• Title/Summary/Keyword: conditional distribution

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A Study on Mante1-Haenszel Test of Conditional Independence ($2\times2$ 분할표를 이용한 조건부 독립성 검정)

  • 김지현;임현선
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.257-268
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    • 1998
  • Many epidemiological studies investigate whether an association exists between a binary risk factor X and a binary response variable Y. They analyse whether an observed association between X and Y persists when the level of another factor Z that might influence the association is controlled. This involves testing conditional independence of X and Y controlling for Z. The Mantel-Haenszel test is most widely used to test conditional independence for sparse tables. But if the association between X and Y varies along the levels of Z, Mantel-Haenszel test has a low power problem. In this study, we propose an alternative test procedure which overcomes the low power problem in that case. We find out the null distribution of the alternative test statistic and compare its performance with the Mantel-Haenszel test by simulation.

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Determination of Control Limits of Conditional Variance Investigation: Application of Taguchi's Quality Loss Concept (조건부 차이조사의 관리한계 결정: 다구찌 품질손실 개념의 응용)

  • Pai, Hoo Seok;Lim, Chae Kwan
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.467-482
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The main theme of this study is to determine the optimal control limit of conditional variance investigation by mathematical approach. According to the determination approach of control limit presented in this study, it is possible with only one parameter to calculate the control limit necessary for budgeting control system or standard costing system, in which the limit could not be set in advance, that's why it has the advantage of high practical application. Methods: This study followed the analytical methodology in terms of the decision model of information economics, Bayesian probability theory and Taguchi's quality loss function concept. Results: The function suggested by this study is as follows; ${\delta}{\leq}\frac{3}{2}(k+1)+\frac{2}{\frac{3}{2}(k+1)+\sqrt{\{\frac{3}{2}(k+1)\}^2}+4$ Conclusion: The results of this study will be able to contribute not only in practice of variance investigation requiring in the standard costing and budgeting system, but also in all fields dealing with variance investigation differences, for example, intangible services quality control that are difficult to specify tolerances (control limit) unlike tangible product, and internal information system audits where materiality standards cannot be specified unlike external accounting audits.

A Safe-haven Property of Cryptocurrencies: Evidence in Vietnam Stock Market During Pandemic Crisis

  • NGO, Nam Sy;NGUYEN, Huyen Thi Mai
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.12
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    • pp.465-471
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    • 2021
  • The study investigates the dynamic correlation of cryptocurrencies and equity in Vietnam and tests the safe-haven property of them from the perspective of the stock market in Vietnam during the pandemic crisis by applying the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH model and regression with a dummy variable, respectively. This study employs time series data on the daily dataset from September 2014 to September 2021 with the focus on the two most popular cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin and Litecoin. The results show that the dynamic conditional correlations between cryptocurrencies and equity in Vietnam increased during the pandemic, however, in most periods, positive dynamic correlations often dominate. Besides, the regression results also indicate that Bitcoin and Litecoin act as weak safe-haven investments for stocks in Vietnam during the COVID-19 turmoil. They are more suitable for diversification purposes although the dynamic correlations between them and the stock index in Vietnam vary stronger during the pandemic crisis than before. The findings of this study suggest that in the period of pandemic crisis, cryptocurrencies are not concerned as effective safe-haven assets for stock in Vietnam. Instead, cryptocurrencies are only playing a potential role in diversification benefit in this economy.

Regime Dependent Volatility Spillover Effects in Stock Markets Between Kazakhstan and Russia

  • CHUNG, Sang Kuck;ABDULLAEVA, Vasila Shukhratovna
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.297-309
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    • 2021
  • In this study, to capture the skewness and kurtosis detected in both conditional and unconditional return distributions of the stock markets of Kazakhstan and Russia, two versions of normal mixture GARCH models are employed. The data set consists of daily observations of the Kazakhstan and Russia stock prices, and world crude oil price, covering the period from 1 June 2006 through 1 March 2021. From the empirical results, incorporating the long memory effect on the returns not only provides better descriptions of dynamic behaviors of the stock market prices but also plays a significant role in improving a better understanding of the return dynamics. In addition, normal mixture models for time-varying volatility provide a better fit to the conditional densities than the usual GARCH specifications and has an important advantage that the conditional higher moments are time-varying. This implies that the volatility skews implied by normal mixture models are more likely to exhibit the features of risk and the direction of the information flow is regime-dependent. The findings of this study contain useful information for diverse purposes of cross-border stock market players such as asset allocation, portfolio management, risk management, and market regulations.

Bayesian Estimation for the Multiple Regression with Censored Data : Mutivariate Normal Error Terms

  • Yoon, Yong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 1998
  • This paper considers a linear regression model with censored data where each error term follows a multivariate normal distribution. In this paper we consider the diffuse prior distribution for parameters of the linear regression model. With censored data we derive the full conditional densities for parameters of a multiple regression model in order to obtain the marginal posterior densities of the relevant parameters through the Gibbs Sampler, which was proposed by Geman and Geman(1984) and utilized by Gelfand and Smith(1990) with statistical viewpoint.

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A Note on the Chi-Square Test for Multivariate Normality Based on the Sample Mahalanobis Distances

  • Park, Cheolyong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.479-488
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    • 1999
  • Moore and Stubblebine(1981) suggested a chi-square test for multivariate normality based on cell counts calculated from the sample Mahalanobis distances. They derived the limiting distribution of the test statistic only when equiprobable cells are employed. Using conditional limit theorems, we derive the limiting distribution of the statistic as well as the asymptotic normality of the cell counts. These distributions are valid even when equiprobable cells are not employed. We finally apply this method to a real data set.

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Incremental-runlength distribution for Markov graphic data source (Markov 그라픽 데이타에 대한 incremental-runlength의 확률분포)

  • 김재균
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.389-392
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    • 1980
  • For Markov graphic source, it is well known that the conditional runlength coding for the runs of correct prediction is optimum for data compression. However, because of the simplicity in counting and the stronger concentration in distrubution, the incremental run is possibly a better parameter for coding than the run itself for some cases. It is shown that the incremental-runlength is also geometrically distributed as the runlength itself. The distribution is explicitly described with the basic parameters defined for a Markov model.

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Tests For and Against a Positive Dependence Restriction in Two-Way Ordered Contingency Tables

  • Oh, Myongsik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.205-220
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    • 1998
  • Dependence concepts for ordered two-way contingency tables have been of considerable interest. We consider a dependence concept which is less restrictive than likelihood ratio dependence and more restrictive than regression dependence. Maximum likelihood estimation of cell probability under this dependence restriction is studied. The likelihood ratio statistics for and against this dependence are proposed and their large sample distributions are derived. A real data is analyzed to illustrate the estimation and testing procedures.

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Some Process Capability Indices Using Gibbs Sampling (공정능력자수에 대한 깁스샘플링 추정)

  • 김평구;김희철
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.88-98
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    • 1998
  • Process capability indices are used to determine whether a production process is capable of producing items within a specified tolerance. Using conditional distribution, we study some process capability indices ${\hat{C}}_{Gp}$, ${\hat{C}}_{Gpk}$, ${\hat{C}}_{Gpm}$ under conjugate prior distribution. We consider some process capability indices with Gibbs sampling method. Also, we examine some small sample properties related to these estimaters by some simulations.

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On The Derivation of a Certain Noncentral t Distribution

  • Gupta, A.K.;Kabe, D.G.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.182-185
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    • 1990
  • Let a p-component vector y have a p-variate normal distribution $N(b\theta, \Sigma), \Sigma$ unknown, b specified, then for testing $\theta = 0$ against general $\theta$, Khatri and Rao (1987) derive a certain t test and obtain its power function. This paper presents a direct derivation of this power function in terms of the original variates unlike Khatri and Rao (1987) who resort to the canonical transformations of the original variates and the conditional distributions.

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