• 제목/요약/키워드: analysis nudging

검색결과 12건 처리시간 0.035초

영동 대설 사례를 대상으로 한 WRF Simulation의 Nudging 방법에 따른 민감도 연구 (A Sensitivity Study of WRF Model Simulations to Nudging Methods for A Yeongdong Heavy Snowfall Event)

  • 최지원;이재규
    • 대기
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.99-115
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    • 2015
  • To investigate the influences of the observational nudging and the analysis nudging on the WRF simulation for the heavy snowfall event in Yeongdong area on 26 February 2012, the sensitivity experiments in relation to nudging effects were conducted. We initially set the magnitude of nudging coefficient of $6.0{\times}10^{-4}s^{-1}$ to apply to the analysis nudging experiments and observational experiments. To select the optimized options for the observational nudging, the radius influence experiment was carried out with radii ranging from 10 to 25 km at 5 km intervals. Among the observational nudging experiments, the experiment, which was conducted with the option of the radius influence of 15 km and that of the nudging coefficient of $6.0{\times}10^{-4}s^{-1}$ (ONG exp.), showed a best result. As giving the nudging effect only directly on D1 and D2 brought about a better result for the analysis nudging, we set the analysis nudging experiment as above (ANG exp.). We compared and analyzed the results from the control experiment, ONG experiment, and ANG experiment to reveal nudging effects. It was found that the control experiment brought about a result that it overestimated its precipitation in comparison with the observation and failed to properly simulate the time zone of rainfall concentration. When either of the two nudging (observational and analysis nudging) was applied to the data assimilation, it brought about a better result than the control experiment. Especially the observational nudging led to a meaningful result for the wind field, while the analysis nudging had the best result for the precipitation distribution among the experiments.

기상자료동화에 따른 CMAQ 모델의 오존농도 모의 민감도 연구 (Sensitivity Analysis of Ozone Simulation according to the Impact of Meteorological Nudging)

  • 김태희;김유근;손장호;정주희
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.372-383
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    • 2016
  • This study aimed at analyzing the sensitivity of ozone simulation in accordance with the meteorological nudging for a high nocturnal ozone episode. To demonstrate the effectiveness of nudging methods (e.g., nudging techniques and application domains), the following six experiments were designed: (1) control without nudging, (2) experiment with application of observation nudging to all domains (domain 1~4), and (3)~(6) experiments with application of grid nudging to domain 1, domain 1~2, domain 1~3 and all domains, respectively. As a result, the meteorological nudging had a direct (improvement of input data) and indirect (estimate natural emission) effect on ozone simulation. Nudging effects during the daytime were greater than those during the nighttime due to low accuracy of wind direction during the nighttime. On comparison of the nudging techniques, the experiments in which grid nudging was applied showed more improved results than the experiments in which observation nudging was applied. At this time point, the simulated concentrations were generally similar to the observed concentrations due to the increase in the nudging effect when grid nudging was applied up to the sub-domain. However, for high nocturnal ozone uptakes, the experiment in which grid nudging was applied do domain 1~3 showed better results than the other experiments. This is because, when grid nudging was applied to the high resolution domain (e.g., domain 4 with 1 km), the local characteristics were removed due to the smoothing effects of meteorological conditions.

오존농도 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 자료동화기법에 따른 WRF모델의 기상민감도 연구 (Sensitivity Analysis of the WRF Model according to the Impact of Nudging for Improvement of Ozone Prediction)

  • 김태희;정주희;김유근
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.683-694
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    • 2016
  • Sensitivity analysis of the WRF model according to the impact of nudging (e.g., nudging techniques and application domains) was conducted during high nocturnal ozone episode to improve the prediction of the regional ozone concentration in the southeastern coastal area of the Korean peninsula. The analysis was performed by six simulation experiments: (1) without nudging (e.g., CNTL case), (2) with observation nudging (ONE case) to all domains (domain 1~4), (3) with grid nudging (GNE case) to all domains, (4)~(6) with grid nudging to domain 1, domain 1~2 and domain 1~3, respectively (GNE-1, GNE-2, GNE-3 case). The results for nudging techniques showed that the GNE case was in very good agreement with those observed during all analysis periods (e.g., daytime, nighttime, and total), as compared to the ONE case. In particular, the large effect of grid nudging on the near-surface meteorological factors (temperature, relative humidity, and wind fields) was predicted at the coastline and nearby sea during daytime. The results for application domains showed that the effects of nudging were distinguished between the meteorological factors and between the time periods. When applied grid nudging until subdomain, the improvement effects of temperature and relative humidity had differential tendencies. Temperature was increased for all time, but relative humidity was increased in daytime and was decreased in nighttime. Thus, GNE case showed better result than other cases.

자료동화의 영향반경과 동화강도가 복잡지형 기상장 수치모의에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Atmospheric Flow Field According to the Radius Influence and Nudging Coefficient of the Objective Analysis on Complex Area)

  • 최현정;이화운;성경희;김민정
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.271-281
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    • 2009
  • In order to reduce the uncertainties and improve the air flow field, objective analysis using observational data is chosen as a method that enhances the reality of meteorology. To improve the meteorological components, the radius influence and nudging coefficient of the objective analysis should perform a adequate value on complex area for the objective analysis technique which related to data reliability and error suppression. Several numerical experiments have been undertaken in order to clarify the impacts of the radius influence and nudging coefficient of the objective analysis on meteorological environments. By analyzing practical urban ground conditions, we revealed that there were large differences in the meteorological differences in each case. In order to understand the quantitative impact of each run, the Statistical analysis by estimated by MM5 revealed the differences by the synoptic conditions. The strengthening of the synoptic wind condition tends to be well estimated when using quite a wide radius influence and a small nudging coefficient. On the other hand, the weakening of the synoptic wind is opposite.

Nudging of Vertical Profiles of Meteorological Parameters in One-Dimensional Atmospheric Model: A Step Towards Improvements in Numerical Simulations

  • Subrahamanyam, D. Bala;Rani, S. Indira;Ramachandran, Radhika;Kunhikrishnan, P. K.
    • Ocean Science Journal
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.165-173
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    • 2008
  • In this article, we describe a simple yet effective method for insertion of observational datasets in a mesoscale atmospheric model used in one-dimensional configuration through Nudging. To demonstrate the effectiveness of this technique, vertical profiles of meteorological parameters obtained from GLASS Sonde launches from a tiny island of Kaashidhoo in the Republic of Maldives are injected in a mesoscale atmospheric model - Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS), and model simulated parameters are compared with the available observational datasets. Analysis of one-time nudging in the model simulations over Kaashidhoo show that incorporation of this technique reasonably improves the model simulations within a time domain of +6 to +12 Hrs, while its impact on +18 Hrs simulations and beyond becomes literally null.

풍력 발전 예보 정확도 향상을 위한 국지 기상장 수치모의 개선 방안 연구 (A Study on Effect of Improvement Plan for Wind Energy Forecasting)

  • 정지아;이화운;전원배;김동혁;김현구;강용혁
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2015
  • This study investigates the impact of enhanced regional meteorological fields on improvement of wind energy forecasting accuracy in the southwestern coast of the Korean Peninsula. To clarify the effect of detailed surface boundary data and application of analysis nudging technique on simulated meteorological fields, several WRF simulations were carried out. Case_LT, which is a simulation with high resolution terrain height and land use data, shows the most remarkable accuracy improvement along the shoreline mainly due to modified surface characteristics such as albedo, roughness length and thermal inertia. Case_RS with high resolution SST data shows accurate SST distributions compared to observation data, and they led to change in land and sea breeze circulation. Case_GN, grid nudging applied simulation, also shows changed temperature and wind fields. Especially, the application of grid nudging dominantly influences on the change of horizontal wind components in comparison with vertical wind component.

풍력자원 평가를 위한 바람자료 동화 특성 평가 (Investigation of the Assimilated Surface Wind Characteristics for the Evaluation of Wind Resources)

  • 이화운;김민정;김동혁;김현구;이순환
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2009
  • Wind energy has been recognized as one of the most important and fastest growing energy resources without emission of air pollutant. Thus, it is necessary to predict wind speed and direction accurately both in time and space toward the efficient usage of wind energy. Numerical simulation experiments using the Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model (MM5) are carried out to clarify the impact of surface observation data assimilation on the estimation of wind energy resources. The EXP_Radius run was designed with respect to the radius of influence in the Four-Dimensional Data Assimilation (FDDA), and the EXP_Impact run was made by changing the nudging coefficient that determines the relative magnitude of the nudging term. The simulation period covers a clear-sky event on 3 - 5 June 2007 and another is on 2 - 4 December 2006. It is found that the simulated results are very sensitive to the radius of influence and nudging parameters in the FDDA. The further analysis of the results shows that the impact of the radius of influence tends to be stronger in weak synoptic flow episode than that in strong synoptic flows episode. The nudging factor is also sensitive to the intensity of the synoptic flows.

미래 기후변화에 대한 용담댐 치수안전도 분석 (A Flood Mitigation Safety Analysis for Yongdam Dam against the Future Climate Change)

  • 강부식;김영오;이승종;강동현
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.312-317
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    • 2006
  • 지역규모의 기후변화 모의결과를 이용하여 금강유역 용담댐의 홍수기 치수안전도에 대한 민감도분석을 수행하였다. 기후변화 모의에 사용된 SNURCM(Seoul National University Regional Climate Model)은 미국 National Center for Atmospheric Research의 Community Climate System Model의 전지구모형을 기반으로 spectral nudging 기법을 사용한 공간해상도 30 km, 연직 21층의 지역기후모형이다. 기후변화 시나리오로는 SRES 'B1'이 사용되었으며 과거 control run에 대한 기후모의 정확도 분석을 통하여 SNURCM 기상자료를 관측치와 비교한 결과 면적강우량을 다소 과소추정하였고 이점을 감안하여 SNURCM의 일 모의결과에 보정 계수를 적용하였다. 하천유출량은 SSARR 모형을 이용하여 SNURCM 모의가 수행된 전체기간을 $1980{\sim}1999$년과 $2000{\sim}2019$년으로 20년씩 나누어 용담댐 일 유입량을 산정하여 통계분석을 실시하였고 과거와 미래 20년 동안을 비교하여 본 결과 (1) 유량의 평균보다는 분산이 미래 20년 동안 증가하여 가뭄과 홍수에 대한 위험도가 증가함을 알 수 있었고, (2) 특히 연최대유량 또한 미래 20년 동안 상당히 증가하여 홍수기 치수대책이 더욱 중요해질 것으로 판단되었다. 마지막으로 용담댐 운영은 범용 시스템분석 도구인 STELLA(System Thinking Experimental Learning Laboratory with Animation) 상에서 GUI로 구현하여 유입량 변화에 따른 용담댐 치수안전도 변화를 모의해 보았다. 용담댐의 홍수기 운영은 저수지 수위가 제한수위를 초과하기 시작하면 Rigid ROM 발효하여 방류량을 결정하도록 구성하였고, 무효방류(spill)가 일어나는 현상을 실패로 가정하여 이에 대한 신뢰도(reliability), 회복도(resiliency), 그리고 심도(vulnerability)를 치수안전도 지표로 계산하였다. 전체기간을 1980년${\sim}$1999년, 2000년${\sim}$2019년, 2000년${\sim}$2009년, 그리고 2010년${\sim}$2019년까지 총 4구간으로 나누어 결과를 도출하였으며 예상한 바와 같이 후반기 20년 동안에 세 가지 지표가 취약해 지는 것을 확인할 수 있었고, 특히 2000년부터 2009년까지 10년 동안에는 더욱 취약해짐을 확인할 수 있었다.

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WRF 모형의 수도권 지역 상세 국지 기상장 모의 성능 평가 (Performance Evaluation of the High-Resolution WRF Meteorological Simulation over the Seoul Metropolitan Area)

  • 오준서;이재형;우주완;이두일;이상현;서지현;문난경
    • 대기
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.257-276
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    • 2020
  • Faithful evaluation of the meteorological input is a prerequisite for a better understanding of air quality model performance. Despite the importance, the preliminary meteorological assessment has rarely been concerned. In this study, we aim to evaluate the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model conducting a year-long high-resolution meteorological simulation in 2016 over the Seoul metropolitan area. The WRF model was configured based on a series of sensitivity simulations of initial/boundary meteorological conditions, land use mapping data, reanalysis grid nudging method, domain nesting method, and urban canopy model. The simulated results of winds, air temperature, and specific humidity in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) were evaluated following statistical evaluation guidance using the surface and upper meteorological measurements. The statistical evaluation results are presented. The model performance was interpreted acceptable for air quality modeling within the statistical criteria of complex conditions, showing consistent overestimation in wind speeds. Further statistical analysis showed that the meteorological model biases were highly systematic with systematic bias fractions (fSB) of 20~50%. This study suggests that both the momentum exchange process of the surface layer and the ABL entrainment process should be investigated for further improvement of the model performance.