• Title/Summary/Keyword: bias ratio

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Status Quo Bias in Ocean Marine Insurance and Implications for Korean Trade

  • Jung, Hongjoo;Lim, Soyoung
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.39-57
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This research uses ocean marine insurance (OMI) statistics, international emails, focus-group interviews, and surveys to fill the gap between the theory of behavioral insurance, particularly status quo bias (SQB), and the practice of OMI in Korea. The contractual forms of OMI, the oldest and most globalized form of commercial insurance, were developed in the UK as the Institute Cargo Clauses in 1906 and revised in 1963, 1982, and 2009. SQB has been academically explored, mostly in health insurance and the financial services sector, but never in OMI. Thanks to the availability of OMI statistics in Korea, we can conduct SQB research here for the first time in this field. Design/methodology - We show the existence of SQB in the OMI of Korea through Korean statistics between 2009 and 2018, email correspondence with experts in the UK, Germany, and Japan, focus-group interviews with Korean OMI underwriters, an in-depth interview with one underwriter, and a survey of 15 OMI insureds (company representatives). Findings - We find that Korean foreign traders rely on the old-type OMI contracts developed in 1963, whereas other industrialized countries use the newest type of OMI contract developed in 2009. With a simple loss ratio analysis during 2009-2018, we show that the behavior of insurers has little to do with rational profit maximization and is instead driven by irrational bias, as they forgo the more profitable contracts provided by the new clauses by keeping the old clauses. The consistent addiction to old types of contracts in the OMI market suggests strong SQB among Korean exporters, importers, bankers, or insurers, which we confirmed in our interviews and survey. Originality/value - This research has significant originality and academic value because it reports new findings with crucial implications for the development of efficient trade practices and policy. First, this research is based on actual statistics that have not been used in previous Korean research on OMI. Second, this research shows that all-risk OMI policies provide more value to insureds, in terms of coverage given premium, than partial coverage policies, which differs from arguments previously made in Korea. Third, this research reveals strong SQB in Korea, where foreign trade plays a pivotal role in economic growth. That bias could be attributable to uninformed traders, informed but idle insurers, or conservative bankers. Fourth, to further develop foreign trade, policy initiatives are needed to review the current practices of OMI contracts and move forward with the new contract forms. All of these findings and arguments are both new and important.

MAGNETORESISTANCE OF NiFeCo/Cu/NiFeCo/FeMn MULTILAYERED THIN FILMS WITH LOW SATURATION FIELD

  • Bae, S.T.;Min, K.I.;Shin, K.H.;Kim, J.Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Magnetics Society
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.570-574
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    • 1995
  • Magnetoresistance of NiFeCo/Cu/NiFeCo/FeMn uncoupled exchange biased sandwiches has been studied. The magnetoresistance change ratio, ${\Delta}R/R_{s}$ showed 4.1 % at a saturation field as low as 11 Oe in $Si/Ti(50\;{\AA})/NiFeCo(70\;{\AA})/Cu(23\;{\AA})/NiFeCo(70\;{\AA})/FeMn(150\;{\AA})/Cu(50\;{\AA})$ spin valve structure. In this system, the magnetoresistance was affected by interlayer material and thickness. When Ti and Cu were used as the interlayer material in this structure, maximum magnetoresistance change ratio were 0.32 % and 4.1 %, respectively. 6.1 % MR ratio was obtained in $Si/Ti(50\;{\AA})/NiFeCo(70\;{\AA})/Cu(15\;{\AA})/NiFeCo(70\;{\AA})/FeMn(150\;{\AA})/Cu(50\;{\AA})$ spin valve structure. The magnetoresistance change ratio decreased monotonically as the interlayer thickness increased. It was found that the exchange bias field exerted by FeMn layer to the adjacent NiFeCo layer was ~25 Oe, far smaller than that reported in NiFe/Cu/NiFe/FeMn spin valve structure(Dieny et. al., ~400 Oe). The relationship between the film texture and exchange anisotropy ha been examined for spin valve structures with Ti, Cu, or non-buffer layer.

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Radiation Exposure and Cancer Mortality Among Nuclear Power Plant Workers: a Meta-analysis (원전종사자의 방사선 노출과 암사망 위험도와의 관련성에 대한 메타분석)

  • Park, Eun-Sook;Moon, Ki-Eun;Kim, Han-Na;Lee, Won-Jin;Jin, Young-Woo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2010
  • Objectives: We conducted a meta-analysis to investigate the relationship between low external doses of ionizing radiation exposure and the risk of cancer mortality among nuclear power plant workers. Methods: We searched MEDLINE using key words related to low dose and cancer risk. The selected articles were restricted to those written in English from 1990 to January 2009. We excluded those studies with no fit to the selection criteria and we included the cited references in published articles to minimize publication bias. Through this process, a total of 11 epidemiologic studies were finally included. A publication bias was tested for using Egger's test. The homogeneity test was performed before the integration of each of the standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and the result proved that the studies were heterogeneous. Results: We found significant decreased deaths from all cancers (SMR = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.62 - 0.90), all cancers excluding leukemia, solid cancer, mouth and pharynx, esophagus, stomach, rectum, liver and gallbladder, pancreas, lung, prostate, lymphopoietic and hematopoitic cancer. The findings of this meta-analysis were similar with those of the 15 Country Collaborative Study conducted by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. A publication bias was found only for liver and gallbladder cancer (p = 0.015). Heterogeneity was observed for all cancers, all cancers excluding leukemia, solid cancer, esophagus, colon and lung cancer. Conclusions: Our findings of low mortality for stomach, rectum, liver and gallbladder cancers may explained by the health worker effect. Yet further studies are needed to clarify the low SMR of cancers, for which there is no useful screening tool, in nuclear power plant workers.

Designing Revenue Sharing Contract for Irrational Newsvendors (소매상의 비합리성을 고려한 공급사슬의 수익 공유 계약 설계에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Jung Min;Seo, Yong Won
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.101-127
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    • 2016
  • Irrational ordering decisions of supply chain members have been gaining growing importance in the area of supply chain management. Irrational ordering behaviors that deviate from the profit maximizing decisions in the newsvendor settings have observed with human experiments in recent research. These behaviors can be modeled with several typical decision bias elements. This bias in ordering decisions affects the performance of supply chain contracts designed based on the assumption that the supply chain members make optimal decisions, making it necessary to design supply chain contracts by considering the irrationality. The purpose of this research is to derive a method to design the revenue sharing contract that considers human irrationality in ordering decisions. This research considers a simple two-echelon supply chain consisting of one supplier and one retailer, where the supplier is assumed to be perfectly rational while the retailer making newsvendor type ordering decisions displays irrational ordering behaviors. Under this environment, this research analytically models the revenue sharing contract to maximize the total supply chain profit or the supplier's own profits while considering the three decision bias patterns of the retailer, which include the pull-to-center effect, the prospect theory, and the increased subjective sensitivity to the revenue sharing ratio. Irrationality parameters are measured through human experiments based on which and through numerical simulations, we showed that significant improvements in the supply chain performance can be achieved.

The development of statistical methods for retrieving MODIS missing data: Mean bias, regressions analysis and local variation method (MODIS 손실 자료 복원을 위한 통계적 방법 개발: 평균 편차 방법, 회귀 분석 방법과 지역 변동 방법)

  • Kim, Min Wook;Yi, Jonghyuk;Park, Yeon Gu;Song, Junghyun
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.94-101
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    • 2016
  • Satellite data for remote sensing technology has limitations, especially with visible range sensor, cloud and/or other environmental factors cause missing data. In this study, using land surface temperature data from the MODerate resolution Imaging Spectro-radiometer(MODIS), we developed retrieving methods for satellite missing data and developed three methods; mean bias, regression analysis and local variation method. These methods used the previous day data as reference data. In order to validate these methods, we selected a specific measurement ratio using artificial missing data from 2014 to 2015. The local variation method showed low accuracy with root mean square error(RMSE) more than 2 K in some cases, and the regression analysis method showed reliable results in most cases with small RMSE values, 1.13 K, approximately. RMSE with the mean bias method was similar to RMSE with the regression analysis method, 1.32 K, approximately.

The control of the structure and properties of tetrahedral amorphous carbon films prepared by Filtered Vacuum Arc (FVA 증착법에 의해 합성된 ta-C 박막의 구조 및 물성 제어)

  • 이철승;신진국;김종국;이광렬;윤기현
    • Journal of the Korean Vacuum Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.8-15
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    • 2002
  • Tetrahedral amorphous carbon(ta-C) films were deposited by the filtered vacuum arc(FVA) process. The FVA process has many advantages such as high ionization ratio and the ion energy, which is suitable for dense amorphous carbon film deposition. However, the energy of the carbon ion cannot be readily controlled by manipulating the arc source parameters. In order to control the film properties in wide range, we investigated the dependence of the film properties on the substrate bias voltage. The mechanical properties and the density of the film exhibit the maximum values at about -100 V of the bias voltage. The maximum values of hardness and density were respectively 54$\pm$3 GPa and 3.6$\pm$0.4 g/㎤, which are 3 to 5 times higher than those of the films deposited by RF PACVD or ion beam process. The details of the atomic bond structure were analysed by Raman and NEXAFS spectroscopy. The change in the film properties for various bias voltages could be understood in the view of the $sp^2$ and $sp^3$ bond fraction in the deposited films.

Dry Etching Characteristics of LiNbO3 Single Crystal for Optical Waveguide Fabrication (광도파로 제작을 위한 단결정 LiNbO3 건식 식각 특성)

  • Park, Woo-Jung;Yang, Woo-Seok;Lee, Han-Young;Yoon, Dae-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.232-236
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    • 2005
  • The etching characteristics of a $LiNbO_{3}$ optical waveguide structure have been investigated using neutral loop discharge plasma with the mixture of $C_{3}F_{8}$ and Ar and the bias power parameters. The etching rate and profile angle of optical waveguide with etching parameters were evaluated by scanning electron microscopy. Also, the etching RMS roughness was evaluated by atomic force microscopy. From the results of optimum etching conditions are the $C_{3}F_{8}$ gas flow ratio of 0.2 and the bias power of 300 W.

Performance Improvement of Current Memory for Low Power Wireless Communication MODEM (저전력 무선통신 모뎀 구현용 전류기억소자 성능개선)

  • Kim, Seong-Kweon
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2008
  • It is important to consider the life of battery and low power operation for various wireless communications. Thus, Analog current-mode signal processing with SI circuit has been taken notice of in designing the LSI for wireless communications. However, in current mode signal processsing, current memory circuit has a problem called clock-feedthrough. In this paper, we examine the connection of CMOS switch that is the common solution of clock-feedthrough and calculate the relation of width between CMOS switch for design methodology for improvement of current memory. As a result of simulation, when the width of memory MOS is 20um, ratio of input current and bias current is 0.3, the width relation in CMOS switch is obtained with $W_{Mp}=5.62W_{Mn}+1.6$, for the nMOS width of 2~6um in CMOS switch. And from the same simulation condition, it is obtained with $W_{Mp}=2.05W_{Mn}+23$ for the nMOS width of 6~10um in CMOS switch. Then the defined width relation of MOS transistor will be useful guidance in design for improvement of current memory.

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The Study on the Etching Characteristics of (Ba, Sr)TiO$_3$ Film by Inductively Coupled Plasma (유도결합 플라즈마에 의한(Ba, Sr)TiO$_3$ 박막의 식각 특성 연구)

  • 김승범;이영준;염근영;김창일
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics D
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    • v.36D no.4
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    • pp.56-62
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    • 1999
  • In this study, (Ba, Sr)$TiO_3$ thin films were etched with $Cl_2$/Ar gas mixing ratio in an inductively coupled plasma (ICP) by varying the etching parameter such as rf power, dc bias voltage, and chamber pressure. The etch rate was 56 nm/min under $Cl_2$/($Cl_2$+Ar) gas mixing ratio of 0.2, rf power of 600 W, dc bias voltage of 250 V, and chamber pressure of 5 mTorr. At this time, the selectivity of BST to Pt, $SiO_2$ was respectively 0.52, 0.43. The surface reaction of the etched (Ba, Sr)$TiO_3$ thin films was investigated with X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS). Ba is removed by chemical reaction between Sr and Cl to remove Sr. Ti is removed by chemical reaction such as $TiCl_4$ with ease. The results of secondary ion mass spectrometer (SIMS) analysis compared with the results of XPS analysis and the results were the same.

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The Exchange Bias of NiO/NiFe Thin Eilm by the Measurement of Anisotropic Mngnetoresistance (이방성 자기저항측정을 이용한 NiO/NiFe 박막의 교환결합연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Kee;Kim, Sun-Wook;Lee, Ky-Am;Lee, Sang-Suk;Hwang, Do-Guwn
    • Journal of the Korean Magnetics Society
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.143-148
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    • 2002
  • We report an experimental evidence of coexistence of the strong and weak exchange couplings in unidirectional NiO/NiFe (antiferromagneticlferromagnetic) bilayer thin films. The exchange bias was measured by VSM and AMR techniques and then, analyzed into the strong and weak exchange couplings by means of a regression method. In NiO(60nm)/NiFe(10nm) film, the ratio of the weak exchange coupling field over the average exchange coupling field was found to be almost unchanged within it range from 0.2 to 0.4 irrespective to the strength of an applied field. However, the ratio increased among the samples with decreasing the average exchange coupling field due to the increment of the weak exchange coupling area.