• 제목/요약/키워드: carbon budget model

검색결과 28건 처리시간 0.022초

지구규모의 탄소 순환 및 물질수지 연구 (Global Carbon Cycle and Budget Study)

  • 권오열
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.429-440
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    • 1996
  • A global carbon cycle model (GCCM), that incorporates interaction among the terrestrial biosphere, ocean, and atmosphere, was developed to study the carbon cycling aid global carbon budget, especially due to anthropogenic $CO_2$ emission. The model that is based on C, 13C and 14C mass balance, was calibrated with the observed $CO_2$ concentration, $\delta$13C and $\Delta$14C in the atmosphere, Δ14C in the soil, and $\Delta$14C in the ocean. Also, GCCM was constrained by the literature values of oceanic carbon uptake and CO, emissions from deforestation. Inputs (forcing functions in the model) were the C, 13C and 14C as $CO_2$ emissions from fossil fuel use, and 14C injection into the stratosphere by bomb-tests. The simulated annual carbon budget of 1980s due to anthropoRenic $CO_2$ shows that the global sources were 5.43 Gt-C/yr from fossil fuel use and 0.91 Gt-C/yr from deforestation, and the sinks were 3.29 Gt-C/yr in the atmosphere, 0.90 Gt-C/yr in the terrestrial biosphere and 2.15 Gt-C/yr in the ocean. The terrestrial biosphere is currently at zero net exchange with the atmosphere, but carbon is lost cia organic carbon runoff to the ocean. The model could be utilized for a variety of studies in $CO_2$ policy and management, climate modeling, $CO_2$ impacts, and crop models.

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탄소순환모델을 이용한 지구 규모의 탄소 수지 연구 (Global Carbon Budget Study using Global Carbon Cycle Model)

  • 권오열;정재형
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제27권12호
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    • pp.1169-1178
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    • 2018
  • Two man-made carbon emissions, fossil fuel emissions and land use emissions, have been perturbing naturally occurring global carbon cycle. These emitted carbons will eventually be deposited into the atmosphere, the terrestrial biosphere, the soil, and the ocean. In this study, Simple Global Carbon Model (SGCM) was used to simulate global carbon cycle and to estimate global carbon budget. For the model input, fossil fuel emissions and land use emissions were taken from the literature. Unlike fossil fuel use, land use emissions were highly uncertain. Therefore land use emission inputs were adjusted within an uncertainty range suggested in the literature. Simulated atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations were well fitted to observations with a standard error of 0.06 ppm. Moreover, simulated carbon budgets in the ocean and terrestrial biosphere were shown to be reasonable compared to the literature values, which have considerable uncertainties. Simulation results show that with increasing fossil fuel emissions, the ratios of carbon partitioning to the atmosphere and the terrestrial biosphere have increased from 42% and 24% in the year 1958 to 50% and 30% in the year 2016 respectively, while that to the ocean has decreased from 34% in the year 1958 to 20% in the year 2016. This finding indicates that if the current emission trend continues, the atmospheric carbon partitioning ratio might be continuously increasing and thereby the atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations might be increasing much faster. Among the total emissions of 399 gigatons of carbon (GtC) from fossil fuel use and land use during the simulation period (between 1960 and 2016), 189 GtC were reallocated to the atmosphere (47%), 107 GtC to the terrestrial biosphere (27%), and 103GtC to the ocean (26%). The net terrestrial biospheric carbon accumulation (terrestrial biospheric allocations minus land use emissions) showed positive 46 GtC. In other words, the terrestrial biosphere has been accumulating carbon, although land use emission has been depleting carbon in the terrestrial biosphere.

NETWRK을 이용한 쇄파대 생태계의 탄소수지와 네트웍 해석 (Carbon Budget and Network Analysis of a Surf Zone Ecosystem by NETWRK)

  • 강윤호
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2004
  • A carbon budget model was constructed and analyzed for the Bangjukpo surf zone ecosystem in southern Korea by using the NETWRK. The model consists of 11 living and 1 non-living groups. Using boxes and arrows, a topological map was created to depict biomasses of each group and exchange rates between them. The system includes primary producers of phytoplankton and benthic algae, primary consumers of particle feeding zooplankton, carnivorous zooplankton, meiobenthos, malacostracans and bivalves, and top consumers of detrivorous, omnivorous, carnivorous and piscivorous fishes. The surf zone ecosystem was analyzed by means of network analysis, showing total system throughput of $574\;gCm^{-2}yr^{-1},$ development capacity of $1,876\;gCm^{-2}yr^{-1},$ ascendancy value of $768\;gCm^{-2}yr^{-1},$ Finn cycling index of $4.4\%$ and internal relative ascendancy of $27\%.$ These results were compared with similar data from other systems.

소나무 개체군의 이산화탄소 교환 모델 (A Model for Carbon Dioxide Exchanges of Pinus densiflora Population)

  • Suh, kyeHong
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 1996
  • The model PINUSCO2 hased of physiology was creted to simulate carbon dioxide budget in a population of red pine(pinus densiflora) which is one of the dominant species in Korea. Driving forces of PINUSCO2 are global radiation, maximum and minimum air temperatures. State variables fo the model are standing crops of leaf, branch, trunk and root of the red pine population. PINUSCO2 calculates net photosynthesis of canopy and respiration of each organ with 1 hour time step. PINUSCO2 estimated the annual gross productivity, respiration and net productivity of the red pine population as 43.99, 24.55, and 19.44 ton CO2·ha-1·yr-1, respectively, at the study sity(35°58′00"N, 128°25′35"E). PINUSCO2 showed that the red pine population grew mainly in spring and fall, and that in summer daily net population productivity frequently became negative.

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Carbon Dioxide Budget in Phragmites communis Stands

  • Ihm, Hyun-Bin;Ihm, Byung-Sun;Lee, Jeom-Sook;Kim, Jong-Wook;Kim, Ha-Song
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.335-339
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    • 2001
  • The dynamic model was developed to simulate the photosynthetic rate of Phragmites communis stands in coastal ecosystem. The model was composed of the compartments of both climatic and biological variables. The former were photosynthetic photon flux density(PPFD), daily maximum- and minimum-temperature. The latter were combinations of the specific physiological responses of plant organs with the biomass of each organs. The PPFD and air temperature were calculated and using those values, gas exchange rate of each plant organ was calculated at every hour. The carbon budget was constructed using the modelled predictions. Analysis of annual productivity and fluxes showed that yearly gross population productivity, yearly population respiration and yearly net population productivity were 33.4, 21.3 and 12.1 $CO_2ton{\cdot}ha^{-2}{\cdot}yr^{-1}$, respectively. The final result was tested over two stands, produced promising predictions with regards to the levels of production attained. The model can be used to determine production potential under given climatic conditions and could even be applied to plant canopies with analogous biological characteristics.

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Alternatives for Quantifying Wetland Carbon Emissions in the Community Land Model (CLM) for the Binbong Wetland, Korea.

  • Eva Rivas Pozo;Yeonjoo Kim
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.413-413
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    • 2023
  • Wetlands are a critical component of the global carbon cycle and are essential in mitigating climate change. Accurately quantifying wetland carbon emissions is crucial for understanding and predicting the impact of wetlands on the global carbon budget. The uncertainty quantifying carbon in wetlands may comes from the ecosystem's hydrological, biochemical, and microbiological variability. The Community Land Model is a sophisticated and flexible land surface model that offers several configuration options such as energy and water fluxes, vegetation dynamics, and biogeochemical cycling, necessitating careful consideration for the alternative configurations before model implementation to develop a practical model framework. We conducted a systematic literature review, analyzing the alternatives, focusing on the carbon stock pools configurations and the parameters with significant sensitivity for carbon quantification in wetlands. In addition, we evaluated the feasibility and availability of in situ observation data necessary for validating the different alternatives. This analysis identified the most suitable option for our study site, the Binbong Wetland, in Korea.

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생태계 모형과 시공간 환경정보를 이용한 우리나라 식생 탄소 수지 추정 (Estimation of Vegetation Carbon Budget in South Korea using Ecosystem Model and Spatio-temporal Environmental Information)

  • 유성진;이우균;손요환;이토 아키히코
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.145-157
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 시공간 환경정보를 이용하여 VISIT(Vegetation Integrated Simulator for Trace gases)이라는 생태계 모형 구동하였고, 우리나라의 생태계 탄소 수지를 추정하였다. 모델 구동 결과, 모델은 시뮬레이션 기간인 총 10년 동안 연평균 총일차생산량(GPP)과 순일차생산량(NPP)을 각각 $91.89Tg\;C\;year^{-1}$, $40.16Tg\;C\;year^{-1}$로 추정하였다. 그리고 이 기간 동안 우리나라의 식생 생태계는 연평균 $3.51Tg\;C\;year^{-1}$의 탄소를 흡수하는 역할을 수행한 것으로 추정되었다. 이를 우리나라의 인위적 탄소배출량 자료와 비교한 결과, 2007년 우리나라 식생 생태계는 탄소 흡수원으로서 인위적 탄소배출량의 3.3%를 상쇄시킨 것으로 나타났다. 향후 정확한 탄소수지 추정을 위해서는 신뢰성 있는 입력자료 구축과 다양한 연구 결과와의 비교를 통해 모델 변수의 보정이 필요하다. 하지만 본 연구의 결과는 기후변화 완화를 위한 생태계 관리 전략을 수립하는데 도움을 줄 것으로 생각된다.

일본의 NDC 이행을 위한 공동감축실적이전 분석 (Analysis of the Joint Crediting Mechanism's Contribution to Japan's NDC)

  • 김영선
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.297-303
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    • 2017
  • Considering Japan's Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions reduction target for Fiscal Year (FY) 2030, the Joint Crediting Mechanism (JCM) was analyzed in order to estimate its significant contribution to Japan's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) and check its availability as a new mechanism to achieve Korea's 2030 mitigation target of 11.3% using carbon credits from international market mechanisms. The total budget for JCM Model Projects (1.2 billion JPY/yr) and JCM REDD+ Model Projects (0.8 billion JPY/yr), which are expected to deliver at least 50% of issued credits to Japan, is estimated about 21.6 billion JPY by the year 2030. This budget is about one third of the purchase of carbon credits from international carbon markets. So far, JCM credits of $378tCO_2-eq$. have been allocated to Japan, which are about 77% of the total issued credit through five-JCM Model Projects implemented from the year 2014. It is expected that Japan will obtain about $0.5MtCO_2-eq$. credits more from 100-ongoing JCM Projects, which are only 1% of Japan's NDC target through JCM credits. With regard to regular issued credits from implemented projects, expected new issued credits from pipeline projects and the less budget for JCM implementation as compared to purchasing carbon credits, JCM credits can be reached a resonable level of Japan's NDC target of $50{\times}100MtCO_2-eq$. through JCM until FY 2030.

HadGEM-CC 모델의 RCP 시나리오에 따른 전지구 탄소수지 변화 전망 (Global Carbon Budget Changes under RCP Scenarios in HadGEM2-CC)

  • 허태경;부경온;심성보;홍진규;홍제우
    • 대기
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2015
  • This study is to investigate future changes in carbon cycle using the HadGEM2-Carbon Cycle simulations driven by $CO_2$ emissions. For experiment, global carbon budget is integrated from the two (8.5/2.6) representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for the period of 1860~2100 by Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model, version 2, Carbon Cycle (Had-GEM2-CC). From 1985 to 2005, total cumulative $CO_2$ amount of anthropogenic emission prescribed as 156 GtC. The amount matches to the observed estimates (CDIAC) over the same period (136 GtC). As $CO_2$ emissions into the atmosphere increase, the similar increasing tendency is found in the simulated atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration and temperature. Atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration in the simulation is projected to be 430 ppm for RCP 2.6 at the end of the twenty-first century and as high as 931 ppm for RCP 8.5. Simulated global mean temperature is expected to rise by $1.6^{\circ}C$ and $3.5^{\circ}C$ for RCP 2.6 and 8.5, respectively. Land and ocean carbon uptakes also increase in proportion to the $CO_2$ emissions of RCPs. The fractions of the amount of $CO_2$ stored in atmosphere, land, and ocean are different in RCP 8.5 and 2.6. Further study is needed for reducing the simulation uncertainty based on multiple model simulations.

Implication of the Change in Overturning Circulation to the LGM CO2 Budget

  • Kim, Seong-Joong;Lee, Bang-Yong;Yoon, Ho-Il;Kim, Yea-Dong
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.501-506
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    • 2004
  • The observational proxy estimates suggest that the North Atlantic overturning stream function associated with the North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) production and outflow was substantially weaker during the last glacial maximum (LGM) than that observed under present conditions. The impact of the changes in overturning circulation on the glacial carbon budget is investigated using a box model. The carbon box model reveals that the atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration is more sensitive to change in the overturning circulation of the North Atlantic than that of the Southern Ocean, especially when North Atlantic overturning becomes weaker. For example, when the strength of the North Atlantic overturning circulation is halved, the atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration is reduced by 50ppm of that associated with the accumulation of $CO_2$ in the deep ocean. This result implies that a weaker North Atlantic overturning circulation may play an important role in the lowering of LGM atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration.