• Title/Summary/Keyword: data modelling

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An analysis of effects of seasonal weather forecasting on dam reservoir inflow prediction (장기 기상전망이 댐 저수지 유입량 전망에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;Nam, Woo-Sung;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.451-461
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    • 2019
  • The dam reservoir inflow prediction is utilized to ensure for water supply and prevent future droughts. In this study, we predicted the dam reservoir inflow and analyzed how seasonal weather forecasting affected the accuracy of the inflow for even multi-purpose dams. The hindcast and forecast of GloSea5 from KMA were used as input for rainfall-runoff models. TANK, ABCD, K-DRUM and PRMS models which have individual characteristics were applied to simulate inflow prediction. The dam reservoir inflow prediction was assessed for the periods of 1996~2009 and 2015~2016 for the hindcast and forecast respectively. The results of assessment showed that the inflow prediction was underestimated by comparing with the observed inflow. If rainfall-runoff models were calibrated appropriately, the characteristics of the models were not vital for accuracy of the inflow prediction. However the accuracy of seasonal weather forecasting, especially precipitation data is highly connected to the accuracy of the dam inflow prediction. It is recommended to consider underestimation of the inflow prediction when it is used for operations. Futhermore, for accuracy enhancement of the predicted dam inflow, it is more effective to focus on improving a seasonal weather forecasting rather than a rainfall-runoff model.

Analyzing the Relationship between Dynamic Capability of Project-Based Organization and the Competitive Advantage in the E&C Companies (프로젝트 조직의 동적역량과 건설기업 경쟁우위와의 상관관계 분석)

  • Jin, Sangjoon;Oh, Minjeong;Kim, Seungchul
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.73-85
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    • 2019
  • Since the beginning of a new century, many Korean construction and engineering companies are facing a very dynamic and fast changing business environment which includes severe competition, higher risk, economic depression, declining revenues and profits, etc. In order to cope with these challenges, they need to secure special capabilities to actively adapt to the paradigm changes. One of those capabilities could be project management capability which allows us to manage organizational resources dynamically and integratively based on project portfolio management concept. The objective of this study is to investigate how the dynamic capability of a project-based organization to control the resource affects the firm performance and the competitive advantages. Data was collected from the construction and engineering companies in South Korea by using survey questionnaire, and analyzed for empirical tests by using statistical methods such as structural equation modelling and path analysis. The results showed that the organizational resources, if they had the VRIN characteristics, would have positive impacts on creating the dynamic capabilities for project organization. In turn, the dynamic capabilities of a project organization would have impacts on improving business performance and creating competitive advantages. Also, it was found that the organizational resources may have direct impact on business performance and competitive advantages. The academic contribution of this study is that it attempts to integrate resource based view and the dynamic capability theory about creating competitive advantages for project based organization. This study also provided practical implications to the companies in construction industry by showing how to use organizational resources strategically to create competitive advantages.

A study on the Typology and Determinants for Changes in the Social Participation of Middle-aged and Older Population (중·고령자 사회참여 변화 유형화와 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Min-Uk;Jeong, Kyu-Hyoung
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.243-249
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    • 2019
  • This study is aimed at offering a typology of changes in the social participation of middle-aged and older population and explore determinants for each type of such changes. The data employed for analysis are the 1st survey (2006) through the 6th version (2016) of the Korea Aging Research Panel Survey. Among the respondents of the panel survey, 1,327 males and 1,520 females with a total of 2,847 respondents were analyzed. As a result of applying the growth mixture modelling through the SPS 22.0 and M-plus 8.0 statistical programs, the changes in the social participation of middle-aged and older population have been classified into the 'high-decreasing', 'moderate-increasing' and 'low-stable' trajectory classes. Analysis of the determinants for each class shows that higher the education level, the more likely they are to belong to the high-decreasing and moderate-increasing classes than the low-stable class, and the more the population lives in urban areas, the more likely they are to belong to high-decreasing trajectory class than to low-stable class. Also, it was found that the probability of belonging to moderate-increasing trajectory class was higher than that of the low-stable class when there was no occupation. Through the results of these analyses, the implications of promoting social participation of middle-aged and older population were discussed.

Water resources potential assessment of ungauged catchments in Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia

  • Damtew, Getachew Tegegne;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.217-217
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study was mainly to evaluate the water resources potential of Lake Tana Basin (LTB) by using Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). From SWAT simulation of LTB, about 5236 km2 area of LTB is gauged watershed and the remaining 9878 km2 area is ungauged watershed. For calibration of model parameters, four gauged stations were considered namely: Gilgel Abay, Gummera, Rib, and Megech. The SWAT-CUP built-in techniques, particle swarm optimization (PSO) and generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) method was used for calibration of model parameters and PSO method were selected for the study based on its performance results in four gauging stations. However the level of sensitivity of flow parameters differ from catchment to catchment, the curve number (CN2) has been found the most sensitive parameters in all gauged catchments. To facilitate the transfer of data from gauged catchments to ungauged catchments, clustering of hydrologic response units (HRUs) were done based on physical similarity measured between gauged and ungauged catchment attributes. From SWAT land use/ soil use/slope reclassification of LTB, a total of 142 HRUs were identified and these HRUs are clustered in to 39 similar hydrologic groups. In order to transfer the optimized model parameters from gauged to ungauged catchments based on these clustered hydrologic groups, this study evaluates three parameter transfer schemes: parameters transfer based on homogeneous regions (PT-I), parameter transfer based on global averaging (PT-II), and parameter transfer by considering Gilgel Abay catchment as a representative catchment (PT-III) since its model performance values are better than the other three gauged catchments. The performance of these parameter transfer approach was evaluated based on values of Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) and coefficient of determination (R2). The computed NSE values was found to be 0.71, 0.58, and 0.31 for PT-I, PT-II and PT-III respectively and the computed R2 values was found to be 0.93, 0.82, and 0.95 for PT-I, PT-II, and PT-III respectively. Based on the performance evaluation criteria, PT-I were selected for modelling ungauged catchments by transferring optimized model parameters from gauged catchment. From the model result, yearly average stream flow for all homogeneous regions was found 29.54 m3/s, 112.92 m3/s, and 130.10 m3/s for time period (1989 - 2005) for region-I, region-II, and region-III respectively.

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A Comparative Study on HSI and MaxEnt Habitat Prediction Models: About Prionailurus bengalensis (HSI와 MaxEnt를 통한 삵의 서식지 예측 모델 비교 연구)

  • Yoo, Da-Young;Lim, Tai-Yang;Kim, Whee-Moon;Song, Won-Kyong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2021
  • Excessive development and urbanization have destroyed animal, plant, habitats and reduced biodiversity. In order to preserve species diversity, habitat prediction studies are have been conducted at home and overseas using various modeling techniques. This study was conducted to suggest optimal habitat modeling research by comparing HSI and MaxEnt, which are widely used among habitat modeling techniques. The study was targeted on the endangered species of Prionailurus bengalensis in nearby areas (5460.35km2) including Cheonan City, and the same data were used for analysis to compare those models. According to the HSI analysis, Prionailurus bengalensis's habitat probability was 74.65% for less than 0.5 and 25.34% for more than 0.5 and the top 30% were forest (99.07%). MaxEnt's analysis showed that 56.22% of those below 0.5 and 43.79% of those above 0.5 were found to have a high explanatory power of 78.3% of AUC. The Paired Wilcoxn test, which evaluated the significance of thoes models, confirmed that the mean difference between the two models was statistically significant (p<0.05). Analysis of the differences in the results of those models using the matrix table shows that score 24.43% HSI and MaxEnt was accordance,12.44% of the 0.0 to 0.2 section, 7.22% of the 0.2 to 0.4 section, 2.73% of the 0.4 to 0.6 section, 1.96% of the 0.6 to 0.8, and 0.08% of the 0.9 to 1.0. To verify where the score difference appears, the result values of those models were reset to values from 1 to 5 and overlaid. Overlapping analysis resulted in 30.26% of the Strongly agree values, 56.77% of the agree values, and 11.92% of the Disagree values. The places where the difference in scores occurs were analyzed in the order of forest (45.23%), agricultural land (34.57%), and urbanization area (7.65%). This confirmed that the analysis of the same target species within the same target site also has differences in forecasts depending on the modelling method. Therefore, a novel analysis method combining the advantages of each modeling in habitat prediction studies should be developed, and future study may be used to select Prionailurus bengalensis and species-protected areas and species protection areas in the future. Further research is judged to require higher accuracy studies through the use of various modeling techniques and on-site verification.

Shift Work Female Nurse Turnover Intention Structural Equation Modelling: Focused on Tertiary Hospitals (교대근무 여자간호사 이직의도 구조모형: 상급종합병원을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Hang Nan;So, Hyang Sook;Jang, Aeri
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.181-189
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    • 2021
  • This study uses a structural equation model for the turnover intention of female nurses performing shift work at a tertiary hospital. Data collection was conducted from November 11 to December 20, 2015, and 283 samples were included in the final analysis. As a result, 12 of the 19 hypotheses of the final model were supported. It was confirmed that external employment opportunities, nursing professional value, nursing organizational culture, job stress, job satisfaction, organizational commitment, and burn out accounted for 47.8% of the turnover intention. Burn out(+) and organizational commitment(-)had direct effects on turnover intentions, and nursing professional, relationship-oriented nursing organizational culture, and job stress showed indirect effects. Therefore, in order to reduce the turnover intention of female nurses working in shifts at tertiary hospitals, it is necessary to prevent burnout, increase organizational commitment, and job satisfaction. For this purpose, measures to strengthen relation-oriented nursing organizational culture and nursing professional intuition are required. In terms of hospital manpower management, the institutional arrangements of hospitals that enable flexible working hours adjustment, mutually respectful relationship-centered organizational culture, education, and policy support to reinforce nursing professional intuition, and the institutional system of hospitals to work with pride should be implemented.

Investigation for flow characteristics of ice-harbor type fishway installed at mid-sized streams in Korea (국내 중소하천에 설치된 아이스하버 어도 내부 흐름 특성 규명)

  • Baek, Kyong Oh;Min, Byong Jo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2022
  • In this study, flow patterns in the ice-harbor fishway were analyzed according to fluctuations of the upstream water level, an increase of weir interval, and the presence or absence of orifices using a three-dimensional commercial numerical model, Flow-3D. In order to prove the suitability of the numerical simulation results, the flow velocity and flow rate at the exit of the fishway were observed using a 3D ultrasonic velocimetry on an actual ice-harbor fishway installed downstream of the Daegok bridge in Gyeongan-Cheon. Four types of turbulence modules can be selected for the Flow-3D model. As a result of verification with observation data, the RNG model best described the flow characteristics in the ice-harbor fishway. The velocity structure in the fishway according to fluctuations of the upstream water level was simulated. The results showed that the plunging flow and the streaming flow were mixed at the lowest water level. When the water level increased about 10 cm or more from the lowest water level, the plunging flow disappeared in all pools and only the streaming flow occurred. Contrary to expectations, even when the water level is rose a little, the flow simply occurred mainly on the streaming flow. If the interval between the weirs is increased, both the plunging flow and the streaming flow are showed continued even if the water level rises. In addition, compared to the case where there are no orifices at the bottom of the weirs, the plunging flow tends to be generated in several pools. It is necessary to prevent blocking orifices through active management so that various flow patterns in the fishway can be generated in multiple pools.

Reliability Evaluation of the Estimation of Suspended Sediment Dispersion (부유사 확산예측 모형의 신뢰도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Tac, Dae-Ho;Chung, Younjin;Jun, Eun-Ju;Yang, Joon-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.890-898
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    • 2022
  • Dispersion of suspended sediment, caused by coastal and marine development, is a key item in assessing marine environmental impact as it adversely affects marine life by increasing the level of turbidity and decreasing the amount of sunlight in seawater. However, its estimation has not been reliable because of the absence of a standard for the data measurement and divergent approaches to the impact assessment. In this study, we examined the estimation models from 58 Marine Environmental Impact Statements (MEISs, 2012-2014) to identify the gaps in the assessment and devise ways of improving the estimation. We developed four index items-grid system; unit load, particle size, and settling velocit-to evaluate their reliability in the estimation. The mean reliability score of each index was overall low-25 for grid system, 60 for unit load, 34 for particle size, and 17 for settling velocity. To ensure high reliability, it is important to develop a standard guideline that defines precise measurement of suspended sediment for unit load and settling velocity by particle size, followed by a grid system with compatible size for modelling. This can improve the estimation and thus underlie coherent impact assessment of suspended sediment dispersion on marine environment.

The effect of leisure sports participation on the academic efficacy and peer relation of senior elementary school students : The mediating effect of grit (여가스포츠 참가가 초등학교 고학년의 학업효능감과 교우관계에 미치는 영향: 그릿의 매개효과)

  • Shin, Kyulee;Sohn, Youngmi
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.1455-1465
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this research was to investigate the mediating effect of grit on the relationship between leisure sport participation and academic efficacy/peer relationship of senior elementary school students. For this purpose, we analyzed the data of 2,437 fourth-grade elementary school students derived from the 2nd years of the Korean Children and Panel Survey(KCYPS, 2018). Structural Equation Modelling(SEM) were conducted through PASW Statistics 18 and AMOS Graphics 18 programs. The main results were as follows. First, grit fully mediated the association between leisure sport participation and academic efficacy. Second, the relationship between leisure sport participation and peer relationship was partially mediated by grit. The conclusion we could draw from these results was that participating in leisure sport with sweating intensity had a positive effect on the grit of senior elementary school students, which in turn had a positive effect on academic efficacy and peer relationship. Finally, we discussed the implications of leisure sport participation for senior elementary school students.

Trend Analysis of Sports for All-Related Issues in Early Stage of COVID-19 Using Topic Modeling (토픽 모델링을 활용한 코로나19 초기 생활체육 이슈 분석)

  • Chung, Yunkil;Seo, Sumin;Kang, Hyunmin
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.57-79
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    • 2022
  • COVID-19, which started in December 2019, has had a great impact on our lives in general, including politics, economy, society, and culture, and activities in sports and arts have also been significantly reduced. In the case of sports, sports for all fields in which ordinary citizens participate were particularly affected, and cases of infection in places closely related to people's lives, such as gyms, table tennis, and badminton clubs, also amplified the social fear of the spread of COVID-19. Therefore, in this study, we analyzed news articles related to sports for all at the time when COVID-19 was first spread, and investigated what issues were emerging and being discussed in the sports for all field under the COVID-19 situation. Specifically, we collected news articles dealt with sports for all issues under the COVID-19 situation from Korea's leading portal news sites and identified key sports for all issues by performing topic modeling on these articles. Through the analysis, we found meaningful issues such as COVID-19 outbreak in sports facilities and support for sports activities. In addition, through wordcloud analysis of these major issues, we visually understood the issues and identified the changes in these issues over time.