• 제목/요약/키워드: change of primary variables

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Modelling Analysis of Climate and Soil Depth Effects on Pine Tree Dieback in Korea Using BIOME-BGC (BIOME-BGC 모형을 이용한 국내 소나무 고사의 기후 및 토심 영향 분석)

  • Kang, Sinkyu;Lim, Jong-Hwan;Kim, Eun-Sook;Cho, Nanghyun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.242-252
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    • 2016
  • A process-based ecosystem model, BIOME-BGC, was applied to simulate seasonal and inter-annual dynamics of carbon and water processes for potential evergreen needleleaf forest (ENF) biome in Korea. Two simulation sites, Milyang and Unljin, were selected to reflect warm-and-dry and cool-and-wet climate regimes, where massive diebacks of pines including Pinus densiflora, P. koraiensis and P thunbergii, were observed in 2009 and 2014, respectively. Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) showed periodic drought occurrence at every 5 years or so for both sites. Since mid-2000s, droughts occurred with hotter climate condition. Among many model variables, Cpool (i.e., a temporary carbon pool reserving photosynthetic compounds before allocations for new tissue production) was identified as a useful proxy variable of tree carbon starvation caused by reduction of gross primary production (GPP) and/or increase of maintenance respiration (Rm). Temporal Cpool variation agreed well with timings of pine tree diebacks for both sites. Though water stress was important, winter- and spring-time warmer temperature also played critical roles in reduction of Cpool, especially for the cool-and-wet Uljin. Shallow soil depth intensified the drought effect, which was, however, marginal for soil depth shallower than 0.5 m. Our modeling analysis implicates seasonal drought and warmer climate can intensify vulnerability of ENF dieback in Korea, especially for shallower soils, in which multi-year continued stress is of concern more than short-term episodic stress.

Spatial Patterns of Urban Flood Vulnerability in Seoul (도시 홍수 취약성의 공간적 분포 - 서울 지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Jisoo;Sung, Hyo Hyun;Choi, Gwangyong
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.615-626
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    • 2013
  • In this study, spatial patterns of the urban flood vulnerability index in Seoul are examined by considering climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptability associated with floodings for recent 5 year (2006~2010) period by the smallest administrative unit called Dong. According to the results of correlation analyses based on the IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)'s vulnerability model, among many variables associated with urban flooding, rainwater tank capacity, 1-day maximum precipitation and flood pumping station capacity have statistically-significant, and relatively-high correlations with the number of flood damage in Seoul. The flood vulnerability map demonstrates that the extensive areas along Anyang and Joongnang streams show relatively high flood vulnerability in Seoul due to high sensitivity. Especially in case of Joongnang stream areas, climatic factors also contribute to the increase of flood vulnerability. At local scales, several Dong areas in Gangdong-gu and Songpa-gu also show high flood vulnerability due to low adaptability, while those in Gangnam-gu do due to high sensibility and climate factor such as extreme rainfall events. These results derived from the flood vulnerability map by Dong unit can be utilized as primary data in establishing the adaptation, management and proactive policies for flooding prevention within the urban areas in more detail.

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The study on Standard Uptake Value(SUV) change according to time input difference in PET/CT scan (PET/CT 검사에서 시간 입력 차이에 따른 표준화섭취계수(SUV) 변화에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Kyung-Sik;Lee, Ju-Young;Jung, Woo-Young;Kim, Jung-Sun
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine Technology
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.21-25
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: $^{18}F$-FDG Fusion Whole Body PET scan is performed approximately 1 hour after injecting $^{18}F$-FDG. At this point in the injection procedure, as a tool of the criteria of time input, time of clocks or computers can be used and in the scan procedure, time of workstation can be used. In case that synchronized time input is not done in the injection and scan procedures for PET scan, time error from injection to scan can occur. This time error may affect Standard Uptake Value (SUV) being used as quantitative assessment. Therefore, in this study, we analyzed the change of SUV according to time input difference and necessity of time synchronization. Materials and Methods: The analysis was performed to 30 patients ($54.8{\pm}15.5$ years old) who examined $^{18}F$-FDG Fusion Whole Body PET scan in Department of nuclear medicine, Asan Medical Center from December 2009 to February 2010. To observe the change of SUV according to time input difference, the image was reconstructed and analyzed by artificially changing time difference of 1, 2, 3, 5, 10, 20 min against the same patients based on 60 minutes. Result: SUV of the image that reconstructed the images of 30 patients by giving intervals of 1, 2, 3, 5, 10, 20 min respectively and the image that entered original time was compared and analyzed through paired t-test. Based on 0 minute, mean SUV of aorta was changed by 0.3, 1.1, 1.4, 3.2, 4.7, 12.5% respectively and there was no statistically significant difference in 1, 2 minutes (p>0.05) but there was significant difference in 3, 5, 10, 20 min (p<0.05). The changes of $SUV_{avg}$ of liver were 1.6, 2.5, 3.0, 4.2, 6.6, 12.8% in 1, 2, 3, 5, 10, 20 min respectively and the changes of $SUV_{max}$ of primary lesion were 1.0, 1.5, 2.2, 3.5, 6.6, 12.8% respectively (p<0.05). Conclusion: Errors may occur in the process of measuring or recording variables affecting SUV such as height and weight of patients, $^{18}F$-FDG dose, Emission scan start time etc. and as these errors are more, the accurate assessment of SUV is interfered. Therefore, in order to assess SUV more accurately, it is thought that efforts to minimize these errors should be made. Of these efforts, time synchronization will be a cornerstone for accurate scanning.

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Prediction of future hydrologic variables of Asia using RCP scenario and global hydrology model (RCP 시나리오 및 전지구 수문 모형을 활용한 아시아 미래 수문인자 예측)

  • Kim, Dawun;Kim, Daeun;Kang, Seok-koo;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.551-563
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    • 2016
  • According to the 4th and 5th assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), global climate has been rapidly changing because of the human activities since Industrial Revolution. The perceived changes were appeared strongly in temperature and concentration of carbon dioxide ($CO_2$). Global average temperature has increased about $0.74^{\circ}C$ over last 100 years (IPCC, 2007) and concentration of $CO_2$ is unprecedented in at least the last 800,000 years (IPCC, 2014). These phenomena influence precipitation, evapotranspiration and soil moisture which have an important role in hydrology, and that is the reason why there is a necessity to study climate change. In this study, Asia region was selected to simulate primary energy index from 1951 to 2100. To predict future climate change effect, Common Land Model (CLM) which is used for various fields across the world was employed. The forcing data was Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) data which is the newest greenhouse gas emission scenario published in IPCC 5th assessment. Validation of net radiation ($R_n$), sensible heat flux (H), latent heat flux (LE) for historical period was performed with 5 flux tower site-data in the region of AsiaFlux and the monthly trends of simulation results were almost equaled to observation data. The simulation results for 2006-2100 showed almost stable net radiation, slightly decreasing sensible heat flux and quite increasing latent heat flux. Especially the uptrend for RCP 8.5 has been about doubled compared to RCP 4.5 and since late 2060s, variations of net radiation and sensible heat flux would be significantly risen becoming an extreme climate condition. In a follow-up study, a simulation for energy index and hydrological index under the detailed condition will be conducted with various scenario established from this study.

Parameterization and Application of a Forest Landscape Model by Using National Forest Inventory and Long Term Ecological Research Data (국가산림자원조사와 장기생태연구 자료를 활용한 산림경관모형의 모수화 및 적용성 평가)

  • Cho, Wonhee;Lim, Wontaek;Kim, Eun-Sook;Lim, Jong-Hwan;Ko, Dongwook W.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.215-231
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    • 2020
  • Forest landscape models (FLMs) can be used to investigate the complex interactions of various ecological processes and patterns, which makes them useful tools to evaluate how environmental and anthropogenic variables can influence forest ecosystems. However, due to the large spatio-temporal scales in FLMs studies, parameterization and validation can be extremely challenging when applying to new study areas. To address this issue, we focused on the parameterization and application of a spatially explicit forest landscape model, LANDIS-II, to Mt. Gyebang, South Korea, with the use of the National Forest Inventory (NFI) and long-term ecological research (LTER) site data. In this study, we present the followings for the biomass succession extension of LANDIS-II: 1) species-specific and spatial parameters estimation for the biomass succession extension of LANDIS-II, 2) calibration, and 3) application and validation for Mt. Gyebang. For the biomass succession extension, we selected 14 tree species, and parameterized ecoregion map, initial community map, species growth characteristics. We produced ecoregion map using elevation, aspect, and topographic wetness index based on digital elevation model. Initial community map was produced based on NFI and sub-alpine survey data. Tree species growth parameters, such as aboveground net primary production and maximum aboveground biomass, were estimated from PnET-II model based on species physiological factors and environmental variables. Literature data were used to estimate species physiological factors, such as FolN, SLWmax, HalfSat, growing temperature, and shade tolerance. For calibration and validation purposes, we compared species-specific aboveground biomass of model outputs and NFI and sub-alpine survey data and calculated coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE). The final model performed very well, with 0. 98 R2 and 8. 9 RMSE. This study can serve as a foundation for the use of FLMs to other applications such as comparing alternative forest management scenarios and natural disturbance effects.

Analysis of Elementary Teachers' Interest in Authorized and Approved Mathematics Textbooks (검인정제에 따른 초등 교사의 수학 교과서 관심 분석)

  • Kim, Hyojung;Lee, Kwangho;Son, Taekwon
    • Education of Primary School Mathematics
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to investigate elementary school teachers' interest in mathematics textbooks following the new change in the publication system for elementary mathematics textbooks. To achieve this, an online survey platform was used to conduct a survey of elementary school teachers in teaching grade 3-4 across the country, and the responses of 199 participants were analyzed to determine their interest in mathematics textbooks. The research results showed that elementary school teachers had high levels of interest in mathematics textbooks, particularly in informational and personal interest. Moreover, the stages at which teachers showed the highest level of interest were reinforcement interest and operational interest. Analysis of the differences in interest in mathematics textbooks based on personal variables showed significant differences depending on the teacher's experience in mathematics education training, satisfaction with mathematics textbooks, and whether they majored in mathematics education. Based on these findings, it can be inferred that elementary school teachers have a high level of informational interest in the characteristics, strengths, weaknesses, and materials related to authorized and approved mathematics textbooks, and their high level of personal interest in mathematics textbooks can have a positive effect in line with the goal of the new textbook system. Additionally, since many teachers showed a high level of interest in reinforcement interest, it is necessary to devise various ways to support teachers' creative use and reconstruction of mathematics textbooks.

Inelastic Dynamic Analysis of Structure Subjected to Across-Wind Load (풍직각방향 풍하중이 작용하는 구조물의 비탄성 동적 해석)

  • Ju-Won Kim
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2023
  • In this study, fluctuating wind velocity for time history analysis is simulated by a single variate, single-dimensional random process using the KBC2022 spectrum about across-wind direction. This study analyzed and obtained the inelastic dynamic response for structures modeled as a single-degree-of-freedom system. It is assumed that the wind response is excellent in the primary mode, the change in vibration owing to plasticization is minor, along-wind vibration and across-wind vibration are independent, and the effect of torsional vibration is small. The numerical results, obtained by the Newmark-𝛽 method, shows the time-history responses and trends of maximum displacements. As a result of analyzing the inelastic dynamic response of the structure with the second stiffness ratio(𝛼) and yield displacement ratio (𝛽) as variables, it is identified that as the yield displacement ratio (𝛽) increases when the second stiffness ratio is constant, the maximum displacement ratio decreases, then reaches a minimum value, and then increases. When the stiffness ratio is greater than 0.5, there is a yield point ratio at which the maximum displacement ratio is less than 1, indicating that the maximum deformation is reduced compared to the elastically designed building even if the inelastic behavior is permitted in the inelastic wind design.

Effects of Dysfunctional Customer Behavior, Job Stress and Stress Copying on Job Satisfaction in Insurance Solicitors (고객공격행동, 직무스트레스, 스트레스 대처가 보험설계사의 직무만족도에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon;Park, Seul-Ki
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.578-588
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    • 2016
  • Job satisfaction is the primary factor in determining happiness, so people change jobs when they aren't satisfied. In the case of insurance solicitors, high turnover rates imply low job satisfaction. Job stress impacts job satisfaction, and job stress is particularly prominent for insurance solicitors whose job involves working with customers face- to- face. The purpose of this study is to investigate factors influencing job satisfaction for insurance solicitors. Participants in this study consisted of 245 insurance solicitors from 3 insurance company located in Seoul, Kyonggi province and Kyongsang province. Data was collected from self-administrated questionnaires and analyzed using independent t-test, ANOVA, Pearson's Correlation Coefficient, and multiple regression. Job satisfaction showed a significant correlation with dysfunctional customer behavior, job stress, and ability to cope with stress. The main factors of job stress, stress coping ability, and income level had significant influence on job satisfaction for insurance solicitors. The explained variance for job satisfaction was 34%. These findings provide empirical evidence for the importance of job stress and stress coping variables in job satisfaction for insurance solicitors. This study aims to assist in predicting insurance solicitor's job satisfaction.

Spatio-Temporal Incidence Modeling and Prediction of the Vector-Borne Disease Using an Ecological Model and Deep Neural Network for Climate Change Adaption (기후 변화 적응을 위한 벡터매개질병의 생태 모델 및 심층 인공 신경망 기반 공간-시간적 발병 모델링 및 예측)

  • Kim, SangYoun;Nam, KiJeon;Heo, SungKu;Lee, SunJung;Choi, JiHun;Park, JunKyu;Yoo, ChangKyoo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.58 no.2
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    • pp.197-208
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    • 2020
  • This study was carried out to analyze spatial and temporal incidence characteristics of scrub typhus and predict the future incidence of scrub typhus since the incidences of scrub typhus have been rapidly increased among vector-borne diseases. A maximum entropy (MaxEnt) ecological model was implemented to predict spatial distribution and incidence rate of scrub typhus using spatial data sets on environmental and social variables. Additionally, relationships between the incidence of scrub typhus and critical spatial data were analyzed. Elevation and temperature were analyzed as dominant spatial factors which influenced the growth environment of Leptotrombidium scutellare (L. scutellare) which is the primary vector of scrub typhus. A temporal number of diseases by scrub typhus was predicted by a deep neural network (DNN). The model considered the time-lagged effect of scrub typhus. The DNN-based prediction model showed that temperature, precipitation, and humidity in summer had significant influence factors on the activity of L. scutellare and the number of diseases at fall. Moreover, the DNN-based prediction model had superior performance compared to a conventional statistical prediction model. Finally, the spatial and temporal models were used under climate change scenario. The future characteristics of scrub typhus showed that the maximum incidence rate would increase by 8%, areas of the high potential of incidence rate would increase by 9%, and disease occurrence duration would expand by 2 months. The results would contribute to the disease management and prediction for the health of residents in terms of public health.

P53 Overexpression and Outcome of Radiation Therapy in Head & Neck Cancers (두경부종양 환자에서 p53의 과발현과 방사선치료결과)

  • Kim In Ah;Choi Ihl Bhong;Kang Ki Mun;Jang Ji Young;Kim Kyung Mi;Park Kyung Shin;Young Shin Kim;Kang Chang Suk;Cho Seung Ho;Kim Hyung Tae
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1999
  • Purpose : Experimental studies have implicated the wild type p53 In cellular response to radiation. Whether altered p53 function can lead to changes in clinical radiocurability remains an area of ongoing study. This study was performed to investigate whether any correlation between change of p53 and outcome of curative radiation therapy in patients with head and neck cancels. Methods : Immunohistochemical analysis with a mouse monoclonal antibody (DO-7) specific for human p53 was used to detect to overexpression of protein in formalin fixed, paraffin-embedded tumor sample from 55 head and neck cancer patients treated with curative radiation therapy (median dose of 7020 cGy) from February 1988 to March 1996 at 51. Mary's Hospital. Overexpression of p53 was correlated with locoregional control and survival using Kaplan-Meier method. A Cox regression multi-variate analysis was peformed that included all clinical variables and status of p53 expression. Results : Thirty-seven (67.2$\%$) patients showed overexpression of p53 by immunohistochemical staining in their tumor. One hundred percent of oral cavity, 70$\%$ of laryngeal, 66.7$\%$ of oropharyngeal, 66.7$\%$ of hypopharyngeal cancer showed p53 overexpression (P=0.05). The status of p53 had significant relationship with stage of disease (P=0.03) and history of smoking (P=0.001). The overexpression of p53 was not predictive of response rate to radiation therapy. The locoregional control was not significantly affected by p53 status. Overexpression of p53 didn't have any prognostic implication for disease free survival and overall survival. Primary site and stage of disease were significant prognostic factors for survival. Conclusions : The p53 overexpression as detected by immunohistochemical staining had significant correlation with stage, primary site of disease and smoking habit of patients. The p53 overexpression didn't have any predictive value for outcome of curative radiation therapy in a group of head and neck cancers.

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