• Title/Summary/Keyword: certified emission reductions price

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The Comparison of Certified Emission Reductions Forecasting Model Using Price of Certified Emission Reductions and Related Search Keywords (탄소배출권 가격과 연관검색어를 활용한 탄소배출권 가격 예측 방법론 비교)

  • Kim, Hyeonho;Im, Giseong;Kim, Yujin;Lee, Minwoo;Han, Seungwoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.44-45
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    • 2020
  • Korea has the fourth highest CO2 emission among OECD countries in 2018, As of 2019, total greenhouse gas emissions per capita increased by about 98.2% in comparison to 1990. Korea has promised a 37% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in 2030 from the projected Paris Climate Change Accord. Currently, many countries use the emissions trading system(ETS) for international carbon management. In 2015, ETS has been implemented in Korea, and the importance of calculating CO2 emissions from construction machinery has increased. So, we require an accurate calculation of the environmental charges through the allocated CERs. Using the CER price and related search keywords, this paper derive about prediction models of CER price and compare and focus on more accurate prediction about CER price. By this method, the budget needed to establish the initial construction process plan can be calculated based on more accurate predicted CER price.

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Investment Decisions for Clean Development Mechanism under Uncertain Energy Policies using Real Option

  • Taeil Park;Changyoon Kim;Hyoungkwan Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.107-110
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    • 2013
  • Recently, Korea parliament legislated the Low Carbon Green Growth Act (April, 2012) and approved a bill (May, 2012) to start carbon emission trading system in 2015. It means that for the first time, government would regulate the amounts of carbon emission in private entities, and private entities should attain predefined emission reduction goals by implementing clean development mechanism (CDM) project or buy the Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) from the trading market to avoid penalty. Under these circumstances, it is not easy for them to determine when or how to implement the CDM project because the governmental energy policies about the level of governmental subsidies, periods for free emission allocation, etc. are still under discussion and the future price of the CERs is quite uncertain. Thus, this study presents a real-option based model to assess the financial viability of the CDM project which switches bunker-C oil to liquefied natural gas (LNG). The proposed model is expected to assist private entities in establishing the investment strategy for CDM project under uncertain government energy policies.

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Changes in Profitability of a Double Cropping using the Carbon Fixation Method (탄소고정방식을 활용한 농작물 이모작의 수익성 변화)

  • Mo, Tae-Jun;Kim, Brian H.S.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to calculate the annual carbon reduction of crops according to the carbon fixation method of agricultural land, therefore to analyze whether the economic inducement of farmers to switch from single cropping to double cropping if the amount of carbon reduction were traded on the Korea Exchange. The analysis targets were Gyeonggi Province, which was divided into four areas to compare the difference between agricultural income and carbon income by crop and cropping system. Agricultural profit was estimated by multiplying the prior data of 2012 by the change rate of the consumer price index, and carbon income was calculated through the carbon reduction for each crop and the average transaction price of KAU19 traded on the Korea Exchange. According to the analysis, the profit rate of double cropping in all areas is -110.4% to 23% compared to single cropping, when only agricultural profit is taken into account, with no economic inducement for farmers to change the cropping system. However, when carbon income is taken into account together, the profit rate of double cropping rises significantly from 122.5% to 238.9% over a single operation in all areas, resulting in an economic inducement to switch the cropping system. This research is meaningful in that farming households could raise their income by additional carbon income, and that carbon credits could be supplied at Korea Exchange to further boost the carbon emission exchange.

Study on the Risk Management of the CERs Investment - Regarding Registration Risks and Price Change Risk in Investing Primary CERs - (탄소배출권 투자와 위험관리방안 연구 - 일차배출권(Primary CER) 투자 시 등록위험 및 가격변동 위험을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Chang Seok;Kim, Yun Soung;Jeon, Eui Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.115-131
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    • 2011
  • Out of all the possible actions that can be taken to respond to greenhouse gas reduction, including development of greenhouse gas reduction technology, infrastructure, actions to improve energy saving and efficiency, and offset with carbon emission reductions (CERs), this study shall focus on the investment on CERs. This study will take a look at risks involved with investing in CERs such as UN registration refusal risk and CERs price fluctuation, and will design risk management model which shall be verified. The goal of this paper is to provide optimized CERs investment strategies for different types of investors, such as general trading companies seeking for investment opportunities and financial companies with plans for green products development and investment by preparation for carbon market. It is expected that the global competitiveness of domestic financial companies shall be improved by taking actions on carbon market instead of previous passive response to climate change and that Korea, the number two Carbon Emissions supplier and number one derivatives market in terms of volume, shall be able to lead the worldwide carbon market.

Economic Analysis for a Tidal Power Plant Project using RETScreen - Focused on the Tidal Power Plant in Asan Bay (RETScreen을 활용한 조력발전 개발사업 경제성 분석 - 아산만 조력발전소 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Min-Ock;Jeong, Keun-Chae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.152-163
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    • 2013
  • In this research, we analyse the economic feasibility of a tidal power plant project which can efficiently generate mass, permanent, predictable, and homogeneous electric power. For the economic feasibility analysis, we used the RETScreen that is developed at the CANMET Energy Technology Center in Natural Resources Canada and widely utilized for analysing the economic feasibility and sensitivity of clean energy projects. Results from the feasibility and sensitivity analysis showd that the tidal power plant project in Korea has a enough economic feasibility, and its feasibility increases more as certified emission reductions price and electricity unit price increase. Based on the results from the feasibility study, we can solve the energy problems to be come in near future by constructing the tidal power plants in Korea more aggressively.

Using the Binomial Option Pricing Model for Strategic Sales of CER's to Improve the Economic Feasibility of CDM projects (이항옵션가격 모형을 활용한 CER 판매전략 구축과 이를 통한 CDM 사업 수익성 향상 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Koo, Bonsang;Park, Jong-Ho;Kim, Cheong-Woon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2014
  • The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) allows New & Renewable Energy projects to make additional income by selling CER's, which represent the amount of Green House Gases(GHG) that is reduced in the project. However, forward contracts used to hedge fluctuating market prices does not allow projects to sell CER's at a premium. As an alternate approach to maximize CER revenue, CER's are modeled as a 'real option', in which CER's are sold only above the desired sales price. Using the Binomial Option Pricing model, the resultant lattices are used to determine whether to sell, defer or abandon the option at individual nodes. Overlaying Pascal's Triangle on the lattices also enabled the calculation of the annual probabilities for deferring CER sales without incurring downside losses. Application to an actual Landfill Gas project showed increased overall NPV, and that CER sales could be deferred at a maximum of 2 years. The proposed framework allows transparency in the analysis and provides valuable and strategical information when making investment decisions related to CER sales of CDM projects.