• 제목/요약/키워드: analysis of accident

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로지스틱회귀분석 모델을 활용한 도시철도 사상사고 사고예측모형 개발에 대한 연구 (Study on Accident Prediction Models in Urban Railway Casualty Accidents Using Logistic Regression Analysis Model)

  • 진수봉;이종우
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.482-490
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 사고심각도 분류 및 예측을 위한 철도사고조사 통계기법에 관한 연구이다. 그동안의 선형 회귀분석은 사고 심각도 분석에 어려움이 있었으나 로지스틱회귀분석은 이를 보완할 수 있었다. 데이터마이닝 기법인 로지스틱회귀분석을 활용, 서울지하철(5~8호선) 역사 내 전도사고 중 에스컬레이터 전도사고 발생에 영향을 주는 사고예측 모형 변수는 사고자 연령, 음주여부, 사고 당시상황 및 행동, 핸드레일 잡음 여부였다. 분석의 정확도는 76.7%로 설명되었고 분석방법 결과에 따르면 정확도와 유의수준 측에서 로지스틱회귀분석 방법이 도시철도 사상사고 예측모형을 개발하는데 유용한 데이터마이닝 기법으로 판단된다.

LPG 관련 산재사고의 위반행동 특성 분석 (Analysis of Behavioral Traits in Violation related to LPG Accidents)

  • 함승언;임현교
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2023
  • LPG-related accidents, which account for half of all gas accidents in Korea, have not shown any sign of decrease over the past decade, partially owing to the lack of effective safety improvement measures. The purpose of this study was to identify the effectiveness of improvement measures by analyzing the traits of accidents in terms of human factors, and to seek more effective accident prevention strategies. In this study, 108 accident cases were collected and analyzed in the aspect of accident characteristics such as violation type, human factors, and so on. The results showed that the work procedures of suppliers and engineers related to LPG accidents seemed to be similar in outward appearance; however, specific accident causes and unsafe behaviors were different. Particularly, type and target of violations were different, which could be visually confirmed by the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and the Quantification Techniques (QT). Furthermore, for engineers, insufficient supervision was a major influencing factor. In conclusion, because the accident characteristics of suppliers and engineers are different, differentiated accident prevention strategies should be implemented, which was discussed in this study.

철도 안전목표 설성을 위한 안전투자 시점에 대한 연구 (A Study on Safety Investment Moment for Safety Target)

  • 곽상록
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.122-128
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    • 2017
  • Korean government announced long-term railway safety investment plan for the safety improvement by 2020. But no research have been done about differential analysis on railroad safety investment and safety improvement. In this study, recent 10 year data on safety investments and accident data are analysed for the differential analysis. Three main safety investments are analysed on regard to accident rate and accident fatalities. Three safety measures include level crossing accident, platform fatalities, and track trespass fatalities. About 90% of railway accident fatalities are caused by these three kind of accidents. Differential analysis shows about 4 to 6 years delay after railroad safety investment and safety improvement. This result can be utilized for the decision making on safety measures and safety target. Which required long term approach.

케이블 사고 자가원인 진단시스템 구축 및 사고사례 검증에 관한 연구 (The Study of Accident Cases Verification and Construction of It's Cause Diagnosis System of Power Cable Accident)

  • 김영석;송길목;김선구
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제23권9호
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2009
  • 전력케이블 사고 발생시에는 사고원인을 규명 해야하며, 본 연구에서는 FMEA 방법을 이용하여 케이블 사고에 대한 자가원인 진단 시스템을 구축하였다. 자가원인 진단 시스템은 사고당시의 데이터 입력, 픽토그래프를 통한 사고형태의 표현, FMEA 방식을 적용한 사고확률 값으로 구성되어 있으며, 각 선택에 따라 사고원인에 대한 사고가능성이 결과로 나타나게 된다. 또한 실제 케이블 사고사례의 원인분석을 통해 자가원인 진단 시스템을 검증한 결과, 이 시스템은 실제 분석결과와 잘 일치되었다.

교통사고분석에서 EDR 기록정보의 채택에 관한 고찰 (Study on Adopting EDR Report for Traffic Accident Analysis)

  • 박종진;박정만;이연섭
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2020
  • Usage of EDR(Event Data Recorder) report for traffic accident analysis is currently increasing due to government regulation of EDR data release. Nevertheless, a lot of investigators simply adopt by comparing the number of ignition cycles(crash) at event to the number of ignition cycles(download) without an exact judgment whether event data occurred by this accident or not. In the EDR report, besides ignition cycles, there are many factors such as event record type, algorithm active(rear/rollover/side/frontal), time between events, event severity status(rollover/rear/right side/reft side/frontal), belt switch circuit status, driver/passenger pretensioner/air-bag deployment, PDOF(Principal Direction of Force) by ΔV to be able to decide whether or not to adopt. also the event data is considered enough to vehicle damaged state, accident situation at the scene of the accident. and there is described in "all data should be examined in conjunction with other available physical evidence from the vehicle and scene" in the CDR(Crash Data Retrieval) report. Therefore many investigators have to decide whether or not to adopt after they consider sufficiently to above factors when they are the traffic accident analysis and investigate the causes of a accident on the adopted event data. In this paper, we report to traffic accident investigators notable points and analysis methods on the basis of thousands of cases and the results of one's own experiment in NFS(National Forensic Service).

고령운전자와 비고령운전자의 인적교통사고 심각도 비교분석 (Comparative Analysis of Elderly's and Non-elderly's Human Traffic Accident Severity)

  • 이상혁;정우동;우용한
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 교통사고자료를 이용하여 고령자 집단과 비고령자 집단 간의 교통사고요인을 파악하여 각 요인들이 교통사고 심각도에 미치는 영향의 크기를 분석하였다. 나이에 의해 구분된 고령자와 비고령자 집단을 교통사고자료를 이용한 통계학적 방법에 의해 재분류하였으며, 교통사고 심각도에 미치는 영향요인을 분석하기 위해 심각도를 종속변수로 두고, 교통시설, 도로환경, 개인별특성에서 17개 독립변수로 정하여 순서형 로짓모형으로 분석하였다. 고령자 집단과 비고령자 집단의 교통사고 영향요인을 분석하여 비교한 결과, 사고 당사자의 연령뿐만 아니라, 사고유형이나 운전자 개인의 특성, 도로환경도 교통사고에 영향을 미치고 있음이 나타났다. 또한 고령자 집단과 비고령자 집단은 교통사고 심각도에 미치는 영향변수의 종류와 크기가 각각 다른 것으로 나타났다. 이는 각 집단의 개인적 특성에 적합한 교통시설이 개선된다면 교통사고의 심각도를 줄일 수 있음을 의미하는 것이라 할 수 있다.

사고보고문서를 이용한 텍스트 기반 사고발생 유형 및 관계 분석 (Text Analytics for Classifying Types of Accident Occurrence Using Accident Report Documents)

  • 김범수;장성록;서용윤
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.58-64
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    • 2018
  • Recently, a lot of accident report documents have accumulated in almost all of industries, including critical information of accidents. Accordingly, text data contained in accident report documents are considered useful information for understanding accident processes. However, there has been a lack of systematic approaches to analyzing accident report documents. In this respect, this paper aims at proposing text analytics approach to extracting critical information on accident processes. To be specific, major causes of the accident occurrence are classified based on text information contained in accident report documents by using both textmining and latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) algorithms. The textmining algorithm is used to structure the document-term matrix and the LDA algorithm is applied to extract latent topics included in a lot of accident report documents. We extract ten topics of accidents as accident types and related keywords of accidents with respect to each accident type. The cause-and-effect diagram is then depicted as a tool for navigating processes of the accident occurrence by structuring causes extracted from LDA. Further, the trends of accidents are identified to explore patterns of accident occurrence in each of types. Three patterns of increasing to decreasing, decreasing to increasing, or only increasing are presented in the case of a chemical plant. The proposed approach helps safety managers systematically supervise the causes and processes of accidents through analysis of text information contained in accident report documents.

응급실 내원 아동에 대한 분석 (A study on the pedicatric accident)

  • 손인아
    • 한국보건간호학회지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.332-341
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    • 2000
  • Children's accident is a largely preventable public health problem. Little is known. however, about population-based incident and outcome of pediatric accident. From 1997.9 through 1998,8. admission data from emergency center in I city were collected. 1418 patient from 0 through 13 years of age were selected. All children with unintensional accidental problems were identified through coded sheet which categorizes epidemiologic characteristics. The specific purposes of this study are analysis about the characteristics of pediatric accidents. And it aims to produce the basic data necessary for accident prevention policy development. The results of this study were as follows; 1. The number of male children$(62.6\%)$ were higher than female children$(37.4\%)$ 2. The age group from 1 to 3 years represents the highest proportion$(45.4\%)$ of every accidents except on traffic accident. 3. The highest proportion of accident were as follows occured during the June-August$(34\%)$, Sunday$(22.6\%)$, and 17-21 p.m. $(37.2\%)$ 4. The main causes of accident include general trauma$(70.9\%)$, environmental accident$(l6.8\%)$. and traffic accident$(l2.1\%)$, 5. Preschool age group represents more than half$(65.4\%)$ of traffic accident. 6. environmental injury includes burns $(46.6\%)$, foreign body$(43.6\%)$, exposure to poisonous materials$(6.3\%)$. and bite(3.3) This results could be used to develope prevention programs and assist in accident prevention system development. And also these data substantiate that accident prevention program decrease safety-related injury rate in preschool age group must be concentrated on enhancing access to a system to have a significant effect. Furthermore, it is necessary for accident prevention. So several suggestions are described here: 1. Development of parent's educational program for accident prevention and safety education should be done actively. 2. Home safety surveillance system should be initiated. 3. The initiation of children's accident report system could be contribute the analysis and the reduction of accident.

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화물차사고 비율에 따른 고속도로 교통사고 분석모형에 대한 연구 (A Study of Traffic Accident Analysis Model on Highway in Accordance with the Accident Rate of Trucks)

  • Yang, Sung-Ryong;Yoon, Byoung-jo;Ko, Eun-Hyeok
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.570-576
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    • 2017
  • 고속도로에서 화물차는 승용차에 비해 도로의 많은 부분을 점유한다. 이로 인해 도로의 용량은 상대적으로 감소하며, 국소적으로 주변 운전자에게 위협적인 요소로 작용한다. 화물차 사고는 일반적인 사고와 달리 사고 특성이 다르므로 분석 방법 또한 일반적인 사고와 다르게 적용해야 한다. 사고 분석 방법 중 사고예측모형은 특정 구간에 대한 사고건수를 예측하며 교통계획을 수립할 때 사고 예방을 위한 대책 수립과 도로의 위험성을 진단할 때 활용된다. 이에 본 연구는 고속도로의 화물차 간 사고 비율을 적용하여 사고예측모형에 투입될 수 있는 보정계수를 산출하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 연구를 위해 고속도로를 대상으로 사고 자료를 수집하였으며 2014~2016년까지 3개 년도의 교통량 및 사고 자료를 활용하였다. 연간 사고건수를 토대로 사고예측모형을 개발하였으며, 본 연구를 통해 화물차 간 사고 비율에 따른 사고예측모형을 비교함으로써 실질적인 고속도로 사고예측모형을 확인하고 그에 대한 대책을 제시하고자 한다.

횡단보도의 교통사고 범위 설정에 관한 연구 (The Setting in the Range of Traffic Accident on the Crosswalk)

  • 김장욱;정민영;강동수;홍지연;이수범
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.120-126
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    • 2011
  • Under the current law or system, the range of traffic accident on the crosswalk does not reflect the characteristics of traffic accident and the pedestrian's walking pattern. Thus, this study conducted a video recording survey on the 250 spots which are high to traffic accident rate of pedestrian-vehicle to reset the range of traffic accident on or near the crosswalk considering the characteristics of traffic accident and the pedestrian's walking pattern. Based on the collected data through a video recording survey, this study analyzed the pattern of pedestrians and extracted the variables influenced in the pedestrian's walking pattern. After conducting the regression analysis, this study made the model of measuring the range of traffic accident on the crosswalk. Through all processes these, this study reset the range of traffic accident on the crosswalk which could minimize the disadvantages of pedestrian when they have an accident on the crosswalk and ensure the right of way of pedestrian.