• Title/Summary/Keyword: damage statistics

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Analysis of regional type according to spatial correspondence between heat wave vulnerable areas and health damage occurrence (폭염 취약지역과 건강 피해 발생의 공간적 일치성에 따른 지역 유형 분석)

  • Hee-Soo HWANG;Ji Yoon CHOI;Jung Eun KANG
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.89-113
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to identify heat wave vulnerable areas and discuss spatial typology and policy directions through spatial coincidence analysis of heat wave damage. By utilizing the climate change vulnerability assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and Spatial Statistics Comparison Analysis, this study examined cities, counties, and districts in South Korea for five years (2015-2019), including 2018, when the heat wave was most extreme. It was determined that the number of heat wave days (exposure) was the most impactful among various factors for heat wave vulnerability. Sensitivity and adaptive capacity to heat waves were found to vary according to regional characteristics. The relationship between heat wave vulnerability and damage was categorized into four types through spatial coherence. Hot to Hot and Cold to Cold types have a positive relationship between vulnerability and damage, while Hot to Cold and Cold to Hot types have a negative relationship. The findings suggest that since different types of regions have distinct characteristics and conditions, policies and research for improvement should be directed to address each region separately. This study may be used as basic data for establishing heat-related policies in the future, as it categorizes regions by considering both heat vulnerability and damage and examines the direction of response by type.

ON SOME MODELS LEADING TO QUASI-NEGATIVE-BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION

  • Bilal, Sheikh;Hassan, Anwar
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.15-29
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we explore some interesting models of the quasi-negative-binomial distribution based on difference differential equations applicable to theory of microorganisms and the situations like that. Some characterizations based on conditional distributions and damage process have been obtained. Further, the distribution of number of accidents as the quasi-negative-binomial distribution in the light of Irwin's theory of ";proneness-liability"; model has been derived. Finally, the proposed model (QNBD) has been applied to study the Shunting accidents, home injuries, and strikes in industries.

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Modelling and Residual Analysis for Water Level Series of Upo Wetland (우포늪 수위 자료의 시계열 모형화 및 잔차 분석)

  • Kim, Kyunghun;Han, Daegun;Kim, Jungwook;Lim, Jonghun;Lee, Jongso;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.66-76
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    • 2019
  • Recently, natural disasters such as floods and droughts are frequently occurred due to climate change and the damage is also increasing. Wetland is known to play an important role in reducing and minimizing the damage. In particular, water level variability needs to be analyzed in order to understand the various functions of wetland as well as the reduction of damage caused by natural disaster. Therefore, in this study, we fitted water level series of Upo wetland in Changnyeong, Gyeongnam province to a proper time series model and residual test was performed to confirm the appropriateness of the model. In other words, ARIMA model was constructed and its residual tests were performed using existing nonparametric statistics, BDS statistic, and Close Returns Histogram(CRH). The results of residual tests were compared and especially, we showed the applicability of CRH to analyze the residuals of time series model. As a result, CRH produced not only accurate randomness test result, but also produced result in a simple calculation process compared to the other methods. Therefore, we have shown that CRH and BDS statistic can be effective tools for analyzing residual in time series model.

A study on frost prediction model using machine learning (머신러닝을 사용한 서리 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Hyojeoung;Kim, Sahm
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.543-552
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    • 2022
  • When frost occurs, crops are directly damaged. When crops come into contact with low temperatures, tissues freeze, which hardens and destroys the cell membranes or chloroplasts, or dry cells to death. In July 2020, a sudden sub-zero weather and frost hit the Minas Gerais state of Brazil, the world's largest coffee producer, damaging about 30% of local coffee trees. As a result, coffee prices have risen significantly due to the damage, and farmers with severe damage can produce coffee only after three years for crops to recover, which is expected to cause long-term damage. In this paper, we tried to predict frost using frost generation data and weather observation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration to prevent severe frost. A model was constructed by reflecting weather factors such as wind speed, temperature, humidity, precipitation, and cloudiness. Using XGB(eXtreme Gradient Boosting), SVM(Support Vector Machine), Random Forest, and MLP(Multi Layer perceptron) models, various hyper parameters were applied as training data to select the best model for each model. Finally, the results were evaluated as accuracy(acc) and CSI(Critical Success Index) in test data. XGB was the best model compared to other models with 90.4% ac and 64.4% CSI, followed by SVM with 89.7% ac and 61.2% CSI. Random Forest and MLP showed similar performance with about 89% ac and about 60% CSI.

Structural Quality Defect Discrimination Enhancement using Vertical Energy-based Wavelet Feature Generation (구조물의 품질 결함 변별력 증대를 위한 수직 에너지 기반의 웨이블릿 Feature 생성)

  • Kim, Joon-Seok;Jung, Uk
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.36-44
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    • 2008
  • In this paper a novel feature extraction and selection is carried out in order to improve the discriminating capability between healthy and damaged structure using vibration signals. Although many feature extraction and selection algorithms have been proposed for vibration signals, most proposed approaches don't consider the discriminating ability of features since they are usually in unsupervised manner. We proposed a novel feature extraction and selection algorithm selecting few wavelet coefficients with higher class discriminating capability for damage detection and class visualization. We applied three class separability measures to evaluate the features, i.e. T test statistics, divergence, and Bhattacharyya distance. Experiments with vibration signals from truss structure demonstrate that class separabilities are significantly enhanced using our proposed algorithm compared to other two algorithms with original time-based features and Fourier-based ones.

A Study on Financial Loss Assessment of Voltage Sags (순간전압강하 경제적 손실 평가 연구)

  • Park, Jomg-Il;Song, Young-Won;Park, Chang-Hyun;Jang, Gil-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2011.07a
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    • pp.324-325
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    • 2011
  • This paper addresses the assessment of voltage sag costs based on the stochastic prediction of voltage sags. When voltage sags below a certain voltage threshold occur at sensitive industrial process, the industrial customer will experience financial damage. In order to mitigate voltage sag costs and devise efficient solutions to mitigate damage, a study on the financial loss assessment of voltage sags is basically needed. In order to assess the voltage sag costs, the expected sag frequency at a sensitive load point should be calculated by using the concept of the area of vulnerability and historical fault statistics. Then, financial loss due to voltage sags can be obtained by multiplying the expected sag frequency by the cost per sag event.

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Free Spanning of Offshore Pipelines by DNV

  • CHOI HAN SUK
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.19 no.2 s.63
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2005
  • This paper introduces a procedure for free span and fatigue analysis of offshore pipelines per DNV-RP-F105, 2002. The new method includes the axial force and deflection load in pipelines. The screening criteria were established to calculate the allowable span lengths in the new design codes. The screening criteria allows a certain amount of vortex-induced vibration due to wave and current loading. However, the induced pipe stresses are very small and usually below the limit stresess of typical S-N curves. In contrast, the conventional criteria did not allow any vortex-induced vibration in the free span of pipelines. Thus, the screening criteria yields reduced allowable span lengths. A simplified procedure was established to calculate the fatigue damage due to long-term current distribution. The long-term current statistics was assumed with a 3-parameter Weibull distribution. The fatigue damage was estimated for the span lengths obtained from the screening criteria for various conditions. Sample calculations show the effect of axial force for various boundary conditions. Comparisons with conventional criteria are included.

Analysis of the Survey on the Consumer's Knowledge and Laundry Habits to Microorganisms Living in Clothing (의류 중의 미생물에 대한 소비자의 지식과 세탁습관 실태조사 분석)

  • 최해운;정찬진;박명자
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.781-792
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    • 2002
  • Microorganisms living in clothing cause damage to fabric as well as unhygienic conditions with unpleasant odor fur wearers. Removal or growth of microorganisms are affected by the conditions during washing and storage. The purpose of this research was to study the consumer's knowledge and habits in laundering with respect to microorganisms in clothing. For survey method, questionnaires were administered to 580 housewives, age of 20∼60s living in Seoul. Employing 479 respondents, the data were analyzed by using descriptive statistics. The results are as follows: The level of knowledge about microorganisms of clothing was high in general, but wasn't expert level. Many people had experienced damages of textiles, clothing and unpleasant odor due to microorganisms. Fabric softeners and bleaches were rarely used for disinfection but usually used for antistatic, whitening or removal of stains. There was no relationship between laundering habits, the knowledge of microorganism, and experience of clothing damage by microorganism.

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Free Spanning of Offshore Pipelines by DNV 2002 (DNV 2002에 의한 해저관로의 자유경간해석)

  • Choi, Han-Suk;Joo, Joo-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.29-33
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    • 2002
  • A procedure of free span and fatigue analysis of offshore pipelines was made per DNV-RP-F105, 2002. The new method includes the axial force and deflection load in pipelines. The screening criteria were used to calculate the allowable span lengths. The screening criteria allow small amplitudes of vortex-induced vibration due to wave and current loading. However, the induced pipe stress is very small and usually below the limit stress of a typical S-N curve. A simplified method was established to calculate the fatigue damage due to long-term current distribution. The long-term current statistics was assumed with a 3-parameter Weibull distribution. The fatigue damage was estimated for the span lengths obtained from the screening criteria for various conditions. Sample calculations show the effect of axial force for various boundary conditions.

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Traffic Extraction and Verification for Attack Detection Experimentation (공격탐지 실험을 위한 네트워크 트래픽 추출 및 검증)

  • Park, In-Sung;Lee, Eun-Young;Oh, Hyung-Geun;Lee, Do-Hoon
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2006
  • Firewall to block a network access of unauthorized IP system and IDS (Intrusion Detection System) to detect malicious code pattern to be known consisted the main current of the information security system at the past. But, with rapid growth the diffusion speed and damage of malicious code like the worm, study of the unknown attack traffic is processed actively. One of such method is detection technique using traffic statistics information on the network viewpoint not to be an individual system. But, it is very difficult but to reserve traffic raw data or statistics information. Therefore, we present extraction technique of a network traffic Raw data and a statistics information like the time series. Also, We confirm the validity of a mixing traffic and show the evidence which is suitable to the experiment.

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