• 한국지구과학회지
• /
• 제32권6호
• /
• pp.586-594
• /
• 2011

2002년 4월에 발사된 Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment(GRACE) 위성의 중력시간변화 측정을 통해, 기후 및 환경 변화에 의한 지구 내 질량 재배치 연구가 가능해 졌다. GRACE 중력 자료는 구면조화 함수의 계수인 중력 스펙트럼 형태로 제공이 되며, 이를 구면조화 함수를 이용하여 원하는 지역의 중력 변화 또는 질량 변화로 환산을 해야 한다. 하지만, GRACE 중력 자료는 측정 잡음 이외에도 공간적인 알리아스 에러가 존재하여, 질량 재배치 효과를 확인하기 위해서는 중력 스펙트럼의 처리 과정이 필요하다. 이 연구에서는 GRACE 자료를 처리하는 가장 일반적인 방법을 소개하고, 처리된 중력 자료를 이용한 연구 사례를 소개하였다. GRACE 중력 자료를 이용하여 광범위한 지구과학 연구가 진행 중이지만, 그 중 가장 활발한 연구 분야인 육지의 물수지 연구, 빙하 변화 연구 그리고 해수면 상승 연구 등을 중심으로 소개하였다. GRACE 위성과 유사한 인공위성 중력 관측 사업이 2020년까지 계획되어 있으며, 향후 수십년간 축적된 인공위성 중력 자료는 지구 환경 변화 연구에 핵심적인 자료로 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제24권1호
• /
• pp.67-80
• /
• 2017

Over the last few decades, ensemble forecasts based on global climate models have become an important part of climate forecast due to the ability to reduce uncertainty in prediction. Moreover in ensemble forecast, assessing the prediction uncertainty is as important as estimating the optimal weights, and this is achieved through a probabilistic forecast which is based on the predictive distribution of future climate. The Bayesian model averaging has received much attention as a tool of probabilistic forecasting due to its simplicity and superior prediction. In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian model averaging method for probabilistic ensemble forecasting. The proposed method combines a deterministic ensemble forecast based on a multivariate regression approach with Bayesian model averaging. We demonstrate that the proposed method is better in prediction than the standard Bayesian model averaging approach by analyzing monthly average precipitations and temperatures for ten cities in Korea.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
• /
• 제29권6호
• /
• pp.145-157
• /
• 2022

Climate crisis is one of the most urgent and serious threats to the right to life. As AR picture books are particularly effective for safety education, this study aimed to produce an AR picture book featuring animals that are endangered due to the climate crisis. In order to increase the educational effect and enhance the climate sensitivity, this study developed a children's activity workbook (with follow-up activities) and a teacher's guide (with lesson plans) as a package. To this end, market research and surveys were first conducted. Next, through the management and support of the Korea Institute of Startup & Entrepreneurship Development, this research team produced a climate crisis themed AR picture book package through expert advice, help from outsourcing companies, and field application. The package was promoted through publicity in various forms of media. The contents of the AR-using picture book package of this case study were introduced and then advantages and disadvantages were discussed.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제27권1호
• /
• pp.109-128
• /
• 2020

A climate-impact projection usually consists of several stages, and the uncertainty of the projection is known to be quite large. It is necessary to assess how much each stage contributed to the uncertainty. We call an uncertainty quantification method in which relative contribution of each stage can be evaluated as uncertainty decomposition. We propose a new Bayesian model for uncertainty decomposition in climate change impact assessments. The proposed Bayesian model can incorporate uncertainty of natural variability and utilize data in control period. We provide a simple and efficient Gibbs sampling algorithm using the auxiliary variable technique. We compare the proposed method with other existing uncertainty decomposition methods by analyzing streamflow data for Yongdam Dam basin located at Geum River in South Korea.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
• /
• 제24권2호
• /
• pp.17-24
• /
• 2017

Using a sample of 180 managers in small and medium sized organizations in Chungcheong and Southern Gyeonggi Province, we proposed that official communication channel on safety issue will influence managers' safety climate, empathy (safety climate), and eventually occupational accidents. The results supported our hypotheses, showing managers concern about their employees' safety issue when the organization officially emphasize on safety issue. At the same time, it also tells that managers are emphatic on their employees regarding occupational accidents when it comes to safety climate.

• Ocean and Polar Research
• /
• 제31권4호
• /
• pp.415-422
• /
• 2009

The wave observation system in Korea has been established with an emphasis on pointmeasurement based on in situ instrumentations. However, the system cannot fully investigate the coastal wave-related problems that are significantly localized and intensified with three-dimensional regional geometries. Observation technique that can cover local processes with large time and spatial variation needs to be established. Video imaging techniques that can provide continuous monitoring of coastal waves and related phenomena with high spatial and temporal resolutions at minimum cost of instrumentation risks are reviewed together with present status of implementation in Korea. Practical applications of the video imaging techniques are suggested to tackle with various coastal issues of public concern in Korea including, real-time monitoring of wave runup and overtopping of swells on the east coast of Korea, longshore and rip currents, morphological and bathymetric changes, storm surge and tsunami inundation, and abnormal extreme waves in the west coast of Korea, etc.

• 한국기후변화학회지
• /
• 제6권4호
• /
• pp.331-344
• /
• 2015

A long-term gridded historical data at 3 km spatial resolution has been generated for practical regional applications such as hydrologic modelling. However, overly high or low values have been found at some grid points where complex topography or sparse observational network exist. In this study, the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) method was applied to properly smooth the overly predicted values of Improved GIS-based Regression Model (IGISRM), called the IDW-IGISRM grid data, at the same resolution for daily precipitation, maximum temperature and minimum temperature from 2001 to 2010 over South Korea. We tested various effective distances in the IDW method to detect an optimal distance that provides the highest performance. IDW-IGISRM was compared with IGISRM to evaluate the effectiveness of IDW-IGISRM with regard to spatial patterns, and quantitative performance metrics over 243 AWS observational points and four selected stations showing the largest biases. Regarding the spatial pattern, IDW-IGISRM reduced irrational overly predicted values, i. e. producing smoother spatial maps that IGISRM for all variables. In addition, all quantitative performance metrics were improved by IDW-IGISRM; correlation coefficient (CC), Index Of Agreement (IOA) increase up to 11.2% and 2.0%, respectively. Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) were also reduced up to 5.4% and 15.2% respectively. At the selected four stations, this study demonstrated that the improvement was more considerable. These results indicate that IDW-IGISRM can improve the predictive performance of IGISRM, consequently providing more reliable high-resolution gridded data for assessment, adaptation, and vulnerability studies of climate change impacts.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
• /
• 제25권1호
• /
• pp.27-60
• /
• 2016

기후경제통합평가모형(Integrated assessment model of climate and the economy)은 기후변화에 관한 경제 분석과 정책제안을 위한 필수적인 도구가 되어왔다. 최근에는 기후변화에 대응하기 위한 정책적 노력들이 대부분 국가 또는 지역 수준에서 일어난다는 인식 하에 국가 또는 지역에서의 기후변화 영향과 정책수단의 효과를 평가할 수 있는 기후경제통합-지역평가모형(Regional integrated assessment model of climate and the economy)의 중요성이 더욱 커지고 있다. 이 논문에서는 국내에서 기후경제통합-지역평가모형을 개발하기 위한 첫 번째 단계로서 사회후생함수를 중심으로 기후경제통합-지역평가모형을 이론적으로 유형화했으며, RICE(Regional integrated climate-economy model) 모형을 통해 기후변화 대응전략에 따른 국가별 기후변화정책의 변화를 수치적으로 살펴보았다. 변화하는 국제 상황, 새롭게 드러나는 과학적 증거, 국내 여건 등을 모두 반영한 기후변화정책을 수립하기 위해서는 이를 분석할 수 있는 효과적인 도구를 갖추고 있어야 한다. 이 논문에서 살펴본 기후경제통합-지역평가모형은 이를 위한 유용한 도구가 될 수 있다.

• 국제초고층학회논문집
• /
• 제10권1호
• /
• pp.35-43
• /
• 2021

With the rapid urbanization and growing energy use intensity in the built environment, the glazed curtainwall has become ever more important in the architectural practice and environmental stewardship. Besides its energy efficiency roles, window has been an important transparent component for daylight penetration and a view-out for occupant satisfaction. In response to the climate crisis caused by the built environment, this research focuses on the study of net-zero energy retrofitting by using a new building integrated photovoltaic (BIPV) curtainwall as a sustainable alternative to conventional window systems. Design variables such as building orientations, climate zones, energy attributes of BIPV curtainwalls, and glazed area were studied, to minimize energy consumption and discomfort hours for three cities representing hot (Miami, FL), mixed (Charlotte, NC), and cold (Minneapolis, MN). Parametric analysis and Pareto solutions are presented to provide a comprehensive explanation of the correlation between design variables and performance objectives for net-zero energy retrofitting applications.

• 한국습지학회지
• /
• 제13권3호
• /
• pp.427-441
• /
• 2011

본 연구는 수자원 상황을 평가하기 위하여 기존에 개발된 물 빈곤지수에 지역적 기후변동성 및 홍수피해를 평가할 수 있는 세부지표를 추가한 기후 변동성지수를 개발하여 국내에 적용하였다. 물이용 평가에 초점이 맞추어진 물 빈곤지수 세부지표를 선정하고 지역적 특성에 따른 치수 및 기후변동성 내용이 추가된 지역별 특성인자를 선정하여 1998년부터 2007년까지 물 빈곤지수와 기후 변동성지수에 대한 분석을 실시하여 지역별 변동성을 평가하고 물 부문 정책, 투자 및 적용에 대한 우선순위를 결정하는데 도움을 줄 수 있는 정보를 제공하고자 하였다. 물 빈곤지수는 복지 수준과 물이용간의 관련성을 나타낼 수 있으며 치수와 기후변동성을 함께 고려하여 지역별 특성인자를 추가한 기후 변동성지수는 물이용에 영향을 미치는 인자와 치수 및 기후변화를 함께 고려할 수 있으므로, 지역별로 기후변화에 대응하는 물이용뿐만 아니라 홍수관리에도 사용할 수 있을 것이다.