• Title/Summary/Keyword: damage assessment model

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Methodology for estimating the damage rate of equipment mounted on the warship (해상 플랫폼 탑재장비 손실률 산정 방법 - 워게임모델 적용을 중심으로 -)

  • Jeong Kwan, Yang;Bong Seok, Kim;Ji Hoon, Kyung;Hyun Shik, Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.108-116
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    • 2022
  • Accurately predicting wartime resources requirements and preparing war supplies in peacetime is an important task that can determine the outcome of the war by guaranteeing the duration of the operation. The wartime warship damage rate is a measure of estimating the battle damage of our warships in the process of performing battles to achieve the war goal. In the previously studied wartime warship damage rate estimation method, when damage occurs, long-term repair is required due to the complexity and specificity of the ship structure. Only the case of a complete defeat at the level of sinking was defined as a damage, and even if it was impossible to perform a maritime operation mission, it was not estimated as a damage if the level of sinking was not reached. Therefore, in order to improve the reliability of the wartime warship damage rate, the equipment damage assessment level can be estimated based on the warhead weight of the threat weapon system, the vulnerability rate of the warship's equipment, and the warship's hull. In the future, it is expected that the estimation methodology proposed in this study will be used as a simulation logic when developing a model for analyzing the wartime resources requirements for the warship's equipment and hull.

Local Analysis of the spatial characteristics of urban flooding areas using GWR (지리가중회귀모델을 이용한 도시홍수 피해지역의 지역적 공간특성 분석)

  • Sim, Jun-Seok;Kim, Ji-Sook;Lee, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2014
  • In recent years, the frequency and scale of the natural disasters are growing rapidly due to the global climate change. In case of the urban flooding, high-density of population and infrastructure has caused the more intensive damages. In this study, we analyzed the spatial characteristics of urban flooding damage factors using GWR(Geographically Weighted Regression) for effective disaster prevention and then, classified the causes of the flood damage by spatial characteristics. The damage factors applied consists of natural variables such as the poor drainage area, the distance from the river, elevation and slope, and anthropogenic variables such as the impervious surface area, urbanized area, and infrastructure area, which are selected by literature review. This study carried out the comparative analysis between OLS(Ordinary Least Square) and GWR model for identifying spatial non-stationarity and spatial autocorrelation, and in the results, GWR model has higher explanation power than OLS model. As a result, it appears that there are some differences between each of the flood damage areas depending on the variables. We conclude that the establishment of disaster prevention plan for urban flooding area should reflect the spatial characteristics of the damaged areas. This study provides an improved understandings of the causes of urban flood damages, which can be diverse according to their own spatial characteristics.

The Vulnerability Assessment of Hydro-pneumatic Suspension of Ground Combat Vehicles Using Vulnerable Area Method and DMEA (취약면적법과 DMEA를 활용한 지상전투차량 유공압 현가장치의 취약성 평가)

  • Nam, Myung Hoon;Park, Kang;Park, Woo Sung;Yoo, Chul
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.141-149
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    • 2017
  • Vulnerability assesses the loss of major performance functions of GCV (Ground Combat Vehicles) when it is hit by enemy's shell. To decide the loss of major functions, it is determined what effects are on the performance of GCV when some components of GCV are failed. M&S (Modeling and Simulation) technology is used to vulnerability assessment. The hydro-pneumatic suspension is used as a sample part. The procedures of vulnerability assessment of the hydro-pneumatic suspension are shown as follows: 1) The components of the suspension are defined, and shot lines are generated evenly around the part. 2) The penetrated components are checked by using the penetration equation. 3) The function model of the suspension is designed by using IDEF0. 4) When the failure of the critical components of the suspension happens, its effect on the function of the suspension can be estimated using DMEA (Damage Mode and Effects Analysis). 5) The diagram of FTA (Fault Tree Analysis) is designed by exploiting DMEA. 6) The damage probability of the suspension is calculated by using FTA and vulnerable area method. In this paper, SLAP (Shot Line Analysis Program) which was developed based on COVART methodology. SLAP calculates the damage probability and visualizes the vulnerable areas of the suspension.

A Weapon Effectiveness Evaluation Model for Top-Attack Smart Munitions (상부공격 지능탄 무기효과 평가모델)

  • Kang, Min-Ah
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.458-466
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    • 2012
  • We have developed a weapon effectiveness evaluation model for top-attack smart munitions(WEEM/TASM), which is a many on many Monte Carlo Model evaluating the effectiveness of top-attack smart munitions against armoured ground vehicles. In this model the battle is reduced to a one-sided battle situation in that the target vehicles are regarded as being stationary and passive. It can simulate the whole attack process of smart munitions from firing artillery dispenser to sensing and hitting processes after dispense. It can also calculate the probability of kill of each target and the numbers of rounds required to fulfill the degree of damage in statistical manners. In this paper, we describe the basis for our design concepts reflected in the model to simulate the weapon effectiveness of top-attack smart munitions and provide simulation results for an example case.

A Study on the Final Probabilistic Safety Assessment for the Jordan Research and Training Reactor (JRTR 연구용원자로에 대한 최종 확률론적 안전성평가)

  • Lee, Yoon-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.86-95
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    • 2020
  • This paper describes the work and the results of the final Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) for the Jordan Research and Training Reactor (JRTR). This final PSA was undertaken to assess the level of safety for the design of a research reactor and to evaluate whether it is probabilistically safe to operate and reliable to use. The scope of the PSA described here is a Level 1 PSA, which addresses the risks associated with core damage. After reviewing the documents and its conceptual design, nine typical initiating events were selected regarding internal events during the normal operation of the reactor. AIMS-PSA (Version 1.2c) was used for the accident quantification, and FTREX was used as the quantification engine. 1.0E-15/yr of the cutoff value was used to deliminate the non-effective Minimal Cut Sets (MCSs) when quantifying the JRTR PSA model. As a result, the final result indicates a point estimate of 2.02E-07/yr for the overall Core Damage Frequency (CDF) attributable to internal initiating events in the core damage state for the JRTR. A Loss of Primary Cooling System Flow (LOPCS) is the dominant contributor to the total CDF by a single initiating event (9.96E-08/yr), and provides 49.4% of the CDF. General Transients (GTRNs) are the second largest contributor, and provide 32.9% (6.65E-08/yr) of the CDF.

Analysis of Time Domain Active Sensing Data from CX-100 Wind Turbine Blade Fatigue Tests for Damage Assessment

  • Choi, Mijin;Jung, Hwee Kwon;Taylor, Stuart G.;Farinholt, Kevin M.;Lee, Jung-Ryul;Park, Gyuhae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents the results obtained using time-series-based methods for structural damage assessment. The methods are applied to a wind turbine blade structure subjected to fatigue loads. A 9 m CX-100 (carbon experimental 100 kW) blade is harmonically excited at its first natural frequency to introduce a failure mode. Consequently, a through-thickness fatigue crack is visually identified at 8.5 million cycles. The time domain data from the piezoelectric active-sensing techniques are measured during the fatigue loadings and used to detect incipient damage. The damage-sensitive features, such as the first four moments and a normality indicator, are extracted from the time domain data. Time series autoregressive models with exogenous inputs are also implemented. These features could efficiently detect a fatigue crack and are less sensitive to operational variations than the other methods.

Effect of Glutamine on the Methotrexate Induced Gut Barrier Damage, Bacterial Translocation and Weight Changes in a Rat Model (백서에서 Methotrexate에 의하여 유발된 장관장벽손상 및 장내세균전위와 중량 변화에 대한 글루타민의 효과)

  • Kim, Eun-Jeong;Kim, Jeong-Wook
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2007
  • The aim of this study was to examine whether administration of glutamine are able to prevent the methotrexate induced gut barrier damage, bacterial translocation, and weight changes. The animals with glutamine were fed with L-glutamine (1.2 and 2.4 mg/kg/day) for 7 days before methotrexate administration (20 mg/kg orally). 48 hour after methotrexate administration, intestinal permeability were measured for an assessment of the gut barrier dysfunction. Also, enteric aerobic bacterial counts, number of gram-negatives in mesenteric lymph node (MLN), liver spleen, kidney and heart were measured for an assessment of the enteric bacterial number and bacterial translocation. Amounts of food intake, body weight changes and organ weight changes of liver spleen, kidney and heart were measured. Methotrexate administration caused body and liver weight loss regardless amounts of food intakes. Methotrexate induced increasing intestinal permeability, enteric bacterial undergrowth and bacterial translocation to MLN, liver and spleen, but not kidney and heart. The supplements with glutamine reduced the intestinal permeability bacterial translocation, and not influences enteric bacterial number, and body and liver weight changes. This study suggested that glutamine might effectively reduce methotrexate induced intestinal damage and bacterial translocation, but not influence body and organ weight loss.

Simulation of Water Temperature in the Downstream According to Withdrawal Types of Dam using EFDC Model (댐 방류형태가 하류 하천 수온변화에 미치는 영향 예측)

  • Park, Jae-Chung;Yoon, Jin-Hyuk;Jung, Yong-Moon;Son, Ji-Yeon;Song, Young-Il
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.715-724
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    • 2012
  • In this study, we simulated water temperature in the downstream according to withdrawal types of dam using EFDC model. Three scenarios were assumed as water was released from the surface layer, the middle layer, and the bottom layer at intervals of 10m depth. In case of the surface layer withdrawal, the water temperature rose from March and lowered gradually after it reached a peak in August. The middle and the bottom layers effluence temperatures were lower than the surface layer temperature by maximum $15.9^{\circ}C$(in July), but after September, temperature inversion appeared. It was advantageous for the surface layer withdrawal to decrease cold damage and fog in downstream area and was possible to the middle and the bottom layers withdrawal from August to September. However, the reliability of model should be improved by accumulating the real-time information of water temperature.

An Investigation of Quantitative Risk Assessment Methods for the Thermal Failure in Targets using Fire Modeling (화재모델링을 이용한 목표 대상물의 열적 손상에 대한 정량적 위험성 평가방법의 고찰)

  • Yang, Ho-Dong;Han, Ho-Sik;Hwang, Cheol-Hong;Kim, Sung-Chan
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.116-123
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    • 2016
  • The quantitative risk assessment methods for thermal failure in targets were studied using fire modeling. To this end, Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS), as a representative fire model, was used and the probabilities related to thermal damage to an electrical cable were evaluated according to the change in fire area inside a specific compartment. 'The maximum probability of exceeding the damage thresholds' adopted in a conservative point of view and 'the probability of failure' including the time to damage were compared. The probability of failure suggested in the present study could evaluate the quantitative fire risk more realistically, compared to the maximum probability of exceeding the damage thresholds with the assumption that thermal damage occurred the instant the target reached its minimum failure criteria in terms of the surface temperature and heat flux.

Numerical Investigation for Cumulative Damage Assessment of a One-way RC Slab subjected to Consecutive Explosions (전산수치해석을 이용한 일방향 철근콘크리트 슬래브의 연속폭발 누적피해 평가기법 연구)

  • Ji, Hun;Sung, Seung-Hun;Chong, Jin Wung;Choi, Yoon Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2020
  • This study numerically investigated a structural behavior subjected to consecutive explosions. To this end, a small scale one-way reinforced slab (RC) with fixed-fixed boundary condition was considered as the target structure, and a commercial software, LS-DYNA, was utilized for finite element (FE) analysis. Prior to performing FE analysis, preliminary tests were carried out to verification of a computational model for the one-way RC slab. In the numerical simulation, identical blast loads were consecutively applied to the structure, and cumulative damage assessment were carried out based on its maximum dynamic displacements. As a result of the numerical simulation, it was found that maximum displacements considering permanent deformation due to a prior explosion were almost linearly increased in every explosion until the hazardous damage threshold.