• Title/Summary/Keyword: catastrophic scenario

Search Result 15, Processing Time 0.032 seconds

Assessment of Safety Management Cost with Accident Scenarios at Gas Governor Station (가스공급기지에서 사고 시나리오에 따른 안전관리비 평가)

  • Kim Tae-Ok;Jang Seo-Il;Kim So-Mi
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.8 no.3 s.24
    • /
    • pp.37-42
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study established a catastrophic scenario and a likely scenario by qualitative and quantitative risk assessments to consider climate condition with season, and assessed efficiency of safety management cost with scenarios by cost-benefit analysis. As results, the catastrophic scenario was the maintenance error for unsteady state operation, and the likely scenario was the gas release accident at node $\sharp$4 of HAZOP Also, benefit/cost ratios for total safety management cost and effective items of safety management could be assessed at each scenario.

  • PDF

An interpretation of potential catastrophic collision at P/2010 A2

  • Kim, Yoonyoung;Ishiguro, Masateru;Michikami, Tatsuhiro;Nakamura, Akiko M.
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
    • /
    • v.41 no.1
    • /
    • pp.49.1-49.1
    • /
    • 2016
  • Solar System has evolved with numerous collisions among asteroids. Ancient catastrophic collisions of large parent bodies led the formation of asteroid families and relevant dustband structures up to the present day, and it would be interesting to address a question - "what happens if an asteroid collides with another asteroid?" Recent discoveries of "active asteroids" in the main-belt have attracted interest for their potential to witness a catastrophic collision in the current Solar System. So far, however, there is no direct evidence for catastrophic collision on active asteroids while several objects have been confirmed for other mechanisms (e.g., 596 Scheila for impact cratering, P/2013 R3 and P/2013 P5 for rotational breakup). The most potential candidate for catastrophic collision could be a sub-km active asteroid P/2010 A2, which is still controversial on its driving mechanism, but if confirmed, would have made P/2010 A2 the unique example of catastrophic collision on the current main asteroid belt. In this presentation, we revisit all of archival data of P/2010 A2 in a combination with our own observation using Subaru/Suprime-Cam on 2011 June, where we have a great benefit of a large orbital coverage. We found a grain size dependence of dust ejection velocity from P/2010 A2 (a power-law size distribution with an index of k~ -1/10), which is favorable to a catastrophic disruption scenario in agreement with laboratory impact experiments. At this conference, we plan to provide our understanding of the morphology of P/2010 A2 through a perspective of catastrophic collision.

  • PDF

A Study on the Extents of Damage of a Bow Structure According to Collision Scenario (선수 충돌 상황별 손상거동에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kui-Me;Kim, Geun-Won;Shin, Ki-Su
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.266-271
    • /
    • 2012
  • The rescue methods for the marine casualties are limited due to the characteristics of operation environment of the vessel. Especially the most of marine accidents have been occurred at the bow structure of ship. Moreover the failure of bow structure may lead to catastrophic mishaps. In this paper, the extents of damage of a bow structure fracture subject to collision accident was investigated by using numerical method. The computer simulation approach by using Finite Element Method was employed to accomplish this goal. A finite element model, a 3D model of ship, has been utilized to evaluate damage of bow structure according to collision scenario. In conclusion, we have demonstrated that the plastic deformation occurred at the bow structure. Also it was shown that the collision angle clearly plays a role in determining amount of damage of ship structures.

Fire-induced damage on Shield TBM concrete segment (터널 화재로 인한 콘크리트 세그먼트의 손상특성 규명)

  • Choi, Soon-Wook;Chang, Soo-Ho;Lee, Gyu-Phil;Bae, Gyu-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2005.03a
    • /
    • pp.423-430
    • /
    • 2005
  • Fire accidents in underground space may bring much loss of lives as well as properties and result in catastrophic disasters. This study aimed to manufacture the high-temperature furnace capable of simulating fire scenarios (RABT and RWS) and carry out the preliminary fire tests to evaluate fire-induced damage in underground structures. Specimens used in the fire tests were the concrete segments generally used in shield TBM tunnels. The simulated fire scenario was set to the RABT curve that is the most representative fire scenario in underground space. From the fire tests, the spalling was estimated to reach approximately 20cm from the surface exposed to fire. In addition, from the observation of core specimens obtained after fire tests, the deteriorated zone of unspalled specimens amounted to approximately 10cm from the surface of spalling.

  • PDF

Researching impact of climate change and economic development on the water supply deficit of Ta Keo reservoir, Lang Sonprovince, Viet Nam

  • Chin, L.V.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.199-199
    • /
    • 2016
  • In recent decades, climate change phenomenon has developed towards critical tendency and increased in both frequency, intensity and time which causes catastrophic damage in both people and property, especially in the field of agriculture and water resources. At the current, some researches in the world and Viet Nam studies on climate change impacts on the water resources sectors. Results of scientists'studies showed that climate change will seriously impact productivity, livelihoods and the environment on a global scale; especially large flood phenomena increasingly developing in intensity, drought more violently occurring in a long time. In recent years, the shortage of water supply for economic activity has started to happen with quite serious degree at the Viet Nam, especially in the northern mountainous provinces of Viet Nam.

  • PDF

Researching impact of climate change and economic development on the water supply deficit of Dong Quan reservoir, Ha Noi Capital, Viet Nam

  • Chin, L.V.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2017.05a
    • /
    • pp.190-190
    • /
    • 2017
  • In recent decades, climate change phenomenon has developed towards critical tendency and increased in both frequency, intensity and time which causes catastrophic damage in both people and property, especially in the field of agriculture and water resources. At the current, some researches in the world and Viet Nam studies on climate change impacts on the water resources sectors. Results of scientists' studies showed that climate change will seriously impact productivity, livelihoods and the environment on a global scale; especially large flood phenomena increasingly developing in intensity, drought more violently occurring in a long time. In recent years, the shortage of water supply for economic activity has started to happen with quite serious degree at the Viet Nam, especially in the northern provinces of Viet Nam.

  • PDF

Development of a nonlinear seismic response capacity spectrum method for intake towers of dams

  • Cocco, Leonardo;Suarez, Luis E.;Matheu, Enrique E.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.36 no.3
    • /
    • pp.321-341
    • /
    • 2010
  • The seismic-induced failure of a dam could have catastrophic consequences associated with the sudden release of the impounded reservoir. Depending on the severity of the seismic hazard, the characteristics and size of the dam-reservoir system, preventing such a failure scenario could be a problem of critical importance. In many cases, the release of water is controlled through a reinforced-concrete intake tower. This paper describes the application of a static nonlinear procedure known as the Capacity Spectrum Method (CSM) to evaluate the structural integrity of intake towers subject to seismic ground motion. Three variants of the CSM are considered: a multimodal pushover scheme, which uses the idea proposed by Chopra and Goel (2002); an adaptive pushover variant, in which the change in the stiffness of the structure is considered; and a combination of both approaches. The effects caused by the water surrounding the intake tower, as well as any water contained inside the hollow structure, are accounted for by added hydrodynamic masses. A typical structure is used as a case study, and the accuracy of the CSM analyses is assessed with time history analyses performed using commercial and structural analysis programs developed in Matlab.

Seismic probabilistic risk assessment of weir structures considering the earthquake hazard in the Korean Peninsula

  • Alam, Jahangir;Kim, Dookie;Choi, Byounghan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.421-427
    • /
    • 2017
  • Seismic safety evaluation of weir structure is significant considering the catastrophic economical consequence of operational disruption. In recent years, the seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) has been issued as a key area of research for the hydraulic system to mitigate and manage the risk. The aim of this paper is to assess the seismic probabilistic risk of weir structures employing the seismic hazard and the structural fragility in Korea. At the first stage, probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) approach is performed to extract the hazard curve at the weir site using the seismic and geological data. Thereafter, the seismic fragility that defines the probability of structural collapse is evaluated by using the incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) method in accordance with the four different design limit states as failure identification criteria. Consequently, by combining the seismic hazard and fragility results, the seismic risk curves are developed that contain helpful information for risk management of hydraulic structures. The tensile stress of the mass concrete is found to be more vulnerable than other design criteria. The hazard deaggregation illustrates that moderate size and far source earthquakes are the most likely scenario for the site. In addition, the annual loss curves for two different hazard source models corresponding to design limit states are extracted.

Regularization Strength Control for Continuous Learning based on Attention Transfer (어텐션 기반의 지속학습에서 정규화값 제어 방법)

  • Kang, Seok-Hoon;Park, Seong-Hyeon
    • Journal of IKEEE
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.19-26
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose an algorithm that applies a different variable lambda to each loss value to solve the performance degradation caused by domain differences in LwF, and show that the retention of past knowledge is improved. The lambda value could be variably adjusted so that the current task to be learned could be well learned, by the variable lambda method of this paper. As a result of learning by this paper, the data accuracy improved by an average of 5% regardless of the scenario. And in particular, the performance of maintaining past knowledge, the goal of this paper, was improved by up to 70%, and the accuracy of past learning data increased by an average of 22% compared to the existing LwF.

A study on a ballast optimization algorithm for onboard decision support system (선내탑재 의사결정지원 시스템을 위한 발라스트 최적화 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Shin Sung-Chul
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.29 no.10 s.106
    • /
    • pp.865-870
    • /
    • 2005
  • Because there are only a limited number of means of action that are available for the master to pursue in the event of flooding, onboard decision support system has been required. The majority of systems activated during a flooding emergency (such as watertight and semi-watertight doors, bulkhead valves, dewatering pumps etc.) almost exclusively aim to restore a sufficiently high level of subdivision to prevent flooding from spreading through the ship. Even though assuming the flooding scenario is not catastrophic, the use of ballast tanks can be an additional and very effective tool to ensure both prevention of flooding spreading and also improve ship stability. This paper describes an optimization algorithm devised to choose the set of ballast tanks that should be filled in order to achieve an optimal response to a flooding accident.