• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국데이터정보과학회 2005년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.135-138
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• 2005

In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for parameter change in time series models based on a cusum of squares. Although the test procedure is well-established for the mean and variance in time series models, a general parameter case was not discussed in literatures. Therefore, here we develop the cusum of squares type test for parameter change in a more general framework. As an example, we consider the change of the parameters in an RCA(1) model. Simulation results are reported for illustration.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.351-360
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• 2000

This paper considers the problem of testing a variance change in infinite order autoregressive models. A cusum of squares test based on the residuals from an AR(q) model is constructed analogous to Inclan and Tiao (1994)'s test statistic, where q is a sequence of positive integers diverging to $\infty$. It is shown that under regularity conditions the limiting distribution of the test statistic is the sup of a standard Brownian bridge. Simulation results are given to illustrate the performance of the test.

• 대한수학회보
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• 제48권4호
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• pp.839-845
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• 2011

In this paper, we consider the cusum of squares test for the dispersion parameter in stochastic differential equation models. It is shown that the test has a limiting distribution of the sup of a Brownian bridge, unaffected by the drift parameter estimation. A simulation result is provided for illustration.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.179-183
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• 2010

In this paper, we consider the change point problem in diusion processes based on discretely observed sample. Particularly, we consider the change point test for the dispersion parameter when the drift has unknown parameters. In performing a test, we employ the cusum of squares test based on the residuals. It is shown that the test has a limiting distribution of the sup of a Brownian bridge. A simulation result as to the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is provided for illustration. It demonstrates the validity of our test.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.549-553
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• 2011

In this paper, we deal with the problem of deciding the length of data for estimating the parameters in geometric Brownian motion. As an approach to this problem, we consider the change point test and introduce simple test statistic based on the cumulative sum of squares test (cusum test). A real data analysis is performed for illustration.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.547-554
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• 2010

In this paper, we extend the work by Lee et al. (2010) to multidimensional di usion processes. A test statistic analogous to the one-dimensional case is proposed to inves-tigate the joint stability of covariance matrix parameters and, under certain regularity conditions, is shown to have a limiting distribution of the sup of a multidimensional Brownian bridge. A simulation result is provided for illustration.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.417-427
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• 1997

In this paper the parameter change problem in the stationary time series is considered. We propose a cumulative sum (CUSUM) of squares-type test statistic for detection of parameter changes in the AR(1) process. The proposed test statistic is based on the CUSIM of the squared observations and is shown to converge to a standard Brownian bridge. Simulations are performed to evaluate the performance of the proposed statistic and a real example is provided to illustrate the procedure.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제24권6호
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• pp.1197-1211
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• 2011

The actual power performance of historical structural change tests are compared under various alternatives. The tests of interest are F, CUSUM, MOSUM, Moving Estimates and empirical distribution function tests with both recursive and ordinary least-squares residuals. Our comparison of the structural tests involves limiting distributions under the hypothesis, the ability to detect the alternative hypotheses under one or double structural change, and smooth change in parameters. Even though no version is uniformly superior to the other, the knowledge about the properties of those tests and connections between these tests can be used in practical structural change tests and in further research on other change tests.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.101-109
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• 1997

For the detection on variance changes in the nonstationary time series with a unit root two types of test statistics are proposed, of which one is based on the cumulative sum of squares and the other is based on the likelihood ratio test. The properties of the cusum type test statistic are derived and the performance of two tests in small samples are compared through Monte Carlo study. It is ovserved that the test based on the cumulative sum of squares can detect a samll change in the variance faster than the one based on the likelihood ratio.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제49권3호
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• pp.484-494
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• 2017

In industrial plants such as nuclear power plants, system operations are performed by embedded controllers orchestrated by Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) software. A targeted attack (also termed a control aware attack) on the controller/SCADA software can lead a control system to operate in an unsafe mode or sometimes to complete shutdown of the plant. Such malware attacks can result in tremendous cost to the organization for recovery, cleanup, and maintenance activity. SCADA systems in operational mode generate huge log files. These files are useful in analysis of the plant behavior and diagnostics during an ongoing attack. However, they are bulky and difficult for manual inspection. Data mining techniques such as least squares approximation and computational methods can be used in the analysis of logs and to take proactive actions when required. This paper explores methodologies and algorithms so as to develop an effective monitoring scheme against control aware cyber attacks. It also explains soft computation techniques such as the computational geometric method and least squares approximation that can be effective in monitor design. This paper provides insights into diagnostic monitoring of its effectiveness by attack simulations on a four-tank model and using computation techniques to diagnose it. Cyber security of instrumentation and control systems used in nuclear power plants is of paramount importance and hence could be a possible target of such applications.