• Title/Summary/Keyword: Work load prediction

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Dynamic performance prediction of a Supercritical oil firing boiler - Load Runback simulation in a 650MWe thermal power plant (초임계 오일 연소 보일러의 동특성 예측 연구 - 650MWe급 화력발전소의 Load Runback 모사)

  • Yang, Jongin;Kim, Jungrae
    • 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2014.11a
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    • pp.19-20
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    • 2014
  • Boiler design should be desinged to maximize thermal efficiency of the system under imposed load requirement and a boiler should be validated for transient operation. If a proper prediction is possible on the transient behavior and transient characteristics of a boiler, one may asses the performance of boiler component, control logics and operation procedures. In this work, dynamic modeling method of boiler is presented and dynamic simulation of load runback scenario was carried out on suprecritical oil-firing boiler.

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Development of Program for prediction of Mid-long term Load density in region and district respectively. (지역별,관리구별 중장기 부하밀도 예측 프로그램의 개발)

  • Choi, Sang-Bong;Kim, Dae-Kyeong;Jeong, Seong-Hwan;Bae, Jeong-Hyo;Ha, Tae-Hyun;Lee, Hyun-Goo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.307-309
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents development of program for mid-tong term load forecasting in region and district respectively. In this program, at first, the region is classified by KEPCO branch which can be analyzed in light of curl·elation between load characteristics and economic indicator and then, prediction for load density in each region was performed by scenario of economic, population and city plan. Secondly, prediction for load density in each district is performed by methodology which is based on land use method. Finally efficiency for prediction work in each KEPCO branch could be identified by applying the developed program to the Seoul city in real.

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Improvement to Crack Retardation Models Using ″Interactive Zone Concept″

  • Lee, Ouk-Sub;Chen, Zhi-Wei
    • International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.72-77
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    • 2002
  • The load interaction effect can be best illustrated by the phenomenon of overload retardation. Some prediction methods for retardation are reviewed and the problems discussed in the present paper. The so-called under-load effect much of the retardation disappears if a very low level minimum stress follows the overload, is also of importance for a prediction model to work properly under random load spectrum. The concept of Interactive Zone (IZ) fully considering reversed plasticity during unloading was discussed. This IZ concept can be combined with existing models to derive some improved models that can naturally take account of the under-load effect. Some simulations by IZ improved models for test under complex load sequences including multiple overloads and both over/under loads are compared with test results. It is seen that the improvement by IZ concept greatly enhanced the ability of existing models to accommodate complex load interaction effects.

Study on the Prediction of the Work-Energy to the Maximum Load and Impact Bending Energy from the Bending Properties (국산 소경재의 휨 성질을 이용한 충격에너지와 최대하중까지 일-에너지 예측연구)

  • Cha, Jae-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korea Furniture Society
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.350-357
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    • 2008
  • This research investigates the bending properties to predict the work-energy to maximum load and impact bending energy from static bending and impact bending test. Specimens were prepared from lumber made of thinning crop-trees. Matched specimens were used for MC 12% and green moisture specimens to measure the effect of moisture content on the absorbed energy from static and impact bending tests. The bending properties such as MOE, MOR, etc. is a good predictor to investigate the work-energy and work-energy per unit volume from static bending and impact bending test. The impact bending energy is increased with increasing moisture content. However, the work to maximum load from static bending test is increasing with increasing the MC only for higher density species.

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Development of a Prediction Model of Solar Irradiances Using LSTM for Use in Building Predictive Control (건물 예측 제어용 LSTM 기반 일사 예측 모델)

  • Jeon, Byung-Ki;Lee, Kyung-Ho;Kim, Eui-Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of the work is to develop a simple solar irradiance prediction model using a deep learning method, the LSTM (long term short term memory). Other than existing prediction models, the proposed one uses only the cloudiness among the information forecasted from the national meterological forecast center. The future cloudiness is generally announced with four categories and for three-hour intervals. In this work, a daily irradiance pattern is used as an input vector to the LSTM together with that cloudiness information. The proposed model showed an error of 5% for learning and 30% for prediction. This level of error has lower influence on the load prediction in typical building cases.

Repairable k-out-n system work model analysis from time response

  • Fang, Yongfeng;Tao, Webliang;Tee, Kong Fah
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.775-783
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    • 2013
  • A novel reliability-based work model of k/n (G) system has been developed. Unit failure probability is given based on the load and strength distributions and according to the stress-strength interference theory. Then a dynamic reliability prediction model of repairable k/n (G) system is established using probabilistic differential equations. The resulting differential equations are solved and the value of k can be determined precisely. The number of work unit k in repairable k/n (G) system is obtained precisely. The reliability of whole life cycle of repairable k/n (G) system can be predicted and guaranteed in the design period. Finally, it is illustrated that the proposed model is feasible and gives reasonable prediction.

Development of Weather Forecast Models for a Short-term Building Load Prediction (건물의 단기부하 예측을 위한 기상예측 모델 개발)

  • Jeon, Byung-Ki;Lee, Kyung-Ho;Kim, Eui-Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2018
  • In this work, we propose weather prediction models to estimate hourly outdoor temperatures and solar irradiance in the next day using forecasting information. Hourly weather data predicted by the proposed models are useful for setting system operating strategies for the next day. The outside temperature prediction model considers 3-hourly temperatures forecasted by Korea Meteorological Administration. Hourly data are obtained by a simple interpolation scheme. The solar irradiance prediction is achieved by constructing a dataset with the observed cloudiness and correspondent solar irradiance during the last two weeks and then by matching the forecasted cloud factor for the next day with the solar irradiance values in the dataset. To verify the usefulness of the weather prediction models in predicting a short-term building load, the predicted data are inputted to a TRNSYS building model, and results are compared with a reference case. Results show that the test case can meet the acceptance error level defined by the ASHRAE guideline showing 8.8% in CVRMSE in spite of some inaccurate predictions for hourly weather data.

Modeling Cutter Swept Angle at Cornering Cut

  • Chan, K.W.;Choy, H.S.
    • International Journal of CAD/CAM
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    • v.3 no.1_2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2003
  • When milling concave corners, cutter load increases momentarily and fluctuates severely due to concentration and uneven distribution of material stock. This abrupt change of cutter load produces undesirable machining results such as wavy machined surface and cutter breakage. An important factor for studying cutter load in 2.5D pocket milling is the instantaneous Radial Depth of Cut (RDC). However, previous work on RDC under different corner-cutting conditions is lacking. In this different corner shapes. In our work, we express RDC mathematically in terms of the instantaneous cutter engage angle which is defined as Cutter Swept Angle (CSA). An analytical approach for modeling CSA is explained. Finally, examples are shown to demonstrate that the proposed CSA modeling method can give an accurate prediction of cutter load pattern at cornering cut.

Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms for Healthy Management of Collaborative Robots (협동로봇의 건전성 관리를 위한 머신러닝 알고리즘의 비교 분석)

  • Kim, Jae-Eun;Jang, Gil-Sang;Lim, KuK-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose a method for diagnosing overload and working load of collaborative robots through performance analysis of machine learning algorithms. To this end, an experiment was conducted to perform pick & place operation while changing the payload weight of a cooperative robot with a payload capacity of 10 kg. In this experiment, motor torque, position, and speed data generated from the robot controller were collected, and as a result of t-test and f-test, different characteristics were found for each weight based on a payload of 10 kg. In addition, to predict overload and working load from the collected data, machine learning algorithms such as Neural Network, Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting models were used for experiments. As a result of the experiment, the neural network with more than 99.6% of explanatory power showed the best performance in prediction and classification. The practical contribution of the proposed study is that it suggests a method to collect data required for analysis from the robot without attaching additional sensors to the collaborative robot and the usefulness of a machine learning algorithm for diagnosing robot overload and working load.

Short-Term Load Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network Models (인공신경망을 이용한 건물의 단기 부하 예측 모델)

  • Jeon, Byung Ki;Kim, Eui-Jong
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.29 no.10
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    • pp.497-503
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    • 2017
  • In recent years, studies on the prediction of building load using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models have been actively conducted in the field of building energy In general, building loads predicted by ANN models show a sharp deviation unless large data sets are used for learning. On the other hands, some of the input data are hard to be acquired by common measuring devices. In this work, we estimate daily building loads with a limited number of input data and fewer pastdatasets (3 to 10 days). The proposed model with fewer input data gave satisfactory results as regards to the ASHRAE Guide Line showing 21% in CVRMSE and -3.23% in MBE. However, the level of accuracy cannot be enhanced since data used for learning are insufficient and the typical ANN models cannot account for thermal capacity effects of the building. An attempt proposed in this work is that learning procersses are sequenced frequrently and past data are accumulated for performance improvement. As a result, the model met the guidelines provided by ASHRAE, DOE, and IPMVP with by 17%, -1.4% in CVRMSE and MBE, respectively.