• Title/Summary/Keyword: accident warning and prediction

Search Result 4, Processing Time 0.02 seconds

The Design of Remote Monitoring and Warning System for Dangerous Chemicals Based on CPS

  • Kan, Zhe;Wang, Xiaolei
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.632-644
    • /
    • 2019
  • The remote monitoring and warning system for dangerous chemicals is designed with the concept of the Cyber-Physical System (CPS) in this paper. The real-time perception, dynamic control, and information service of major hazards chemicals are realized in this CPS system. The CPS system architecture, the physical layer and the applacation layer, are designed in this paper. The terminal node is mainly composed of the field collectors which complete the data acquisition of sensors and video in the physical layers, and the use of application layer makes CPS system safer and more reliable to monitor the hazardous chemicals. The cloud application layer completes the risk identification and the prediction of the major hazard sources. The early intelligent warning of the major dangerous chemicals is realized and the security risk images are given in the cloud application layer. With the CPS technology, the remote network of hazardous chemicals has been completed, and a major hazard monitoring and accident warning online system is formed. Through the experiment of the terminal node, it can be proved that the terminal node can complete the mass data collection and classify. With this experiment it can be obtained the CPS system is safe and effective. In order to verify feasible, the multi-risk warning based on CPS is simulated, and results show that the system solves the problem of hazardous chemicals enterprises safety management.

Data Mining of Gas Accident and Meteorological Data in Korea for a Prediction Model of Gas Accidents (국내 가스사고와 기상자료의 데이터마이닝을 이용한 가스사고 예측모델 연구)

  • Hur, Young-Taeg;Shin, Dong-Il;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.33-38
    • /
    • 2012
  • Analysis on gas accidents by types occurred has been made to prevent the recurrence of accidents, through analysis of past history of gas accident occurring environment. The number of gas accidents has been decreasing, but still accidents are occurring steadily. Gas-using environment and gas accidents are estimated to be closely connected since gas-using types are changing by time period, weather, etc. in terms of accident contents. As a result of analysing gas accidents by 7 meteorological elements, such as the mean temperature, the highest temperature, the lowest temperature, relative humidity, the amount of clouds, precipitation and wind velocity, it has been found out that gas accidents are influenced by temperature or relative humidity, and accident occurs more frequently when the sky is clean and wind velocity is slow. Possibility of gas accidents can be provided in real time, using the proposed model made to predict gas accidents in connection with the weather forecast service. Possibility and number of gas accidents will be checked real time by connecting to the business system of Korea Gas Safety Corp., and it is considered that it would be positively used for preventing gas accidents.

The Study of Prediction Model of Gas Accidents Using Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석을 이용한 가스사고 발생 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Su-Kyung;Hur, Young-Taeg;Shin, Dong-Il;Song, Dong-Woo;Kim, Ki-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.18 no.1
    • /
    • pp.8-16
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this study, the number of gas accidents prediction model was suggested by analyzing the gas accidents occurred in Korea. In order to predict the number of gas accidents, simple moving average method (3, 4, 5 period), weighted average method and exponential smoothing method were applied. Study results of the sum of mean-square error acquired by the models of moving average method for 4 periods and weighted moving average method showed the highest value of 44.4 and 43 respectively. By developing the number of gas accidents prediction model, it could be actively utilized for gas accident prevention activities.

The big data method for flash flood warning (돌발홍수 예보를 위한 빅데이터 분석방법)

  • Park, Dain;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.15 no.11
    • /
    • pp.245-250
    • /
    • 2017
  • Flash floods is defined as the flooding of intense rainfall over a relatively small area that flows through river and valley rapidly in short time with no advance warning. So that it can cause damage property and casuality. This study is to establish the flash-flood warning system using 38 accident data, reported from the National Disaster Information Center and Land Surface Model(TOPLATS) between 2009 and 2012. Three variables were used in the Land Surface Model: precipitation, soil moisture, and surface runoff. The three variables of 6 hours preceding flash flood were reduced to 3 factors through factor analysis. Decision tree, random forest, Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machine, and logistic regression model are considered as big data methods. The prediction performance was evaluated by comparison of Accuracy, Kappa, TP Rate, FP Rate and F-Measure. The best method was suggested based on reproducibility evaluation at the each points of flash flood occurrence and predicted count versus actual count using 4 years data.