• Title/Summary/Keyword: cost risk management

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A Study on the Cost Risk Analysis Method for Construction Projects (건설 프로젝트의 코스트 리스크 분석방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Dong-Un;Kim Yeong-Su
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.4 no.4 s.16
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    • pp.201-211
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    • 2003
  • Considering about construction projects characteristics, there Is an existing uncertainty which causes inaccuracy or invalidity under decision making situation. Therefore, cost risk analysis of numerous construction projects are Inclined to depend on expert's experiences and subjective judgements. In Korean domestic construction works, however, there is no reasonable method or process for applying subjective elements. Only probabilistic analysis using objective calculation are being used now. This research suggests a cost risk analysis method to analyze quantitatively Cost Impact by risk, and it appraises expert's subjective elements for the purpose of enhancing validity of cost estimation. Moreover, a new cost risk analysis method is introduced for providing convenient user interface in practical business.

Scenario Planning and Risk Failure Mode Effect and Analysis (RFMEA) based Management

  • Paul, Virendra Kumar;Basu, Chaitali
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.24-29
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    • 2016
  • This paper elaborates the significance of scenario planning in risk management, and presents an integrated approach which takes into account the 'Risk Events' derived from scenario planning for risk prioritisation. This research integrates scenario planning with Risk Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (RFMEA) through examples from construction litigations of project schedule and cost overrun cases as a simplified approach to project risk management. The proposed methodology incorporates scenarios developed from realistic events of dispute and arbitration cases from construction projects, and thereby increasing potential to foresee risks and their effects well in advance. The results from this methodology shall be validated against outcome of survey study conducted by KPMG-PMI (2013) on project schedule and cost overruns that was based on Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) Project Monitoring data for 2012-13.

A Cost-Optimization Scheme Using Security Vulnerability Measurement for Efficient Security Enhancement

  • Park, Jun-Young;Huh, Eui-Nam
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.61-82
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    • 2020
  • The security risk management used by some service providers is not appropriate for effective security enhancement. The reason is that the security risk management methods did not take into account the opinions of security experts, types of service, and security vulnerability-based risk assessment. Moreover, the security risk assessment method, which has a great influence on the risk treatment method in an information security risk assessment model, should be security risk assessment for fine-grained risk assessment, considering security vulnerability rather than security threat. Therefore, we proposed an improved information security risk management model and methods that consider vulnerability-based risk assessment and mitigation to enhance security controls considering limited security budget. Moreover, we can evaluate the security cost allocation strategies based on security vulnerability measurement that consider the security weight.

A Study on the Selection Method of Project Procurement System based on Owner's Requirement (발주자의 요구사항을 고려한 발주방식 선정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Hye-Won;Ahn, Kyung-Hwan;Kim, Chang-Gyo;Lee, Jea-Sauk;Chun, Jae-Youl
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.126-135
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    • 2009
  • Recently, operation of highway is the complex digital Infrastructure based on complicated IT. The application of IT is increasing more and more in digital Infrastructure. Though IT is very convenient, if unpredicted operating risk of highway occurs, widespread damage can be large. When operating risk of highway occurs, road users are out of smoothly-run service because of the operating interruption. This risk causes unpredicted operating management cost and additional maintenance cost. It will excess over the planned operating cost, which may leads to users's unsafety and operator's insolvency because of income loss. Until now, related studies to find out the risk are not sufficient. The purpose of this study is to suggest risk cost items and to estimate the reasonable risk cost by using simulation method in case of occurring the huge power failure at the operating digitalized highway. This study indicates the several plans to hedge against risk cost and the management of highway project. From now on, it will be used as basic data to confirm the soundness of operating system in Digital Infrastructure.

Cost Risk Analysis for Preparing Budgets of Information Security using Fuzzy AHP (정보보안 예산 수립에서 퍼지 AHP의 적용을 통한 위험 비용 분석)

  • Ryu, Si-Wook;Her, Duk-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2012
  • Recently, the breakdown of online banking servers and the leakage of customer information give rise to much concern about the security of information systems in financial and banking companies in Korea. The enforcement of security for information system becomes much more important issue than earlier. However, the security reinforcement of information system is restricted by a budget. In addition, the activities' cost to secure information system from threatening are under uncertain circumstances and should be established by a human decision maker who is basically uncertain and vague. Thus, making the budget for information system is exposed to any extent of the risk for these reasons. First, we introduce brief fuzzy set theory and fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) methodology. Then, the cost elements that comprise yearly budget are presented and the priorities among the cost elements are calculated by fuzzy AHP. The cost elements that are exposed to risk are evaluated from the both perspectives of the risk impact and risk occurrence possibility which are expressed as linguistic terms. To get information on the risk profiles-pessimistic, most likely, and optimistic-for each cost element, the evaluation is accomplished and the result is presented. At last, the budget ranges-minimum, mode, maximum-for each cost element are estimated with the consideration of the risk profiles.

A Study on Escalation of Commitment Behavior in Software Projects : The Perspective of Cultural Differences (소프트웨어 개발 프로젝트에서 수행의 지속행위에 관한 연구 : 문화적 차이의 관점에서)

  • 김인재;심형섭;김종은
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2004
  • The level of sunk cost and risk-taking theory have been offered as one explanation for the escalation of commitment behavior. This Study attempted to replicate Keil's study in Korea. Keil examined the level of sunk cost associated with the risk propensity and risk perception of decision-makers, and these factors are assessed for cross-cultural robustness using matching laboratory experiments carried out in three countries. The level of sunk cost and the risk perception of decision-makers contributed significantly to their continuous willingness to their project. Moreover, the risk propensity of decision-makers was inversely related to risk perception, and this inverse relationship was significantly more weak in Korea than in Singapore. These results show that the sunk-cost effect exists across cultures, and that the risk-taking behaviors are partially mediated by cultural factors.

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Application of Risk Management to Forecasting Transportation Demand by Delphi Technique (Delphi기법을 통한 교통수요예측 Risk Management 적용 방안)

  • Chung, Sung-Bong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2011
  • Since 'The Act on Private Investment of The Infrastructure' was established in 1994, private investment as well as government's investment in transport infrastructure has been active. However investment in transport infrastructure has more risks than others' due to uncertainty both in traffic volume and in construction cost. In the current appraisal procedure of deciding transportation infrastructure investment, instead of risk management, the sensitivity analysis considering only the changes of benefit, cost and social discount rate which are main factor affecting economic feasibility is carried out. Therefore the uncertainty of various factors affecting demand, cost and benefit are not considered in feasibility study. In this study the problems in current investment appraisal system were reviewed. Using Delphi technique the major factors which have high uncertainty in feasibility study were surveyed and then improvement plan was suggested in the respective of classic 4 step demand forecasting method. The range estimation technique was also mentioned to deal with the uncertainty of the future.

The efforts always will get gains? Risk perception of turnover and cost of changing job affect employee turnover: Evidence from Korea

  • Li, Liang;Elaydi, Salma;Shin, Geon-Cheol;Wei, Kaikai
    • Asia Pacific Journal of Business Review
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2021
  • This present study investigatesed the impact of the team innovation-oriented human resource management (HRM) practices on employees' turnover intention among financial, pharmaceuticals, distribution, and manufacturing industries in Korea. Furthermore, we explored whether risk perception of turnover and the cost of changing job would mediate the relationship between team innovation-oriented human resource management practices with employees' turnover intention in different industries in Korea. To that end, PLS structural equation modeling was used to exam the research hypothesis. We have found that team innovation-oriented HRM practices have a significant impact on employees' turnover intention. Moreover, we have discovered risk perception of turnover and the switching cost of changing job playing mediating role in the relationship of team innovation-oriented HRM practices with turnover intention among different type of industries employee. Lastly, the theoretical implications were discussed based on these findings.

Risk Management for R&D Projects in the Military Aircraft Systems (군용항공기 연구개발 사업의 리스크 관리)

  • Kim, Sung Hun;Lee, Hyun Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.76-84
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    • 2021
  • Military aircraft R&D projects require large-scale investment in cost and time, and involve a complex coordination process in decision-making. The R&D project manager should determine the development management priorities as accurately as possible and focus on R&D capabilities, thereby reducing the risks of the aircraft R&D project. To this end, this study aims to reduce R&D risk by prioritizing cost, schedule, and performance, which are basic management factors used in R&D project management in defense project management regulations. Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is applied using a questionnaire for managers in charge of aviation R&D under the Defense Acquisition Program Administration. As a primary result, the importance of the factors that the aircraft R&D project manager should consider was derived in the order of performance, cost, and schedule, and the priorities of performance and cost in the lower layer were also identified. In addition, in order to provide practical risk management measures to aircraft R&D project managers, the results of analyzing 28 cases of US National Transportation Safety Board accidents were compared and analyzed with the AHP analysis results, and management measures suitable for the situation were specified.

Information Risk and Cost of Equity: The Role of Stock Price Crash Risk

  • SALEEM, Sana;USMAN, Muhammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.623-635
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this research is to examine the impact of information risk on the Cost of Equity (COE) and whether the risk of a stock price crash mediates the relation between information risk and COE. To test the dynamic nature of the proposed model, the two-step system GMM dynamic panel estimators are applied to all the non-financial firms listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) from 2007- 2018. The results of this study show that all three types of information risk, as well as the risk of the share price crash, increases the COE. The crash risk strengthens the impact of information risk on the COE. Moreover, these three information risks are correlated with each other and an increase in information quality reduces the effect of asymmetric information and improves the investor interpreting ability, while an increase in private information decreases the transparency. The finding is crucial for asset pricing, portfolio management, and information disclosure. This study contributes to the literature by providing novel findings on the impact of three different types of information risk, i.e. private information, quality of information, and transparency of information on the COE as well as whether crash risk mediates the relationship.