• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.90-96
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• 2000

The technology of preventive maintenance and corrective maintenance is widely applied to ships in order to maintain the good voyageable condition. One of the most important fields of marine engineering is to seek the maximum availability and to solve the stochastic maintenance problem such that the cost for corrective maintenance is minimized. Accordingly, for the purpose of making the most suitable maintenance schedule which minimizes the expected cost function, this paper suggests the method to grasp the failure characteristics by the ship's maintenance data that are collected from the past. And, suggests the method to estimate the optimal maintenance interval by using the dynamic programming and the cumulative hazard rate function attained from the maintenance data.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제30권3호
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• pp.235-244
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• 1998

The parametric model method determines the accident source term which is Presented by a set of source term parameters. In this method, the cumulative distribution of each source term parameter should be derived for its uncertainty analysis. This paper introduces a method of generating the parameters in the form of cumulative distribution using MAAP version 4.0. In MAAP, there are model parameters which could incorporate uncertain physical and/or chemical phenomena. In general, the model parameters do not have a point value but a range. In this paper, considering that, the input values of model parameters influencing each parameter are sampled using LHS. Then, the computation results are shown in cumulative distribution form. For a case study, the CDFs of FCOR and WES of Kori Unit 1 are derived. The target scenarios for the computation are the ones whose initial events are large LOCA, small LOCA and transient, respectively. It is found that the computed CDF's in this study are consistent to those of NUREG-1150 and the use of MAAP is proven to be adequate in assessing the parameters of the severe accident source term.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제23권6호
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• pp.1057-1065
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• 2010

In this paper we discuss some cautionary notes in using the Pearson chi-squared test statistic for the goodness-of-fit of the ordinal response model. If a model includes continuous type explanatory variables, the resulting table from the t of a model is not a regular one in the sense that the cell boundaries are not fixed but randomly determined by some other criteria. The chi-squared statistic from this kind of table does not have a limiting chi-square distribution in general and we need to be very cautious of the use of a chi-squared type goodness-of-t test. We also study the limiting distribution of the chi-squared type statistic for testing the goodness-of-t of cumulative logit models with ordinal responses. The regularity conditions necessary to the limiting distribution will be reformulated in the framework of the cumulative logit model by modifying those of Moore and Spruill (1975). Due to the complex limiting distribution, a parametric bootstrap testing procedure is a good alternative and we explained the suggested method through a practical example of an ordinal response dataset.

• 연구논문집
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• 통권32호
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• pp.35-43
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• 2002

This study was performed to develop accelerated life test method of machanical parts using cumulative damage theory that used to model the fatigue of parts that receive variable load. The cumulative damage theory was introduced, and the estimation of life and calculation of accelerated life test time was illustrated. As the actual application example, accelerated life test method of agricultural tractor transmission was described. Life distribution of agricultural tractor transmission was supposed to follow Weibull distribution and life test time was calculated under the conditions of average life (MTBF) 3,000 hours and 90% reliability for one test sample. According to the cumulative damage theory, because test time can shorten in case increase test load, test time could be reduced by 482 hours when we put the load 1.1 times of rated load than 0.73 times of rated load that is equivalent load calculated by load spectrum of the agricultural tractor. This time, acceleration coefficient was 11.7. This accelerated test method was used to develop accelerated test method of gear reducer, hydraulic hose and bearing as well as agricultural tractor transmission and it is considered to be applied comprehensively to machanical parts the fatigue of which is happened by load or pressure etc.

• 한국IT서비스학회지
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.131-140
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• 2019

This study compares and analyzes the spatial distribution of people in two cities using location information in twitter data. The target cities were selected as Paris, a traditional tourist city, and Dubai, a tourist city that has recently attracted attention. The data was collected over 123 days in 2016 and 125 days in 2018. We compared the spatial distribution of two cities according to the two periods and residence status. In this study, we have found a hot place using a spatial statistical model called dart-shaped space division and estimated the urban area by reflecting the distribution of tweet population. And we visualized it as a CDF (cumulative distribution function) curve so that the distance between all the tweets' occurrence points and the city center point can be compared for different cities.

• 한국수학사학회지
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• 제35권6호
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• pp.149-170
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• 2022

This study discusses in terms of historical genesis whether it is reasonable for Bayes to introduce a prior uniform distribution. In this study, we try to analyze the way he dealt with postulates, lemmas, and propositions in Bayes' essay and to understand its characteristics. The results of the study show that Bayes used random variables for two parameters and that the two random variables were converted to each other through cumulative distribution. Furthermore, it is revealed that the introduction of prior uniform distribution can be justified by this way.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.583-591
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• 2004

In this study, methodologies for the rational organization of air pollution monitoring network were examined by understanding the characteristics of temporal and spatial distribution of secondary air pollution, whose significance would increase hereafter. The data on $O_3$ and $NO_2$ concentrations during high ozone period in 1998~1999 recorded at the nine air pollution monitoring station in Busan were analysed using principal component analysis (PCA) and cumulative semivariogram. It was found that the ozone concentration was deeply associated with the daily emission characteristics or the $O_3$ precusors, and nitrogen dioxide concentration largely depends on the emission strength of regional sources. According to the spatial distribution analysis of ozone and nitrogen dioxide in Busan using cumulative semivariograms, the number of monitoring stations for the secondary air pollution can be reduced in east-west direction, but reinforced in north-south direction to explain the spacial variability. More scientific and rational relocation of air pollution monitoring network in Busan would be needed to investigate pollution status accurately and to plan and implement the pollution reduction policies effectively.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.993-999
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• 2004

The estimation of fatigue life at the design stage of membrane type LNG tank is very important in order to arrive at feasible and cost effective solutions considering the total lifetime of the tank. In this study, the practical procedure of fatigue life prediction by use of cumulative damage factors based on Miner-Palmgren hypothesis and probability density function has been shown with the corner region of Gaz Transport Membrane type LNG tank being used as an example. In particular the parameters of Weibull distribution that determine the stress spectrum are discussed. The main results obtained from this study are as follows: 1. The recommended value for the shape parameter of Weibull distribution for the LNG tank is 1.1 in case of using the direct calculation method proposed in this study. 2. The calculated fatigue life is influenced by the shape parameter of Weibull distribution and stress block. The safe fatigue design can be achieved by using higher value of shape parameter and the stress blocks divided into more stress blocks.

• 조명전기설비학회논문지
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• 제22권10호
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• pp.49-55
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• 2008

본 논문은 확률분포를 이용하여 전력설비의 기대여명을 산출하는 방법을 제안한다. 전력설비의 기대여명이란 해당 설비의 잔존수명으로, 기대여명은 전력시스템의 보수계획, 설비교체계획, 신뢰도 평가에 유용하게 이용될 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 각 운전년수별로 향후 운전가능년수에 대한 누적확률을 계산하고, 계산한 누적확률로 누적확률분포함수모델의 모수를 결정한 후, 모델함수의 평균값을 구하여 기대여명을 산정한다. 제안한 방법에서는 정립한 누적확률분포함수모델을 이용하여 기대여명 뿐만 아니라, 향후 특정 운전년수에 이르기 위한 기대확률까지도 쉽게 구할 수 있다. 제안한 방법은 우리나라 복합화력 발전소 발전기의 기대여명 추정에 적용하여 그 효용성을 입증하였다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.357-371
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• 2007

경쟁위험(competing risk) 하에서의 누적 발생함수(cumulative incidence function)는 일반적으로 비모수적 방법으로 추정된다. 그러나 관심 있는 원인에 의한 사건이 다른 원인에 의한 사건보다 상대적으로 적게 발생하는 경우에 비모수적 방법으로 추정된 누적발생함수는 이산성으로 인해 다소 정확하지 않게 된다. 이와 같은 경우에 Bryant와 Diagnam(2004)는 관심 있는 원인에 대한 원인특정적 위험함수(cause-specific hazard function)를 모수적으로 모형화하고 다른 원인에 의한 사건은 비모수적으로 추정하는 준모수적 방법을 제안했다. 본 연구에서는 준모수적 누적발생함수 추정량을 재표현하고 와이블분포모형과 대수 정규분포모형으로 확장하였다. 또한 대수 정규분포 원인특정적 위험모형일 경우 누적 발생함수에 대한 비모수적 추정량, 와이블분포 준모수적 추정량과 대수 정규분포 준모수적 추정량의 효율성을 비교하며 준모수적 추정량의 성능과 모형 오설정이 미치는 영향을 살펴보았다.