• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.214-226
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• 2007

강수는 다양한 대기 변수들의 영향으로 나타나기 때문에 비선형성이 매우 강하다. 따라서 역학 모형을 통해 예측된 강수의 보정은 비선형 모형인 인공 신경망 등을 통해 가능할 것이지만, 인공 신경망의 경우 초기 가중치 선택, 지역 최소화 문제, 뉴런의 수 결정 등의 문제로 인한 한계가 있다. 그러므로 본 연구에서는 가장 보편적으로 사용되는 다중 선형 회귀 모형을 이용하여 CGCM에 의해 모사된 강수를 보정하였으며, 예측성을 살펴보았다. 이를 위하여 우선 PNU/CME 접합 대순환 모형(Coupled General Circulation model, CGCM)(박혜선과 안중배, 2004)을 이용하여 1979년부터 2005년까지 매해 4월부터 8월까지 5개월간 앙상블 적분을 하였다. 적분 결과 중 한반도를 포함한 동북아시아 지역$(110^{\circ}E-145^{\circ}E,\;25^{\circ}N-55^{\circ}N)$의 여름철인 6월(리드 2), 7월(리드 3), 8월(리드 4) 및 여름철 평균인 JJA(from June to August) 기간의 PNU/CME CGCM에 의해 모사된 강수를 보정하기 위해 다중 선형 회귀(Multiple Linear Regression, MLR)를 이용하였다. PNU/CME 접합 대순환 모형의 결과 중 강수, 500 hPa 연직 속도, 200 hPa 발산장, 지상 기온 등의 예측 인자와 관측 강수와의 선형적인 관계를 이용하여 MLR 모형을 구축하였다. 그리고 교차 검증(cross- validation)을 수행하여 PNU/CME 접합 대순환 모형의 결과와 교차 검증 결과를 비교하였다. 상관계수, 적중률 (hit rate), 오보율(false alarm rate) 그리고 Heidke 기술 점수(Heidke skill score) 등을 살펴본 바, 보정하지 않은 모형의 결과에 비해 MLR 모형을 이용하여 보정한 결과의 강수에 대한 예측성이 뛰어난 것을 알 수 있었다.

• 산업공학
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.373-378
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• 2011

High level of accuracy in forecasting heat demand of each district is required for operating and managing the district heating efficiently. Heat demand has a close connection with the demands of the previous days and the temperature, general demand forecasting methods may be used forecast. However, there are some exceptional situations to apply general methods such as the exceptional low demand in weekends or vacation period. We introduce a new method to forecast the heat demand to overcome these situations, using the linearities between the demand and some other factors. Our method uses the temperature and the past 7 days' demands as the factors which determine the future demand. The model consists of daily and hourly models which are multiple linear regression models. Appling these two models to historical data, we confirmed that our method can forecast the heat demand correctly with reasonable errors.

• Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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• 제24권E2호
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• pp.92-101
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• 2008

The objective of this study is to evaluate and improve the capability of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in simulating fog and visibility in local airports over Korea. The WRF model system is statistically evaluated for the 48-fog cases over Korea from 2003 to 2006. Based on the 4-yr evaluations, attempts are made to improve the simulation skill of fog and visibility over Korea by revising the statistical coefficients in the visibility algorithms of the WRF model. A comparison of four existing visibility algorithms in the WRF model shows that uncertainties in the visibility algorithms include additional degree of freedom in accuracy of numerical fog forecasts over Korea. A revised statistical algorithm using a linear-regression between the observed visibility and simulated hydrometeors and humidity near the surface exhibits overall improvement in the visibility forecasts.

• Management Science and Financial Engineering
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.1-16
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• 2010

In Nigeria, Igbemo-Ekiti is synonymous with a popular local rice which, nevertheless, is characterized with contaminations. Efforts of Government through the Agricultural Development Project (ADP) to improve rice quality in the state, have failed to yield the desired results. This study, therefore, reports the peculiar factors influencing the processing of rice in Igbemo-a major local producing town in Ekiti State, Nigeria. 72 respondents were interviewed, which was a census of the rice processors in 21 residential quarters of the town. Using the multiple linear regression models for analysis, the study discovered that; (i) status of the processors, (ii) expenditure on processing (iii) training acquired before commencing work, and (iv) storage facilities are crucial factors impacting rice processing activities in the town. The paper canvasses for policy measures based on research findings.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제59권8호
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• pp.1497-1505
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• 2010

The present study was performed to investigate the effect of aging on muscular activity of older subjects under the condition of fixed load muscle contraction. SEMG signals were recorded from old (46 women) and young (45 women) groups performing sustained isometric elbow flexion contraction with a fixed load during 30 seconds. Linear regression and mean square error (MSE) analysis with four characteristic variables (ARV, RMS, MDF, MNF) were used to compare the age-related difference (of local muscle fatigue and fluctuation of the amplitude and frequency) in the SEMG signal. The main results can be summarized as follows: During sustained muscle contraction with a fixed load: i) the MSE values of amplitude (ARV, RMS) and frequency (MDF, MNF) variables were more than 30% higher for the young than for the old adults; ii) the measures of local muscle fatigue (slope of the MDF and MNF) indicated greater fatigue in the old; and iii) the rate of increase of the SEMG amplitude was higher for the young than the old.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.51-59
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• 2010

일반화선형모형에서 회귀함수가 하나의 불연속점을 가질 때, Huh (2009)는 하나의 모수를 가지는 지수족의 가능도함수를 한쪽방향커널을 이용하여 그 불연속점의 위치와 점프크기를 추정하였다. 이 논문에서는 미지의 불연속점 수 q개를 가지는 회귀함수인 경우에, Huh (2009)가 제안한 점프크기 추정량의 점근분포를 이용한 가설검정법을 소개하고, 그 가설검정법을 이용한 불연속점 수를 추정하는 알고리듬을 제안하고, 모의실험을 통하여 추정의 정도를 알아보고자 한다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권10호
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• pp.795-802
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• 2020

This study seeks to determine the effect of the application of accounting information system (AIS), internal control system, and human resource (HR) competency on the quality of local government financial statements (FS). This study uses agency theory and compliance theory. Agency theory is used to explain that there is a link between the society as the principal and the government as the agent. Compliance theory is a theory, which states that every agency is obliged to comply with regulations because the law-drafting authority has the right to dictate behavior. The population in this study were employees of the financial division of local government organizations in one of the districts in Central Java, Indonesia. The total samples in this study was 106 respondents. The data used are primary data taken from distributing questionnaires to respondents. The method of analysis used to test the hypothesis was multiple linear regression analysis. The results of hypothesis testing indicate that HR competency has an effect on the quality of FS; however, the application of AIS and internal control system has no effect on the quality of FS. The implication of this research underlines the importance of HR competency to improve the quality of local government FS.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.331-343
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• 2002

This paper proposes a fuzzy rule-based model as a means to build usability models between emotional satisfaction and design variables of consumer products. Based on a subtractive clustering algorithm, this model obtains partially overlapping rules from existing data and builds multiple local models each of which has a form of a linear regression equation. The best subset procedure and cross validation technique are used to select appropriate input variables. The proposed technique was applied to the modeling of luxuriousness, balance, and attractiveness of office chairs. For comparison, regression models were built on the same data in two different ways; one using only potentially important variables selected by the design experts, and the other using all the design variables available. The results showed that the fuzzy rule-based model had a great benefit in terms of the number of variables included in the model. They also turned out to be adequate for predicting the usability of a new product. Better yet, the information on the product classes and their satisfaction levels can be obtained by interpreting the rules. The models, when combined with the information from the regression models, are expected to help the designers gain valuable insights in designing a new product.

• 보건교육건강증진학회지
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.77-95
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• 2005

Objectives: This study measured the extent of local legislators' support for tobacco control policies and identified the predictors of that. Methods: Local legislators, from 21 Gu in Seoul Metropolitan City, underwent a self-administrated questionaire during the 6-week period from December 1, 2004 to January 15, 2005. Multiple linear regression model was used to assess relationships between five groups of variables(political factors including political ideology, personal characteristics, tobacco experiences, tobacco knowledge, contact with local health officers) and support for tobacco control policies based on an 11-item scale. Results: The rates of support for 'penalizing merchants who sell cigarettes to minors' and 'instituting a law mandating that parents should not smoke in a car when children are present' were highest as 87.5% and 82.0% respectively, and those for 'increasing price of cigarettes' and 'regulating stores that sell cigarettes' were lowest as 52.2% and 51.7% respectively. Support was higher among local legislators who thought government had a duty to promote healthy life styles, knew second-hand smoke could cause lung cancer, knew tobacco caused more deaths than alcohol. Support among ex-smokers and nonsmokers was higher than current smokers. Conclusions: The findings indicate that local legislators who oppose tobacco control measures may not be opposed to tobacco control per se, but are more generally opposed to a government role in health promotion, Thus, Tobacco control advocates need to be more attentive to the way tobacco control issues are framed for particular legislators. Further, they could work to increase tobacco knowledge among local legislators.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.1-15
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• 2012

An empirical predictive relationship correlating bracketed duration to earthquake magnitude, site-to-source distance, and local site conditions (i.e. rock vs. stiff soil) for stable continental regions of North America is presented herein. The correlation was developed from data from 620 horizontal motions for central and eastern North America (CENA), consisting of 28 recorded motions and 592 scaled motions. The bracketed duration data was comprised of nonzero and zero durations. The non-linear mixed-effects regression technique was used to fit a predictive model to the nonzero duration data. To account for the zero duration data, logistic regression was conducted to model the probability of zero duration occurrences. Then, the probability models were applied as weighting functions to the NLME regression results. Comparing the bracketed durations for CENA motions with those from active shallow crustal regions (e.g. western North America: WNA), the motions in CENA have longer bracketed durations than those in the WNA. Especially for larger magnitudes at far distances, the bracketed durations in CENA tend to be significantly longer than those in WNA.