• Title/Summary/Keyword: decision making framework

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Economic Effects of the Management Model far Environment Pollution in Gwangyang Bay (광양만 환경오염 관리모델 연구의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Nam Kwanghyun;Kwon Sukjae;Oh Weeyeong
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.657-679
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this paper is to measure economic impact of marine environment conservation research development project. Benefit-Cost(B/C) analysis and Contingent Valuation Methods(CVM) are used to valuate the benefits from the research development projects. A period of three years for research development fund is considered as a part of the costs and adjusted to the net present value (NPV) of the 2002 ending period. The environmental charges for marine environment improvement are considered for the benefit measurement. The benefits are estimated by using monthly average willingness to pay, which is 2,289 Korean won. The contribution of the developing a management model for environmental pollution in the Gwangyang Bay is evaluated utilizing survey data and information. Based on the assessment by expert groups, the contribution of the model was 37.5%. The research results showed that B/C ratio is 20.61, NPV is 89,200 million Korean won, and social rate of return is 185.7%. When the level of contribution is over 1.83% at the assessment of potential influence, it is recognized to be economically feasible. This research presents a quantitative framework for Research and Development projects for marine environment conservation, and it can be applied to decision making for the investment size of R&D projects.

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Reasonable Decision Making for Sustainable Water Supply Source Management (상수원의 지속가능한 관리를 위한 합리적 의사결정 방향)

  • Choi, Ji Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.504-511
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    • 2007
  • Built-out issue of copper processing appearing recently in the Paldang watershed is a critical problem to deteriorate the basic framework of national water management policy as well as to be simply a copper-related problem. Up to now, Korea government has invested hard and relevant upstream areas have been victimized readily in a variety of field to comply its goal of 'Safe Water Supply'. Because of the reason, the desirable water quality level of the Paldang watershed has been maintained regardless of its dense population. Paldang drinking water management policy is based on residents' understanding which is considered as a 'social capital'. The issue raised in the aspect of water quality management policy should be reviewed on the basis of the 'social capital' concept. One regarding semiconductor industry as a potential industry to export many products in 10 years insists that the industry not be a simple private business but be a prominent part for national competitiveness. There is no doubt about this opinion. However, a nation should support environmental right-to-life of its people prior to any other tasks. In other words, it is really risky to give up people's right due to economic benefits. Therefore, it should not happen to trade 'life', the dignity of man, with national competitiveness which is likely to be preferred in these days. In addition, coherent policy not to destroy 'social capital' promoting Paldang drinking water resource management policy should be maintained.

Analysis of urbanization factor in river boundary using aerial image

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Lee, Hyun-Seok;Chae, Hyo-Sok;Hwang, Eui-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.421-425
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    • 2006
  • It can be important framework data to monitor the change of land-use pattern of river boundary in design and management of river. This study analyzed the change of land-use pattern of Gab and Yudeung River using time-series aerial images. To do this, we carried out radiation and geometric correction of image, and estimated land-use changes in inland and floodplain. As the analysis of inland, the ratio of residential, commercial, industrial, educational and public area, that is urbanized element, increases, but that of agricultural area shows a decline on the basis of 1990. Also, Minimum Distance Method, which is a kind of supervised classification method, is applied to extract water-body and sand bar layer in floodplain. As the analysis of land-use, the ratio of level-upped riverside land and water-body increases, but that of sand bar decreases. These time-series land use information can be important decision making data to evaluate the urbanization of river boundary, and especially it gives us goodness in river development project such as the composition of ecological habitat.

Why Do Mobile Device Users Take a Risky Behavior?: Focusing on Model of the Determinants of Risk Behavior (모바일 기기 사용자는 왜 정보보호에 위험한 행동을 하는가? : 위험행동 결정요인 모델을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jongki;Kim, Jiyun
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.129-152
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    • 2019
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to empirically identify the risky behavior of mobile device users using the Internet of Things on a situational perspective. Design/methodology/approach This study made a design of the research model based on model of the determinants of risk behavior. Data were collected through a survey including hypothetical scenario. SmartPLS 2.0 was used for the structural model analysis and t-test was conducted to compare the between normal and situational behavior. Findings The results were as follows. First, the central roles of risk propriety and risk perception were verified empirically. Second, we identified the role of locus of control as a new factor of impact on risky behavior. Third, mobile risk propensity has been shown to increase risk perception. Fouth, it has been shown that risk perception does not directly affect risky behavior and reduce the relationship between mobile risk propensity and risk behavior. According to the empirical analysis result, Determinants of risk behavior for mobile users were identified based on a theoretical framework. And it raised the need to pay attention to the impact of locus of control on risk behavior in the IS security field. It provided direction to the approach to risky behavior of mobile device users. In addition, this study confirmed that there was a possibility of taking risky behavior in the actual decision-making.

Discovering Temporal Work Transference Networks from Workflow Execution Logs

  • Pham, Dinh-Lam;Ahn, Hyun;Kim, Kwanghoon Pio
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2019
  • Workflow management systems (WfMSs) automate and manage workflows, which are implementations of organizational processes operated in process-centric organizations. In this paper, wepropose an algorithm to discover temporal work transference networks from workflow execution logs. The temporal work transference network is a special type of enterprise social networks that consists of workflow performers, and relationships among them that are formed by work transferences between performers who are responsible in performing precedent and succeeding activities in a workflow process. In terms of analysis, the temporal work transference network is an analytical property that has significant value to be analyzed to discover organizational knowledge for human resource management and related decision-making steps for process-centric organizations. Also, the beginning point of implementinga human-centered workflow intelligence framework dealing with work transference networks is to develop an algorithm for discovering temporal work transference cases on workflow execution logs. To this end, we first formalize a concept of temporal work transference network, and next, we present a discovery algorithm which is for the construction of temporal work transference network from workflow execution logs. Then, as a verification of the proposed algorithm, we apply the algorithm to an XES-formatted log dataset that was released by the process mining research group and finally summarize the discovery result.

Seismic Fragility of Steel Piping System Based on Pipe Size, Coupling Type, and Wall Thickness

  • Ju, Bu Seog;Gupta, Abhinav;Ryu, Yonghee
    • International journal of steel structures
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1200-1209
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    • 2018
  • In this study, a probabilistic framework of the damage assessment of pipelines subjected to extreme hazard scenario was developed to mitigate the risk and enhance design reliability. Nonlinear 3D finite element models of T-joint systems were developed based on experimental tests with respect to leakage detection of black iron piping systems, and a damage assessment analysis of the vulnerability of their components according to nominal pipe size, coupling type, and wall thickness under seismic wave propagations was performed. The analysis results showed the 2-inch schedule 40 threaded T-joint system to be more fragile than the others with respect to the nominal pipe sizes. As for the coupling types, the data indicated that the probability of failure of the threaded T-joint coupling was significantly higher than that of the grooved type. Finally, the seismic capacity of the schedule 40 wall thickness was weaker than that of schedule 10 in the 4-inch grooved coupling, due to the difference in the prohibition of energy dissipation. Therefore, this assessment can contribute to the damage detection and financial losses due to failure of the joint piping system in a liquid pipeline, prior to the decision-making.

Estimating Direct Costs of Enterprises by Personal Information Security Breaches (개인정보 유.노출 사고로 인한 기업의 손실비용 추정)

  • Yoo, Jin-Ho;Jie, Sang-Ho;Lim, Jong-In
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.63-75
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    • 2009
  • Recently personal information security breaches by unauthorised access, mistakenly disclosure or stolen become more frequent and the scale of the economic loss of such incidents is growing. Assessing economic loss of personal information security breaches is needed for decision making of information security investment This paper presents a framework to analyze economic impact of personal information security breaches and develops formula for each element to empirically calculate the economic loss. We also compared annual economic loss of Korea with that of Japan to develop some implications.

A SE Approach to Predict the Peak Cladding Temperature using Artificial Neural Network

  • ALAtawneh, Osama Sharif;Diab, Aya
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2020
  • Traditionally nuclear thermal hydraulic and nuclear safety has relied on numerical simulations to predict the system response of a nuclear power plant either under normal operation or accident condition. However, this approach may sometimes be rather time consuming particularly for design and optimization problems. To expedite the decision-making process data-driven models can be used to deduce the statistical relationships between inputs and outputs rather than solving physics-based models. Compared to the traditional approach, data driven models can provide a fast and cost-effective framework to predict the behavior of highly complex and non-linear systems where otherwise great computational efforts would be required. The objective of this work is to develop an AI algorithm to predict the peak fuel cladding temperature as a metric for the successful implementation of FLEX strategies under extended station black out. To achieve this, the model requires to be conditioned using pre-existing database created using the thermal-hydraulic analysis code, MARS-KS. In the development stage, the model hyper-parameters are tuned and optimized using the talos tool.

Forecasting tunnel path geology using Gaussian process regression

  • Mahmoodzadeh, Arsalan;Mohammadi, Mokhtar;Abdulhamid, Sazan Nariman;Ali, Hunar Farid Hama;Ibrahim, Hawkar Hashim;Rashidi, Shima
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.359-374
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    • 2022
  • Geology conditions are crucial in decision-making during the planning and design phase of a tunnel project. Estimation of the geology conditions of road tunnels is subject to significant uncertainties. In this work, the effectiveness of a novel regression method in estimating geological or geotechnical parameters of road tunnel projects was explored. This method, called Gaussian process regression (GPR), formulates the learning of the regressor within a Bayesian framework. The GPR model was trained with data of old tunnel projects. To verify its feasibility, the GPR technique was applied to a road tunnel to predict the state of three geological/geomechanical parameters of Rock Mass Rating (RMR), Rock Structure Rating (RSR) and Q-value. Finally, in order to validate the GPR approach, the forecasted results were compared to the field-observed results. From this comparison, it was concluded that, the GPR is presented very good predictions. The R-squared values between the predicted results of the GPR vs. field-observed results for the RMR, RSR and Q-value were obtained equal to 0.8581, 0.8148 and 0.8788, respectively.

Effect of Social Norm on Consumer Demand: Multiple Constraint Approach

  • Choi, Sungjee;Nam, Inwoo;Kim, Jaehwan
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.41-60
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    • 2020
  • The goal of the study is to understand the role of social norm in purchase decisions where demand is revealed in the form of multiple-discreteness. Consumers are socially engaged in various activities through the expectation from others in their community. Actions or decisions are likely to reflect this influence. This implicit or explicit social norm is revealed as the rules, regulations, and standards that are understood, shared, endorsed, and expected by group members. When consumers' decisions are in distance from the norm, they come to face discomfort such as shame, guilt, embarrassment, and anxiety. These pressure act as a constraint as opposed to utility in their decision making. In this study, the effect of social norms on consumer demand is captured via multiple constraint model where constraints are not only from budget equation but also from psychological burden induced by the deviation from the norm. The posterior distributions of model parameters were estimated via conjoint study allowing for heterogeneity via hierarchical Bayesian framework. Individual characteristics such as age, gender and work experience are also used as covariates for capturing the observed heterogeneity. The empirical results show the role of social norm as constraint in consumers' utility maximization. The proposed model accounting for social constraint outperforms the standard budget constraint-only model in terms of model fit. It is found that people with longer job experience tend to be more robust and resistant to the deviation from the norm. Incorporating social norm into the utility model allows for another means to disentangle the reason for no-purchase as 'not preferred' and 'not able to buy'.