• Title/Summary/Keyword: average model

Search Result 6,720, Processing Time 0.036 seconds

A study on the mathematical model of an influenza system control (인플루엔자 류행 관리의 수학적 모델화)

  • 정형환;박상희
    • 전기의세계
    • /
    • v.30 no.3
    • /
    • pp.167-171
    • /
    • 1981
  • In this paper, the mathematical model of influenza derived by the state space method induced a new model by using normal distribution curve of incubation period and researched the effect of vaccination. The important results are as follows. (1) A new model represents accurate spread curve. (2) The standard deviation period in Korea is about 1.5 degree. (3) The number of carries of influenza since put in practice to the vaccination 20% is reduced by average 9.8% degree, the period of spread increase 4 days degree. (4) The vaccination at early put in operation was far surperior and the period of spread grow longer more or less. (5) In the first stage of an attack of disease a case increase since reducing. (6) The number of carries at night is reduced by average 5.468% than in the daytime.

  • PDF

A Model for the Estimation of Delay Signalized Intersections (신호등 교차로에서의 지체예측에 관한 연구)

  • 이철기;이승환
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-54
    • /
    • 1992
  • The purpose of this thesis is to construct a model to estimate the delay that vehicles arriving randomly will be experienced at an isolated singalized intersection. To do this the following objectives are set in this study: (i) An what distance a random arrival pattern occurs after a platoon of vehicles are dis-charged from the stop line; (ii) A model which estimates the average delay per through-vehicle with respect to the de-gree of saturation; and (iii) The relation between the stepped delay and average approach delay per vehicle. The following are the findings of this study: (i) A random arrival pattern on the first second and third lanes occur 300,400 and 300m downstream from stop line rdspectively. A random arrival pattern on lane group occurs 500m downstream from the stop line ; (ii) A model for the estimation of approach delay has been developed in such a way that up to x=0.7 the delay increases linearly and beyond 0.7 the delay increases rapidly in a form of second order polynomial due to high degree of saturation : and (iii) Approach delay equals approximately 1.21 times of stopped delay.

  • PDF

Identification of Noise Covariance by using Innovation Correlation Test (이노베이션 상관관계 테스트를 이용한 잡음인식)

  • Park, Seong-Wook
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 1992.07a
    • /
    • pp.305-307
    • /
    • 1992
  • This paper presents a technique, which identifies both process noise covariance and sensor noise covariance by using innovation correlation test. A correlation test, which checks whether the square root Kalman filter is workingly optimal or not, is given. The system is stochastic autoregressive moving-average model with auxiliary white noise Input. The linear quadratic Gaussian control is used for minimizing stochastic cost function. This paper indentifies Q, R, and estimates parametric matrics $A(q^{-1}),B(q^{-1}),C(q^{-1})$ by means of extended recursive least squares and model reference control. And The proposed technique has been validated in simulation results on the fourth order system.

  • PDF

Advanced Process Control of the Critical Dimension in Photolithography

  • Wu, Chien-Feng;Hung, Chih-Ming;Chen, Juhn-Horng;Lee, An-Chen
    • International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.12-18
    • /
    • 2008
  • This paper describes two run-to-run controllers, a nonlinear multiple exponential-weight moving-average (NMEWMA) controller and a dynamic model-tuning minimum-variance (DMTMV) controller, for photolithography processes. The relationships between the input recipes (exposure dose and focus) and output variables (critical dimensions) were formed using an experimental design method, and the photolithography process model was built using a multiple regression analysis. Both the NMEWMA and DMTMV controllers could update the process model and obtain the optimal recipes for the next run. Quantified improvements were obtained from simulations and real photolithography processes.

Monitoring of Laser Material Processing and Developments of Tensile Strength Estimation Model Using photodiodes (광센서를 이용한 레이저 가공공정의 모니터링과 인장강도 예측모델 개발)

  • Park, Young-Whan;Rhee, Se-Hun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.98-105
    • /
    • 2008
  • In this paper, the system for monitoring process of aluminum laser welding was developed using the light signal emitted from the plasma which comes from interaction between material and laser. Photodiode for monitoring system was selected based on the spectrum analysis of light from plasma and keyhole. Behavior of plasma and keyhole was analyzed through the sensor signals. Value of sensor signal represented the light intensity and fluctuation of signal indicated the stability of plasma and keyhole. For the relation between welding condition and sensor signals, the input power and weld geometry greatly effected on the average of each sensor signals. Using the feature values of signals, estimation model for tensile strength of weld was formulated with neural network algorithm. Performance of this model was verified through coefficient of determination and average error rate.

Database Construction to compute Representative Model of Load Power Factor in Large Scale Power System (대규모 전력계통의 부하역률 대표모델 산정을 위한 데이터베이스 구축)

  • Lee, Jung-Hee;Kim, Kwang-Wook;Cho, Jong-Man;Kim, Jin-O
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2002.11b
    • /
    • pp.209-211
    • /
    • 2002
  • This paper computes the regional, seasonal and hourly representative model of load power factor considering load characteristics of all 154/22.9 kV substations. An accurately computed representative model of load power factor is studied to present a precision improvement of power system analysis and the security of the system. The method to compute representative model of load utilizes the method of applicable moving average based on the method of flow average. The EMS data are used as the source to assess the load power factor.

  • PDF

The Effects of "Me-model" Body-size Discrepancy on Young Korean Consumer's Shopping Mood, Store Satisfaction, and Intention to Revisit Online Apparel Stores

  • Lee, Ji Young;Johnson, Kim K.P.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
    • /
    • v.36 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1297-1309
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study examined the effects of "me-model" body-size discrepancy on consumer's shopping mood, store satisfaction, and intention to revisit two types of online apparel stores (one featuring thin models and one featuring average-sized models). A convenience sample of women (n = 528) participated. Structural equation modeling was used to analyze the data. Participants who were thinner or similar to the models indicated positive shopping moods, a high level of online store satisfaction, and intended to revisit the stores when compared to participants who were larger than the models. Participants preferred the 'average-sized' model. This preference was attributed to the familiarity of the model and ability to effectively evaluate merchandise. The results revealed how models can influence apparel consumers in an online context.

An EMQ Model with Rework (재작업이 수반되는 경우에서의 경제적 생산량 결정)

  • Kim, Chang Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.31 no.2
    • /
    • pp.173-179
    • /
    • 2005
  • This paper presents an extended EMQ model which determines an optimal production quantity for a single stage production system when defective items are stochastically produced in the production process and they are re-processed in the rework process to convert them into non-defectives. Through the mathematical modeling, an optimal solution minimizing the average cost per unit time and minimum average cost as well as some properties are derived. It can be shown that each of the existing models is a special case of the proposed model under some conditions. Numerical experiment is carried out to examine the behavior of the proposed model and support properties derived.

The Influence of Attractiveness and Match-Up of Model on Brand Attitude and Purchase Intention of Franchise Brands (프랜차이즈 브랜드에서 모델의 매력성 및 적합성이 브랜드 태도와 구매의도에 미치는 영향)

  • Ahn, Byung-Ok;Heo, Jeong-Moo;Lee, Dong-Han
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
    • /
    • v.8 no.4
    • /
    • pp.7-19
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of model attractiveness on brand attitude and purchase intention, and examine whether product-model match-up plays a moderating role in the relationship between model attractiveness and brand attitude and purchase intention. The model attractiveness is consist of psychological and physical attractiveness of the model. The authors investigate how product-model match-up influence the strength of the relationship between model attractiveness - brand attitude and purchase intention. The purpose of this is to test whether product-model match-up influence the form and effectiveness of a model attractiveness on brand attitude and purchase intention and suggest the effective and efficient methods in the model selection strategies to increase advertising effectiveness based on the results of this study. Research design, data, and methodology - The experimental design for this study was the between subject design based on 2 group of the psychological attractiveness(high vs. low) × product-model match-up(high vs low) and 2 group of the physical attractiveness(high vs. low) × product-model match-up(high vs low). And a preliminary investigation was conducted to develop experimental stimuli through manipulation check to enhance the external validity of experimental research. The attractiveness of the model and product-model match-up are independent variables and manipulative variables in presentation of experimental stimuli. The self-administered methode experiment was conducted on 300 subjects in four groups constructed according to the independent variables. Result - The findings provide partial support for a moderator for product-model match-up on the model attractiveness - brand attitude and purchase intention. First, the influence of psychological attractiveness and physical attractiveness on brand attitude and purchase intention was shown significant. Also, it was found that the average value of brand attitude and purchase intention according to psychological attractiveness was significantly higher than the average value of brand attitude and purchase intention according to physical attractiveness in additional analysis. Second, the average value of brand attitude and purchase intention were higher when product - model match-up was high in both high and low psychological attractiveness and physical attractiveness of the model. However, in the case of psychological attractiveness, the correlation effect with product - model match-up was significant, but in the case of physical attractiveness, it was not significant. Conclusions - The results of this study suggest that the attractiveness factor should be considered in selecting the ad model by verifying the effect of the attractiveness of the model on the advertising effect. In particular, this study has great significance both academically and practically in terms of suggesting such implications that the advertising effect of psychological attractiveness and physical attractiveness may be different depending on the product type by additional analysis.

A Study on Forecasting Model based Weighted Moving Average for Cable TV Advertising Market (가중이동평균법을 이용한 케이블TV 광고시장에 대한 예측모형 개발)

  • Cho, Jae Hyung;Kim, Ho Young
    • The Journal of Information Systems
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.153-171
    • /
    • 2016
  • Purpose This study suggests the development of forecasting model for local cable TV advertisement. In order to verify the expected effect of the suggestion, using the causal loop map of System Dynamics, the factors affecting the prospects of cable TV commercial market were divided into 5 groups. Then targeting 97 people involved in the cable TV commercial market in Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam, a survey was conducted on their perception of the current status of local advertisement market and future prospect. Design/methodology/approach The analysis of the collected data shows that workers in advertising and advertisers perceive the influence of cable TV as an advertising media to be high, while clearly understanding the problems of cable TV commercial market. Based on this the effects on the prospects of cable TV commercial market were analyzed and a forecasting method called Weighted Moving Average was applied. In order to improve accuracy of the added value of Weighted Moving Average, the 5 factors were divided into qualitative factors and quantitative factors, and using Multi-attribute Decision Making method, all the factors were normalized and weighting factors were deduced. The result of simulating the prospects of cable TV commercial market using Weighted Moving Average, both qualitative and quantitative factors showed downward turn in the market prospect for the following 10 years. Findings The result reflects generally negative perception of advertisement viewers about the prospects of cable TV commercial market. Compared to the previous studies on domestic cable TV commercials that focused on policy suggestions and surveys on perception of current status, this study has its significance in that it used scientific method and simulation for verification.