• Title/Summary/Keyword: binomial test

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Methodologies to Decide the Number of Samples and to Verify an Accuracy Rate of the Precise Guided Missiles for Test and Evaluation (정밀유도무기 시험평가 수량 결정 및 명중률 검증 방법론)

  • Lee, Moon-gul;Hwang, Seung-hoon;Baek, Seung-Ryoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.558-565
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    • 2015
  • The current methods, such as Binomial Probability Distribution or T-test, to calculate the number of samples of Precise Guided Missiles(PGMs) for test and evaluation are statistically problematic to make reasonable decisions thus use the budget efficiently. Also, the method to verify an accuracy rate of the PGMs using these old methods seems to be lack of objectiveness. This paper presents an effective, efficient solution adapted from the clinical medicine testing method of healthcare industry research, which may overcome our problems. This method considers and addresses both manufacturers' and consumers' risk simultaneously. By taking into account the weapon system project characteristics which take a relatively longer time and require higher-level budget, this approach also suggests a reasonable and feasible method to determine the amount of samples of the PGMs and making a criterion to verify an accuracy rate of the missiles that are required to test. Thus, this method is expected to contribute to acquisition and operations of high-reliability PGMs by MND and its field-users.

Goodness-of-fit tests for a proportional odds model

  • Lee, Hyun Yung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1465-1475
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    • 2013
  • The chi-square type test statistic is the most commonly used test in terms of measuring testing goodness-of-fit for multinomial logistic regression model, which has its grouped data (binomial data) and ungrouped (binary) data classified by a covariate pattern. Chi-square type statistic is not a satisfactory gauge, however, because the ungrouped Pearson chi-square statistic does not adhere well to the chi-square statistic and the ungrouped Pearson chi-square statistic is also not a satisfactory form of measurement in itself. Currently, goodness-of-fit in the ordinal setting is often assessed using the Pearson chi-square statistic and deviance tests. These tests involve creating a contingency table in which rows consist of all possible cross-classifications of the model covariates, and columns consist of the levels of the ordinal response. I examined goodness-of-fit tests for a proportional odds logistic regression model-the most commonly used regression model for an ordinal response variable. Using a simulation study, I investigated the distribution and power properties of this test and compared these with those of three other goodness-of-fit tests. The new test had lower power than the existing tests; however, it was able to detect a greater number of the different types of lack of fit considered in this study. I illustrated the ability of the tests to detect lack of fit using a study of aftercare decisions for psychiatrically hospitalized adolescents.

Causal Relationship between Structural Characteristics of Metropolitan Neighborhoods and Homicide (도시지역의 사회구조적 특성과 살인범죄와의 인과관계 : 서울시 행정동을 중심으로)

  • Cheong, Jinseong;Kang, Wook
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.152-161
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    • 2013
  • This study attempted to test the causal effect of structural characteristics of metropolitan neighborhoods on crime, based on the ecological model of crime explanation. To this end, a Negative Binomial Regression analysis was performed for Seoul's 424 Dong Districts. Results showed that the incidence of homicide increases as much as the scales of economic disadvantage, family disruption, and commercial land use go worse. It suggested that family integrity is one of the most strong and consistent factors that could deter crime in neighborhood's contexts. Economic disadvantage and commercial land use were also critical targets as crime-generating factors. Reasoning with the results of past studies implied that neighborhood-specific approaches need to be developed for effective crime prevention. Although a few limitations could raise a caveat against such interpretation of the results, the value of this research would not be simply denied as the first attempt to utilize all Dong districts of Seoul. It is expected that this study contributes to activating Dong level research and developing effective crime control policy.

The Development of Traffic Accident Severity Evaluation Models for Elderly Drivers (고령운전자 교통안전성 평가모형 개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Lee, Ki-Young;Choi, Yoon-Hwan;Park, Je-Jin
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.118-127
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    • 2009
  • This study tries to develop model in order to assess personal factors of senior traffic accidents that are widely recognized as one of the social problems. For the current practice. it gathers data (Simulation & Questionnaire Survey) of KOTSA and conducts Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Analysis to develop traffic accident severity model. The results show that elderly drivers' accidents are mainly affected by attentiveness selection, velocity prediction ability and attentiveness distribution ability in a positive(+) way. Second, non-senior drivers' accidents are also positively(+) influenced by attentiveness selection, velocity prediction, distance perception, attentiveness distribution ability and attentiveness diversion ability. Therefore, influencing factors of senior and non-senior drivers to vehicle accidents are different. This eventually poses a indication that preliminary education for car accident prevention should be implemented based up[n the distinction between senior drivers and non-senior drivers.

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Characteristics and Models of Intersection Accidents by Elderly Drivers in the Case of Cheongju 4-legged Signalized Intersections (고령운전자 교차로 사고의 특성 및 모형 - 청주시 4지 신호교차로를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Han, Sang-Wook;Kim, Kyung-Hwan
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2009
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents of elderly drivers. The objectives are to comparatively analyze the characteristics of accident between the elderly and other drivers, and to develop the models of traffic accidents. In pursuing the above, this paper gives particular attentions to testing the differences between the above two groups, and developing the models(Poisson and negative binomial regression) using the data of Cheongju 4-legged signalized intersections. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the differences between the elderly and other drivers' accidents were clearly defined by the time of day, accident type, etc. Second, 3 accident models which were all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the differences between elderly and other drivers' models were comparatively analyzed using the common and specific variables.

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The Study of Relationship among Organizational Justice, Coworker Trust and Knowledge Sharing: Focusing on Government-funded Research Institute (조직공정성, 동료신뢰와 지식공유 간의 관계에 관한 연구 - 정부출연 연구기관을 중심으로)

  • Moon, Sung-Ok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.194-205
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the relationship between organizational justice and coworker trust, and reveals that coworker trust can increase knowledge sharing. A survey was conducted on government funded research institutes located in Daejeon and Sejong regions, and finally, a questionnaire of 255 valid people was used for statistical analysis. To test the hypotheses, correlation analysis, regression analysis, and negative binomial regression analysis were used. As a result of the analysis, both distributive justice and procedural justice were found to have a positive effect on coworker trust, and coworker trust also have a positive effect on knowledge sharing. This study provides implications that organizational justice affects trust in coworkers, and as a result, knowledge sharing can be increased through coworker trust.

Usefulness of lateral cephalometric radiography for successful blind nasal intubation: a prospective study

  • Ito, Kana;Kamura, Ayaka;Koshika, Kyotaro;Handa, Toshiyuki;Matsuura, Nobuyuki;Ichinohe, Tatsuya
    • Journal of Dental Anesthesia and Pain Medicine
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.427-435
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    • 2022
  • Background: This study aimed to investigate the relationship between pharyngeal morphology and the success or failure of blind nasotracheal intubation using standard lateral cephalometric radiography and to analyze the measurement items affecting the difficulty of blind nasotracheal intubation. Methods: Assuming a line perpendicular to the Frankfort horizontal (FH) plane, the reference point (O) was selected 1 cm above the posterior-most end of the hard palate. A line passing through the reference point and parallel to the FH plane is defined as the X-axis, and a line passing through the reference point and perpendicular to the X-axis is defined as the Y-axis. The shortest length between the tip of the uvula and posterior pharyngeal wall (AW), shortest length between the base of the tongue and posterior pharyngeal wall (BW), and width of the glottis (CW) were measured. The midpoints of the lines representing each width are defined as points A, B, and C, and the X and Y coordinates of each point are obtained (AX, BX, CX, AY, BY, and CY). For each measurement, a t-test was performed to compare the tracheal intubation success and failure groups. A binomial logistic regression analysis was performed using clinically relevant items. Results: The items significantly affecting the success rate of blind nasotracheal intubation included the difference in X coordinates at points A and C (Odds ratio, 0.714; P-value, 0.024) and the ∠ABC (Odds ratio, 1.178; P-value, 0.016). Conclusion: Using binomial logistic regression analysis, we observed statistically significant differences in AX-CX and ∠ABC between the success group and the failure group.

Topology Design of a Structure with a Specified Eigenfrequency (주어진 고유주파수를 갖는 구조물의 위상최적설계)

  • Lee, Jong-Hwan;Min, Seung-Jae
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.1210-1216
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    • 2003
  • Topology optimization is applied to determine the layout of a structural component with a specified frequency by minimizing the difference between the specified structural frequency and a given frequency. The homogenization design method is employed and the topology design problem is solved by the optimality criteria method. The value of a weighting factor in the optimality criteria plays an important role in this topology design problem. The modified optimality criteria method approximated by using the binomial expansion is suggested to determine the suitable value of the weighting factor, which makes convergence stable. If a given frequency is set as an excited frequency, it is possible to avoid resonance by moving away the specified structural frequency from the given frequency. The results of several test problems are compared with previous works and show the validity of the proposed algorithm.

Developing the Traffic Accident Severity Models by Vehicle Type (차량유형에 따른 교통사고심각도 분석모형 개발)

  • Kim, Kyung-Hwan;Park, Byung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.131-136
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    • 2010
  • This study deals with the accident models of arterial link sections by vehicle type. The objectives are to analyze the characteristics of accidents, and to develop the models by type. In pursuing the above, this study uses the data of 414 accidents occurred on 24 major arterial links in 2007. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the number of accidents is analyzed to account for about 47% in passenger car, 15% in SUV and 10% in trucks. Second, 3 Poisson regression models which are all statistically significant are developed using passenger car, SUV and truck as dependant variables. Finally, AADT and the number of traffic islands as common variables, and the number of pedestrian crossings, lanes, connecting roads, intersections(4-Leg), rate of medians and the number of bus stops as specific variables of the models are selected.

Genetic Operators Based on Tree Structure in Genetic Programming (유전 프로그래밍을 위한 트리 구조 기반의 진화연산자)

  • Seo, Ki-Sung;Pang, Cheul-Hyuk
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.1110-1116
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we suggest GP operators based on tree structure considering tree distributions in structure space and structural difficulties. The main idea of the proposed genetic operators is to place generated offspring into the specific region which nodes and depths are balanced and most of solutions exist. To enable that, the proposed operators are designed to utilize region information where parents belong and node/depth rates of selected subtree. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach, experiments of binomial-3 regression, multiplexer and even parity problem are executed. The experiments results show that the proposed operators based on tree structure is superior to the results of standard GP for all three test problems in both success rate and number of evaluations.