• 제목/요약/키워드: a Local linear regression

검색결과 156건 처리시간 0.024초

청주지역의 기상요소와 일사량과의 상관관계 분석 (Analysis of Relationship Between Meteorological Parameters and Solar Radiation at Cheongju)

  • 백신철;신형섭;박종화
    • 한국관개배수논문집
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2012
  • Information of local solar radiation is essential for many field, including water resources management, crop yield estimation, crop growth model, solar energy systems and irrigation and drainage design. Unfortunately, solar radiation measurements are not easily available due to the cost and maintenance and calibration requirements of the measuring equipment and station. Therefore, it is important to elaborate methods to estimate the solar radiation based on readily available meteorological data. In this study, two empirical equations are employed to estimate daily solar radiation using Cheongju Regional Meteorological Office data. Two scenarios are considered: (a) sunshine duration data are available for a given location, or (b) only daily cloudiness index records exist. Simple linear regression with daily sunshine duration and cloudiness index as the dependent variable accounted for 91% and 80%, respectively of the variation of solar radiation(H) at 2011. Daily global solar radiation is highly correlated with sunshine duration. In order to indicate the performance of the models, the statistical test methods of the mean bias error(MBE), root mean square error(RMSE) and correlation coefficient(r) are used. Sunshine duration and cloudiness index can be easily and reliably measured and data are widely available.

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성인병의 공간적 의존성과 이질성 : 미국의 비만, 당뇨, 고혈압을 사례로 (Spatial Dependency and Heterogeneity of Adult Diseases : In the Cases of Obesity, Diabetes and High Blood Pressure in the U.S.A.)

  • 양병윤;황철수
    • 한국지역지리학회지
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.610-622
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    • 2010
  • 미국에서 과체중과 비만은 최근까지 지속적으로 증가하고 있다. 그러나 과체중과 비만을 일으키는 요인에 대한 연구에 비해 이들 현상이 갖는 공간적 분포, 즉 공간의존성과 이질성에 대한 연구는 미미한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구는 과체중과 비만, 그리고 위험요인(고혈압과 당뇨병) 사이의 공간적 분포를 분석하였다. Moran''s I와 Geary''s C 분석 결과, 비만은 공간적으로 무작위 분포를 갖고 있지만, 저체중 정상 과체중은 공간적 유사성을 지니고 있음을 확인할 수 있었다. 또한 일반최소자승법에 의한 선형 회귀분석과 잔차도분석을 통해 고혈압과 당뇨는 비만과 공간적 의존성을 갖는 것으로 파악할 수 있었다.

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Forecasting of the COVID-19 pandemic situation of Korea

  • Goo, Taewan;Apio, Catherine;Heo, Gyujin;Lee, Doeun;Lee, Jong Hyeok;Lim, Jisun;Han, Kyulhee;Park, Taesung
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.11.1-11.8
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    • 2021
  • For the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), predictive modeling, in the literature, uses broadly susceptible exposed infected recoverd (SEIR)/SIR, agent-based, curve-fitting models. Governments and legislative bodies rely on insights from prediction models to suggest new policies and to assess the effectiveness of enforced policies. Therefore, access to accurate outbreak prediction models is essential to obtain insights into the likely spread and consequences of infectious diseases. The objective of this study is to predict the future COVID-19 situation of Korea. Here, we employed 5 models for this analysis; SEIR, local linear regression (LLR), negative binomial (NB) regression, segment Poisson, deep-learning based long short-term memory models (LSTM) and tree based gradient boosting machine (GBM). After prediction, model performance comparison was evelauated using relative mean squared errors (RMSE) for two sets of train (January 20, 2020-December 31, 2020 and January 20, 2020-January 31, 2021) and testing data (January 1, 2021-February 28, 2021 and February 1, 2021-February 28, 2021) . Except for segmented Poisson model, the other models predicted a decline in the daily confirmed cases in the country for the coming future. RMSE values' comparison showed that LLR, GBM, SEIR, NB, and LSTM respectively, performed well in the forecasting of the pandemic situation of the country. A good understanding of the epidemic dynamics would greatly enhance the control and prevention of COVID-19 and other infectious diseases. Therefore, with increasing daily confirmed cases since this year, these results could help in the pandemic response by informing decisions about planning, resource allocation, and decision concerning social distancing policies.

Development of Site Classification System and Modification of Design Response Spectra Considering Geotechnical Characteristics in Korea

  • 김동수;윤종구
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.65-77
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    • 2007
  • Site response analyses were performed based on equivalent linear technique using shear wave velocity profiles of 162 sites collected around the Korean peninsula. The site characteristics, particularly the shear wave velocities and the depth to the bedrock, are compared to those in the western United States. The results show that the site-response coefficients based on the mean shear velocity of the top 30m ($V_{S30}$) suggested in the current code underestimates the motion in short-period ranges and overestimates the motion in mid-period ranges. The current Korean code based on UBC is required to be modified considering site characteristics in Korea for the reliable estimation of site amplification. From the results of numerical estimations, new regression curves were derived between site coefficients ($F_{a}\;and\;F_{v}$) and the fundamental site periods, and site coefficients were grouped based on site periods with reasonable standard deviations compared to site classification based on $V_{S30}$. Finally, new site classification system and modification of design response spectra are recommended considering geotechnical characteristics in Korea.

국내 지반조건이 고려된 지진 방재기술 확립 방안;지반분류 방법 개선 방안을 중심으로 (Development of Earthquake Prevention Technique Considering Geotechnical Site Characteristics of Korea)

  • 김동수;윤종구;김경택;조성하
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2005년도 지반공학 공동 학술발표회
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    • pp.154-162
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, site response analyses were performed based on equivalent linear technique using the shear wave velocity profiles of 162 sites collected around the Korean peninsula. The site characteristics, particularly the shear wave velocities and the depth to the bedrock, are compared to those in the western United States. The results show that the site-response coefficients based on the mean shear velocity of the top 30m ($V_{S30}$) suggested in the current code underestimates the motion in short-period ranges and overestimates the motion in mid-period ranges. Also the current Korean code based on UBC is required to be modified considering site characteristics in Korea for the reliable estimation of site amplification. From the results of numerical estimations, new regression curves were derived between site coefficients ($F_a$ and $F_v$) and the fundamental site periods, and site coefficients were grouped based on site periods in the regions of shallow bedrock. The standard deviations of the proposed method was reasonable compared to site classification based on $V_{S30}$. Finally, new site classification system is recommended based on site periods for regions of shallow bedrock depth in Korea.

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만성요통으로 신경차단술을 받은 농촌 노인들의 사회적 지지와 일상생활 활동장애에 관한 연구 (Impediment in Activity of Daily Living and Social Support for Rural Elderly Farmers Undergoing Nerve Block due to Low Back Pain)

  • 최인영;황문숙
    • 지역사회간호학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.206-216
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: This study is to investigate the low back pain, social support, impediment in daily living activities and to identify factors affecting impediment in elderly farmer' daily living activities. Methods: The participants were 128 elderly farmers who had received nerve block. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire from February to March, 2018. They were analyzed using t-test, ANOVA, pearson's correlation coefficient, and linear multiple regression. Results: The score of low back pain was $6.27{\pm}1.69$ (10 points), that of social support $2.92{\pm}0.76$ (1~5 points), and that of impediment in activity of daily living $2.01{\pm}0.82$ (0~5 points). Factors affecting impediment in activity of daily living were found to include age (p=.017), daily hours of farm work (p<.001), fear for the nerve block (p<.001), low back pain (p<.001), and social support (p<.001); the explanatory power of these variables was 58.8%. Conclusion: This study has found the controllable factors affecting impediment in activity of daily living among the rural elderly engaging in farm work include low back pain, social support, and daily farming hours. Therefore, to reduce impediment in activity of daily living among them, it is necessary to develop nursing interventions that can improve impediment in activity of daily living through reduction of daily farming hours using local resources. It is also desirable to improve their health status by reducing low back pain, and develop and apply social supports with health education programs that fit the local resources and the needs of the rural elderly.

Indigenous chicken production in Fiji Islands: knowledge, constraints and opportunities

  • Zindove, Titus Jairus;Bakare, Archibold Garikayi;Iji, Paul Ade
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제35권5호
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    • pp.778-788
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    • 2022
  • Objective: The objective of the study was to understand and document socio-economic characteristics, production parameters, challenges and management practices used by Fijian households which keep indigenous chickens. Methods: A survey involving 200 households was carried out in coastal and inland communities of Fiji's wet and semi-dry ecoregions. Data on the influence of ecoregion and location of households relative to the sea on management practices, challenges and productivity of indigenous chickens were analyzed using logistic regression and general linear model of SAS software. Results: Irrespective of location relative to the sea and ecoregion, households indicated that they kept indigenous chickens for food and income generation. The Welsummer was the most (p>0.05) preferred breed. Households in the semi-dry inland communities had the largest (p<0.05) flocks compared to those in semi-dry coastal communities and the wet region. Chickens in the semi-dry region performed better (p<0.05) than those in the wet region in terms of number of clutches per year and mature live weight. Predators and feed shortages were the biggest challenges faced by households in all areas. The mongoose was ranked as the most (p>0.05) common predator followed by domestic dogs. Most households in the wet ecoregion's coastal communities housed their chickens at night, whereas communities in semi-dry ecoregion housed their chickens most of the time (p<0.05). In all regions, no households sold their chickens to commercial markets (p>0.05). Households in semi-dry ecoregion were more likely (p>0.05) to sell their chickens at the local market place. Conclusion: The productivity of local chickens in Fiji is low because of feed shortage, predators such as the mongoose and lack of market linkages.

PM10 농도변화에 따른 미세먼지 테마주 주가변동 빅데이터 분석 (Bigdata Analysis of Fine Dust Theme Stock Price Volatility According to PM10 Concentration Change)

  • 김무정;임규건
    • 서비스연구
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.55-67
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    • 2020
  • 미세먼지 문제는 최근 우리나라 국민의 최대 관심사로 부상되었고 정부 및 지방자치단체에서도 상당한 노력을 기울이고 있다. 그간 미세먼지와 관련하여 다수의 학술적 연구가 진행되어왔지만 경제 분야의 연구는 상대적으로 미흡하였다. 본 연구에서는 미세먼지가 개별 주식에 어떠한 영향을 끼치는지에 대하여 빅데이터 분석을 통해 알아보고자 한다. 2013년부터 2017년까지 총 5개년을 대상으로 PM10농도 미세먼지 데이터와 미세먼지 테마주 데이터와의 관계를 분석하였다. 연구방법으로는 일반화최소제곱법을 사용한 선형회귀모형을 사용하여 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 연구 결과 미세먼지 농도가 전일에 비해서 증가했을 때 미세먼지 테마주의 주가가 상승하는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고, 2013년부터 2017년까지 주가변동 분석결과 회귀계수 값이 큰 기업은 매년 달라졌다. 5개년 동안 제일 큰 반응을 보인 기업은 오공, 웰크론, 동성제약, 삼일제약, 모나리자 순이었다. 그 중 연도별로 반복적으로 등장하는 기업으로는 모나리자가 2014년, 2015년, 2017년에, 삼일제약은 2015년, 2016년, 2017년에, 웰크론은 2016년, 2017년에 반복적으로 회귀계수가 크게 나타났으며 해당 기업은 미세먼지 농도에 주가가 민감하게 반응하는 기업이라고 사료된다. 향후 PM2.5 측정 데이터가 충분히 쌓이게 된다면 PM2.5의 농도를 독립변수로 한 연구와 비교·분석하는 것도 의미가 있을 것이다. 본 연구에서는 미세먼지 농도만을 독립변수로 하였는데 설명력을 높일 수 있는 변수를 추가한다면 좀 더 의미있는 연구결과를 기대할 수 있을 것이다.

개선된 네이버 임베딩에 의한 초해상도 기법 (Super Resolution Technique Through Improved Neighbor Embedding)

  • 엄경배
    • 디지털콘텐츠학회 논문지
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.737-743
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    • 2014
  • 단일 영상 초해상도 기법에는 보간 기반 방법과 표본 기반 방법 등이 있다. 보간 기반 방법들은 간결성에 강점을 가지고 있으나, 이들 방법들은 선지식을 이용할 수 없기 때문에 톱니 모양의 윤곽선을 가진 고해상도 영상을 생성하는 경향이 있다. 표본 기반 초해상도 기법에서는 최근방 기반 알고리즘들이 널리 이용되어 지고 있다. 그들 중, 네이버 임베딩은 지역적 선형 임베딩이라는 매니폴드 학습 방법의 개념과 같다. 그러나, 네이버 임베딩은 국부 학습 데이터 집합의 크기가 너무 작은데에 따른 빈약한 일반화 능력으로 인하여, 시각적으로나 정량적인 척도에 의해 취약한 성능을 보인다. 본 논문에서는 이와 같은 문제점을 해결하기 위해 개선된 네이버 임베딩 알고리즘을 제안하였다. 저해상도 입력 영상이 주어지면 고해상도 버전의 화소 값들은 개선된 네이버 임베딩 알고리즘에 의해 구해진다. 실험 결과 제안된 방법이 바이큐빅 보간법이나 네이버 임베딩에 비해 정량적인 척도 및 시각적으로도 우수한 결과를 보였다.

Sparse-Neighbor 영상 표현 학습에 의한 초해상도 (Super Resolution by Learning Sparse-Neighbor Image Representation)

  • 엄경배;최영희;이종찬
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제18권12호
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    • pp.2946-2952
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    • 2014
  • 표본 기반 초해상도(Super Resolution 이하 SR) 방법들 중 네이버 임베딩(Neighbor Embedding 이하 NE) 기법의 기본 원리는 지역적 선형 임베딩이라는 매니폴드 학습방법의 개념과 같다. 그러나, 네이버 임베딩은 국부 학습 데이터 집합의 크기가 너무 작기 때문에 이에 따른 빈약한 일반화 능력으로 인하여 알고리즘의 성능을 크게 저하시킨다. 본 논문에서는 이와 같은 문제점을 해결하기 위해서 일반화 능력이 뛰어난 Support Vector Regression(이하 SVR)을 이용한 Sparse-Neighbor 영상 표현 학습 방법에 기반한 새로운 알고리즘을 제안하였다. 저해상도 입력 영상이 주어지면 bicubic 보간법을 이용하여 확대된 영상을 얻고, 이 확대된 영상으로부터 패치를 얻은 후 저주파 패치인지 고주파 패치 인지를 판별한 후 각 영상 패치의 가중치를 얻은 후 두 개의 SVR을 훈련하였으며 훈련된 SVR을 이용하여 고해상도의 해당 화소 값을 예측하였다. 실험을 통하여 제안된 기법이 기존의 보간법 및 네이버 임베딩 기법 등에 비해 정량적인 척도 및 시각적으로 향상된 결과를 보여 주었다.