• 제목/요약/키워드: change-point estimation

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점 배치 작업 시 제시된 로봇 비젼 제어알고리즘의 가중행렬의 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Effect of Weighting Matrix of Robot Vision Control Algorithm in Robot Point Placement Task)

  • 손재경;장완식;성윤경
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제29권9호
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    • pp.986-994
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    • 2012
  • This paper is concerned with the application of the vision control algorithm with weighting matrix in robot point placement task. The proposed vision control algorithm involves four models, which are the robot kinematic model, vision system model, the parameter estimation scheme and robot joint angle estimation scheme. This proposed algorithm is to make the robot move actively, even if relative position between camera and robot, and camera's focal length are unknown. The parameter estimation scheme and joint angle estimation scheme in this proposed algorithm have form of nonlinear equation. In particular, the joint angle estimation model includes several restrictive conditions. For this study, the weighting matrix which gave various weighting near the target was applied to the parameter estimation scheme. Then, this study is to investigate how this change of the weighting matrix will affect the presented vision control algorithm. Finally, the effect of the weighting matrix of robot vision control algorithm is demonstrated experimentally by performing the robot point placement.

Consideration of a structural-change point in the chain-ladder method

  • Kwon, Hyuk Sung;Vu, Uy Quoc
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.211-226
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    • 2017
  • The chain-ladder method, for which run-off data is employed is popularly used in the rate-adjustment and loss-reserving practices of non-life-insurance and health-insurance companies. The method is applicable when the underlying assumption of a consistent development pattern is in regards to a cumulative loss payment after the occurrence of an insurance event. In this study, a modified chain-ladder algorithm is proposed for when the assumption is considered to be only partially appropriate for the given run-off data. The concept of a structural-change point in the run-off data and its reflection in the estimation of unpaid loss amounts are discussed with numerical illustrations. Experience data from private health insurance coverage in Korea were analyzed based on the suggested method. The performance in estimation of loss reserve was also compared with traditional approaches. We present evidence in this paper that shows that a reflection of a structural-change point in the chain-ladder method can improve the risk management of the relevant insurance products. The suggested method is expected to be utilized easily in actuarial practice as the algorithm is straightforward.

직장암 데이터에 대한 위험률 함수 추정 및 위험률 변화점 추정 (Estimation of hazard function and hazard change-point for the rectal cancer data)

  • 이시은;심병용;김재희
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.1225-1238
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 직장암 환자들의 수술 후 재발까지의 시간 데이터에 대해 집단 간 생존함수 양상에 차이가 있는지 로그 순위 검정 결과 유의수준 10%에서 포도당 단일수송체 (GLUT1)의 수준, 수술 전 병기 (cstage), 수술 후 병기 (ypstage)에 따른 차이가 유의하며, Cox 비례위험률 모형을 이용하여 검정한 결과 가장 유의한 공변량은 포도당 단일수송체와 수술 후 병기였다. 지수분포를 따른다고 가정할 경우, 우도함수를 기반한 여러 가지 위험률 변화점을 추정하였다.

석유공급교란에 대한 변화점 분석 및 분포 추정 : 베이지안 접근 (A Change-Point Analysis of Oil Supply Disruption : Bayesian Approach)

  • 박천건;이성수
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2007
  • Using statistical methods a change-point analysis of oil supply disruption is conducted. The statistical distribution of oil supply disruption is a weibull distribution. The detection of the change-point is applied to Bayesian method and weibull parameters are estimated through Markov chain monte carlo and parameter approach. The statistical approaches to the estimation for the change-point and weibull parameters is implemented with the sets of simulated and real data with small sizes of samples.

Nonparametric Discontinuity Point Estimation in Density or Density Derivatives

  • Huh, Jib
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.261-276
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    • 2002
  • Probability density or its derivatives may have a discontinuity/change point at an unknown location. We propose a method of estimating the location and the jump size of the discontinuity point based on kernel type density or density derivatives estimators with one-sided equivalent kernels. The rates of convergence of the proposed estimators are derived, and the finite-sample performances of the methods are illustrated by simulated examples.

Estimation of the Change Point in VSS X Control Charts

  • Lee, Jaeheon;Park, Changsoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.825-833
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    • 2003
  • Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose a maximum likelihood estimator of the process change point when a Shewhart $\bar{X}$ chart with variable sample size (VSS) scheme signals a change in the process mean. Also we build a confidence interval for the process change point by using the likelihood function.

단일 양자점으로부터 발생한 발광세기 변화에 대한 베이지안 다중 변화점 추정 (Bayesian Multiple Change-Point Estimation for Single Quantum Dot Luminescence Intensity Data)

  • 김재희;김학준
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.569-579
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    • 2013
  • 단일 분자에서 발생한 발광의 세기 변화를 분석하는 문제는 단분자 분광학에서 반드시 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 카드뮴셀레나이드/황화아연의 중심-껍질 구조를 갖는 양자점에 대한 단분자 분광학 데이터에 대해 Poisson count data로서 베이지안 접근으로 모수에 대한 공액 감마분포와 변화점 개수에 대한 절단포아송 분포로 사전분포를 주고 다중변화점을 추정하였다.

수준에서의 변화에 적응하는 구조모형 (An Adaptive Structural Model When There is a Major Level Change)

  • 전덕빈
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 1987
  • In analyzing time series, estimating the level or the current mean of the process plays an important role in understanding its structure and in being able to make forecasts. The studies the class of time series models where the level of the process is assumed to follow a random walk and the deviation from the level follow an ARMA process. The estimation and forecasting problem in a Bayesian framework and uses the Kalman filter to obtain forecasts based on estimates of level. In the analysis of time series, we usually make the assumption that the time series is generated by one model. However, in many situations the time series undergoes a structural change at one point in time. For example there may be a change in the distribution of random variables or in parameter values. Another example occurs when the level of the process changes abruptly at one period. In order to study such problems, the assumption that level follows a random walk process is relaxed to include a major level change at a particular point in time. The major level change is detected by examining the likelihood raio under a null hypothesis of no change and an alternative hypothesis of a major level change. The author proposes a method for estimation the size of the level change by adding one state variable to the state space model of the original Kalman filter. Detailed theoretical and numerical results are obtained for th first order autoregressive process wirth level changes.

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Monitoring with VSR Charts and Change Point Estimation

  • Lee, Jae-Heon;Park, Chang-Soon
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2005년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.191-196
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    • 2005
  • Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose a MLE of the process change point when control charts with the fixed sampling rate (FSR) scheme or the variable sampling rate (VSR) scheme monitor a process to detect changes in the process mean and/or variance of a normal quality variable.

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BLDC 고속 센서리스 구동의 ZCP 추정 오차 저감을 위한 Programmable Low Pass Filter 설계 (A Design of Programmable Low Pass Filter to Reduce the ZCP Estimation Error at High Speed BLDC Sensorless Drive)

  • 서은정;이강석;이우택
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제63권1호
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents a design method of programmable low pass filter(PLPF) which reduce an estimation error of a zero crossing point(ZCP) for a high speed brushless DC(BLDC) motor drive. BLDC motor sensorless drive is possible by estimation of ZCP. The ZCP estimated by detecting a change of back-EMF polarity has the estimation error because noises exist on the measured back-EMF. Therefore a calculated commutation timing using the ZCP is inaccurate. And the inexact commutation timing leads to ripples of 3-phase current and degradation of drive performance. This paper proposes the design method of the PLPF to overcome these problems. First, a speed calculated a inaccurate period of the ZCP is analyzed in the frequency domain. Then, the PLPF that has varying cut-off frequency according to change of the speed is designed on the frequency analysis result. The proposed method is verified by the experiment.