• 제목/요약/키워드: change point analysis

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경사밭 고랑 식생 및 PAM (Polyacrylamide) 멀칭에 따른 영농기 비점오염 저감효과 분석 (Reduction Efficiency Analysis of Furrow Vegetation and PAM (Polyacrylamide) Mulching for Non-Point Source Pollution Load from Sloped Upland During Farming Season)

  • 엽소진;김민경;안난희;최순군
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권4호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2023
  • As a result of climate change, non-point source pollution (NPS) from farmland with the steep slope during the rainy season is expected to have a significant impact on the water system. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of furrow mulching using alfalfa and PAM (Polyacrylamide) materials for each rainfall event, while considering the load characteristics of NPS. The study was conducted in Wanju-gun, Jeollabuk-do, in 2022, with a testbed that had a slope of 13%, sandy loam soil, and maize crops. The testbed was composed of four plots: bare soil (Bare), No mulching (Cont.), Vegetation mulching (VM), and PAM mulching (PM). Runoff was collected from each rainfall event using a 1/40 sampler and the NPS load was calculated by measuring the concentrations of SS, T-N, T-P, and TOC. During farming season, the reduction efficiency of NPS load was 37.1~59.5% for VM and 38.2~75.7% for PM. The analysis found that VM had a linear regression correlation (R2=0.28~0.86, P-value=0.01~0.1) with elapsed time of application, while PM had a quadratic regression correlation (R2=0.35~0.80, P-value=0.1). These results suggest that the selection of furrow mulch materials and the appropriate application method play a crucial role in reducing non-point pollution in farmland. Therefore, further studies on the time-series reduction effect based on the application method are recommended to develop more effective preemptive reduction technologies.

토지피복별 비점부하량 기여율 해석을 위한 분포형 모델 개발 및 적용 (Development and Application of the Grid-Distributed Model for Contribution Rate Analysis on Non-point Source Pollution According to Landuse)

  • 안정민;정강영;김신;이혜진;신석호;양득석;신동석;나승민
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.78-89
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    • 2017
  • Water quality monitoring network data is being affected continuously due to non-point source pollution arising from agricultural land located on the Gwangsancheon outlet in the Nakdong River basin. In this study, we have performed analysis of water quality monitoring system, water quality pattern using SOM and water quality in the Gwangsancheon for sub-basin located at Gisan-myeon in the Nakdong River basin. We have developed and applied the model to estimate the runoff and non-point source loading. As a result of SOM pattern, the effect of non-point source pollution was the largest in the paddy fields and fields. As a result of the developed model, we found contribution rate and reduction rate for non-point source loading according to change of landuse because the reduction effect of nonpoint pollutants was 20.9% of SS, 9.9% of TN, 21.2% of TP and 8.9% of TOC depending on the landuse change.

니켈도금액중의 붕산 신속정량법 (Rapid Analysis of Boric Acid in Nickel Plating Solutions)

  • 염희택
    • 한국표면공학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 1970
  • Only mannitol or glycerine is generally used for the determination of boric acid in a nickel plating solution in order to make its acidic property so strong that it can be titrated with NaOH. However, these solutions give very amgiguous color change of indicator due to the precipitation of nickel salts . Therefore, only experienced dchemistsorwell trained workimen can accurately confirm the actual end point of the titratiion. For eliminating such interference of nickel salts and easily confirming the end point by any persons , the author attempted to find out a solution which produces no precipitates during the titration in these experiments, and also he tried to funish the reason for ambiguousness in titration. The following results were obtained after many experiments. (1) In any titrations which produce nickel salts such nI(oh)$_2$, the salt is formed umption very approximate to the end point, which shows some error by the consumption of titrant(NaOH) . Then, the pink color of phenolphthalein is absorbed by Ni(OH)$_2$ and the pH jumping at the end pint is also diminished to as little as less than 15% of the total phenophthalein ph range. (2) Known methods by complex salts of citrate,w hich do not produce precipitates of Ni(OH)$_2$, are also not very satisfactory, because, the pH jumping at the end point is only about 35% and the color change of phenolphthalein is form blue-green to purple-blue. (3) New method by complex salts of oxalate were attempted in these experiments. They also did not produce precipitates of Ni(OH)$_2$ and were very satisfactory in color change at the end of point was about 65% and the color change was from blue-green to purpled. In this methods, analytica cost was minimized by the use of less amounts of cheaper chemicals than the conventional citrates complex methods. The mixture of chemicals used was composed methods. The mixture of chemical used was composed of 37g/ι of sodium oxalate(Na$_2$C$_2$O$_4$$.$5H$_2$O), 2g/ι of phenolphthalein, and 400ml /ι of glycerin. The accuracy of analysis was within the error of 0.5%. (4) The procedure of analysis was as follows. One ml of nickel plating solution was taken out and to it were added 20ml of water and 20 ml of the above mixture for the indicator. The solution was titrated with 0.1N NaOH. The quantity of boric acid was calculated by the following equation. Boric acid (g/ι) = 6.184${\times}$F${\times}$ml .

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GIS L-THIA를 이용한 도시화에 따른 유출과 비점원오염 영향 평가 (Assessing the impact of urbanization on runoff and non-point source pollution using the GIS L-THIA)

  • 윤라영;김동희;권혁현;신승철;손광익
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.1802-1806
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    • 2006
  • It is important to consider the effects of land-use changes on surface runoff, stream flow, and groundwater recharge. Expansion of urban areas significantly impacts the environment in terms of ground water recharge, water pollution, and storm water drainage. Increase of impervious area due to urbanization leads to an increase in surface runoff volume, contributes to downstream flooding and a net loss in groundwater recharge. Assessment of the hydrologic impacts or urban land-use change traditionally includes models that evaluate how land use change alters peak runoff rates, and these results are then used in the design of drainage systems. Such methods however do not address the long-term hydrologic impacts of urban land use change and often do not consider how pollutants that wash off from different land uses affect water quality. L-THIA (Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment) is an analysis tool that provides site-specific estimates of changes in runoff, recharge and non point source pollution resulting from past or proposed land-use changes. It gives long-term average annual runoff for a land use configuration, based on climate data for that area. In this study, the environmental and hydrological impact from the urbanized basin had been examined with GIS L-THIA in Korea.

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다단계 반도체 제조공정에서 함수적 입력 데이터를 위한 모니터링 시스템 (A Monitoring System for Functional Input Data in Multi-phase Semiconductor Manufacturing Process)

  • 장동윤;배석주
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.154-163
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    • 2010
  • Process monitoring of output variables affecting final performance have been mainly executed in semiconductor manufacturing process. However, even earlier detection of causes of output variation cannot completely prevent yield loss because a number of wafers after detecting them must be re-processed or cast away. Semiconductor manufacturers have put more attention toward monitoring process inputs to prevent yield loss by early detecting change-point of the process. In the paper, we propose the method to efficiently monitor functional input variables in multi-phase semiconductor manufacturing process. Measured input variables in the multi-phase process tend to be of functional structured form. After data pre-processing for these functional input data, change-point analysis is practiced to the pre-processed data set. If process variation occurs, key variables affecting process variation are selected using contribution plot for monitoring efficiency. To evaluate the propriety of proposed monitoring method, we used real data set in semiconductor manufacturing process. The experiment shows that the proposed method has better performance than previous output monitoring method in terms of fault detection and process monitoring.

The Changing Point Analysis of Annual Maximum Rainfall

  • 성장현;강현석;박수희;조천호;김영오
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.22-22
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    • 2011
  • 기존의 빈도해석(frequency analysis) 방법은 자료의 정상성(stationarity)을 가정하고 있다. 즉, 자료 분포가 기상에 영향을 받는 정도가 통계적으로 유의하지 않다는 것을 의미하는데 최근의 관측값들은 주기를 나타내거나 증가, 감소하는 경향을 자주 보이고 있고 이는 정상성에 대한 가정이 더 이상 유효하지 않음을 의미한다. 본 연구는 최근 증가경향이 두드러지게 나타나고 있는 관측 연최대 일강우량을 대상으로 증가 변동점(changing point)을 탐색하였다. 이를 위하여 Barry and Hartigan이 1999년에 제안한 BCP (Bayesian Change Point) 방법을 우리나라 전체 강우 관측지점에 적용하였다. 적용 결과, 2000년대를 기준으로 이전의 관측값과 통계적 특성이 다른 관측값들이 많이 발생하는 것을 알 수 있었다. 향후, 매개변수와 시간의 회귀분석(regression analysis)으로 확률분포형의 미래 매개변수를 구하는 비정상성 빈도해석 방법 적용시, BCP 결과로 얻은 변동점을 바탕으로 회귀분석의 구간을 적절하게 선택한다면 계산된 결과의 신뢰성이 더욱 향상되리라 본다.

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생산함수를 이용한 농업용수 관개량과 벼 생산성간 관계 평가 (Relationship Assessment on Amount of Irrigation Water & Productivity of Rice by Production Function)

  • 허승오;최순군;엽소진;홍성창;최동호
    • 한국환경농학회지
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.133-138
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    • 2019
  • BACKGROUND: Production function gives the equation that shows the relationship between the quantities of productive factors used and the amount of product obtained, and can answer a variety of questions. This study was carried out to evaluate the relationship between irrigation water used for rice production and rice productivity by the production function which shows the mathematical relation between input and output. METHODS AND RESULTS: The statistical data on rice production and on the amount of irrigation water were used for the production function analysis. The analysis period was separated for 1966-1981 and 1982-2011, based on goal's change on agriculture from 'increasing food' to 'complex farming'. The relation between irrigation and yield considering production function is a short-term production function both before and after 1982. These results can be expressed by the sigmoid relation. When comparing the graphs of the two analyzed periods, there are differences in quantity between the maximum point and the minimum point during the same analysis period, which can be called an 'Irrigation Effect' by the difference of irrigation, and 'Technical Effect' by the difference by inputs like as fertilizers etc. CONCLUSION: The results could be useful as information for assessing the relationship between agricultural water and the productivity of rice and predicting rice productivity by irrigation water in Korea.

실질금리 결정모형에서의 구조변화분석 (Structural Change Analysis in a Real Interest Rate Model)

  • 전덕빈;박대근
    • 경영과학
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.119-133
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    • 2001
  • It is important to find the equilibrium level of real interest rate for it affects real and financial sector of economy. However, it is difficult to find the equilibrium level because like the most macroeconomic model the real interest model has parameter instability problem caused by structural change and it is supported by various theories and definitions. Hence, in order to cover these problems structural change detection model of real interest rate is developed to combine the real interest rate equilibrium model and the procedure to detect structural change points. 3 equations are established to find various effects of other interest-related macroeconomic variables and from each equation, structural changes are found. Those structural change points are consistent with common expectation. Oil Crisis (December, 1987), the starting point of Economic Stabilization Policy (January, 1982), the starting point of capital liberalization (January, 1988), the starting and finishing points of Interest deregulation (January, 1992 and December, 1994), Foreign Exchange Crisis (December, 1977) are detected as important points. From the equation of fisher and real effects, real interest rate level is estimated as 4.09% (October, 1988) and dependent on the underlying model, it is estimated as 0%∼13.56% (October, 1988), so it varies so much. It is expected that this result is connected to the large scale simultaneous equations to detect the parameter instability in real time, so induces the flexible economic policies.

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입력변수의 조건에 따른 대기확산모델의 민감도 분석 (Sensitivity Analysis of the Atmospheric Dispersion Modeling through the Condition of Input Variable)

  • 정진도;김장우;김정태
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제14권9호
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    • pp.851-860
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    • 2005
  • In order to how well predict ISCST3(lndustrial Source Complex Short Term version 3) model dispersion of air pollutant at point source, sensitivity was analysed necessary parameters change. ISCST3 model is Gaussian plume model. Model calculation was performed with change of the wind speed, atmospheric stability and mixing height while the wind direction and ambient temperature are fixed. Fixed factors are wind direction as the south wind(l80") and temperature as 298 K(25 "C). Model's sensitivity is analyzed as wind speed, atmospheric stability and mixing height change. Data of stack are input by inner diameter of 2m, stack height of 30m, emission temperature of 40 "C, outlet velocity of 10m/s. On the whole, main factor which affects in atmospheric dispersion is wind speed and atmospheric stability at ISCST3 model. However it is effect of atmospheric stability rather than effect of distance downwind. Factor that exert big influence in determining point of maximum concentration is wind speed. Meanwhile, influence of mixing height is a little or almost not.

Regime Shift of the Early 1980s in the Characteristics of the Tropical Cyclone Affecting Korea

  • Choi, Ki-Seon;Kim, Tae-Ryong
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.453-460
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    • 2011
  • By performing a statistical change-point analysis of activities of the tropical cyclones (TCs) that have affected Korea (K-TCs), it was found that there was a significant change between 1983 and 1984. During the period of 1984-2004 (P2), more TCs migrated toward the west, recurved in the southwest, and affected Korea, compared to the period of 1965-1983 (P1). These changes for P2 were related to the southwestward expansion of the subtropical western North Pacific high (SWNPH) and simultaneously elongation of its elliptical shape toward Korea. Because of these changes, the central pressure and lifetime of K-TC during P2 were deeper and longer, respectively, than figures for P1. This stronger K-TC intensity for P2 was related to the more southwestward genesis due to the southwestward expansion of the SWNPH. The weaker vertical wind shear environment during P2 was more favorable for K-TC to maintain a strong intensity in the mid-latitudes of East Asia.