• 제목/요약/키워드: contingency model

검색결과 173건 처리시간 0.024초

몬테카를로 시뮬레이션에 의한 전력탁송 영향평가 (Power Wheeling Effects Evaluation using Monte-Carlo Simulation)

  • 이범
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.552-557
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 사용하여 상정사고를 고려한 전력탁송에 따른 영향평가를 할 수 있도록 하였으며, 이로써 전력탁송에 따른 탁송회사의 발전비용, 송전손실, 계통안전도에 미치는 영향을 분석할 수 있도록 하였다. 제안한 방법을 시험계통에 적용하여 본 연구의 타당성을 검증하였다.

Correspondence analysis for studying association between geography and cancer

  • Song, Joon-Jin;Yu, Pingjian;Ren, Yuan;Chung, Ming-Hua
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.919-924
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    • 2009
  • Geographical location carries information such as demography, local economy, environment, and life styles, which could be the sources of cancer occurrence. Analyzing geographical location associated with cancer occurrence can be instructive to physicians, patients, and health administrators regarding resource allocation, expenditures, prophylaxis and treatments. In this paper, we explored the correspondence relationship between geographical locations and mortality rates of the cancers using correspondence analysis and illustrated the approach with the mortality rates of the top 10 cancers in the 75 counties in Arkansas from 2001 to 2005. Geographical variations with respect to the mortality rates of cancers are evaluated across Arkansas counties. Based on the contingency table, correspondence analysis model is developed and the simple indices which indicate the degree to which the regions and the cancers affect each other are calculated. Quantitative results are visualized and mapped in two-dimensional graphs.

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Use of Managerical Decision Categories for Selecting KA/KR Techniques in HRM Problem Domains

  • Byun, Dae-Ho;Suh, Eui-Ho
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.71-93
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    • 1996
  • Selection of appropriate knowledge acquisition and representation techniques is regarded as a major task in the development of expert systems. This depends on the characteristics of problem domains. Expert system builders have often adopted a technique without a formal analysis of application domains. The purpose of this paper is to provide the best knowledge aquisition and representation technique for use in human resource management problem domains. In an attempt to meet this purpose, the conceptual contingency model that suggests the best technique according to managerial decision categories is used as a guidance. In order to determine the priority of managerial decision categories, the Analytic Hierarchy Process and an extended method are proposed.

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확률화응답에 대한 대수선형모형

  • 최경호
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.725-734
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    • 1997
  • 많은 사회과학 조사에서 분할표 형태로 얻어진 범주형 자료에는 오분류(misclassification)로 인한 오차가 내재되는 경우가 종종 있다. 질적속성 추정을 위한 확률화응답은 이러한 오분류 문제의 한 특수한 경우로 여겨지기도 한다. 그래서 확률화응답을 통한 범주형자료는 혼합된 분할표(mixed-up contingency table)로 여길 수 있는 바, 본 논문에서는 이에 대해 대수선형모형(log-linear model)을 설정하고 Chen과 Fienberg(1976)의 Iterative scaling procedure(ISP)에 의하여 얻어진 최우추정량의 극한을 이용하였다. 이 결과 Warner(1965) 형태의 대칭기법에 대해서는 Singh(1976)에 의하여 제안된 최우추정량과 같아지게 됨을 보임으로써 Warner에 의해서 제시된 추정량이 최우추정량으로 적절하지 않음을 확인해 보고, 무관질문기법에 대해서는 Greenberg, et al.(1969)에 의해서 제안된 추정량이 추정의 관점에서 최우추정량으로 적절하지 않음을 알아 보았다.

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윈도우환경을 기반으로 한 최적전력조류 프로그램 팩키지 개발 (Windows Based Programming for Optimal Power Flow Analysis)

  • 김규호;이상봉;이재규;유석구
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.239-242
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents a windows program package for solving security constrained OPF in interconnected power systems, which is based on the combined application of evolutionary programming(EP) and sequential quadratic programming(SQP). The objective functions are the minimization of generation fuel costs and system power losses. The control variables are the active power of the generating units, the voltage magnitude of the generator, transformer tap settings and SVC setting. The state variables are the bus voltage magnitude, the reactive power of the generating unit, line flows and the tie line flow. In OPF considering security, the outages are selected by contingency ranking method. The resulting optimal operating point has to be feasible after outages such as any single line outage(respect of voltage magnitude, reactive power generation and power flow limits). The OPF package proposed is applied to 10 machines 39 buses model system.

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연계계통에서 안전도제약을 고려한 최적전력조류 (Optimal Power Flow considering Security in Interconnected Power Systems)

  • 김규호;이재규;이상봉;유석구
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2001년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.194-196
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents a hybrid algorithm for solving security constrained OPF in interconnected power systems, which is based on the combined application of evolutionary programming (EP) and sequential quadratic programming (SQP). The objective functions are the minimization of generation fuel costs and system power losses. In OPF considering security, the outages are selected by contingency ranking method. The control variables are the active power of the generating units, the voltage magnitude of the generator, transformer tap settings and SVC setting. The state variables are the bus voltage magnitude, the reactive power of the generating unit, line flows and the tie line flow. The method proposed is applied to the modified IEEE 14buses model system.

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Mutual Information and Redundancy for Categorical Data

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Kim, Beom-Jun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.297-307
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    • 2006
  • Most methods for describing the relationship among random variables require specific probability distributions and some assumptions of random variables. The mutual information based on the entropy to measure the dependency among random variables does not need any specific assumptions. And the redundancy which is a analogous version of the mutual information was also proposed. In this paper, the redundancy and mutual information are explored to multi-dimensional categorical data. It is found that the redundancy for categorical data could be expressed as the function of the generalized likelihood ratio statistic under several kinds of independent log-linear models, so that the redundancy could also be used to analyze contingency tables. Whereas the generalized likelihood ratio statistic to test the goodness-of-fit of the log-linear models is sensitive to the sample size, the redundancy for categorical data does not depend on sample size but its cell probabilities itself.

Multivariate Analysis of Joint Rotation in Okinawan Dance

  • Kiyoshi-Hoshinio
    • 한국방송∙미디어공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방송공학회 1999년도 KOBA 방송기술 워크샵 KOBA Broadcasting Technology Workshop
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 1999
  • To clarify the motion characteristics of free-style Okinawan dance“Kachaasi”, first the subjective impression was quantitatively evaluated with semantic differential technique to cluster its types. Then, the contingency of joint rotation in shoulder, elbow and wrist joints was examined with multivariate autoregressive model. The time-series data of positions and angels of three joints were calculated according to the deforming conditions and shielding directions of the ring lights. As the results, in an excellent dancer, the motions of shoulder and elbow were highly synchronized and smoothly controlled. The low-frequency output of the shoulder and elbow were mutually interacted. Meanwhile, the wrist behaved independently of other joints' rotation.

계통상태를 고려한 ELF 전자계의 인체안전평가를 위한 퍼지언어변수 접근법 (Fuzzy Linguistic Variable Based Approach for Safety Assessment of Human Body in ELF Electromagnetic Field Considering Power System States)

  • 김상철;김두현;고은영
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.70-79
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents a study on the fuzzy linguistic variable based approach for safety assessment of human body in ELF electromagnetic field considering power system states. To cope with the demand in modern industry, the power system becomes larger in scale, higher in voltage. The advent of high voltage system has increased the relative importance of field effects. The analysis of ELF electromagnetic field based on Quasi-Static Method is introduced while the power system is included to model the expected and/or unexpected uncertainty caused by the load fluctuation and parameter changes. In order to analyze the power system, Monte Carlo simulation method and contingency analysis method are adopted in normal state and alert state, respectively. In the safety assessment of human body, the approach based on fuzzy linguistic variable is employed to overcome the shortcomings resulting from a crisp set concept. The suggested scheme is applied to a sample system(modified IEEE 14 bus system) to validate the usefulness.

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Non-identifiability and testability of missing mechanisms in incomplete two-way contingency tables

  • Park, Yousung;Oh, Seung Mo;Kwon, Tae Yeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.307-314
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    • 2021
  • We showed that any missing mechanism is reproduced by EMAR or MNAR with equal fit for observed likelihood if there are non-negative solutions of maximum likelihood equations. This is a generalization of Molenberghs et al. (2008) and Jeon et al. (2019). Nonetheless, as MCAR becomes a nested model of MNAR, a natural question is whether or not MNAR and MCAR are testable by using the well-known three statistics, LR (Likelihood ratio), Wald, and Score test statistics. Through simulation studies, we compared these three statistics. We investigated to what extent the boundary solution affect tesing MCAR against MNAR, which is the only testable pair of missing mechanisms based on observed likelihood. We showed that all three statistics are useful as long as the boundary proximity is far from 1.