• 한국농촌건축학회논문집
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.45-52
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to investigate safety and dangerous awareness of environment on walking trails. For this purpose, questionnaire survey are carried out by people who had experience using walking trails during 2016. It is evaluated that environments of walking trails located inside big cities are inferior than ones located in small and medium-sized cities and countryside in air pollution, bed smell, water pollution, noise, and waste. Needs about management and number installed public restroom are high for hygienic environment of walking trails. With waste treatment, users of 2.4 percentage are showed improper behavior that they left their rubbish at the place out of view but others bring their trash. Accident likelihood is highly appreciated and possibility of physical accident like slipping is showed at the highest. The reasons of accident on walking trails are responded with carelessness of walkers and improper of installation or management of safety facility at the most. For safety environment of walking trails, needs of installation of safety fences and notices of dangerous area are requested. In order to separate prevention from paths of walking trails, signposts are needed at visual clearness, maintenance, installation with proper interval and location, and correct contents. Respondents of 2.4 percentage have experiences of accident on walking trails and physical accident like slipping is occurred at the most.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.157-166
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• 2008

본 연구에서는 실시간으로 수집되는 고속도로의 검지기 자료를 이용하여 교통사고 발생 가능성을 확률적 관측값으로 나타낼 수 있는 모형을 개발하였다. 사고발생 지점을 기준으로 상류부 및 하류부에서 수집된 사고발생 이전의 교통자료를 모형의 독립변수로 설정하였다. 이항 로지스틱 회귀분석 기법을 적용하여 교통사고 발생을 유발할 잠재력이 높은 교통상황을 교통사고와는 무관한 교통상황으로부터 추출하는 분류문제(classification problem)로 설정하고 모형을 개발하였다. 최근 3년간 서해안 고속도로에서 발생한 사고자료와 검지기 자료를 맵핑하였으며, 유효한 검지기 자료를 모형에 적용하기 위하여 이상치 제거 및 결측치 보정을 위한 자료처리 과정을 별도로 수행하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 모형에서 산출되는 계량화된 교통사고 발생가능성은 고속도로상에서 실시간 경고정보 제공 및 다양한 교통운영관리 전략의 교통안전 측면에서의 효과를 평가하는데 유용하게 적용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제36권4호
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• pp.80-87
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• 2021

Risk assessment techniques are processes used to evaluate hazardous risk factors in construction sites, facilities, raw materials, machinery, and equipment, and to estimate the size of risk that could lead to injury or disease, and establish countermeasures. The most important thing in assessing risk is calculating the size of the risk. If the size of the risk cannot be calculated objectively and quantitatively, all members who participated in the evaluation would passively engage in establishing and implementing appropriate measures. Therefore, this study focused on predicting accidents that are expected to occur in the future based on past occupational accident statistics, and quantifying the size of the risk in an overview. The technique employed in this study differs from other risk assessment techniques in that the subjective elements of evaluators were excluded as much as possible by utilizing past occupational accident statistics. This study aims to calculate the size of the risk, regardless of evaluators, such as a manager, supervisor, safety manager, or employee. The size of the risk is the combination of the likelihood and severity of an accident. In this study, the likelihood of an accident was evaluated using the theory of Bud Accident Chainability, and the severity of an accident was calculated using the occupational accident statistics over the past five years according to the accident classification by the International Labor Organization.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제32권6호
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• pp.46-53
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• 2017

The risk is expressed as consequence of damage multiplied by likelihood of failure. The installation of a protective system reduces the risk by reducing the likelihood of failure at the facility. Also, the protective system has different effects on the likelihood of failure according to the proof test cycle. However, when assessing risks in the Off-site Risk Assessment (ORA) system, the variation in risk was not reflected according to the proof test cycle of protective system. This study was conducted to examine the need for proof test and the importance of cycle setting by applying periodic proof test of the protective system to ORA. The results showed that the likelihood of failure and the risk increased with longer proof test cycle. The risk of a two-yearly proof test was eight times greater than that of a three-month cycle. From the results, the protective system needs periodic proof test. Untested protective system for a long term cannot be reliable because it is more likely to be failed state when it is called upon to operate. In order to reduce the risk to an acceptable level, it is effective to differently set the proof test cycle according to the priority. This study suggested a more systematic and accurate risk analysis standard than ORA. This standard is expected to enable an acceptable level of risk management by systematically setting the priority and proof test cycle of the protective system. It is also expected to contribute to securing the safety of chemical facilities and at the same time, will lead to the development of the ORA system.

• 대한교통학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한교통학회 2007년도 제57회 학술발표회논문집
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• pp.277-286
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• 2007

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.127-134
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• 2016

PURPOSES : Low visibility caused by dark surroundings at nighttime affects the likelihood of accidents, and various efforts, such as installing road safety facilities, have been made to reduce accidents at night. Despite these efforts, the nighttime severity index (SI) in Korea was higher than the daytime SI during 2011-2014. This study determined the factors affecting daytime and nighttime accident severity through a discriminant analysis. METHODS : Discriminant analysis. RESULTS : First, drowsiness, lack of attention, and lighting facilities affected both daytime and nighttime accident severity. Accidents were found to be caused by a low ability to recognize the driving conditions and a low obstacle avoidance capability. Second, road conditions and speeding affected only the daytime accident severity. Third, failure to maintain a safe distance significantly affected daytime accident severity and nonsignificantly affected nighttime accident severity. The majority of such accidents were caused by rear-end collisions of vehicles driving in the same direction; given the low relative speed difference in such cases, the shock imparted by the accidents was minimal. CONCLUSIONS : Accidents caused by a failure to maintain a safe distance has lower severity than do accidents caused by other factors.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제9권5호
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• pp.1-5
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• 2007

We construct the procedure to predict safety accidents following Bayesian approach. We make a model that can utilize the data to predict other levels of accidents. An event tree model which is a frequently used graphical tool in describing accident initiation and escalation to more severe accident is transformed into an influence diagram model. Prior distributions for accident occurrence rate and probabilities to escalating to more severe accidents are assumed and likelihood of number of accidents in a given period of time is assessed. And then posterior distributions are obtained based on observed data. We also points out the advantages of the bayesian approach that estimates the whole distribution of accident rate over the classical point estimation.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.111-121
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• 2008

효과적인 가변제한속도(Variable Speed Limit: VSL)는 교통사고를 예방하고 교통정체를 완화시키는데 기여하는 중요한 교통류 제어방안이다. 본 연구에서는 교통사고 예방을 목적으로 가변제한속도를 적용하는 방법론을 제시하였다. 가변제한속도를 적용하는 조건을 두 가지로 분류하였는데, 사고위험도 예측모형에 따른 제한속도 변화와 도로환경조건의 변화에 따른 제한속도 조정 방안을 제안하였다. 예측된 사고위험도에 따른 가변제한속도의 적용은 검지기에서 추출되는 교통량, 속도, 점유율자료와 교통사고자료로 이항로지스틱회귀분석 기법을 사용하여 구축된 사고위험도 예측모형을 사용하였다. 한편, 도로환경조건에 따른 가변제한속도 적용에서는 안개, 폭우, 폭설로 인한 시거제약 상황과 결빙, 비, 눈으로 인한 노면마찰력감소상황 시 최소정지거리 계산을 통해 각 상황에 적용되어야 하는 제한속도를 제시하였다. 이를 바탕으로 통합도로환경조건 모니터링 시스템 하에서 사고위험도와 도로환경조건을 관측하고 제한속도를 변화시키는 가변제한속도 시스템 알고리즘을 제시하였으며, 제안된 알고리즘의 현장 적용 시 고려되어야 할 기술적 이슈를 논의하였다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제13권21호
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• pp.29-41
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• 1990

An assessment of risk in industrial and urban environments is essential in the prevention of accident and in the analysis of situations which are hazardous to public health and safety. The risk imposed by a particular hazard increases with the likelihood of occurence of the event, the exposure and the possible consequence of that event. In a traditional approach, the calculation of a quantitative value of risk is usually based on an assignment of numerical values of each of the risk factors. Then the product of the values of likelihood, exposure and consequences called risk score is derived. However vagueness and imprecision in mathematical quantification of risk are equated with fuzziness rather than randomness. In this paper, a fuzzy set theoretic approach to risk analysis is proposed as an alternative to the techniques currently used in the area of systems safety. Then the concept of risk evaluation using linguistic representation of the likelihood, exposure and consequences is introduced. A risk assessment model using approximate reasoning technique based on fuzzy logic is presented to drive fuzzy values of risk and numerical example for risk analysis is also presented to illustrate the results.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.91-97
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• 2023

Ensuring the safe arrival of delivery cargo at its intended destination is of utmost importance. Truck drivers play a crucial role in guaranteeing the secure delivery of cargo without any mishaps. However, there are various factors that may lead to delayed arrival of trucks at their destination, such as late departures or prolonged loading operations. The timely departure of cargo transportation is contingent upon several variables, including the driver's experience, cargo volume, and loading time. If the transportation commencement is delayed, it may increase the risk of accidents due to an elevated operating speed. Consequently, we conducted a study to investigate the correlation between cargo loading time, cargo volume, driving experience, and the likelihood of accidents. Our findings indicate that both cargo volume and driver experience can impact the likelihood of vehicle accidents. Furthermore, all factors can have an interactive effect on the occurrence of accidents. However, extending the loading time may mitigate the impact on the likelihood of accidents.