• Title/Summary/Keyword: antecedent precipitation

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River Flow Forecasting Model for the Youngsan Estuary Reservoir Operations(I) -Estimation Runof Hydrographs at Naju Station (영산호 운영을 위한 홍수예보모형의 개발(I) -나주지점의 홍수유출 추정-)

  • 박창언;박승우
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 1994
  • The series of the papers consist of three parts to describe the development, calibration, and applications of the flood forecasting models for the Youngsan Estuarine Dam located at the mouth of the Youngsan river. And this paper discusses the hydrologic model for inflow simulation at Naju station, which constitutes 64 percent of the drainage basin of 3521 .6km$^2$ in area. A simplified TANK model was formulated to simulate hourly runoff from rainfall And the model parameters were optirnized using historical storm data, and validated with the records. The results of this paper were summarized as follows. 1. The simplified TANK model was formulated to conceptualize the hourly rainfall-run-off relationships at a watershed with four tanks in series having five runoff outlets. The runoff from each outlet was assumed to be proportional to the storage exceeding a threshold value. And each tank was linked with a drainage hole from the upper one. 2. Fifteen storm events from four year records from 1984 to 1987 were selected for this study. They varied from 81 to 289rn'm The watershed averaged, hourly rainfall data were determined from those at fifteen raingaging stations using a Thiessen method. Some missing and unrealistic records at a few stations were estimated or replaced with the values determined using a reciprocal distance square method from abjacent ones. 3. An univariate scheme was adopted to calibrate the model parameters using historical records. Some of the calibrated parameters were statistically related to antecedent precipitation. And the model simulated the streamflow close to the observed, with the mean coefficient of determination of 0.94 for all storm events. 4. The simulated streamflow were in good agreement with the historical records for ungaged condition simulation runs. The mean coefficient of determination for the runs was 0.93, nearly the same as calibration runs. This may indicates that the model performs very well in flood forecasting situations for the watershed.

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The Analysis of the Distribution Characteristics of Green Water using TRMM and National Standard A1B Climate Change Scenario (TRMM과 국가표준 기후변화시나리오(A1B)를 활용한 토양수(Green Water) 분포특성 분석)

  • Han, Woo-Suk;Shim, Ou-Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.92-92
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    • 2011
  • 수자원장기종합계획(2006)에 따르면, 우리나라는 물부족이 예상이 되고 있고, 이러한 물부족 현상은 기후변화의 영향으로 더욱 악화될 것으로 예상된다. 기후변화에 따른 물부족에 대응하기 위해서는 현행 지표수 및 지하수(Blue Water) 위주의 수자원관리와 더불어 그전에는 수자원으로 인식되지 않았던 토양수(Green Water)를 새로운 개념의 수자원으로 인식하는 것이 필요하다. 토양수는 현재 물사용량 중에서 가장 많은 비중을 차지하는 농업용수 부분에 효율적으로 활용하면, 지표수나 지하수와 같은 수자원을 대체하는 효과가 있다. 기후변화에 따른 물부족에 대응한 토양수의 효율적 활용을 위해서는, 과거 뿐아니라 미래의 지역별 시기별 토양수 공간분포특성을 분석하는 것이 선행되어야 한다. 그러므로 본 연구에서는 토양수의 분석을 통한 미래 물부족 해결에 도움이 될 새로운 수자원 관리의 기틀을 마련하기 위해 토양수 분포특성분석모델을 개발하고, 이를 활용해 과거 및 미래의 토양수의 공간분포특성을 분석한다. 토양수 분포특성분석모델은 선행 5일간의 일 강우데이터 값을 표준선행강우지표(Normalized Antecedent Precipitation Index)에 적용하여 일 단위 토양수 상태(Wet, Average, Dry condition)를 계산하는 모델이다. 과거 토양수 분석에는 인공위성 강우데이터(Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission 3B42)를, 미래 토양수 분석을 위해서는 기상청에서 제공하는 국가표준 기후변화 시나리오(A1B)를 각각 사용하여, 과거 데이터는 27km의 격자로, 미래는 25km 격자크기로 한반도 전체의 일 단위 토양수 상태를 계산했다. 계산된 토양수 결과를 활용해 연 월별 그리고 토양수를 쓸 수 있는 시기, 즉 식물이 자라는 시기(4-9월)의 특성을 분석했다. 이를 통해 향후 기후변화에 따른 물부족 대응 토양수 수자원 활용방안에 도움이 될 것으로 예상된다.

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Time-series Changes in Particle Size Characteristics of Suspended Sediment at the Seungchon and the Juksan Weir in the Yeongsan River (영산강 부유하중의 시계열적 입도 특성 변화: 승촌보, 죽산보를 중심으로)

  • Lim, Young Shin;Kim, Jin Kwan
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2019
  • In order to establish appropriate policy to control sediment-associated problems, it is necessary to identify the physical characteristics of the reservoir sediments in particulate form in the Yeongsan River. Two time-integrated suspended sediment samplers were installed at Seungchon and Juksan weir on the upper and middle Yeongsan River in July 2012. Reservoir sediment samples were obtained at monthly intervals until October 2014. During the monitoring period, a total of 38 sediment samples were obtained and analyzed. Seasonal trends of suspended sedimentation rates and grain size distributions were examined based on variations in precipitation and discharge fluctuations. Moreover, stream flow characteristics, which has a great influence on the physical characteristics of the river sediment, was analyzed using flow duration curve for the period 2003-2019 at Naju gauging station. Sedimentation rates during summer, when heavy rainfall was concentrated due to the monsoonal front and typhoon, were very high, indicating the positive relationship between sediment concentration and discharge. Particle size analysis of the collected sediment showed that coarse silt and very fine sand-sized sediment dominated most of the Seungchon weir sediment. On the other hand, medium silt-sized sediment dominated the downstream Juksan weir except for a few summer samples. These results implied that the physical characteristics of the suspended sediment are determined not only due to flow fluctuations, but also with regard to the antecedent rainfall conditions, hillslope-channel connectivity, and the supply of materials from various contributing regions. This information about flow characteristics and temporal variations in reservoir sediment can be used for safe management of the weir and discussing the issues on the dismantling of the weirs.

Development of Rainfall - Delayed Response Model for the Calculation of Baseflow Proportion (기저유출량추정을 위한 강우 지연반응모형 개발)

  • 홍종운;최예환
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.31-43
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    • 1988
  • The Purpose of this study is to develop the rainfall-delayed response model (RDR Model) which influences the baseflow proportion of rivers as a result of the antecedent precipitation of the previous several months. The assesment of accurate baseflows in the rivers is one of the most important elements for the planning of seasonal water supply for agriculture, water resources development, hydrological studies for the availability of water and design criteria for various irrigation facilities. The Palukan river gauging site which is located in the Pulukan catchment on Bali Island, Indonesia was selected to develop this model. The basic data which has been used comprises the available historic flow records at 19 hydrologic gauging stations and 77 rainfall stations on Bali Island in the study. The methology adopted for the derivation of the RDR model was the water balance equation which is commonly used for any natural catcbment ie.P=R+(catchment losses) -R+(ET+DP+DSM+DGW). The catchment losses consist of evapotranspiration, deep percolation. change in soil moisture, and change in groundwater storage. The catchment areal rainfall has been generated by applying the combination method of Thiessen polygon and Isohyetal lines in the studies. The results obtained from the studies may be summarized as follows ; 1. The rainfall-runoff relationship derived from the water balance equation is as shown below, assuming a relationship of the form Y=AX+B. Finally these two equations for the annual runoff were derived ; ARO$_1$=0.855 ARF-821, ARF>=l,400mm ARO$_2$=0.290ARF- 33, ARF<1,400mm 2. It was found that the correction of observed precipitation by a combination of Thiessen polygons and Isohyetal lines gave good correlation. 3. Analysis of historic flow data and rainfall, shows that surface runoff and base flow are 52 % and 48% (equivalent to 59.4 mm) of the annual runoff, respectively. 4. Among the eight trial RDR models run, Model C provided the correlation with historic flow data. The number of months over which baseflow is distributed and the relative proportions of rainfall contributing in each month, were estimated by performing several trial runs using data for the Pulukan catchment These resulted in a value for N of 4 months with contributing proportions of 0.45, 0.50, 0.03 and 0.02. Thus the baseflow in any month is given by : P$_1$(n) =0.45 P(n) +0.50 P(n-I ) +0.03 P(n-$_2$) +0.02 P(n-$_3$) 5. The RDR model test gave estimated flows within +3.4 % and -1.0 % of the observed flows. 6. In the case of 3 consecutive no rain months, it was verified that 2.8 % of the dependable annual flow will be carried over the following year and 5.8 % of the potential annual baseflow will be transfered to the next year as a result of the rainfall-delayed response. The results of evaluating the pefformance of the RDR Model was generally satisfactory.

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Streamflow Monitoring of Rural Small Streams for Environmental Flows Supply from Irrigation Reservoir (농촌 소하천의 농어촌환경용수 공급을 위한 하천유량 모니터링)

  • Kim, Sang Min;Kim, Sung Jae;Kim, Yong Wan;Park, Tae Yang;Kim, Sung Min;Park, Ki Wook;Jang, Min Won
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.237-249
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to monitor the streamflow of rural streams for investigating the status of stream depletion located downstream of irrigation reservoir. Bonghyun and Hi reservoirs area, located in Gyeongnam, Gosung-gun, Hi-myeon, were selected for study watersheds and streams. Streamflow monitoring were conducted 6 times during the paddy growing season of 2010 from May to October. Streamflow was measured for 18 stations downstream from two reservoirs with the interval of 300m to 500m, The amount of streamflow were highly dependent on the antecedent precipitation and irrigation amount. In most observation stations, streamflow was depleted when precipitation and irrigation were not provided. Pumping from stream for irrigation and water supply for factory and irrigation return flow were also factors on streamflow. Continuous monitoring for rural streams located in downstream of reservoirs are required to quantify the status of streamflow depletion and determine the amount of environmental flows.

Characteristics of Pollutant Load from a Dam Reservoir Watershed - Case study on Seomjinkang Dam Reservoir - (댐저수지 유역의 오염부하 유출특성 - 섬진강댐 저수지를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Yo-Sang;Gang, Byeong-Su
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.757-764
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    • 2000
  • The investigation of water quality was performed at the upstream of Seomjinkang dam reservoir for the examination of pollutant load characteristics of the reservoir watershed during flood and normal flow periods. The highest water quality concentration was occurred at Y ongsan during normal flow period where it has been more polluted by population and livestock than other sites. Pollutant load varied depending on the sampling site, rainfall intensity and antecedent precipitation during the rainy period. Based on the water quality data measured from 1998 to 1999, the average concentration during rainy period was much higher than that of non~rainy period: BOD was 1.2~1.4 times, COD 1.2~1.7 times, SS 2.6~5.4 times, T-N 2.3~3.0 times, and T-P 2.4~7.5 times respectively. When the pollutant load measured during 7 different rainy periods in 1999 was compared with total pollutant load in 1999, the BOD and COD load measured during the 7 different rainy periods were 28% that is about 1.6 times as high as those of 1999. On the other hand, the rainfall amount measured during the 7 different rainy periods was about 17.5% of total rainfall amount in 1999. The total pollutant load of TN and TP measured during the 7 different rainy periods was almost 50% of total TN and TP loads in 1999. In case of SS, it was 72.8%. It was concluded that the inflow of pollutants into the lake during the rainy period held a high portion of total inflow in 1999. It was suggested that long~term water quality monitoring be performed to better quantity pollutant load to the lake especially during rainy periods.eriods.

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Runoff Characteristics of Non-point Source Pollutants from Different Forest Types During Rainfall Events (활엽수림, 침엽수림 및 혼효림 지역의 강우시 비점오염물질 유출특성)

  • Shin, Minhwan;Shin, Dongsuk;Lee, Jaewoon;Choi, Jaewan;Won, Chulhee;Seo, Jiyeon;Choi, Yonghun;Choi, Joongdae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.507-517
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    • 2010
  • Long-term monitoring was conducted to identify the runoff characteristics of non-point source according to the three forest types (deciduous forest, coniferous forest and mixed forest) in this study. Rainfall events of each deciduous forest, coniferous forest, and mixed forest were 10, 8, 12, respectively. Average runoff depth and coefficients of each forest type were founded to be coniferous forest and were followed by others in turns : deciduous forest, and mixed forest because various conditions (i.e., rainfall property, Antecedent Precipitation Index (API), soil property, slope, and forest management) could change runoff characteristics. In the analysis of the first flush phenomenon, it showed that SS and T-P were sensitive for the first flush phenomenon. The first flush phenomenon of them were showed differently by rainfall intensity, rainfall duration, and amount of rainfall. The research results indicated that range of the Event Mean Concentration (EMC) values in deciduous forest were 0.8~2.4 mg/L for $BOD_5$, 2.0~13.4 mg/L for $COD_{Mn}$, 1.3~2.9 mg/L for DOC, 1.150~3.913 mg/L for T-N, 0.010~0.350 mg/L for T-P and 3.1~291.8 mg/L for SS and in coniferous forest were 0.8~2.2 mg/L for $BOD_5$, 1.9~3.6 mg/L for $COD_{Mn}$, 1.0~2.0 mg/L for DOC, 1.025~2.957 mg/L for T-N, 0.002~0.084 mg/L for T-P and 0.8~5.4 mg/L for SS. Also, range of the EMC values in mixed forest were 1.3~2.3 mg/L for $BOD_5$, 2.4~4.8 mg/L for $COD_{Mn}$, 1.1~2.1 mg/L for DOC, 0.385~2.703 mg/L for T-N, 0.016~0.080 mg/L for T-P and 2.3~30.0 mg/L for SS.

Evaluation and complementation of observed flow in the Hancheon watershed in Jeju Island using a physically-based watershed model (유역모형을 활용한 제주도 한천 유역의 관측유량 평가 및 보완)

  • Kim, Chul Gyum;Kim, Nam Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.11
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    • pp.951-959
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to evaluate observed runoff data collected every 10 minutes at stream gauging stations in Jeju Island using a physically-based model, SWAT. The Hancheon watershed was selected as study area, and ephemeral stream algorithm suggested by previous research was incorporated into the model, which is able to simulate ephemeral runoff pattern of Jeju streams. Simulated runoff and runoff rates were compared to observations during 2008-2013, which showed 'very good' performance rating in Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (ME) and determination coefficient ($R^2$). Some observations had problems such that runoff rates were very high for some rainfall events with little amount of antecedent rainfall, and were very low or missing with much rainfall comparing to previous researches. Additionally, regression equation between precipitation and simulated runoff was generated with high degree of correlation. The equation can be utilized to simply predict reasonable runoff, or to investigate and complement the abnormal or missing data of observations on the assumption that modelling results were sufficiently reliable and satisfactory. As results, minimizing the error in calibrating the model by evaluation of observed data would be helpful to accurately model the rainfall-runoff characteristics and analyze the water balance components of watersheds in Jeju Island.

Seasonal Characteristics of Pore Development and Hydraulic Properties of Surface Soil in Two Forested Watershed (두 산림유역의 표층 토양의 공극 발달과 수리학적 성질의 계절적 특성)

  • Joo, Sung-Hyo;Gwak, Yong-Seok;Kim, Su-Jin;Kim, Joon;Kim, Sang-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 2009
  • Configuration of soil hydraulic property is an essential component to understand the hydrological processes at the hillslope scale. In this study, we investigated temporal variations in pore development and soil hydraulic properties during the period from March to October in 2008. Characteristics for macropore flow and hydraulic conductivity were measured at two hillslopes: one is the hillslope located at the Buprunsa in Sulmachun watershed, and the other is the hillslope located in Gwangneung Research Forest. Vertical fluxes through macropore were measured using a tension infiltrometer at the depth of surface. The saturated hydraulic conductivities in March, June, July and September were relatively high compared to those in May and October. Temporal variations in several soil hydraulic features could be explained by the differences in vegetation activity and soil moisture content determined by antecedent precipitation. Particularly, the features of macropores had a substantial impact on hydraulic conductivity in the forest hillslope. The temporal nonuniformity of the soil hydraulic properties observed in this study manifests the dynamic features of hydrological processes in the hillslope scale and the experimental results will be useful to understand the internal hydrological processes in the mountainous hillslope.

Study on Water Stage Prediction Using Hybrid Model of Artificial Neural Network and Genetic Algorithm (인공신경망과 유전자알고리즘의 결합모형을 이용한 수위예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yeo, Woon-Ki;Seo, Young-Min;Lee, Seung-Yoon;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.8
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    • pp.721-731
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    • 2010
  • The rainfall-runoff relationship is very difficult to predict because it is complicate factor affected by many temporal and spatial parameters of the basin. In recent, models which is based on artificial intelligent such as neural network, genetic algorithm fuzzy etc., are frequently used to predict discharge while stochastic or deterministic or empirical models are used in the past. However, the discharge data which are generally used for prediction as training and validation set are often estimated from rating curve which has potential error in its estimation that makes a problem in reliability. Therefore, in this study, water stage is predicted from antecedent rainfall and water stage data for short term using three models of neural network which trained by error back propagation algorithm and optimized by genetic algorithm and training error back propagation after it is optimized by genetic algorithm respectively. As the result, the model optimized by Genetic Algorithm gives the best forecasting ability which is not much decreased as the forecasting time increase. Moreover, the models using stage data only as the input data give better results than the models using precipitation data with stage data.