• 제목/요약/키워드: agricultural risk

검색결과 930건 처리시간 0.03초

분위사상법을 적용한 RCP 시나리오 기반 시군별 홍수 위험도 평가 (Flood Risk Assessment Based on Bias-Corrected RCP Scenarios with Quantile Mapping at a Si-Gun Level)

  • 박지훈;강문성;송인홍
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제55권4호
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2013
  • The main objective of this study was to evaluate Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios-based flood risk at a Si-Gun level. A bias correction using a quantile mapping method with the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution was performed to correct future precipitation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). A series of proxy variables including CN80 (Number of days over 80 mm) and CX3h (Maximum precipitation during 3-hr) etc. were used to carry out flood risk assessment. Indicators were normalized by a Z-score method and weighted by factors estimated by principal component analysis (PCA). Flood risk evaluation was conducted for the four different time periods, i.e. 1990s, 2025s, 2055s, and 2085s, which correspond to 1976~2005, 2011~2040, 2041~2070, and 2071~2100. The average flood risk indices based on RCP4.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.16, 0.22, and 0.13 for the corresponding periods in the order of time, which increased steadily up to 2055s period and decreased. The average indices based on RCP8.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.23, 0.11, and 0.21, which decreased in the 2055s period and then increased again. Considering the average index during entire period of the future, RCP8.5 scenario resulted in greater risk than RCP4.5 scenario.

Development of a Targeted Recommendation Model for Earthquake Risk Prevention in the Whole Disaster Chain

  • Su, Xiaohui;Ming, Keyu;Zhang, Xiaodong;Liu, Junming;Lei, Da
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.14-27
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    • 2021
  • Strong earthquakes have caused substantial losses in recent years, and earthquake risk prevention has aroused a significant amount of attention. Earthquake risk prevention products can help improve the self and mutual-rescue abilities of people, and can create convenient conditions for earthquake relief and reconstruction work. At present, it is difficult for earthquake risk prevention information systems to meet the information requirements of multiple scenarios, as they are highly specialized. Aiming at mitigating this shortcoming, this study investigates and analyzes four user roles (government users, public users, social force users, insurance market users), and summarizes their requirements for earthquake risk prevention products in the whole disaster chain, which comprises three scenarios (pre-quake preparedness, in-quake warning, and post-quake relief). A targeted recommendation rule base is then constructed based on the case analysis method. Considering the user's location, the earthquake magnitude, and the time that has passed since the earthquake occurred, a targeted recommendation model is built. Finally, an Android APP is implemented to realize the developed model. The APP can recommend multi-form earthquake risk prevention products to users according to their requirements under the three scenarios. Taking the 2019 Lushan earthquake as an example, the APP exhibits that the model can transfer real-time information to everyone to reduce the damage caused by an earthquake.

Analysis and Improvement Methods of Unsafe Posture Associated with Various Agricultural Works

  • Jung, Hwa-Shik
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.473-480
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    • 2011
  • Objective: This paper presents the results of a literature review undertaken to analyze the types and risk factors of unsafe posture in accordance with the crops and the working position and to introduce various ergonomic intervention approaches. Background: There is clear and consistent evidence that agricultural work has been rated as one of the dangerous occupations in the world. A considerable number of adverse health conditions, including musculoskeletal disorders(MSDs) are related to agricultural work. Method: An agricultural work requires squatting, kneeling, and bending(stooping) postures for significant periods of the work day which due to a wide variety of activities such as planting, cultivating and harvesting various agricultural products. Thus, each of these postures is analyzed in detail to recommend the improvement methods. Results: Various unsafe postures in agricultural works are revealed and analyzed. It is proven that ergonomics intervention has the potential benefits to reduce MSDs among agricultural workers. Two types of ergonomic intervention methods were discussed to improve unsafe working postures, engineering controls and administrative controls. Conclusion & Application: As a concluding remark, this article can be used as a reference manual for the agricultural workers and also used to raise the research community's awareness to the risk of unsafe working postures for workers in agriculture.

Multiple Exposures and Coexposures to Occupational Hazards Among Agricultural Workers: A Systematic Review of Observational Studies

  • Nguyen, Thi-Hai-Yen;Bertin, Melanie;Bodin, Julie;Fouquet, Natacha;Bonvallot, Nathalie;Roquelaure, Yves
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.239-248
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    • 2018
  • Background: Workers may be exposed to various types of occupational hazards at the same time, potentially increasing the risk of adverse health outcomes. The aim of this review was to analyze the effects of multiple occupational exposures and coexposures to chemical, biomechanical, and physical hazards on adverse health outcomes among agricultural workers. Methods: Articles published in English between 1990 and 2015 were identified using five popular databases and two complementary sources. The quality of the included publications was assessed using the methodology developed by the Effective Public Health Practice Project assessment tool for quantitative studies. Results: Fifteen articles were included in the review. Multiple chemical exposures were significantly associated with an increased risk of respiratory diseases, cancer, and DNA and cytogenetic damage. Multiple physical exposures seemed to increase the risk of hearing loss, whereas coexposures to physical and biomechanical hazards were associated with an increased risk of musculoskeletal disorders among agricultural workers. Conclusion: Few studies have explored the impact of multiple occupational exposures on the health of agricultural workers. A very limited number of studies have investigated the effect of coexposures among biomechanical, physical, and chemical hazards on occupational health, which indicates a need for further research in this area.

주요 하천수역에서 검출된 농약의 수서생물에 대한 위해성 평가 (Risk Assessment for Aquatic Organisms of Pesticides Detected In Water Phase of Six Major Rivers in Korea)

  • 이지호;박병준;김진경;김원일;홍수명;임건재;홍무기
    • 농약과학회지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.48-54
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    • 2011
  • 국내 주요 6대 하천수역 내 농약 성수기에 검출된 농약의 검출수준을 조사하였고, 수서 생물 3종(조류, 물벼룩, 어류)의 농약 노출에 따른 위해 기능성을 위해 지수(HQ indexes)에 의해 평가하였다. 총 40지점의 모니터링을 실시한 결과, 검출농약은 살균제isoprothiolane, hexaconazole, 살충제 diazinon, chlorpyrifos, prothiofos, 제초제 alachlor, butachlor, molinate의 총 8종으로 확인되었다. 그 중 isoprothiolane이 67.5%의 높은 빈도로 검출되었고, 그 이외의 농약은 15~37.5% 범위의 검출빈도를 나타내었다. 검출빈도는 butachlor >, prothiofos >, ch1orpyrifos >, hexaconazole, molinate > diazinon, alachlor순으로 조사되었다. 전 하천수역에서 수서 생물 3종(조류, 물벼룩, 어류)에 대한 위해 지수가 1.0을 초과하지 않았기 때문에 수 생태계에 대한 위해 가능성이 없는 것으로 평가되었다. 주요 하천수역 내 수서 생물의 위해 가능성에 대한 각 검출 농약의 상대적인 기여도를 평가한 결과, 수서 생물 종별로 다양하게 나타났다. 조류는 butachlor와 molinate성분에 의해, 물벼룩은 chlorpyrifos, diazinon, prothiofos 성분에 의해, 어류는 chlorpyrifos성분에 의해 위해 지수의 기여도가 높게 조사되었다. 본 연구결과는 하천 수계별 농약관리의 우선순위를 선정하는 데 있어 필수자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

Epidemiological study of pulmonary lesions and diseases in slaughter cattle

  • Rahman, Akma;Nooruddinm, M.;Begum, N.;Rahman, M.S.;Lee, John-Hwa
    • 한국동물위생학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2003
  • A cross-sectional epidemiological study using a multistage sampling strategy in slaughter cattle in Mymensingh, Bangladesh was conducted during September 2001 to April 2002 to study distributions and risk factors of specific pulmonary lesions and diseases. The pulmonary lesions and diseases were diagnosed on the basis of macroscopic and microscopic pathological and parasitological findings. The frequency distribution of pulmonary lesions and diseases in slaughter cattle was found to vary among categories of the study variables. The risk factors identified on statistical basis were male cattle and ${\leq}3$ years old cattle and summer in congestion, slightly thin physical condition and summer season in pulmonary emphysema, slightly thin physical condition in parasitic bronchitis as well as female cattle, autumn and rainy seasons in pulmonary hydatidosis. The population impact and etiologic significance of summer season on pulmonary congestion and emphysema was more important than that of adult male cattle. The population impact and etiologic significance of autumn season on pulmonary hydatidosis was more important than that of female cattle during rainy season. Population impact of slightly thin cattle on parasitic bronchitis was poor.

농업기상재해 위험 관리를 위한 농장별 조기경보서비스의 비용편익 분석 (Cost-benefit Analysis of a Farmstead-specific Early Warning Service for Agrometeorological Disaster Risk Management)

  • 심교문;정학균;임영아;신용순;김용석;최인태;정명표;김호정
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 농업기상재해 조기경보시스템의 전국 확대 구축을 위한 기초자료를 제시하고자, 조기경보서비스를 활용하는 농가를 대상으로 만족도를 조사하였고, 시범사업 추진에 따른 비용편익을 분석하였다. 설문에 참가한 농가는 조기경보서비스에 대해서 대체로 만족하였고 농사에 잘 활용한다고 응답하였다. 그리고 조기경보서비스에 대한 월간 지불의사금액은 평균 8,833원으로 조사되었다. 조기경보서비스가 전국으로 확대되어 시 군 농가의 50%가 6개월간 이용한다고 가정하면, 편익대비 비용의 비가 2.2로 분석되어 전국 확대를 위한 사업추진의 타당성이 높은 것으로 평가되었다.

강원지역의 2010년 복숭아 동해 (Regional Distribution of Peach Freezing Damage and Chilling Days in 2010 in Gangwon Province)

  • 서영호;박영식;조병욱;강안석;정병찬;정영상
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.225-231
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    • 2010
  • 강원도 주요 복숭아 재배지의 2010년 1월 7일의 일 최저기온 분포는 $-18{\sim}-29^{\circ}C$로서, 평년보다 $10^{\circ}C$ 이상 낮았으며 복숭아의 동해온도로 설정된 $-18^{\circ}C$보다 낮았다. 이로 인한 저온 피해 면적은 원주 144ha, 춘천 89ha, 영월 33ha, 횡성 22ha, 양구 17ha, 홍천 16ha 등이었다. 금후 강원 지역의 복숭아 동해에 대한 대책을 수립하는 데 기초 자료를 제공하고자 실제 동해 면적율과 휴면심도를 바탕으로 한 동해위험지수를 비교하였다. 자동기상측정장치가 설치된 지역의 일 최고기온과 일 최저기온, 기준온도를 바탕으로 계산한 장호원황도의 휴면심도는 -62 ~ -90였다. 휴면심도와 일 최저기온으로부터 계산된 동해위험지수는 51% 이상이었고, 이 동해위험지수는 실제 피해 면적 비율과 통계적으로 유의한 선형 관계를 나타내었다. 장호원황도의 휴면심도를 바탕으로 한 동해위험지수로 정확한 저온 피해 예측에는 어느 정도 한계가 있으나, 과수농가에서 복숭아의 동해를 대비하는 데 유용하게 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

GIS를 이용한 농업용 저수지의 붕괴 피해 평가 (Risk Assessment of small reservoir by the collapse using GIS)

  • 김윤순;김한중;정남수
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2001년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.202-206
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    • 2001
  • In this study, the risk assessment of small reservoir by collapse using GIS is evaluated. Direct damage distance from collapsed reservoir is estimated by empirical USBR equations and submerged area is calculated by USBR's idea. The amount of damage by collapsed reservoir is figured out by damage assessment of National Institute for Disaster Prevention.

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