• Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.47-55
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• 1990

An adaptive algorithm was applied to forecast daily stream flows in real time using rainfall data. A three-component tank model was selected to simulate the flows and its time-variant parameters were self-calibrated with updated data using a parameter optimization scheme, golden section search method. The resulting adaptive model, APTANK, was applied to six watersheds, ranging from 0.47 to 33.62 km$^2$ size and the simulated daily streamflows were compared with the measured. The simulation results were in good agreement with the field data. APTANK is found to be applied to real-time flow simulation purposes such as a tool for irrigation water resources management and operations. The model is particularly good to simulate streamflows on dry days as compared to wet days having runoff-induced precipitation.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2001.05a
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• pp.383-388
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• 2001

• Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.105-112
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• 2010

The objective of this study is to develop a standardized model for analyzing water balances in large scaled water basin by considering agricultural water districts, and to evaluate the hydrological feasibility of applying this model to several water districts such as Nonbul, Geumbok, Daejeon 1, Daejeon 2, and Cheonggang in Geum river basin. Ten types of stream network were considered in developed model. Using this model, streamflows were simulated by major stations and water balances were analyzed by water districts. Simulated streamflows and measured streamflows were compared at check stations such as Gapcheon and Bugang stations in which Nash and Schcliffe's model efficiencies were 0.633, 0.902, respectively. This results showed its applicabilities to national water resources plan, rural water development plan, and total maximum daily load plan in Korea.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.2
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• pp.161-168
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• 2009

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the variation of probability flood according to the flow regulation by multi-purpose dams (Soyang and Chungju) in the Han-river basin, Korea. SWAT-K (Soil and Water Assessment Tool-Korea) was used in order to generate regulated and unregulated daily streamflows upstream of Paldang dam. Simulated flow regulated by the Soyang and Chungju dams was calibrated by comparison with the observed inflow data at Paldang reservoir. Generally the ratio of flood flows to daily streamflows is known to decrease with drainage area in a watershed. Regulated and unregulated flood flows were obtained from the relationship between flood flows and daily streamflows. Extreme Type-I distribution was applied for flood frequency analysis and L-moment method was used for parameter estimation. This is a novel approach capable of understanding the variation in flood frequency with dam operation for the relatively large watershed scale, and this will helps improve the applicability of daily stream flow data for use in flood control as well as in water utilization.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.39 no.3 s.164
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• pp.253-259
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• 2006

In almost all previous hydrological studies, the standard approach adopted for nonlinear time series analysis is to perform system characterization first followed by forecasting. However, a practical inverse approach for forecasting nonlinear hydrological time series was proposed recently To investigate the applicability standard approach method and inverse approach, this study used a theoretical time series (Mackey-Glass time series) and daily streamflows of the Bear River in Idaho. To predict a theoretical time series and daily streamflow, this study used local approximation method. From chaos analysis, chaotic characteristics are found in daily streamflow of the Bear River in Idaho. Resulting from 1, 3 and 5-day prediction, inverse approach method is shown to be better than the standard approach for a theoretical chaotic time series and daily streamflow.

• Water for future
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.105-113
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• 1992

The purpose of this paper is to introduce and to apply the artificial neural network theory to real hydrologic system for forecasting daily streamflows during flood periods. The hydrologic dynamic process of rainfall-runoff is identified by the iterated estimation of system parameters that are determined by adjusting the weights of the network according to the non-linear response characteristics which is formed the model. Back propagation algorithm of neural network model is applied for the estimation of system parameters with past daily rainfall and runoff series data, and streamflows are forecasted using the parameters. The forecasted results are analyzed by statistical methods for the comparison with the observed.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 1992.07a
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• pp.411-418
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• 1992

The purpose of this study is to develop dynamic-stochastic models that can forecast the inflow into reservoir during low/drought periods and flood periods. For the formulation of the models, the discrete transfer function is utilized to construct the deterministic characteristics, and the ARIMA model is utilized to construct the stochastic characteristics of residuals. The stochastic variations and structures of time series on hydrological data are examined by employing the auto/cross covariance function and auto/cross correlation function. Also, general modeling processes and forecasting method are used the model building methods of Box and Jenkins. For the verifications and applications of the developed models, the Chungju multi-purpose reservoir which is located in the South Han river systems is selected. Input data required are the current and past reservoir inflow and Yungchun water levels. In order to transform the water level at Yungchon into streamflows, the water level-streamflows rating curves at low/drought periods and flood periods are estimated. The models are calibrated with the flood periods of 1988 and 1989 and hourly data for 1990 flood are analyzed. Also, for the low/drought periods, daily data of 1988 and 1989 are calibrated, and daily data for 1989 are analyzed.

• Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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• v.4
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• pp.1-9
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• 1993

It is a major objective for the management and operation of water resources system to forecast streamflows. The applicability of artificial neural network model to hydrologic system is analyzed and the performance is compared by statistical method with observed. Multi-layered perception was used to model rainfall-runoff process at Pyung Chang River Basin in Korea. The neural network model has the function of learning the process which can be trained with the error backpropagation (EBP) algorithm in two phases; (1) learning phase permits to find the best parameters(weight matrix) between input and output. (2) adaptive phase use the EBP algorithm in order to learn from the provided data. The generalization results have been obtained on forecasting the daily and hourly streamflows by assuming them with the structure of ARMA model. The results show validities in applying to hydrologic forecasting system.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2005.05b
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• pp.143-148
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• 2005

The main purpose of this study is to suggest and evaluate an operational method for assessing the potential impact of climate change on hydrologic components and water resources of regional scale river basins. The method, which uses large scale climate change information provided by a state of the art general circulation model(GCM) comprises a statistical downscaling approach and a spatially distributed hydrological model applied to a river basin located in Korea. First, we construct global climate change scenarios using the YONU GCM control run and transient experiments, then transform the YONU GCM grid-box predictions with coarse resolution of climate change into the site-specific values by statistical downscaling techniques. The values are used to modify the parameters of the stochastic weather generator model for the simulation of the site-specific daily weather time series. The weather series fed into a semi-distributed hydrological model called SLURP to simulate the streamflows associated with other water resources for the condition of $2CO_2$. This approach is applied to the Yongdam dam basin in southern part of Korea. The results show that under the condition of $2CO_2$, about $7.6\% of annual mean streamflow is reduced when it is compared with the observed one. And while Seasonal streamflows in the winter and autumn are increased, a streamflow in the summer is decreased. However, the seasonality of the simulated series is similar to the observed pattern and the analysis of the duration cure shows the mean of averaged low flow is increased while the averaged wet and normal flow are decreased for the climate change.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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• 2000.10a
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• pp.384-389
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• 2000

A artificial neural network model was developed to analyze and forecast the flow fluctuation at small streams in the Balan watershed. Backpropagation neural networks were found to perform very well in forecasting daily streamflows. In order to deal with slow convergence and an appropriate structure, two algorithms were proposed for speeding up the convergence of the backpropagation method, and the Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC) was proposed for obtaining the optimal number of hidden nodes. From simulations using daily flows at the HS#3 watershed of the Balan Watershed Project, which is 412,5 ㏊ in size and relatively steep in landscape, it was found that those algorithms perform satisfactorily.