• 제목/요약/키워드: cox proportional hazard model

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콕스 비례위험 모형을 이용한 중소기업의 업종별 생존율 및 생존요인 분석 (Survival analysis on the business types of small business using Cox's proportional hazard regression model)

  • 박진경;오광호;김민수
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.257-269
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    • 2012
  • 최근 글로벌 금융위기와 중소기업들의 연이은 도산으로 인해 국내 중소기업들의 구조조정에 대한 논의가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 신용보증기금에 등록된 중소기업 자료에 대하여 업종별 생존율 동향을 비교분석하였다. 이때 생존율의 차이는 로그순위 검정과 윌콕슨의 검정통계량을 사용하여 분석하였다. 또한 재무변수들을 이용하여 중소기업의 업종별 콕스 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과, 도소매업과 서비스업이 경공업과 중공업, 건설업에 비하여 생존율이 높았으며, 건설업의 경우 생존율이 가장 낮음을 알 수 있었다. 또한, 업종별로 유의한 재무변수를 살펴보면, 건설업은 자기자본비율, 유동비율이 커질수록 부도율이 감소하는 반면에 차입금의존도가 커질수록 부도율이 증가하였다. 경공업은 자기자본비율, 총자산 순이익률이 커질수록, 도소매업은 자기자본비율, 유동비율이 커질수록 부도율이 감소하였다. 중공업은 자기자본비율, 총자산 순이익률, 유동비율이 커질수록 부도율이 감소하였지만 결합지표가 커질수록 부도율이 증가하였다. 마지막으로, 서비스업은 유동비율이 커질수록 부도율이 감소하였다.

Clinical Outcomes and Prognostic Factors Associated with the Response to Erlotinib in Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Patients with Unknown EGFR Mutational Status

  • Aydiner, Adnan;Yildiz, Ibrahim;Seyidova, Avesta
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.3255-3261
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    • 2013
  • Background: The efficacy of erlotinib is controversial in patients with unknown EGFR mutational status. The aim of this study was to identify the clinicopathological factors that are predictive of erlotinob treatment outcomes for NSCLC patients with unknown EGFR mutational status. Materials and Methods: A retrospective analysis of 109 patients with advanced NSCLC who had previously failed at least one line of chemotherapy and received subsequent treatment with erlotinib (150 mg/day orally) was performed. A Cox proportional hazard model for univariate and multivariate analyses was used to identify the baseline clinical parameters correlating with treatment outcome, expressed in terms of hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals. Results: The median treatment duration was 15 weeks (range, 4-184). The disease control rate was 55%, including disease stability for ${\geq}3$ months for 40% of the patients. Median progression-free survival and median overall survival (OS) were 4.2 and 8.5 months, respectively. The Cox model indicated that an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) ${\geq}2$ (HR 3.82; p<0.001), presence of intra-abdominal metastasis (HR 3.42; p=0.002), 2 or more prior chemotherapy regimens (HR 2.29; p=0.021), and weight loss >5% (HR 2.05; p=0.034) were independent adverse prognostic factors for OS in NSCLC patients treated with erlotinib. Conclusions: This study suggests that NSCLC patients should be enrolled in erlotinib treatment after a first round of unsuccessful chemotherapy to improve treatment success, during which they should be monitored for intra-abdominal metastasis and weight loss.

Vascular Invasion as an Independent Prognostic Factor in Lymph Node Negative Invasive Breast Cancer

  • Rezaianzadeh, Abbas;Talei, Abdolrasoul;Rajaeefard, Abdereza;Hasanzadeh, Jafar;Tabatabai, Hamidreza;Tahmasebi, Sedigheh;Mousavizadeh, Ali
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권11호
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    • pp.5767-5772
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    • 2012
  • Introduction: Identification of simple and measurable prognostic factors is an important issue in treatment evaluation of breast cancer. The present study was conducted to evaluate the prognostic role of vascular invasion in lymph node negative breast cancer patients. Methods: in a retrospective design, we analyzed the recorded profiles of the 1,640 patients treated in the breast cancer department of Motahari clinic affiliated to Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran, from January 1999 to December 2012. Overall and adjusted survivals were evaluated by the Cox proportional hazard model. All the hypotheses were considered two-sided and a p-value of 0.05 or less was considered as statistically significant. Results: Mean age in lymph node negative and positive patients was 50.0 and 49.8 respectively. In lymph node negative patients, the number of nodes, tumor size, lymphatic invasion, vascular invasion, progesterone receptor, and nuclear grade were significant predictors. In lymph node and lymphatic negative patients, vascular invasion also played a significant prognostic role in the survival which was not evident in lymph node negative patients with lymphatic invasion. Discussion: The results of our large cohort study, with long term follow up and using multivariate Cox proportional model and comparative design showed a significant prognostic role of vascular invasion in early breast cancer patients. Vascular invasion as an independent prognostic factor in lymph node negative invasive breast cancer.

Risk of Cancer Mortality according to the Metabolic Health Status and Degree of Obesity

  • Oh, Chang-Mo;Jun, Jae Kwan;Suh, Mina
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권22호
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    • pp.10027-10031
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    • 2014
  • Background: We investigated the risk of cancer mortality according to obesity status and metabolic health status using sampled cohort data from the National Health Insurance system. Materials and Methods: Data on body mass index and fasting blood glucose in the sampled cohort database (n=363,881) were used to estimate risk of cancer mortality. Data were analyzed using a Cox proportional hazard model (Model 1 was adjusted for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol level and urinary protein; Model 2 was adjusted for Model 1 plus smoking status, alcohol intake and physical activity). Results: According to the obesity status, the mean hazard ratios were 0.82 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.75-0.89] and 0.79 (95% CI, 0.72-0.85) for the overweight and obese groups, respectively, compared with the normal weight group. According to the metabolic health status, the mean hazard ratio was 1.26 (95% CI, 1.14-1.40) for the metabolically unhealthy group compared with the metabolically healthy group. The interaction between obesity status and metabolic health status on the risk of cancer mortality was not statistically significant (p=0.31). Conclusions: We found that the risk of cancer mortality decreased according to the obesity status and increased according to the metabolic health status. Given the rise in the rate of metabolic dysfunction, the mortality from cancer is also likely to rise. Treatment strategies targeting metabolic dysfunction may lead to reductions in the risk of death from cancer.

한국노동패널 탈락 분석 (Panel attrition factors in Korean Labor and Income Panel Study)

  • 이상협;박찬용;정성석;최혜미
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • 동일한 표본에 대하여 여러 시점에 걸쳐 반복적으로 조사되는 패널자료의 경우 표본의 탈락은 조사 결과의 신뢰성과 표본의 대표성 등에 문제를 야기할 수 있어 표본 탈락의 경향이나 요인에 대한 분석을 통해 표본의 탈락률을 낮추는 방안이 모색되어져야 할 것이다. 본 연구에서는 11년간(1998~2008) 한국노동패널 자료의 표본 탈락 시간에 대한 정보를 사용하여 생명표방법과 Cox 비례위험모형으로 표본 탈락에 영향을 주는 요인을 분석하였다.

병원은 왜 폐업하는가?: Cox 비례위험모형을 중심으로 (Analysis of Determinants of Hospital Closures: Focusing on Cox Proportional Hazard Model)

  • 옥현민;김성현;지석민
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.317-322
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    • 2022
  • Background: Limited access to medical services causes problems in patients' health and life. Also, hospital closures cause concentration towards general hospitals, which leads to worsening National Health Insurance finance. Therefore, hospital closure is an important topic to be analyzed. Methods: This paper analyzed the factors that affect hospital closures using survival analysis with the data of 970 hospitals opened between 2010 and 2019 in Korea. The number of medical personnel, hospital rooms, sickbeds, and medical departments were used as explanatory variables. Results: The number of medical personnel and hospital rooms increased the survival probability while the number of sickbeds and medical departments decrease the survival probability. Conclusion: The results suggest that hospitals have economies of scale and diseconomies of scope in management.

A Database of Gene Expression Profiles of Korean Cancer Genome

  • Kim, Seon-Kyu;Chu, In-Sun
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.86-89
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    • 2015
  • Because there are clear molecular differences entailing different treatment effectiveness between Korean and non-Korean cancer patients, identifying distinct molecular characteristics of Korean cancers is profoundly important. Here, we report a web-based data repository, namely Korean Cancer Genome Database (KCGD), for searching gene signatures associated with Korean cancer patients. Currently, a total of 1,403 cancer genomics data were collected, processed and stored in our repository, an ever-growing database. We incorporated most widely used statistical survival analysis methods including the Cox proportional hazard model, log-rank test and Kaplan-Meier plot to provide instant significance estimation for searched molecules. As an initial repository with the aim of Korean-specific marker detection, KCGD would be a promising web application for users without bioinformatics expertise to identify significant factors associated with cancer in Korean.

농촌지역 노인들의 인지기능 장애와 사망과의 관련성 (The Relationship between the Cognitive Impairment and Mortality in the Rural Elderly)

  • 선병환;박경수;나백주;박요섭;남해성;신준호;손석준;이정애
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.630-642
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    • 1997
  • 60세이상 노인인구를 대상으로 '농촌지역 노인들의 우울 및 인지기능 장애에 관한 연구'를 한 이정애와 정향균의 연구대상 558명에 대해 농촌지역 노인들의 인지기능 장애와 사망과의 관련성을 살펴본 결과는 다음과 같다. 1) 3년동안 동안 전체 대상자의 사망률은 558명중 57명인 10.2%이었으며 353명의 정상 인지기능군 중 사망자는 30명으로 사망률 8.5%, 126명 의 경도 인지장애군중 사망자는 14명으로 사망률 11.1%, 79명의 중증 인지장애군중 사망자는 13명으로 사망률 16.5% 이었다(표 3). 2) 3년동안 전체 연구 대상자의 생존율은 0.91이었으며 정상, 경도, 중증 인지기능 장애군의 3년 생존율은 각각 0.92, 0.90, 0.86이었다. 로그 순위 검정법으로 인지기능 정상군과 경도 및 중증의 각 인지기능 장애군의 생존곡선을 비교한 결과 통계적으로 유의하지 않았다. 또한 인지기능 정상군과 경도 이상의 인지기능 장애군간 생존곡선을 비교한 결과도 유의한 차이는 없었다. 3) 혼란변인을 보정하지 않는 Cox의 비례위험 회귀 모형의 단변량분석의 결과 95% 신뢰구간(C.I. : Confidence Interval)에서 사망위험도가 유의한 변인은 연령, 월수입, 흡연습관, 신체장애 등이었으며, 인지기능 장애정도를 정상 그리고 경도 및 중증으로 분류한 분석에서는 정상군에 비해 경도 및 중증의 사망위험도가 유의하게 높지 않았으나, 인지기능 점수(MMSEK score)의 증가에 따른 분석 결과 사망위험도가 0.94로 유의하게 낮게 나타났다(표 4). 4) 잠재적 혼란변인들의 영향을 보정한 Cox의 비례위험 회귀모형의 다변량 분석의 결과 인지기능 장애정도 및 MMSEK 점수증가에 따른 사망위험도는 어느 모형에서도 인지기능 장애정도가 사망에 미치는 위험도는 통계적으로 유의하지 않았다(표 5). 5) 남녀별로 각각 인지기능 장애와 사망위험도와의 관계를 알아보기 위해 다변량 분석을 시행한 결과 인지기능 장애정도 및 MMSEK 점수 증가에 따른 사망위험도는 어느 모형에서도 인지기능 장애정도가 사망에 미치는 위험도는 통계적으로 유의하지 않았다(표 6, 표 7). 이상 본 연구는 농촌지역 노인들에서 인지기능 장애정도가 사망에 미치는 영향을 알아보고자 하였지만, 인지기능 장애정도가 사망에 미치는 영향을 통계적으로 유의하게 고찰하지 못하였다.

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노인장기요양 재가서비스 이용자의 시설 입소 영향 요인 (Factors Related to Nursing Home Institutionalization of Elderly using Home Care Services)

  • 한은정;황라일;이정석
    • 한국보건간호학회지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.512-525
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: Ageing in place may improve the quality of life of frail elderly and decrease their costs of services. The purpose of this study was to examine the factors that influence the institutionalization of elderly using home care services in a Korean long-term care insurance system. Methods: This study used the data of '2009 Satisfaction survey of Korean long-term care system'. The survey proceeded to use a sampling data based on region, level of long-term care need, and insurance type among the beneficiaries between August and September 2009. The onset dates of institutionalization of 1,095 participants were ascertained from long-term care insurance claim data. This study calculated the hazard ratio through the Cox Proportional Hazard Model. Results: A total of 176 subjects who were institutionalized in nursing homes were included. There were higher risks in the group that included those who were 85 years and over, had dementia or fracture, used home-visit nursing service, and were not supported by direct family. Conclusion: The results of this study have policy implications to supplement the home care service system and postpone nursing home institutionalization of elderly.

Characteristics Associated with Survival in Patients Receiving Continuous Deep Sedation in a Hospice Care Unit

  • Ahn, Hee Kyung;Ahn, Hong Yup;Park, So Jung;Hwang, In Cheol
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.254-260
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    • 2021
  • Continuous deep sedation (CDS) is an extreme form of palliative sedation to relieve refractory symptoms at the end of life. In this study, we shared our experiences with CDS and examined the clinical characteristics associated with survival in patients with terminal cancer who received CDS. We conducted a chart audit of 106 consecutive patients with terminal cancer who received CDS at a single hospice care unit between January 2014 and December 2016. Survival was defined as the first day of admission to the date of death. The associations between clinical characteristics and survival were presented as hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals using a Cox proportional hazard model. The mean age of participants was 65.2 years, and 33.0% (n=35) were women. Diazepam was the most commonly administered drug, and haloperidol or lorazepam were also used if needed. One sedative was enough for a majority of the patients. Stepwise multivariate analysis identified poor functioning, a high Palliative Prognostic Index score, hyperbilirubinemia, high serum ferritin levels, and a low number of sedatives as independent poor prognostic factors. Our experiences and findings are expected to be helpful for shared decision-making and further research on palliative sedation.