the causality of success factors of venture businesses through the System-Dynamics methodology and to utilize it as a way of support to decision-making of venture businesses. This research will be able to suggest the reactions depending on various internal and external situations. This research tried to manifest the causality map of each factor on the basis of inquiry surveys and literature surveys to clarify Feedback among each factor by the SD methodology and simulate it. This research will be a basis to establish the chance to bolster up the still fragile probing research into success factors of substructure of venture businesses through the suggestion of possibility as an efficient analysis framework via the verification of SD methodology and the utilization of results of this research.

  • PDF

The Various Factors which Should Be Considered in Classifying Toxic Substances in Water and Deriving Their Effluent Limits: Focusing on the Reduction of Risk (수질유해물질의 지정 및 배출허용기준 설정 시 고려해야 하는 복합적 요인에 대한 고찰: 위해성 저감을 중심으로)

  • Bae, Hyokwan;Chung, Yun-Chul;Yang, Hyungjae;Kim, Jaehoon;Lee, Hyun Dong;Jung, Jin-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.23 no.5
    • /
    • pp.766-775
    • /
    • 2007
  • The use of toxic chemicals was extended as the industry in Korea has grown dramatically during the last three decades. However, list of toxic substances and limit concentrations in the water environment are not consistent within management of ambient water, drinking water and industrial effluent. This article suggests the systematic framework to classify toxic substances in the water environment and deriving their effluent limits. The most important factor for decision-making to classify toxic substances is whether their concentrations in the water environment are higher than the reference concentrations, estimated by considering human health risk and ecological risk. Using a risk-based reference concentration, the ambient water quality criterion, it is possible to derive the regulatory limit concentrations of toxic substances in drinking water and in industrial effluent. The goal concentrations in the effluent, which guarantee the human and ecological safety, should be determined with scientific investigation, balancing environmental benefit and economical effect, considering availability of treatment technology and identifying characteristics of wastewater from different industries.

An Application of Ubiquitous Information Technology for Integrated Management of National Park (국립공원 통합관리를 위한 유비쿼터스 정보기술 활용방안)

  • Bae, Min-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.10 no.3
    • /
    • pp.134-148
    • /
    • 2007
  • There is not enough knowledge on how to use, build, and apply ubiquitous technologies such as the ubiquitous sensor network, GIS, statistic analysis system, mobile GPS system etc. Also there are other questions such as, how should the knowledge information resources be managed and web decision making system developed for national park management. The purpose of this study is to propose a framework for the national park integrated management system based on ubiquitous information technology. This study will include followings: 1) this study explores what ubiquitous information technologies are needed for national park management, 2) this study proposes building strategies about the spatial and attribute database using ubiquitous information technologies, and links methods among geographic information system, analysis program, sensor network, etc. The results of this study will contribute towards deciding a direction for national park policy in preparation for the ubiquitous computing oriented society.

  • PDF

An Approach to the BIM-enabled Assessment of Building Circulation using Quantitative Data and its Weight (동선관련 정성적 요구사항 평가를 위한 가중치를 적용한 BIM기반 정량데이터 활용방안에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jaeyoung;Lee, Jin-Kook
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.335-343
    • /
    • 2015
  • This paper describes a quantitative approach to the BIM-enabled assessment of building circulation by using quantitative data and applying its weight. Assessment of building circulation plays an important role before construction stage because of related requirements regulated by design guide, building codes, etc. and design decision making as well. In this paper, Qualitative issue is mainly dealt with that are usually excluded from rule checking objects due to their implicit definition such as 'comfortable circulation'. A weighting framework is suggested using weighted data of circulation properties such as 1) metric distance, 2) number of passing spaces, 3) number of turning spaces, 4) window area of passing space, etc.

Development of BIM Standard Database System for an Approximate Estimate of Old-Aged Apartment Remodeling Project (노후공동주택 리모델링의 개략견적을 위한 BIM 데이터베이스 구축)

  • Lee, Dong-Gun;Cha, Hee-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.11 no.5
    • /
    • pp.53-64
    • /
    • 2010
  • Remodeling becomes the significant issue in the aspect of the resource recycling, because it does not demolishes the whole buildings, but a part of main structure. However, compared with new construction, remodeling has several problems of adding the repair and rehabilitation works, using the partial demolition method, and having difficulties of making decision due to disagreement between several owner organizations. BIM, which is the total solution for managing and producing information during whole life cycle of the buildings, seems to be the right solution for the way to address these issues. has a possibility for solving the problems. Therefore this paper provided the framework and database for applying the BIM in the remodeling, and proved the applicability of the BIM database in the remodeling project through the case studies.

A study on detection methodology of threat on cars from the viewpoint of IoT (IoT 관점에서의 차량 위협 탐지 방안)

  • Kwak, Byung Il;Han, Mi Ran;Kang, Ah Reum;Kim, Huy Kang
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.411-421
    • /
    • 2015
  • These days, a conversion of the fast-advancing ICT (Information and Communications Technologies) and the IoT (Internet of Things) has been in progress. However, these conversion Technology could lead to many of the security threat existing in the ICT environment. The security threats of car in the IoT environment could cause the property damage and casualty. There are the inadequate preparations for the car security and the difficulty of detection for the security threats by itself. In this paper, we proposed the decision-making framework for the anomaly detection and found out what are the threats of car in the IoT environment. The discrimination of the factor, path and type of threats from the attack against the car should take priority over the self-inspection and the swift handling of the attack on control system.

An Optimization Model Based on Combining Possibility of Boundaries for Districting Problems (경계 결합 가능성 기반 구역설정 최적화 모델)

  • Kim, Kamyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.49 no.3
    • /
    • pp.423-437
    • /
    • 2014
  • Districting is a spatial decision making process to make a new regional framework for affecting human activities. Natural barriers such as rivers and mountains located within a reorganized district may reduce the efficiency of reorganized human activities. This implies that it is necessary to consider boundary characteristics in a districting process. The purpose of this research is to develop a new spatial optimization model based on boundary characteristics for districting problems. The boundary characteristics are evaluated as continuous value expressing the possibility of combining adjacent two basic spatial units rather than a dichotomous value with 1 or 0 and are defined as an objective function in the model. In addition, the model has explicitly formulated contiguity constraints as well as constraints enforcing demand balance among districts such as population and area. The boundary attributes are categorized into physical and relational characteristics. Suitability analysis is used to combine various variables related to each boundary characteristic and to evaluate the coupling possibility between two neighboring basic units. The model is applied to an administrative redistricting problem. The analytical results demonstrate that various boundary characteristics could be modeled in terms of mixed integer programming (MIP).

  • PDF

A risk management methodology for maritime logistics and supply chain applications

  • Mokhtari, Kambiz;Ren, Jun
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.4 no.2
    • /
    • pp.137-150
    • /
    • 2014
  • In the marine industry although there has been significant growth towards safety, security and risk assessments or risk-based strategies such as marine insurance and regulations to avoid the risks of damage to properties and the environment or the prospect of premature death caused by accidents etc, the moves toward managing the risks which are linked directly to the business functions and decision making processes have been very slow. Furthermore in the marine industry most perceptions, methodologies and frameworks of dealing with hazards, risks, safety and security issues are for their assessment rather than their management. This trend reveals the fact that in different marine industry sectors such as logistics and shipping there is a lack of coherent risk management framework or methodology from which to understand the risk-based decisions especially for the purpose of design, construction, operation, management and even decommissioning of the marine related applications. On the other hand risk management is not yet viewed holistically in the marine industry in order to, for example, assign a right person, i.e. risk manager, who can act as a coordinator and advisor with responsibilities that are only specific to risk management. As a result this paper, by examining the present physical borders and risk-based activities in the marine industry, aims to propose an appropriate risk management methodology in addition to the emergent role of risk managers which will enable the industry users initially to become familiar with the concept of risk management at its holistic level. In the later stages this eventually can lead to development of risk management capabilities at an exclusive level and its integration into the marine industry functions in future.