• 제목/요약/키워드: biogeochemical modeling

검색결과 20건 처리시간 0.019초

자료기반 물환경 모델의 현황 및 발전 방향 (Data-Driven Modeling of Freshwater Aquatic Systems: Status and Prospects)

  • 차윤경;신지훈;김영우
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.611-620
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    • 2020
  • Although process-based models have been a preferred approach for modeling freshwater aquatic systems over extended time intervals, the increasing utility of data-driven models in a big data environment has made the data-driven models increasingly popular in recent decades. In this study, international peer-reviewed journals for the relevant fields were searched in the Web of Science Core Collection, and an extensive literature review, which included total 2,984 articles published during the last two decades (2000-2020), was performed. The review results indicated that the rate of increase in the number of published studies using data-driven models exceeded those using process-based models since 2010. The increase in the use of data-driven models was partly attributable to the increasing availability of data from new data sources, e.g., remotely sensed hyperspectral or multispectral data. Consistently throughout the past two decades, South Korea has been one of the top ten countries in which the greatest number of studies using the data-driven models were published. Among the major data-driven approaches, i.e., artificial neural network, decision tree, and Bayesian model, were illustrated with case studies. Based on the review, this study aimed to inform the current state of knowledge regarding the biogeochemical water quality and ecological models using data-driven approaches, and provide the remaining challenges and future prospects.

기복이 심한 한반도 중서부 산림경관에서 기후가 순일차생산(NPP)에 미치는 영향에 대한 모사연구 (A Simulation Study to Investigate Climatic Controls on Net Primary Production (NPP) of a Rugged Forested Landscape in the Mid-Western Korean Peninsula)

  • 음성원;강신규;이도원
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.66-77
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    • 2005
  • 과정-중심적인 생지화학 모형인 BIOME-BGC을 이용해 기복이 심한 산림유역에서 미기후가 순일차생산성(NPP)의 시공간적 변화에 미치는 영향을 조사하였다. 임분규모에서의 물과 탄소순환과정에 대한 모형예측 을 검증하기 위하여 2000년부터 각각 낙엽활엽수림 (DBF)과 상록침엽수림(ENF)에서 현장 조사를 수행하였다. 모형예측은 지온, 토양수분, 토양호흡 등의 다양한 현장 측정치들과 높은 상관성을 보였다. 모형에서 예측한 NPP의 계절변화는 기온과 높은 상관성을 보였으나, 물 관련 인자들과는 통계적으로 유의한 상관성이 나타나지 않았다. 반면에 여러 인자 중에서, 강우빈도가 NPP의 연변화를 설명하는 가장 좋은 기후인자로 판명되었다 또한 DBF 임분보다 ENF 임분의 NNP가 강우빈도에 보다 민감한 것으로 나타났다. 공간적인 NPP 분포는 조사 유역에서 식생피복 및 지형의 기복에 따라 매우 이질적으로 나타났는데, NPP 이질성의 정도는 NPP의 절대량과 음의 상관관계를 보였다. 이러한 결과는 생육환경이 부적절할 때에 산림경관에서의 NPP 이질성이 커짐을 보여준다. 본 연구결과에 의하면 본 조사유역의 NPP는 연간 1,400mm 이상의 많은 강우에도 불구하고 식생이 이용할 수 있는 물의 양에 의해 제한 받는다는 것을 알 수 있었으며, 이러한 모형연구결과는 향후 현장조사를 통하여 검증할 필요가 있다.

지구시스템모형을 이용한 황동중국해 이산화탄소분압 분포 특성 평가 (Assesment of pCO2 in the Yellow and East China Sea Using an Earth System Model)

  • 박영규;최상화;김철호
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.447-455
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    • 2011
  • Using results from an earth system model, the distribution of partial pressure of $CO_2$ ($pCO_2$) in surface seawater over the East China Sea is investigated. In this area $pCO_2$ shows minimum along the edge of the continental break along the path of the Taiwan-Tsushima Current System. Apparently modelled chlorophyll is also great along the current but the maximum of the chlorophyll and the minimum of $pCO_2$ do not coincide suggesting that the primary production is not the main cause of the $pCO_2$ minimum. As we move toward the Yellow Sea from the Kuroshio area the temperature decreases so that the $pCO_2$ becomes smaller. If we move further toward the Yellow Sea beyond the Taiwan-Tsushima Current System, alkalinity starts to drop substantially to intensify $pCO_2$ while overcoming the effect of decreasing temperature and salinity. Thus $pCO_2$ minimum occurs along the Taiwan-Tsushima Current System. Of course, the primary production lower $pCO_2$ during spring when it is high but the effect is local. Near the Yangtze river mouth and northeastern corner of the Yellow Sea the fresh water input is large enough and dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) becomes low enough so that $pCO_2$ becomes lower again.

기후변화가 주암호 수온성층구조에 미치는 영향 예측 (Projection of the Climate Change Effects on the Vertical Thermal Structure of Juam Reservoir)

  • 윤성완;박관영;정세웅;강부식
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.491-502
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    • 2014
  • As meteorology is the driving force for lake thermodynamics and mixing processes, the effects of climate change on the physical limnology and associated ecosystem are emerging issues. The potential impacts of climate change on the physical features of a reservoir include the heat budget and thermodynamic balance across the air-water interface, formation and stability of the thermal stratification, and the timing of turn over. In addition, the changed physical processes may result in alteration of materials and energy flow because the biogeochemical processes of a stratified waterbody is strongly associated with the thermal stability. In this study, a novel modeling framework that consists of an artificial neural network (ANN), a watershed model (SWAT), a reservoir operation model(HEC-ResSim) and a hydrodynamic and water quality model (CE-QUAL-W2) is developed for projecting the effects of climate change on the reservoir water temperature and thermal stability. The results showed that increasing air temperature will cause higher epilimnion temperatures, earlier and more persistent thermal stratification, and increased thermal stability in the future. The Schmidt stability index used to evaluate the stratification strength showed tendency to increase, implying that the climate change may have considerable impacts on the water quality and ecosystem through changing the vertical mixing characteristics of the reservoir.

기후변화에 따른 소양호의 수온 장기 모의 및 불확실성 정량화 (Long-term Simulation and Uncertainty Quantification of Water Temperature in Soyanggang Reservoir due to Climate Change)

  • 윤여정;박형석;정세웅;김용대;온일상;이서로
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.14-28
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    • 2020
  • Future climate change may affect the hydro-thermal and biogeochemical characteristics of dam reservoirs, the most important water resources in Korea. Thus, scientific projection of the impact of climate change on the reservoir environment, factoring uncertainties, is crucial for sustainable water use. The purpose of this study was to predict the future water temperature and stratification structure of the Soyanggang Reservoir in response to a total of 42 scenarios, combining two climate scenarios, seven GCM models, one surface runoff model, and three wind scenarios of hydrodynamic model, and to quantify the uncertainty of each modeling step and scenario. Although there are differences depending on the scenarios, the annual reservoir water temperature tended to rise steadily. In the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, the upper water temperature is expected to rise by 0.029 ℃ (±0.012)/year and 0.048 ℃ (±0.014)/year, respectively. These rise rates are correspond to 88.1 % and 85.7 % of the air temperature rise rate. Meanwhile, the lower water temperature is expected to rise by 0.016 ℃ (±0.009)/year and 0.027 ℃ (±0.010)/year, respectively, which is approximately 48.6 % and 46.3 % of the air temperature rise rate. Additionally, as the water temperatures rises, the stratification strength of the reservoir is expected to be stronger, and the number of days when the temperature difference between the upper and lower layers exceeds 5 ℃ increases in the future. As a result of uncertainty quantification, the uncertainty of the GCM models showed the highest contribution with 55.8 %, followed by 30.8 % RCP scenario, and 12.8 % W2 model.

퇴적물에서 금속 이온 거동에 미치는 습지 식물의 영향에 관한 모델 연구 (A Modeling Approach: Effects of Wetland Plants on the Fate of Metal Species in the Sediments)

  • 최정현
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.603-610
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    • 2008
  • A mathematical model was developed to understand how the presence of plants affects vertical profiles of electron acceptors, their reduced species, and trace metals in the wetland sediments. The model accounted for biodegradation of organic matter utilizing sequential electron acceptors and subsequent chemical reactions using stoichiometric relationship. These biogeochemical reactions were affected by the combined effects of oxygen release and evapotranspiration driven by wetland plants. The measured data showed that $SO_4{^{2-}}$ concentrations increased at the beginning of the growing season and then gradually decreased. Based on the measured data, it was hypothesized that the limitation of the solid phase sulfide in direct contact with the roots may result in the gradual decrease of $SO_4{^{2-}}$ concentrations. With the dynamic formulation for the limitation of the solid phase sulfide, model simulated time variable sulfate profiles using published model parameters. Oxygen release from roots produced divalent metal species (i.e. $Cd^{2+}$) as well as oxidized sulfur species (i.e. $SO_4{^{2-}}$) in the sediment pore water. Evapotranspiration-induced advection increased flux of divalent metal species from the overlying water column into the rhizosphere. The increased divalent metal species were converted to the metal sulfide with sufficient FeS around the rhizosphere, which contributed to the decrease of bioavailability and toxicity of divalent metal activity in the pore water. Since the divalent metal activity is a good predictor of the metal bioavailability, this model with a proper simulation of solid phase sulfide plays an essential role to predict the dynamics of trace metals in the wetland sediments.

여울-소 구조에서 지표수-지하수 혼합대의 흐름 특성 분석에 관한 수치모의 연구 (Numerical Modeling of Flow Characteristics within the Hyporheic Zones in a Pool-riffle Sequences)

  • 이두한;김영주;이삼희
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2012
  • 지표수-지하수 혼합대는 하천 및 호소 등에서 지표수와 지하수가 교환되는 공간이다. 지표수-지하수 혼합은 하상의 토층으로 확장되어 다양한 물리적, 생지화화적, 열역학적 교환을 발생시키며 수생태계 내 고유한 생태적 전이대를 형성하는데 주요한 역할을 한다. 과거 실험 및 수치모의 연구에 의하면 혼합대에서 발생하는 물질교환은 하천의 지형적인 특징으로 발생하는 압력분포에 의해 지배된다. 특히 하천의 구간 규모에서 여울-소 구조는 혼합대의 특성을 지배하는 주요 인자로 알려져 있다. 여울-소 연속 구조는 지표수에서 재순환영역과 정체점을 형성하며 이 독특한 흐름 구조에 의해 혼합대의 흐름특성이 영향을 받는다. 본 연구에서는 3차원 동수역학 모형을 이용하여 Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes 방정식과 Darcy 방정식을 동시에 해석하여 연속된 여울-소 구조에서 발생하는 지표수의 흐름구조가 혼합대의 흐름에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 모의 결과, 여울-소 구조에서 지표수의 재순환영역 및 정체점은 상승류와 하강류 형성과 직접적 연관을 가지며, 재순환영역의 크기가 감소하면 여울 전면부 하강류 형성 구간의 길이가 감소하고 최대 하강류 발생 지점이 하부로 이동하는 특성을 파악하였다. 이와 같은 본 연구의 결과는 혼합대의 현장관측, 하천 관리 및 복원 등의 연구에 활용하여 친환경 하천 조성에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

가뭄 기간 총일차생산량과 환경 변수 간 상관관계 분석 (Relationship between gross primary production and environmental variables during drought season in South Korea)

  • 박종민;이달근;박진이;최민하
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제54권10호
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    • pp.779-793
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    • 2021
  • 총일차생산량은 물 스트레스와 환경 변수에 의해 크게 영향을 받는다. 총일차생산량과 환경변수의 상관관계는 Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) 알고리즘과 process-based model에 적용되어 총일차생산량을 계산하는데 활용된다. 그러나 MODIS 알고리즘에서는 물 스트레스를 수증기압차이(vapor pressure deficit)로만 고려하고 있으며, process-based model에서도 제한된 변수만으로 물 스트레스를 표현하여 총일차생산량을 산출하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 에디 공분산 기법, MODIS 알고리즘, 그리고 Community Land Model 4 (CLM 4) 시뮬레이션 결과에서 얻어진 총일차생산량이 환경 변수와 가지는 상관관계를 평년과 가뭄연도를 대상으로 분석하였다. 물 스트레스를 대표하는 지수는 수증기압차이와 evaporative fraction (EF)가 사용되었다. 본 연구에서는 structural equation modeling (SEM)을 활용하여 환경 변수와 EF가 총일차생산량에 끼치는 영향을 수치화하여 평가하였다. SEM을 통해 상관성을 분석한 결과, 수증기압차이가 과소평가될 경우 MODIS 알고리즘과 CLM 4 시뮬레이션에서 생산된 총일차생산량이 수증기압차이로부터 받는 영향이 제한적임을 확인하였다. 에디 공분산 기법으로 산출한 총일차생산량의 상관성 분석 결과, 경작지에서는 관개작업으로 인해 수증기압차이가 총일차생산량에 끼치는 영향이 감소하였으나 MODIS와 CLM 4에서 산출된 총일차생산량 데이터는 이러한 관개작업의 영향을 설명하는데 제한적이었다. 본 연구결과는 MODIS와 CLM 4에서 산출된 총일차생산량의 특성을 이해하고 한계를 분석하는 연구에 도움을 줄 것으로 예상된다.

안정동위원소를 이용한 하천에서의 질소오염원 기여율 정량화: Bayesian 혼합모델의 적용 (Quantifying nitrogen source contribution ratios using stable isotope method: Application of Bayesian mixing model)

  • 남태희;류희성;강태우;한영운;김지현;이경희;황순홍;김경현
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제35권6호
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    • pp.510-519
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    • 2019
  • The 'Stable Isotope Analysis in R' (SIAR), one of the Bayesian mixing models for stable isotopes, has been proven to be useful for source apportionment of nitrates in rivers. In this study, the contribution ratios of nitrate sources were quantified by using the SIAR based on nitrogen and oxygen stable isotope measurements in the Yeongsan River. From the measurements, it was found that the values of δ15N-NO3 and δ18O-NO3 ranged from -8.2 ‰ to +13.4 ‰ and from +2.2 ‰ to +9.8 ‰, respectively. We further analyzed the contribution ratios of the five nitrate sources by using the SIAR. From the modeling results, the main nitrate source was found to be soil N (29.3 %), followed by sewage (26.7 %), manure (19.6 %), chemical fertilizer (17.9 %) and precipitation (6.3 %). From the results, it was found that the anthropogenic sources, i.e., sewage, manure and chemical fertilizer contribute 64.2% of the total nitrate inflow from the watershed. Due to the significant correlation of δ15N-NO3 and lnNO3- in this study, the fractionation factors reflecting the biogeochemical processes of stable isotope ratios could be directly obtained. This may make the contribution ratios obtained in this study more precise. The fractionation factors were identified as +3.64 ± 0.91 ‰ for δ15N-NO3 (p<0.01) and -5.67 ± 1.73 ‰ for δ18O-NO3(p<0.01), respectively, and were applied in using the SIAR. The study showed that the stable isotope method using the SIAR could be applied to quantitatively calculate the contribution ratios of nitrate sources in the Yeongsan River.

3차원 수리·수질 모델을 이용한 대청호 유기탄소 순환 및 물질수지 해석 (Analysis of Organic Carbon Cycle and Mass Balance in Daecheong Reservoir using Three-dimensional Hydrodynamic and Water Quality Model)

  • 안인경;박형석;정세웅;류인구;최정규;김지원
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.284-299
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    • 2020
  • Dam reservoirs play a particularly crucial role in processing the allochthonous and the autochthonous dissolved (DOC) and the particulate (POC) organic carbon and in the budget of global carbon cycle. However, the complex physical and biogeochemical processes make it difficult to capture the temporal and spatial dynamics of the DOC and the POC in reservoirs. The purpose of this study was to simulate the dynamics of the DOC and the POC in Daecheong Reservoir using the 3-D hydrodynamics and water quality model (AEM3D), and to quantify the mass balance through the source and sink fluxes analysis. The AEM3D model was calibrated using field data collected in 2017 and showed reasonable performance in the water temperature and the water quality simulations. The results showed that the allochthonous and autochthonous proportions of the annual total organic carbon (TOC) loads in the reservoir were 55.5% and 44.5%, respectively. In season, the allochthonous loading was the highest (72.7%) in summer, while in autumn, the autochthonous loading was the majority (77.1%) because of the basal metabolism of the phytoplankton. The amount of the DOC discharged to downstream of the dam was similar to the allochthonous load into the reservoir. However, the POC was removed by approximately 96.6% in the reservoir mainly by the sedimentation. The POC sedimentation flux was 36.21 g-C/㎡/yr. In terms of space, the contribution rate of the autochthonous organic carbon loading was high in order of the riverine zone, the transitional zone, and the lacustrine zone. The results of the study provide important information on the TOC management in the watersheds with extensive stagnant water, such as dam reservoirs and weir pools.