• Title/Summary/Keyword: bivariate

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Drought frequency analysis for multi-purpose dam inflow using bivariate Copula model (이변량 Copula 모형을 활용한 다목적댐 유입량 가뭄빈도해석)

  • Sung, Jiyoung;Kim, Eunji;Kang, Boosik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.340-340
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    • 2021
  • 가뭄의 특성상 시점과 종점을 명확하게 정의하기 어렵기 때문에 기준수문량을 설정하고 부족량과 지속기간을 정의하는 것이 일반적이다. 대상 수문량은 강우나 유출량을 사용할 수 있지만, 두 성분간 지체와 감쇄효과로 인하여 빈도해석의 결과는 차이를 보일 수 밖에 없어, 사용 목적에 따라 선별적으로 적용해야 한다. 가뭄빈도해석은 강우를 기반으로 지속기간과 심도를 정의하여 빈도를 해석하는 연구가 선행되어왔지만, 기본적으로 강우의 간헐적 발생특성과 체감도의 한계가 문제로 지적되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 댐 유입량의 Run 시계열 특성을 이용하여 다양한 유황을 기준유량으로 활용하여 가뭄의 시점과 종점에 대한 가뭄사상을 추출하고 지속기간과 누적부족량을 계산하여 가뭄빈도해석의 변수로 설정하였다. 두 변수간의 복잡한 상호 관계를 해석하기 위해 Copula 함수를 이용한 이변량 가뭄빈도해석을 진행하였다. 먼저 소양강댐('74-'19) 유입량, 충주댐('86-'19) 유입량을 연구대상지역으로 설정하여, 두 유역의 유입량의 추세분석을 통해 시간의존성을 파악하였다. 유황분석에 사용되는 분위량중 평수량을 기준값으로 사용하여 각 년별 최대 지속기간과 누적부족량을 추출하였다. Copula 가뭄빈도해석을 수행하기 전에 지속기간에는 GEV, 누적 부족량에는 Log-normal 분포를 적용해 단변량 누적확률분포를 계산하여 재현기간을 도출하였다. 이변량 빈도해석에 Clayton Copula 함수를 적용하여 가뭄빈도해석을 진행하였고, Copula 이변량 재현기간과 SDF곡선을 도출하였다. Clayton Copula를 이용한 이변량 가뭄빈도해석의 결과로 소양강댐의 가장 극심한 가뭄은 1996년으로 단변량 재현기간은 지속기간 기준 9.11년, 누적부족량 기준 17.26년, Copula 재현기간은 141.19년 이며 충주댐의 가장 극심한 가뭄은 2014년으로 단변량 재현기간은 지속기간 기준 17.76년, 누적부족량 기준 18.72년, Copula 재현기간은 184.19년으로 단변량 가뭄빈도해석을 통한 재현기간보다 Copula 재현기간이 높은 결과가 도출되었다. Run 시계열을 바탕으로 한 기준유량의 임계값 기준 Event 산정과 Copula를 이용한 빈도해석은 가뭄분석에 이용되는 자료의 상관관계와 분포특성을 재현하는데 효과적인 특징이 있다. 이를 미루어 보아 Copula 함수를 이용한 가뭄빈도해석의 재현기간은 보다 현실적인 재현기간을 도출할 수 있는 것으로 판단된다. 임계값의 조정을 통해 가뭄빈도해석의 변수의 양이 늘어나면, 보다 정확도 높은 재현기간을 도출하여 수문학적 가뭄을 정의할 수 있을 것이라고 사료된다.

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Genetic parameters of milk and lactation curve traits of dairy cattle from research farms in Thailand

  • Pangmao, Santi;Thomson, Peter C.;Khatkar, Mehar S.
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • v.35 no.10
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    • pp.1499-1511
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    • 2022
  • Objective: This study was aimed to estimate the genetic parameters, including genetic and phenotypic correlations, of milk yield, lactation curve traits and milk composition of Thai dairy cattle from three government research farms. Methods: The data of 25,789 test-day milk yield and milk composition records of 1,468 cattle from lactation 1 to 3 of Holstein Friesian (HF) and crossbred HF dairy cattle calved between 1990 and 2015 from three government research farms in Thailand were analysed. 305-day milk yield was estimated by the Wood model and a test interval method. The Wood model was used for estimating cumulative 305-day milk yield, peak milk yield, days to peak milk yield and persistency. Genetic parameters were estimated using linear mixed models with herd, breed group, year and season of calving as fixed effects, and animals linked to a pedigree as random effects, together with a residual error. Univariate models were used to estimate variance components, heritability, estimated breeding values (EBVs) and repeatability of each trait, while pairwise bivariate models were used to estimate covariance components and correlations between traits in the same lactation and in the same trait across lactations. Results: The heritability of 305-day milk yield, peak milk yield and protein percentage have moderate to high estimates ranging from 0.19 to 0.45 while days to peak milk yield, persistency and fat percentage have low heritability ranging from 0.08 to 0.14 in lactation 1 cows. Further, heritability of most traits considered was higher in lactation 1 compared with lactations 2 and 3. For cows in lactation 1, high genetic correlations were found between 305-day milk yield and peak milk yield (0.86±0.07) and days to peak milk yield and persistency (0.99±0.02) while estimates of genetic correlations between the remaining traits were imprecise due to the high standard errors. The genetic correlations within the traits across lactation were high. There was no consistent trend of EBVs for most traits in the first lactation over the study period. Conclusion: Both the Wood model and test interval method can be used for milk yield estimates in these herds. However, the Wood model has advantages over the test interval method as it can be fitted using fewer test-day records and the estimated model parameters can be used to derive estimates of other lactation curve parameters. Milk yield, peak milk yield and protein percentage can be improved by a selection and mating program while days to peak milk yield, persistency and fat percentage can be improved by including into a selection index.

A Prediction Model of Fear of Falling in Older Adults Living in a Continuing-Care Retirement Community(CCRC) in United States (미국 노인의 낙상에 대한 두려움 예측모형에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Dukyoo
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.243-258
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    • 2009
  • Background: Falls are among the most common and serious health problems of older people. The psychological symptoms of falling have received relatively little attention compared to physical problems. Objective: The purpose of this study is to test a model to explain the factors that influence fear of falling among older adults living in a continuing care retirement community (CCRC) in Baltimore city, United States. Methods: A secondary analysis was conducted using data obtained from a Health Promotion Survey done on 149 older adults living in a CCRC. Data was originally obtained during face to face interviews with each participant. Descriptive statistics and bivariate correlations were used to describe the sample and evaluate simple correlations. A path analysis was done using the AMOS 4.0 statistical program. Results: Of the 49 hypothesized paths, 13 were statistically significant, and the model accounted for 22% of the variance in fear of falling among the elderly. There was support for the fit of the model to the data with a nonsignificant chi square at 0.478 (df=2, p=0.79), and the ratio of chi-square to degrees of freedom was 0.24, a CFI of 0.99 and RMSEA of 0.00. In particular, gender, a history of falling, and exercise were significant predictors of fear of falling. Conclusions/Implications: As anticipated, exercise is an important factor to prevent fear of falling. As a modifiable variable, self-efficacy and outcome expectation indirectly influence fear of falling through exercise.

The relationships between individual values, nature-relatedness, and happiness (가치 추구, 자연과의 연결감 및 행복과의 관계)

  • Ji young Suh;Young sook Chong
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.313-342
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of the present study was to examine the relationship between individual values, nature-relatedness, and happiness in a sample of Korean university students(N=224). Specially, we used Schwartz's PVQ, life satisfaction, positive affect, psychological well-being, social well-being, and Korean Happiness scale to measure values and happiness. According to the bivariate correlational analysis, generally, there were positive correlation between benevolence, self-direction, universalism, stimulation and one of 5 happiness measurements and there was negative correlation between achievement and life satisfaction. Nature-relatedness were positively related with five types of happiness measurements. According to the hierarchical regression, demographic variables(sex, religion, economic levels), value types, and nature-relatedness explained 25%~36% of variance in happiness. Value was more related with psychological well-being than life satisfaction, positive affect, social well being, Korean happiness scale. This results emphasize the importance of healthy value(benevolence, self-direction) and provision of opportunities contact with nature to promote human happiness.

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A Study on the Dynamic Correlation between the Korean ETS Market, Energy Market and Stock Market (한국 ETS시장, 에너지시장 및 주식시장 간의 동태적 상관관계에 관한 연구)

  • Guo-Dong Yang;Yin-Hua Li
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.189-208
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    • 2023
  • This paper analyzed the dynamic conditional correlation between the Korean ETS market, energy market and stock market. This paper conducted an empirical analysis using daily data of Korea's carbon credit trading price, WTI crude oil futures price, and KOSPI index from February 2, 2015 to December 30, 2021. First, the volatility of the three markets was analyzed using the GARCH model, and then the dynamic conditional correlations between the three markets were studied using the bivariate DCC-GARCH model. The research results are as follows. First, it was found that the Korean ETS market has a higher rate of return and higher investment risk than the stock market. Second, the yield volatility of the Korean ETS market was found to be most affected by external shocks and least affected by the volatility information of the market itself. Third, the correlation between the Korean ETS market and the stock market was stronger than that of the WTI crude oil futures market. This paper analyzed the correlation between the Korean ETS market, energy market, and stock market and confirmed that the level of financialization in the Korean ETS market is quite low.

Accuracy of Digital Breast Tomosynthesis for Detecting Breast Cancer in the Diagnostic Setting: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

  • Min Jung Ko;Dong A Park;Sung Hyun Kim;Eun Sook Ko;Kyung Hwan Shin;Woosung Lim;Beom Seok Kwak;Jung Min Chang
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.1240-1252
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    • 2021
  • Objective: To compare the accuracy for detecting breast cancer in the diagnostic setting between the use of digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT), defined as DBT alone or combined DBT and digital mammography (DM), and the use of DM alone through a systematic review and meta-analysis. Materials and Methods: Ovid-MEDLINE, Ovid-Embase, Cochrane Library and five Korean local databases were searched for articles published until March 25, 2020. We selected studies that reported diagnostic accuracy in women who were recalled after screening or symptomatic. Study quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. A bivariate random effects model was used to estimate pooled sensitivity and specificity. We compared the diagnostic accuracy between DBT and DM alone using meta-regression and subgroup analyses by modality of intervention, country, existence of calcifications, breast density, Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System category threshold, study design, protocol for participant sampling, sample size, reason for diagnostic examination, and number of readers who interpreted the studies. Results: Twenty studies (n = 44513) that compared DBT and DM alone were included. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.90 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86-0.93) and 0.90 (95% CI 0.84-0.94), respectively, for DBT, which were higher than 0.76 (95% CI 0.68-0.83) and 0.83 (95% CI 0.73-0.89), respectively, for DM alone (p < 0.001). The area under the summary receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.95 (95% CI 0.93-0.97) for DBT and 0.86 (95% CI 0.82-0.88) for DM alone. The higher sensitivity and specificity of DBT than DM alone were consistently noted in most subgroup and meta-regression analyses. Conclusion: Use of DBT was more accurate than DM alone for the diagnosis of breast cancer. Women with clinical symptoms or abnormal screening findings could be more effectively evaluated for breast cancer using DBT, which has a superior diagnostic performance compared to DM alone.

Predictors and Prevalence of Alcohol and Cannabis Co-use Among Filipino Adolescents: Evidence From a School-based Student Health Survey

  • Yusuff Adebayo Adebisi;Don Eliseo Lucero-Prisno III;Jerico B. Ogaya;Victor C. Canezo Jr.;Roland A. Niez;Florante E. Delos Santos;Melchor M. Magramo;Ann Rosanie Yap-Tan;Francis Ann R. Sy;Omar Kasimieh
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.57 no.3
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    • pp.288-297
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    • 2024
  • Objectives: This study explored the prevalence and predictors of alcohol and cannabis co-use among 9263 Filipino adolescents, using data from the 2019 Global School-based Student Health Survey (GSHS). Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional secondary analysis of the GSHS, targeting adolescents aged 13-17 years and excluding cases with incomplete data on alcohol and cannabis use. Our analysis employed the bivariate chi-square test of independence and multivariable logistic regression using Stata version 18 to identify significant predictors of co-use, with a p-value threshold set at 0.05. Results: The weighted prevalence of co-users was 4.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.4 to 5.3). Significant predictors included male sex (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 4.50; 95% CI, 3.31 to 6.10; p<0.001) and being in a lower academic year, specifically grade 7 (aOR, 4.08; 95% CI, 2.39 to 6.99; p<0.001) and grade 8 (aOR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.30 to 3.72; p=0.003). Poor sleep quality was also a significant predictor (aOR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.29 to 2.44; p<0.001), as was a history of attempted suicide (aOR, 5.31; 95% CI, 4.00 to 7.06; p<0.001). Physical inactivity was associated with lower odds of co-use (aOR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.33 to 0.62; p<0.001). Additionally, non-attendance of physical education classes (aOR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.06 to 2.05; p=0.021), infrequent unapproved parental checks (aOR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.80; p=0.024), and lower parental awareness of free-time activities (aOR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.45 to 0.87; p=0.005) were associated with higher odds of co-use. Factors not significantly linked to co-use included age group, being in grade 9, always feeling lonely, having no close friends, being bullied outside school, and whether a parent or guardian understood the adolescent's worries. Conclusions: The findings highlight the critical need for comprehensive interventions in the Philippines, addressing not only physical inactivity and parental monitoring but also focusing on sex, academic grade, participation in physical education classes, sleep quality, and suicide attempt history, to effectively reduce alcohol and cannabis co-use among adolescents.

A Follow-up Survey of Mothers' Antenatal Breast-feeding Plans (임신시 모유 수유 계획의 실천에 대한 추적 관찰)

  • Kim, Hae Soon;Seo, Jeong Wan;Kim, Yong Joo;Lee, Kee Hyoung;Kim, Jae Young;Ko, Jae Sung;Bae, Sun Hwan;Park, Hye Sook
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.46 no.7
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    • pp.635-641
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    • 2003
  • Purpose : To investigate the success rate and factors that influence breast-feeding among women having antenatal breast-feeding plans. Methods : Questionnaires included items on success in breast-feeding, reasons for failure and perinatal factors. It was done by telephone calls to 152 randomly selected women having antenatal breast-feeding plans at 4 months after delivery. The questionnaires were analysed by bivariate ${\chi}^2$-analysis. Results : The breast-feeding rate for the first four months among women having antenatal breast-feeding plans was 37.5%. The major reason for breast-feeding failure was insufficient amount of breast milk(66.3%). The breast-feeding rate was 2.3(95% CI 1.15-4.62) times higher in women having antenatal breast-feeding plans for longer than 4 months(P<0.05), but maternal age, breast-feeding for previous baby, person advocating breast-feeding, and family size were not significant factors of success in breast-feeding. The breast-feeding rate of graduates of college was 0.43(95% CI 0.21-0.86) times lower than that of graduates of high school. The breast-feeding rate of employed mothers was 0.37(95% CI 0.17-0.83) times lower than that of housewives(P<0.05). Maternal disease, smoking, alcohol drinking, and understanding and knowledge about breast-feeding were not significant determinant factors of success in breast-feeding. Breast-feeding rate of infant born at local obstetric clinics was 3.97(95% CI 11-14.23) times higher than that of infant at general hospital(P<0.05). Conclusion : To increase the breast-feeding, medical personnel should educate mothers on problems during breast-feeding. Hospital polices that facilitate breast-feeding such as rooming-in must be promoted. For employed mothers, strategies for breast-feeding within companies must be encouraged.

A Study on the Traditional Fast Food Development of College Students in Busan (부산지역 대학생들의 전통음식 패스트푸드화에 관한 견해)

  • Ro, Sung-Bae;Kil, Ji-Oeun;Shin, Ae-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2001
  • This study is to investigate attitude by college students toward transformation of traditional food into fast food style. Data were collected from a convenient sample of 340 students who were enrolled in colleges in Busan metropolitan area. Bivariate analyses with sociodemographic characteristics were made on attitude including evaluation on effects of western fast food taking on eating practice, comparison of willingness to take western-brand fast food with traditional food in fast food style, evaluation of domestic-brand fast food, need and probability of success of operation of fast food restaurant serving only traditional food, list of kinds of traditional food could be in fast food, perceived obstacles to develop traditional food in fast food style and intention to utilize fast food restaurant serving only traditional food if available.

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Association between the Number of Existing Permanent Teeth and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (현존자연치아수와 만성폐쇄성폐질환과의 연관성)

  • Shin, Hye-Sun;Ahn, Yong-Soon;Lim, Do-Seon
    • Journal of dental hygiene science
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.217-224
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the number of existing permanent teeth is associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in a representative sample of Korean adults. Data from 3,107 subjects who participated in the 2009 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were examined. The dependent variable was COPD and the independent variable was the number of existing permanent teeth. Spirometry results were classified into three groups (normal pattern, restrictive pattern, and obstructive pattern) by trained technicians. We used dichotomized COPD variables (no vs. yes). The number of existing permanent teeth was evaluated by oral examination and divided into 3 groups (0~19, 20~27, and 28). Demographic factors (age group and sex group), socioeconomic status (education and income), health behaviors (smoking and drinking), oral health and behavior (frequency of toothbrushing; periodontitis; decayed, missing, filled, permanent teeth index; and denture status), and general health status (body mass index, diabetes mellitus, and hypertension) were included as confounders in the analysis. Bivariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analyses including confounders were applied, and all analyses considered a complex sampling design. Stratified analysis was performed by smoking status. After controlling for various confounders, there was a significant association between the number of existing permanent teeth and COPD (odds ratio [OR], 1.90; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.20~3.00 for the 20~27 group; OR, 3.93; 95% CI, 1.75~8.84 for the 0~19 group). The association was more significant in current smokers (OR, 8.90; 95% CI, 2.53~31.33). Our data indicate that the number of existing permanent teeth was independently associated with COPD, especially in current smokers. Further longitudinal research is needed to determine whether oral health promotion plays a role in the improvement of lung function and prevention of COPD.