• 제목/요약/키워드: change of seasonal trend

검색결과 90건 처리시간 0.028초

낙동강 하구역 진우도 해빈의 춘추계 표층퇴적물 조직변수의 변화 (Variation of the textural parameters of surface sediments between spring and fall season on the Jinu-do beach, Nakdong River estuary)

  • 김부근;김백운;이상룡
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제21권6호
    • /
    • pp.444-452
    • /
    • 2009
  • 진우도 해빈에서 2005년 11월과 2006년 5월의 2회에 걸쳐서 표층퇴적물을 채취하여 퇴적물의 조직변수를 분석하였다. 2005년 11월에 비하여 2006년 5월에는 진우도 서쪽 해빈의 최빈값은 $3.0\phi$(i.e., 0.125 mm)로 변화가 거의 없었으나, 동쪽 해빈에서는 최빈값$3.0\phi$(i.e., 0.125 mm)의 함량이 대폭 감소하고 $2.5\phi$(i.e., 0.177 mm)가 절대적으로 우세한 조립화 경향이 발생하였다. 마찬가지로 표층퇴적물 평균 입도는 서쪽 해빈에서는 두 조사의 차이가 거의 미약하지만, 동쪽 해빈의 평균입도는 증가되어 조립화된 특징을 반영한다. 이러한 조립화는 2006년 5월에 진우도의 동쪽 해빈의 표층퇴적물에서 상대적으로 양의 값으로 변화된 왜도 경향과 일치한다. 결과적으로 2005년 겨울을 지나면서 진우도의 표층퇴적물은 서쪽 해빈은 큰 변화를 보이지 않는 반면에 동쪽 해빈은 $3.0\phi$(i.e., 0.125 mm)의 세립 사질퇴적물이 제거되는 현저한 조립화 경향이 나타난 것이다. 이와 같은 변화는 낙동강 하구역에 하계동안 증가된 강수량과 낙동강 방출량 그리고 동계동안 우세한 파랑 그리고 조석의 영향 등이 복합적으로 작용하여 진우도 서쪽 해빈과 동쪽 해빈의 표층퇴적물에 영향을 주는 수리학적 조건과 퇴적물의 공급/제거가 다르기 때문이다.

Basic reproduction number of African swine fever in wild boars (Sus scrofa) and its spatiotemporal heterogeneity in South Korea

  • Lim, Jun-Sik;Kim, Eutteum;Ryu, Pan-Dong;Pak, Son-Il
    • Journal of Veterinary Science
    • /
    • 제22권5호
    • /
    • pp.71.1-71.12
    • /
    • 2021
  • Background: African swine fever (ASF) is a hemorrhagic fever occurring in wild boars (Sus scrofa) and domestic pigs. The epidemic situation of ASF in South Korean wild boars has increased the risk of ASF in domestic pig farms. Although basic reproduction number (R0) can be applied for control policies, it is challenging to estimate the R0 for ASF in wild boars due to surveillance bias, lack of wild boar population data, and the effect of ASF-positive wild boar carcass on disease dynamics. Objectives: This study was undertaken to estimate the R0 of ASF in wild boars in South Korea, and subsequently analyze the spatiotemporal heterogeneity. Methods: We detected the local transmission clusters using the spatiotemporal clustering algorithm, which was modified to incorporate the effect of ASF-positive wild boar carcass. With the assumption of exponential growth, R0 was estimated for each cluster. The temporal change of the estimates and its association with the habitat suitability of wild boar were analyzed. Results: Totally, 22 local transmission clusters were detected, showing seasonal patterns occurring in winter and spring. Mean value of R0 of each cluster was 1.54. The estimates showed a temporal increasing trend and positive association with habitat suitability of wild boar. Conclusions: The disease dynamics among wild boars seems to have worsened over time. Thus, in areas with a high elevation and suitable for wild boars, practical methods need to be contrived to ratify the control policies for wild boars.

육계생산과 도계유통에 관한 조사연구 (A Study on Production, Dressing and Marketing of Broiler)

  • 오세정
    • 한국가금학회지
    • /
    • 제10권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-22
    • /
    • 1983
  • The Purpose of this study is to examine both supply and demand side of broiler chicken in Korea. Especially the paper aims to investigate the broiler chicken production Dressing and marketing pattern which may affect the demand for it. It is generally understood that broiler chicken production becomes unstable because of frequent market price fluctuation mainly due to disequilibrium of quantities demanded ana supplied It is important to point out that marketing in the form dressed chicken has been enforced by the regulation in Seoul area since March 1st, 1983, though live birds have been customarily marketed for year. It is assumed that the subsituation of chicken meat for beef would save foreign exchanges, because increasingly large amount of beef is imported mainly thanked to a chronical shortage in local production. Main findings of this study may be summarized as follows: 1) Broiler chicker production has been rapidly increased recently, estimating 180-200 million head per year with the trend of contineous increase year after year. Price fluctuation during the year is found, especially summer and winter mainly due to seasonal demand change. It is known that mal-funconing of broiler chicken market may be one of the causes for a large Price fluctuation. Accordingly the increase of marketing efficiency may reduce the price fluctuation and also positively impact on creating demand for the chicken consumption. 2) It is also interesting to note that 90 percent of broilers are grown on the floor and almost 86 percent of total broilers composed of so called high-bros, weighing on an average more than 1.6kg per head Approximately 8 weeks are required for of around marketing birds at the feed efficiency of around 2.3-2.5 Average broiler farm raises between 1,000 and 2,000 head, showing a quite small scale of operation. Only a few sampled farmers follow an all-in and all-out method in broiler production.

  • PDF

대동호의 시기별 및 계절별 수질변화 평가 (Assessment of Seasonal Variation in Water Quality in Daedong Lake)

  • 윤진주;강세원;박종환;서동철;김현우;조주식
    • 한국환경농학회지
    • /
    • 제39권3호
    • /
    • pp.197-203
    • /
    • 2020
  • BACKGROUND: Most lakes have increased concerns about water pollution due to the inflow of non-point sources caused by human activities. Therefore, the lake water quality survey was conducted in order to propose effective plans for water quality management by analyzing the characteristics of lakes and the change of water quality. METHODS AND RESULTS: In order to investigate the physicochemical water quality in Daedong lake, water quality analysis was undertaken from July 2018 to June 2019. Water temperature was ranged from 7.8 to 34.3℃ and pH varied from 6.9 to 10.2. The concentration of Dissolved oxygen, Suspended solid, Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD), and Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD) were 5.6 ~ 17.2 mg/L, 2.4 ~ 35.3 mg/L, and 4.5 ~ 15.1 mg/L, and 0.9 ~ 2.8 mg/L, respectively. The Total Nitrogen (T-N) concentration ranged from 0.974 ~ 2.126 mg/L, and Total Phosphorus (T-P) concentration ranged from 0.014 ~ 0.057 mg/L. The Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) ranged from 2.7 ~ 37.9 mg/㎥. Through Carlson TSIm assessment using T-P and Chl-a results, evaluating trophic state, Daedong lake was evaluated as mesotrophic. CONCLUSION: Water pollution management plan needs such as nutrient removal technology and nonpoint source management for prevention of eutrophication in Daedong lake.

대기 라돈 및 기체상 오염물질의 기류 이동경로별 농도변화: 2010~2015년 측정 (Concentration Variation of Atmospheric Radon and Gaseous Pollutants Related to the Airflow Transport Pathways during 2010~2015)

  • 송정민;김기주;부준오;김원형;강창희
    • 한국대기환경학회지
    • /
    • 제34권2호
    • /
    • pp.321-330
    • /
    • 2018
  • Concentrations of the atmospheric radon and gaseous pollutants were measured at the Gosan site on Jeju Island from 2010 to 2015, in order to observe their time-series variation characteristics and examine the concentration change related to the airflow transport pathways. Based on the realtime monitoring of the atmospheric radon and gaseous pollutants, the daily mean concentrations of radon ($^{222}Rn$) and gaseous pollutants($SO_2$, CO, $O_3$, $NO_x$) were $2,400mBq\;m^{-3}$ and 1.3, 377.6, 41.1, 3.9 ppb, respectively. On monthly variations of radon, the mean concentration in October was the highest as $3,033mBq\;m^{-3}$, almost twice as that in July ($1,452mBq\;m^{-3}$). The diurnal variation of radon concentration shows bimodal curves at early morning (around 7 a.m.) and near midnight, whereas its lowest concentration was recorded at around 3 p.m. Several gaseous pollutants($SO_2$, CO, $NO_x$) showed a similar seasonal variation with radon concentration as high in winter and low in summer, whereas the $O_3$ concentrations had a bit different seasonal trend. According to the cluster back trajectory analysis, the frequencies of airflow pathways moving from continental North China, East China, Japan and the East Sea, the Korean Peninsula, and North Pacific Ocean routes were 36, 37, 10, 13, and 4%, respectively. When the airflow were moved to Jeju Island from continental China, the concentrations of radon and gaseous pollutants were relatively high. On the other hand, when the airflows were moved from North Pacific Ocean and East Sea, their concentrations were much lower than those from continental China.

울산지역의 기상 특성: 기온과 바람을 중심으로 (Meteorological Characteristics in the Ulsan Metropolitan Region: Focus on Air Temperature and Winds)

  • 오인보;방진희;김양호
    • 한국대기환경학회지
    • /
    • 제31권2호
    • /
    • pp.181-194
    • /
    • 2015
  • Spatial-temporal meteorological features of the Ulsan metropolitan region (UMR) were analyzed using observations and high-resolution numerical modeling. Long-term trend analysis (1970~2013) showed a significant increase of $0.033^{\circ}Cyr^{-1}$ in the 5-year moving average temperature, although detailed short-term features varied, whereas wind speed and relative humidity over the same period displayed clear decreases of $-0.007ms^{-1}$ and $-0.29%yr^{-1}$, respectively. These trends indicate the effects of regional climate change and urbanization in the UMR. Seasonal variations averaged for the most recent three years, 2011~2013, showed that temperatures in three different regions (urban/industrial, suburban, coastal areas) of the UMR had similar seasonality, but significant differences among them were observed for a certain season. Urban and industrial complex regions were characterized by relatively higher temperatures with large differences (max.: $3.6^{\circ}C$) from that in the coastal area in summer. For wind speed, strong values in the range from 3.3 to $3.9ms^{-1}$ occurred in the coastal areas, with large differences clearly shown between the three regions in September and October. Diurnal variations of temperature were characterized by pronounced differences during the daytime (in summer) or nighttime (in winter) between the three regions. Results from the WRF modeling performed for four months of 2012 showed large variations in gridaverage temperature and winds in the UMR, which displayed significant changes by season. Especially, a clear temperature rise in the urban center was identified in July ($0.6^{\circ}C$ higher than nearby urban areas), and overall, relatively weak winds were simulated over urban and inland suburban regions in all seasons.

지역 기후 앙상블 예측을 활용한 한반도 풍력 에너지의 시·공간적 변동성 연구 (Variability of Wind Energy in Korea Using Regional Climate Model Ensemble Projection)

  • 김유미;김연희;김나윤;임윤진;김백조
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제26권3호
    • /
    • pp.373-386
    • /
    • 2016
  • The future variability of Wind Energy Density (WED) over the Korean Peninsula under RCP climate change scenario is projected using ensemble analysis. As for the projection of the future WED, changes between the historical period (1981~2005) and the future projection (2021~2050) are examined by analyzing annual and seasonal mean, and Coefficient of Variation (CV) of WED. The annual mean of WED in the future is expected to decrease compared to the past ones in RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 respectively. However, the CV is expected to increase in RCP 8.5. WEDs in spring and summer are expected to increase in both scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. In particular, it is predicted that the variation of CV for WED in winter is larger than other seasons. The time series of WED for three major wind farms in Korea exhibit a decrease trend over the future period (2021~2050) in Gochang for autumn, in Daegwanryeong for spring, and in Jeju for autumn. Through analyses of the relationship between changes in wind energy and pressure gradients, the fact that changes in pressure gradients would affect changes in WED is identified. Our results can be used as a background data for devising a plan to develop and operate wind farm over the Korean Peninsula.

Analysis of the influence of sex, slaughter season, and feeding system on carcass traits in Hanwoo

  • Kim, Gye-Woong;Kim, Ji-Hyuk
    • 농업과학연구
    • /
    • 제44권3호
    • /
    • pp.375-383
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study was conducted to investigate the effects of sex, environmental factors, and feeding system on the carcass traits of Hanwoo (Korean Native Cattle). Data were collected from 7,866 heads slaughtered in Chungnam province during one-year period. Using the collected carcass traits data which greatly influence a Hanwoo's carcass grade, the effects of sex class, slaughter season, and feeding system were estimated. Backfat thickness of steers was significantly higher than that of bulls (p < 0.05). Marbling score was also the highest in steers when compared with cows and bulls (p < 0.05). Live weight and carcass weight were significantly higher in winter than in summer (p < 0.05). However, backfat thickness was significantly lower in summer than in other seasons (p < 0.05). Marbling score was higher in spring and fall than in summer and winter (p < 0.05). In terms of feeding systems, TMR (Total mixed ration) and TMF (Total mixed fermentation feed) fed groups showed the highest carcass grade (p < 0.05). However, the group fed TMR and formula feed at the final fattening period showed the lowest performance (p < 0.05) and it is assumed that some stress was associated to the feed change. The results reconfirm that castration may be recommended in order to improve meat quality and marbling scores in bulls. There was no consistent trend of seasonal effects of slaughter on carcass traits although some traits were significantly affected. Regarding the feeding system, either TMR or TMF can be supplied to achieve high feed efficiency and good carcass characteristics in Hanwoo.

심층신경망을 이용한 농업기상 정보 생산방법 (Production of agricultural weather information by Deep Learning)

  • 양미연;윤상후
    • 디지털융복합연구
    • /
    • 제16권12호
    • /
    • pp.293-299
    • /
    • 2018
  • 기상은 농작물 재배에 많은 영향을 미친다. 농작물 재배지의 기상정보는 효율적인 농작물 재배 및 관리에 필수적이다. 농업기상 정보의 높은 수요에도 불구하고 이에 대한 연구는 부족하다. 본 연구는 중장기 계절예측정보인 GloSea5와 심층 신경망을 통해 양파의 주산지인 전라남도의 농업기상 정보 생산 방법을 다룬다. 연구방법으로는 매일 생산되는 GloSea5 기상정보를 훈련시키기 위해 슬라이딩 창 방법을 활용한 심층신경망 모형이 사용되었다. 모형의 정확도평가는 농업기상관측소의 일 평균기온과 GloSea5 예측값 그리고 딥러닝 예측값 차이의 RMSE와 MAE로 계산하였다. 심층신경망 모형은 학습기간이 늘어날수록 정확도가 향상되므로 학습기간과 예측기간에 따른 예측성능을 비교하였다. 분석결과 학습기간과 예측기간은 비례하지만 계절변화에 따른 추세성이 반영되는 한계점이 있었다. 이를 보안하기 위해 예측값과 관측값의 차이를 다음날 예측값에 적용시킨 후보정 심층신경망 모형을 제시하였다.

한국의 강력 범죄 발생 추이 및 통제 요인 연구 (A study on the violent crime and control factors in Korea)

  • 권태연;전새봄
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제27권6호
    • /
    • pp.1511-1523
    • /
    • 2016
  • 우리나라의 5대 강력범죄 (살인, 강도, 강간, 폭력, 절도) 발생의 증가추세는 우리나라의 사회, 경제적 요인의 변화 추세와 무관하지 않으며, 이와 관련한 논의는 여러 사회과학 연구에서 논의되어져왔으나 시계열 자료의 특성을 제대로 반영하지 않은 경우가 많다. 이에 본 연구에서는 강력범죄 변화의 추이를 살펴보고 그 통제 요인들에 관하여 논의하였다. 통제 요인들을 살펴봄에 있어 시간, 계절 및 순환과 같이 시계열 자료로써 갖는 내재적 요인들과 경제적, 사회변동 및 범죄통제에 관련한 외재적 요인들로 범주화 하여 고려하였다. 또한 시계열자료가 본질적으로 갖는 자기상관성을 반영한 모형 역시 고려하여 비교하였다. 이러한 다양한 시계열 모형들을 통하여 5대 강력범죄의 발생요인을 점검하는 한편 발생건수를 예측함으로써 강력 범죄에 대한 예방적 정책적 도움을 주고자 하였다.