• Title/Summary/Keyword: accelerated failure model

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A study on Analysis of Contact erosion at a Magnetic Contactor with the Use of Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 이용한 전자접촉기의 접점소모 분석에 대한 고찰)

  • Klm, Myoung-Seok;Ryu, Haeng-Su;Han, Gyu-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.10b
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    • pp.116-118
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    • 2003
  • This paper describes a Accelerated Life Test (ALT) with the electrical contact erosion suitable to the evaluations of high-reliability and durability devices such as magnetic contactor. Recently, an electrical devices company was interested in accelerated life test (ALT), the product liability (PL) and the short-term testing model of electrical life test (ELT). In order to estimate a model for testing fee and period, need to the statistical analysis method with the acceleration factor(AF). Usually customer/manufacturer regard their device failure to the over-current or heavy duty condition, while devices view shape of contact erosion owing to operational duty problem. In this paper, additional method of evaluation estimated the operated cycles by weight of contact erosion with a used of regression analysis by MINITAB.

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A Study on Container Terminal Layout and the Productivity of Container Crane During Ship Turnaround Time (컨테이너 터미널 배치 형태와 본선작업 생산성에 대한 연구)

  • Shin, Sung-Ho;Kim, Yeonkook J.
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.47-63
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    • 2023
  • In smart ports and port automation, the number of vertically deployed container terminals is growing. The purpose of this study is to analyze the productivity of horizontally arranged and vertically arranged container terminals by comparing the main ship operation time, and to recommend future strategies for increasing the operational efficiency of vertically configured container terminals. To achieve our goal, we chose two terminals representating each type, and collected berth allocation status data from 2018 to 2022. Then we analyzed the data using the Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) model, a parametric survival analysis technique. Under the assumption that the working circumstances of the C/C (Container Crane) are the same, we find that the productivity of on-board work of the vertically placed container terminal is higher than that of the horizontally placed container terminal. Our result also shows that the productivity is reduced during the COVID-19 period and the European ships show lower onboard work time. On the basis of these findings, we propose strategies to improve the productivity of vertical container terminals.

Reliability Growth Management for Armed Vehicle : Launcher System Case Study (기동장비 신뢰도 성장 관리 연구 : 발사대 체계 사례)

  • Lee, YJ;Bae, GB;Heo, YM;Seo, JH;Kim, SB;Choi, JK;Park, WJ
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.981-994
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: In this study, the reliability growth management procedures for armed vehicle is suggested and an illustrative case study of launcher system is given. Methods: Crow-AMSAA model is adopted to manage reliability growth of armed vehicle using failure data acquired from development test phase to field operation phase. Between the development test phase and the production phase, the suggested reliability growth procedures for armed vehicle entails accelerated life test of the selected module whose design is changed to improve its reliability for assuring the target system reliability. And it can be verified through estimating the system reliability based on the failure data of field operation phase. Results: It is shown that the proposed reliability growth management procedures are effective for armed vehicle based on the case study of launcher system. After estimating the reliability of launcher system at every development test, some items are selected to change their designs for improving reliability. Accelerated life test is performed to prove the reliability improvement and finally it is verified through the field operation. Conclusion: The reliability growth management procedures for armed vehicle is suggested and the case study of launcher system shows it can be effective for managing the reliability growth of the armed vehicle.

Analysis Approaches to Data of Both Age and Usage Attributes (시간과 사용량의 속성을 지닌 데이터의 분석방안)

  • Jo, Jin-Nam;Baik, Jai-Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.136-141
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    • 2007
  • For many products failures depend on age and usage and, in this case, failures are random points in a two-dimensional plane with the two axes representing age and usage. Models play an important role in decision-making. In this research, an accelerate failure test (AFT) model is proposed to deal with the two-dimensional data. The parameters are proposed to be estimated through maximum likelihood estimators.

Storage Life Evaluation of a Violet Smoke Hand Grenade(KM18) using Degradation Data (열화데이터를 이용한 자색 연막수류탄(KM18)의 저장수명 평가)

  • Chang, Il-Ho;Hong, Suk-Hwan;Jang, Hyun-Jeung;Son, Young-Kap
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.215-223
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    • 2012
  • A violet smoke hand grenade(KM18) is used to generate signals. The grenade is considered to fail when its smoke emission time is longer than the specified one so that its smoke concentration becomes lighter. Accelerated degradation test for the grenade was performed, and then failure in smoke emission time was reproduced from the test. Stress for the degradation test was selected as temperature/humidity from the pre-test results. Degraded data of emission time from the accelerated test were analyzed through applying a distibution-based degradation model. Then, Peck Model was applied to predict the storage life under field conditions. In addition, the predicted storage life was compared with that of ASRP(Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program).

Reliability assessment of mica high voltage capacitor through environmental test and accelerated life test (마이카 고전압 커패시터의 환경시험과 가속 수명시험을 통한 신뢰성 평가)

  • Park, Seong Hwan;Ham, Young Jae;Kim, Jeong Seok;Kim, Kyoung Hun;So, Seong Min;Jeon, Min Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Crystal Growth and Crystal Technology
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.270-275
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    • 2019
  • Mica capacitor is being adopted for high voltage firing unit of guided weapon system because of its superior impact enduring property relative to ceramic capacitor. Reliability of localized mica high voltage capacitors was verified through environmental test like terminal strength test, humidity test, thermal shock test and accelerated life test for application to high voltage firing unit. Failure mode of mica capacitor is a decrease of insulation resistance and its final dielectric breakdown. Main constants of accelerated life model were derived experimentally and voltage constant and activation energy were 5.28 and 0.805 eV respectively. Lifetime of mica capacitor at normal use condition was calculated to be 38.5 years by acceleration factor, 496, and lifetime at accelerated condition and this long lifetime confirmed that mica high voltage capacitor could be applied for firing unit.

Failure Mechanism and Long-Term Hydrostatic Behavior of Linear Low Density Polyethylene Tubing (선형저밀도 폴리에틸렌 튜빙의 파손 메커니즘과 장기 정수압 거동)

  • Weon, Jong-Il;Chung, Yu-Kyoung;Shin, Sei-Moon;Choi, Kil-Yeong
    • Polymer(Korea)
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.440-445
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    • 2008
  • The failure mechanism and failure morphology of linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) tubing under hydrostatic pressure were investigated. Microscopic observations using video microscope and scanning electron microscope indicate that the failure mode is a brittle fracture including cracks propagated from inner wall to outer wall. In addition, oxidation induction time and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy results show the presence of exothermic peak and the increase in carbonyl index on the surface of fractured LLDPE tubing, due to thermal-degradation. An accelerated life test methodology and testing system for LLDPE tubing are developed using the relationship between stresses and life characteristics by means of thermal acceleration. Statistical approaches using the Arrhenius model and Weibull distribution are implemented to estimate the long-term life time of LLDPE tubing under hydrostatic pressure. Consequently, the long-term life time of LLDPE tubing at the operating temperature of $25^{\circ}C$ could be predicted and also be analyzed.

A Study on Accelerated Life Test of Halogen Lamps for Medical Device (의료용 할로겐램프의 가속수명시험에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Jae Han;Kim, Myung Soo;Lim, Heonsang;Kim, Yong Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.659-672
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to estimate life time of halogen lamps and acceleration factors using accelerated life test. Methods: Voltage was selected as an accelerating variable through the technical review about failure mechanism. The test was performed at 14.5V, 15.5V and 16.5 for 4,471 hours. It was assumed that the lifetime of Halogen lamps follow Weibull distribution and the inverse power life-stress relationship models. Results: Mean lifetimes of pin and screw types were 19,477 hours and 6,056 hours, respectively. In addition, acceleration factor of two items are calculated as 4.8 and 2.2 based on 15.5V, respectively. Conclusion: The life-stress relationship, acceleration factor, and MTTF at design condition are estimated by analyzing the accelerated life test data. These results suggest that voltage was very important factor to accelerate life time in the case of halogen lamps and the life time of pin type is three times longer than screw type lamps.

Estimation of the survival function of the legislative process in Korea: based on the experiences of the 17th, 18th, and 19th National Assembly of Korea (국회 법안 검토 기간의 생존함수 추정: 제 17, 18, 19대 국회의 사례를 바탕으로)

  • Yun, Yeonggyu;Cho, Yunsoo;Jung, Hye-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.503-515
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    • 2019
  • In this study we estimate the survival function of duration of the legislative processes in the 17th, 18th, and 19th National Assembly of Korea, and further analyze effects of the political situation variables on the legislative process. We define the termination of legislative process from a novel perspective to alleviate issues of dependency between censoring and failure in the data. We also show that the proportional hazards assumption does not hold for the data, and analyze data employing a log-normal accelerated failure time model. The policy areas of law agendas are shown to affect the speed of legislative process in different ways and legislative process tends to be prompt in times of divided governments.

A Study on the Reliability Demonstration for Korea High Speed Train Control System (한국형고속철도 열차제어시스템 하부구성요소 신뢰도입증에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Ho;Lee, Kang-Mi;Kim, Young-Kyu;Shin, Duc-Ko
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.6 s.37
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    • pp.732-738
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    • 2006
  • This research provides a scheme for Highly Accelerated Stress Test that is necessary to demonstrate reliability prediction of Korean Rapid Transit Railway Train Control System sub-equipment, which is calculated by a relevant standard for failure rate prediction of electronic products. Although determining failure information generated in the process of trial running by statistic analysis is widely accepted as a measure of confirmation for reliability prediction, this research suggests the modeling for System Life Test determined by accelerating stress factors as a measure of confirmation for reliability prediction of sub-equipment unit that is generated ahead of a trial running in System Life Cycle. Consequently, the research demonstrates sub-equipment unit reliability test, which is based on the model derived from Accelerated Stress Test, according to accuracy level and the number of samples, and conducts an official experiment by making out a reliability test procedure sheet based on test time as well.