• 제목/요약/키워드: cumulus convection

검색결과 8건 처리시간 0.025초

마이크로 유전알고리즘을 이용한 적운물리과정 모수 최적화에 따른 여름철 강수예측성능 개선 (The Improvement of Summer Season Precipitation Predictability by Optimizing the Parameters in Cumulus Parameterization Using Micro-Genetic Algorithm)

  • 장지연;이용희;최현주
    • 대기
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.335-346
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    • 2020
  • Three free parameters included in a cumulus parameterization are optimized by using micro-genetic algorithm for three precipitation cases occurred in the Korea Peninsula during the summer season in order to reduce biases in a regional model associated with the uncertainties of the parameters and thus to improve the predictability of precipitation. The first parameter is the one that determines the threshold in convective trigger condition. The second parameter is the one that determines boundary layer forcing in convective closure. Finally, the third parameter is the one used in calculating conversion parameter determining the fraction of condensate converted to convective precipitation. Optimized parameters reduce the occurrence of convections by suppressing the trigger of convection. The reduced convection occurrence decreases light precipitation but increases heavy precipitation. The sensitivity experiments are conducted to examine the effects of the optimized parameters on the predictability of precipitation. The predictability of precipitation is the best when the three optimized parameters are applied to the parameterization at the same time. The first parameter most dominantly affects the predictability of precipitation. Short-range forecasts for July 2018 are also conducted to statistically assess the precipitation predictability. It is found that the predictability of precipitation is consistently improved with the optimized parameters.

WRF, MM5, RSM 모형에서 모의한 2004년 7월 11-18일의 동아시아 몬순의 비교 (Intercomparison of the East-Asian Summer Monsoon on 11-18 July 2004, simulated by WRF, MM5, and RSM models)

  • 함수련;박선주;방철한;정병주;홍성유
    • 대기
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2005
  • This study compares the summer monsoon circulations during a heavy rainfall period over the Korean peninsular from 11 to 18 July 2004, simulated by three widely used regional models; WRF, MM5, and RSM. An identical model setup is carried out for all the experiments, except for the physical option differences in the RSM. The three models with a nominal resolution of about 50 km over Korea are nested by NCEP-DOE reanalysis data. Another RSM experiment with the same cumulus parameterization scheme as in the WRF and MM5 is designed to investigate the importance of the representation of subgrid-scale parameterized convection in reproducing monsoonal circulations in East Asia. All thee models are found to be capable of reproducing the general distribution of monsoonal precipitation, extending northeastward from south China across the Korean peninsula, to northern Japan. The results from the WRF and MM5 are similar in terms of accumulated precipitation, but a slightly better performance in the WRF than in the MM5. The RSM improves the bias for precipitation as compared to those from the WRF and MM5, but the pattern correlation is degraded due to overestimation of precipitation in northern China. In the comparison of simulated synoptic scale features, the RSM is found to reproduce the large-scale features well compared to the results from the MM5 and WRF. On the other hand, the simulated precipitation from the RSM with the convection scheme used in the MM5 and WRF is closer to that from the WRF and MM5 simulations, indicating the significant dependency of simulated precipitation in East Asia on the cumulus parameterization scheme.

대류가 유도하는 중력파 항력의 모수화가 GDAPS에 미치는 영향 (Impact of a Convectively Forced Gravity Wave Drag Parameterization in Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS))

  • 김소영;전혜영;박병권;이해진
    • 대기
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.303-318
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    • 2006
  • A parameterization of gravity wave drag induced by cumulus convection (GWDC) proposed by Chun and Baik is implemented in the KMA operational global NWP model (GDAPS), and effects of the GWDC on the forecast for July 2005 by GDAPS are investigated. The forecast result is compared with NCEP final analyses data (FNL) and model's own analysis data. Cloud-top gravity wave stresses are concentrated in the tropical region, and the resultant forcing by the GWDC is strong in the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. Nevertheless, the effect of the GWDC is strong in the mid- to high latitudes of Southern Hemisphere and high latitudes of Northern Hemisphere. By examining the effect of the GWDC on the amplitude of the geopotential height perturbation with zonal wavenumbers 1-3, it is found that impact of the GWDC is extended to the high latitudes through the change of planetary wave activity, which is maximum in the winter hemisphere. The GWDC reduces the amplitude of zonal wavenumber 1 but increases wavenumber 2 in the winter hemisphere. This change alleviates model biases in the zonal wind not only in the lower stratosphere where the GWDC is imposed, but also in the whole troposphere, especially in the mid- to high latitudes of Southern Hemisphere. By examining root mean square error, it is found that the GWDC parameterization improves GDAPS forecast skill in the Southern Hemisphere before 7 days and partially in the Northern Hemisphere after about 5 days.

우리나라에서 관측된 구름의 분류 (A Classification of Clouds Observed in Korea)

  • 소선섭;전삼진
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.565-578
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    • 1997
  • 구름의 생성 원인은 상승기류에 의한 단열 냉각인데 이에는 대류에 의한 상승기류와 전선에 동반되는 상승기류가 있고 또 복사냉각과 한냉공기와 온난공기의 혼합 등이 있다. 이러한 구름의 생성원인에 따라 대기 중에 떠 있는 구름은 고도와 모양이 다양하다. 구름모양은 L. Howard가 1803년에 제창한 것에 기초를 두고 분류되어 있으며, 분류의 기본은 가늘고 긴 섬유모양의 구름, 층모양의 구름, 뭉게뭉게 쌓인 구름의 3가지 형태로 크게 구분되고, 고도와 형태에 따라 다시 10 류(類)로 세분되어진다. 대부분이 유형은 구름의 외관상 특징이나 대류의 강도와 같은 구조상의 차이에 따라 종(種)별로 더욱더 세분된다. 때로는 구름은 어떤 모양의 모체의 그 일부가 전혀 별개의 유형으로 발생하거나 모체 전체가 별개의 유형으로 변화하는데 이 경우에는 원래 유형의 구름을 어미 구름이라고 한다. 우리나라에서는 층적운, 고층운, 권운의 구름들이 자주 나타난다. 일반적으로 고층운, 층운, 층적운과 같은 층운형에서 비나 눈이 내리고, 적운형인 고적운, 적운, 적란운에서는 소나기, 우박이 내리거나 모체 전체가 별개의 유형으로 변화하는데 이 경우에는 원래 유형의 구름을 어미 구름이라고 한다. 우리나라에서는 층적운, 고층운, 권운의 구름들이 자주 나타난다. 일반적으로 고층운, 층운, 층적운과 같은 층운형에서 비나 눈이 내리고, 적운형인 고적운, 적운, 적란운에서는 소나기, 우박의 강수현상이 있다.

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Sensitivity of Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation to Parameterization Schemes

  • Singh, G.P.
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2010
  • The Indian summer monsoon behaved an abnormal way in 2002 and as a result there was a large deficiency in precipitation (especially in July) over a large part of the Indian subcontinent. For the study of deficient monsoon of 2002, a recent version of the NCAR regional climate model (RegCM3) has been used to examine the important features of summer monsoon circulations and precipitation during 2002. The main characteristics of wind fields at lower level (850 hPa) and upper level (200 hPa) and precipitation simulated with the RegCM3 over the Indian subcontinent are studied using different cumulus parameterization schemes namely, mass flux schemes, a simplified Kuo-type scheme and Emanuel (EMU) scheme. The monsoon circulation features simulated by RegCM3 are compared with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and simulated precipitation is validated against observation from the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC). Validation of the wind fields at lower and upper levels show that the use of Arakawa and Schubert (AS) closure in Grell convection scheme, a Kuo type and Emanuel schemes produces results close to the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. Similarly, precipitation simulated with RegCM3 over different homogeneous zones of India with the AS closure in Grell is more close to the corresponding observed monthly and seasonal values. RegcM3 simulation also captured the spatial distribution of deficient rainfall in 2002.

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Simulation of anomalous Indian Summer Monsoon of 2002 with a Regional Climate Model

  • Singh, G.P.;Oh, Jai-Ho
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2008
  • The Indian summer monsoon behaved in an abnormal way in 2002 and as a result there was a large deficiency in precipitation (especially in July) over a large part of the Indian subcontinent. For the study of deficient monsoon of 2002, a recent version of the NCAR regional climate model (RegCM3) has been used to examine the important features of summer monsoon circulations and precipitation during 2002. The main characteristics of wind fields at lower level (850 hPa) and upper level (200 hPa) and precipitation simulated with the RegCM3 over the Indian subcontinent are studied using different cumulus parameterization schemes namely, mass flux schemes, a simplified Kuo-type scheme and Emanuel (EMU) scheme. The monsoon circulation features simulated by RegCM3 are compared with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and simulated precipitation is validated against observation from the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC). Validation of the wind fields at lower and upper levels shows that the use of Arakawa and Schubert (AS) closure in Grell convection scheme, a Kuo type and Emanuel schemes produces results close to the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. Similarly, precipitation simulated with RegCM3 over different homogeneous zones of India with the AS closure in Grell is more close to the corresponding observed monthly and seasonal values. RegcM3 simulation also captured the spatial distribution of deficient rainfall in 2002.

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지역 기후 모형을 이용한 한반도 강수 모의에서 수평 해상도의 영향 (Impact of Horizontal Resolution of Regional Climate Model on Precipitation Simulation over the Korean Peninsula)

  • 이영호;차동현;이동규
    • 대기
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.387-395
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    • 2008
  • The impact of horizontal resolution on a regional climate model was investigated by simulating precipitation over the Korean Peninsula. As a regional climate model, the SNURCM(Seoul National University Regional Climate Model) has 21 sigma layers and includes the NCAR CLM(National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Land Model) for land-surface model, the Grell scheme for cumulus convection, the Simple Ice scheme for explicit moisture, and the MRF(Medium-Range Forecast) scheme for PBL(Planetary Boundary Layer) processing. The SNURCM was performed with 20 km resolution for Korea and 60 km resolution for East Asia during a 20-year period (1980-1999). Although the SNURCM systematically underestimated precipitation over the Korean Peninsula, the increase of model resolution simulated more precipitation in the southern region of the Korean Peninsula, and a more accurate distribution of precipitation by reflecting the effect of topography. The increase of precipitation was produced by more detailed terrain data which has a 10 minute terrain in the 20 km resolution model compared to the 30 minute terrain in the 60 km resolution model. The increase in model resolution and more detailed terrain data played an important role in generating more precipitation over the Korean Peninsula. While the high resolution model with the same terrain data resulted in increasing of precipitation over the Korean Peninsula including the adjoining sea, the difference of the terrain data resolution only influenced the precipitation distribution of the mountainous area by increasing the amount of non-convective rain. In conclusion, the regional climate model (SNURCM) with higher resolution simulated more precipitation over the Korean Peninsula by reducing the systematic underestimation of precipitation over the Korean Peninsula.

대류가 유도하는 중규모 흐름에 미치는 비정역학 효과 (Nonhydrostatic Effects on Convectively Forced Mesoscale Flows)

  • 우소라;백종진;이현호;한지영;서재명
    • 대기
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.293-305
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    • 2013
  • 대류가 유도하는 중규모 흐름에 미치는 비정역학 효과를 조사하기 위하여 기존의 무차원화된 정역학 모형을 바탕으로 무차원화된 비정역학 모형을 개발하였다. 모형을 검증하기 위하여 정역학 방정식 계의 해석해와 비정역학성이 아주 작은 경우의 수치 실험 결과를 비교하였고, 두 결과가 거의 같음을 확인하였다. 무차원화된 비정역학 모형을 이용하여 선형 계와 비선형 계에서 대류가 유도하는 중규모 흐름에 미치는 비정역학 효과를 조사하였다. 선형 계와 비선형 계 모두에서 비정역학성 인자가 작은 경우 열원 꼭대기 위에서 연직 방향으로, 비정역학성 인자가 상대적으로 큰 경우 주 상승 기류의 풍하측에서 수평 방향으로 상승 운동과 하강 운동이 교대하는 파동 형태의 섭동장이 나타났다. 풍하측에서 나타나는 상승 운동과 하강 운동을 분석하기 위하여 선형, 정상 상태, 비점성 흐름에 대한 Taylor-Goldstein 방정식을 구하였다. 주 상승기류의 풍하측에서 교대로 나타나는 상승 하강 기류세포는 전파파의 수평 방향 전파 성분과 에바네센트파, 즉 비정역학성 인자에 의해 결정되는 임계 파장보다 파장이 짧아 연직 방향으로 전파되지 못하고 수평 방향으로만 전파되는 중력파의 중첩으로 설명할 수 있다. 선형 계에 대한 수치 실험 결과에서 나타난 상승 하강 기류 세포의 수평 방향 길이는 선형 계에 대한 방정식에서 얻은 에바네센트 파의 임계 파장 길이의 절반과 일치하였으나, 약한 비선형 계에 대한 수치 실험 결과에서 나타난 상승 하강 기류 세포의 수평 방향 길이는 선형 계에 대한 방정식에서 얻은 에바네센트 파의 임계 파장 길이의 절반보다 다소 길었다. 주 상승 기류 지역 내에서 최대 상승 기류의 위치는 비선형성과 비정역학성 정도에 따라 다르게 나타났다.