• 제목/요약/키워드: change point

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반도체 라인의 효율적 계측을 위한 자동 계측 샘플링 방식에 관한 연구 (Efficient Auto Measure Sampling Method for Semiconductor Line)

  • 김태엽;선동석;이지형
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권12호
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    • pp.2505-2510
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    • 2009
  • Semiconductor processes need measurement to confirm where there are problems in quality after progresses manufacturing process. This paper suggests equipment and automatic measure sampling method that control monitoring ratio according to change point occurrence availability of process that is not measure method by the existent simple ratio rate. This paper defines measure section as ailment section, metastable section and stability section by change point standard and create statistical model of each section and developed suitable measure rate model by section. As a result, we have accomplished maximum throughput and minimum sampling number that needs to maintain constant level of quality. Proposed method minimizes load of measure process by brings production quality sophistication and decrease of process badness and lowers measure rate in stable section making perception about problem occurrence quick heightening measure rate at change point occurrence.

Tests for Mean Change with the Modified Cusum Statistics

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Kim, Na-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.187-199
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    • 2003
  • We deal with the problem of testing a sequence of independent normal random variables with constant, known or unknown, variance for no change in mean versus alternatives with a single change-point. Various tests based on the likelihood ratio and recursive residuals, score statistics and cusums are studied. Proposed tests are modified version of Buckley's cusum statistics. A comparison study of various change-point test statistics is done by Monte Carlo simulation with S-plus software.

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Estimation of the Number of Change-Points with Local Linear Fit

  • 김종태;최혜미
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.251-260
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    • 2002
  • The aim of this paper is to consider of detecting the location, the jump size and the number of change-points in regression functions by using the local linear fit which is one of nonparametric regression techniques. It is obtained the asymptotic properties of the change points and the jump sizes. and the correspondin grates of convergence for change-point estimators.

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Combination of Schwarz Information Criteria for Change-Point Analysis

  • 김종태
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.185-193
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this paper is to suggest a method for detecting the linear regression change-points or variance change-points in regression model by the combination of Schwarz information criteria. The advantage of the suggested method is to detect change-points more detailed when one compares the suggest method with Chen (1998)'s method.

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소량자료를 위한 베이지안 다중 변환점 모형 (Bayesian Multiple Change-Point for Small Data)

  • 전수영
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.237-246
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    • 2012
  • 다중 변환점(multiple change-point) 추론에 있어 소량자료에 관한 연구는 많지 않다. 본 논문에서는 소량 자료의 다중 변환점 추정을 위해 베이지안 비중심(noncentral) t 분포 변환점 모형을 제안하고, 제안된 모형 추론을 위해 메트로폴리스-해스팅스를 포함한 깁스 샘플링(Metropolis-Hastings-Within-Gibbs sampling) 알고리즘을 이용하였다. 모의실험 및 태풍 발생 수의 실증 분석결과는 제안된 모형과 알고리즘의 우수성을 보여 준다.

연고제(軟膏劑)의 경도(硬度)에 관한 연구(硏究)(IV) -온도(溫度)의 변화(變化)가 연고제(軟膏劑)의 대수경도(對數硬度) 미치는 영향(影響)- (The Study on the Hardness of Ointment(IV) -Influences of Temperature on the Apparent Logarithmic Hardness of Ointments-)

  • 이숙경
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 1978
  • The relationship between temperature and apparent logarithmic hardness of ointments were clearly demonstrated. The followings were obtained as the results: 1. When the ointment base was mixed with additives and heated or cooled at various temperatures, the apparent logarithmic hardness in the first trend before reaching the critical point is subject to change mainly by the contents of the additive while in the secondary trend after reaching the critical point is subject to change mainly by the temperature. 2. No Change in the critical point was observed at different temperatures. It is assumed that the crittical point of such ointment bases has no relationship with temperatures and that the critical point itself should rather depend on the physicochemical properties of the additives.

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An Analysis of 'The Phase Changes of the Moon', the Contents in Science Textbook of the 9th Grade

  • Chae, Dong-Hyun
    • 한국지구과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지구과학회 2010년도 춘계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.73-73
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze illustrations, contents, and experiment in 6 kinds of science textbook from the 9th grade covering the phase change of the Moon (on the phase change of the Moon in six 9th grade science textbook) and to suggest coherent and effective contents and frame of the science textbook. Hence, the researcher decided the study problem. The study problems are as follows; 'Are the illustrations in the science textbook presented to help understand the phase change of the Moon depending on the position of the observer?', 'Does the contents of the book clearly mention the phase change of the Moon?', 'Can students understand the phase change of the Moon through the experiments in the science textbook?', 'Do illustrations, contents, and experiment of the science textbook consistently explain phase change of the Moon?'. 10 persons (9graduate students including the researcher) took part in this study. All things unanimously agreed upon by all participants were reflected in the results. The results are as follows. First, the universe observer's view point is mixed with the earth observer's view in illustration of these science textbook regarding the phase change of the Moon. Moreover, illustrations of some textbooks are presented with such words as 'sunrise', 'midnight' and consequently contain too much contents. Second, the contents of the science textbook concerning the phase change of the Moon is not described clearly. In addition, they don't give clear and detailed explanations for the reason of the phase change of the Moon. Third, all of the textbooks, except one textbook, describe the experiment regarding the phase change of the Moon with the earth observer's view point but don't specifically mention that the view point is that of the earth observer's view point. Fourth, illustrations, contents, and experiments in the science textbook don't coherently explain the phase change of the Moon. In addition, it is confirmed through the process of the result analysis that the described contents in the science curriculum is not well constructed or logical.

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Using Structural Changes to support the Neural Networks based on Data Mining Classifiers: Application to the U.S. Treasury bill rates

  • 오경주
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2003년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.57-72
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    • 2003
  • This article provides integrated neural network models for the interest rate forecasting using change-point detection. The model is composed of three phases. The first phase is to detect successive structural changes in interest rate dataset. The second phase is to forecast change-point group with data mining classifiers. The final phase is to forecast the interest rate with BPN. Based on this structure, we propose three integrated neural network models in terms of data mining classifier: (1) multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA)-supported neural network model, (2) case based reasoning (CBR)-supported neural network model and (3) backpropagation neural networks (BPN)-supported neural network model. Subsequently, we compare these models with a neural network model alone and, in addition, determine which of three classifiers (MDA, CBR and BPN) can perform better. For interest rate forecasting, this study then examines the predictability of integrated neural network models to represent the structural change.

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Asymptotic Properties of Variance Change-point in the Long-memory Process

  • 주민정;조신섭
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2000년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.23-26
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    • 2000
  • It is noted that many econometric time series have long-memory properties. A long-memory process, or strongly dependent process, is characterized by hyperbolic decaying autocorrelations and unbounded spectral density at the origin. Since the long-memory property can be observed by data obtained from rather a long period, there is some possibility of parameter change in the process. In this paper, we consider the estimation of change-point when there is a change in the variance of a long-memory process. The estimator is based on some reasonable statistic and the consistency is shown using Taqqu's strong reduction theorem

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Multiple Change-Point Estimation of Air Pollution Mean Vectors

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Cheon, Sooy-Oung
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.687-695
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    • 2009
  • The Bayesian multiple change-point estimation has been applied to the daily means of ozone and PM10 data in Seoul for the period 1999. We focus on the detection of multiple change-points in the ozone and PM10 bivariate vectors by evaluating the posterior probabilities and Bayesian information criterion(BIC) using the stochastic approximation Monte Carlo(SAMC) algorithm. The result gives 5 change-points of mean vectors of ozone and PM10, which are related with the seasonal characteristics.