• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.183-200
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• 2018

This study empirically tests the presence of rational bubbles in the ship prices using time series data from October 1996 to April 2017. To detect the existence of ship prices' rational bubbles, we use integration and cointegration tests, which were proposed by Campbell and Shiller(1987) and Diba and Grossman(1988), for circumventing misspecification of ship price model and applying the bubble test to nonstationary time series. The result of integration test supports existence of tanker price's rational bubble. The co-integration test also shows that drybulk ship and containership prices have been overvalued relative to the market fundamental, drybulk and container freight rates, due to non-stationary rational bubbles. These results provide Korean shipping industry and authorities implications that anticyclical ship investment and long-term and steady fleet capacity expansion policy are needed.

• Korea Trade Review
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• v.47 no.1
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• pp.13-24
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• 2022

This study was conducted because the global economic downturn caused by COVID-19 caused a surge in logistics costs and it was no longer possible to predict logistics costs using existing methods. For this study, we made the assumption that economic indicators affect logistics cost. Chapter 2 examines the current status of the liner market and factors affecting logistics costs. Based on this, Chapter 3 collects independent and dependent variables to determine the analysis model. As the independent variable, economic indicators of major countries constituting the SCFI were selected, and the dependent variables were the SCFI Europe Index and the SCFI USA Index. In Chapter 4, a panel analysis was conducted based on this, and it was confirmed that major economic indicators had a negative (-) effect on SCFI. This is contrary to the existing research results, which can be attributed to the special situation caused by COVID-19 and the imbalance of demand and supply by region. The results of this study are meaningful in that they can predict long-term logistics cost volatility without analyzing supply and demand, and can be applied to other studies as well.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.34 no.1
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• pp.111-132
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• 2018

As China continues to evolve as a major economic power and the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between the Republic of Korea and China was ratified on June 1, 2015, market volume between the two countries is expected to grow more rapidly. This study aims on improving the efficiency of car-ferry lines. We conducted two surveys- for shippers and forwarders of car-ferry companies, and container liners. The study analyzes the decision factors for delivery companies and their importance for shippers and forwarders of car-ferry companies and container liners. Based on analysis of prior studies on the competition for car-ferry companies and liners, three primary variables are selected-promptness, economics, and safety. The promptness variable consists of shipping time, loading/unloading time, and customs clearing time. The economic variable consists of marine transportation cost from a domestic harbor to China, loading/unloading cost in the harbor, and overland transport cost from the harbor to shippers inland. Finally, the safety variable consists of cargo damage rates, safety facilities, such as lashing and shoring, and punctuality of transportation time. The survey and AHP results show that the promptness, safety, and economics factors are 0.549, 0.309, and 0.142 in the shipper groups of car-ferry companies' category, respectively. It indicates that there is considerable difference in the importance of each factor. In contrast, the factors are 0.350, 0.348, and 0.302 in the forwarders category, which suggests that there is little difference in each factor's importance. As for shippers and forwarders of liners, the importance of each factor is found to be in the following order: economics, safety, and promptness.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• v.39 no.9
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• pp.918-922
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• 2015

As international environmental regulations for pollutant and greenhouse gas emissions discharged from ships are being reinforced, it is drawing attention to use LNG as ship fuel. This paper compares the explosion risk potential in the LNG fuel gas supply systems of two types used in marine LNG fuelled vessels. By selecting 8500 TEU class container ships as target, LNG storage tank was designed and pressure conditions were assumed for the use of each fuel supply type. The leak hole sizes were divided into three categories, and the leak frequencies for each category were estimated. The sizes of the representative leak holes and release rates were estimated. The release rate and the leak frequency showed an inverse relationship. The pump type fuel gas supply system showed high leak frequency, and the pressure type fuel gas supply system showed high release rate. Computational fluid dynamics simulation was applied to perform a comparative analysis of the explosion risk potential of each fuel supply system.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.37 no.2
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• pp.55-71
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• 2021

While major alliance container carriers in the post-corona era are enjoying the largest boom in history with their fleet reduction strategy, shippers companies are in a state of deteriorating import and export price competitiveness due to increased logistics costs, and forwarders who act for shipping companies' logistics services are also experiencing the burden of rising freight rates It is in a state of overheated competition and worsening profits for attracting shippers. For this purpose, research data, literature studies, statistical data and data from overseas specialized networks were used as prior research. Online surveys and telephone interviews were conducted, and as a result, four areas of cold chain (including perishable cargo), project logistics, UN procurement logistics, and dangerous goods logistics, which were found to be particularly in high demand, were analyzed to suggest entry strategies.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.213-234
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• 2011

The literature on efficiency of the maritime and shipping industry has typically focused on container ports and terminals. The study presented in this paper uses data envelopment analysis to evaluate ocean carriers based on financial and operational data from 2004 to 2007. A comparison is made up of the efficiency of global ocean carriers in efficiency of financial and operational performance respectively. A positive correlation is shown between the input and output data. In the static-efficiency analysis, we describe CCR, BCC and scale efficiency of Global Ocean Carriers in 2007. And we also provide about the stability and trend of their efficiency for four years (2004-2007) in the dynamic-efficiency analysis. The empirical results validate the necessity of restoring freight rates to facilitate the efficiency of the global ocean carriers supported by adjust of the supply of containership space. The study provides a basis for estimating the competitiveness of international shipping companies, for benchmarking best practice and for identifying the specific factors and causes of inefficiency.