• Title/Summary/Keyword: censoring probability estimation

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Design of Robust Detector with Noise Variance Estimation Censoring Input Signals over AWGN

  • Lee, Hyeon-Cheol;Halverson, Don R.
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.110-112
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    • 2007
  • As an alternative to the classic linear detector which only assumes noise variance, a new robust detector with noise variance estimation censoring input signals over AWGN is proposed. The results demonstrate that analytic detection probability matches the simulation results for the linear detector and that the new robust detector shows better performance than the linear detector when the number of samples increases.

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A Note on a New Two-Parameter Lifetime Distribution with Bathtub-Shaped Failure Rate Function

  • Wang, F.K.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents the methodology for obtaining point and interval estimating of the parameters of a new two-parameter distribution with multiple-censored and singly censored data (Type-I censoring or Type-II censoring) as well as complete data, using the maximum likelihood method. The basis is the likelihood expression for multiple-censored data. Furthermore, this model can be extended to a three-parameter distribution that is added a scale parameter. Then, the parameter estimation can be obtained by the graphical estimation on probability plot.

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A comparison study of inverse censoring probability weighting in censored regression (중도절단 회귀모형에서 역절단확률가중 방법 간의 비교연구)

  • Shin, Jungmin;Kim, Hyungwoo;Shin, Seung Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.957-968
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    • 2021
  • Inverse censoring probability weighting (ICPW) is a popular technique in survival data analysis. In applications of the ICPW technique such as the censored regression, it is crucial to accurately estimate the censoring probability. A simulation study is undertaken in this article to see how censoring probability estimate influences model performance in censored regression using the ICPW scheme. We compare three censoring probability estimators, including Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimator, Cox proportional hazard model estimator, and local KM estimator. For the local KM estimator, we propose to reduce the predictor dimension to avoid the curse of dimensionality and consider two popular dimension reduction tools: principal component analysis and sliced inverse regression. Finally, we found that the Cox proportional hazard model estimator shows the best performance as a censoring probability estimator in both mean and median censored regressions.

Estimation of the exponentiated half-logistic distribution based on multiply Type-I hybrid censoring

  • Jeon, Young Eun;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we derive some estimators of the scale parameter of the exponentiated half-logistic distribution based on the multiply Type-I hybrid censoring scheme. We assume that the shape parameter λ is known. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimator of the scale parameter σ. The scale parameter is estimated by approximating the given likelihood function using two different Taylor series expansions since the likelihood equation is not explicitly solved. We also obtain Bayes estimators using prior distribution. To obtain the Bayes estimators, we use the squared error loss function and general entropy loss function (shape parameter q = -0.5, 1.0). We also derive interval estimation such as the asymptotic confidence interval, the credible interval, and the highest posterior density interval. Finally, we compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error through Monte Carlo simulation. The average length of 95% intervals and the corresponding coverage probability are also obtained.

Estimation of the time-dependent AUC for cure rate model with covariate dependent censoring

  • Yang-Jin Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.365-375
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    • 2024
  • Diverse methods to evaluate the prediction model of a time to event have been proposed in the context of right censored data where all subjects are subject to be susceptible. A time-dependent AUC (area under curve) measures the predictive ability of a marker based on case group and control one which are varying over time. When a substantial portion of subjects are event-free, a population consists of a susceptible group and a cured one. An uncertain curability of censored subjects makes it difficult to define both case group and control one. In this paper, our goal is to propose a time-dependent AUC for a cure rate model when a censoring distribution is related with covariates. A class of inverse probability of censoring weighted (IPCW) AUC estimators is proposed to adjust the possible sampling bias. We evaluate the finite sample performance of the suggested methods with diverse simulation schemes and the application to the melanoma dataset is presented to compare with other methods.

Mean Life Assessment and Prediction of the Failure Probability of Combustion Turbine Generating Unit with Data Analytic Method Based on Aging Failure Data (통계적 분석방법을 이용한 복합화력 발전설비의 평균수명 계산 및 고장확률 예측)

  • Lee, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Seung-Hyuk;Kim, Jin-O
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.10
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    • pp.480-486
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a method to consider an aging failure probability and survival probability of power system components, though only aging failure probability has been considered in existing mean life calculation. The estimates of the mean and its standard deviation is calculated by using Weibull distribution, and each estimated parameters is obtained from Data Analytic Method (Type H Censoring). The parameter estimation using Data Analytic Method is simpler and faster than the traditional calculation method using gradient descent algorithm. This paper shows calculation procedure of the mean life and its standard deviation by the proposed method and illustrates that the estimated results are close enough to real historical data of combustion turbine generating units in Korean systems. Also, this paper shows the calculation procedures of a probabilistic failure prediction through a stochastic data analysis. Consequently, the proposed methods would be likely to permit that the new deregulated environment forces utilities to reduce overall costs while maintaining an are-related reliability index.

Calculating Mean Life of Generators with Aging failures Data Using Data Analytic Method (통계적 분석 방법을 이용한 발전설비의 평균수명 계산)

  • Lee Sung Hoon;Lee Seung Hyuk;Kim Jin O;Jeon Dong Hoon;Kim Tae Kyun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.464-466
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    • 2004
  • This paper proposes a method to consider an aging failure probability and survival probability of power system components unlike uses only aging failure probability in existing mean life calculation. The estimates of the mean and its standard deviation is calculated by using Weibull distribution and each estimated parameters is obtained from Data Analytic Method (Type II Censoring). The parameter estimation using Data Analytic Method is simpler and faster than a traditional calculation method. This paper shows how to calculate the mean life and its standard deviation by the proposed method and illustrates a exactness using real historical records of generator utilities in korea.

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Application of the Weibull-Poisson long-term survival model

  • Vigas, Valdemiro Piedade;Mazucheli, Josmar;Louzada, Francisco
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.325-337
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we proposed a new long-term lifetime distribution with four parameters inserted in a risk competitive scenario with decreasing, increasing and unimodal hazard rate functions, namely the Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution. This new distribution arises from a scenario of competitive latent risk, in which the lifetime associated to the particular risk is not observable, and where only the minimum lifetime value among all risks is noticed in a long-term context. However, it can also be used in any other situation as long as it fits the data well. The Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution is presented as a particular case for the new exponential-Poisson long-term distribution and Weibull long-term distribution. The properties of the proposed distribution were discussed, including its probability density, survival and hazard functions and explicit algebraic formulas for its order statistics. Assuming censored data, we considered the maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation. For different parameter settings, sample sizes, and censoring percentages various simulation studies were performed to study the mean square error of the maximum likelihood estimative, and compare the performance of the model proposed with the particular cases. The selection criteria Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and likelihood ratio test were used for the model selection. The relevance of the approach was illustrated on two real datasets of where the new model was compared with its particular cases observing its potential and competitiveness.