• Title/Summary/Keyword: Wind power uncertainty

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The Development of an Intelligent Home Energy Management System Integrated with a Vehicle-to-Home Unit using a Reinforcement Learning Approach

  • Ohoud Almughram;Sami Ben Slama;Bassam Zafar
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.87-106
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    • 2024
  • Vehicle-to-Home (V2H) and Home Centralized Photovoltaic (HCPV) systems can address various energy storage issues and enhance demand response programs. Renewable energy, such as solar energy and wind turbines, address the energy gap. However, no energy management system is currently available to regulate the uncertainty of renewable energy sources, electric vehicles, and appliance consumption within a smart microgrid. Therefore, this study investigated the impact of solar photovoltaic (PV) panels, electric vehicles, and Micro-Grid (MG) storage on maximum solar radiation hours. Several Deep Learning (DL) algorithms were applied to account for the uncertainty. Moreover, a Reinforcement Learning HCPV (RL-HCPV) algorithm was created for efficient real-time energy scheduling decisions. The proposed algorithm managed the energy demand between PV solar energy generation and vehicle energy storage. RL-HCPV was modeled according to several constraints to meet household electricity demands in sunny and cloudy weather. Simulations demonstrated how the proposed RL-HCPV system could efficiently handle the demand response and how V2H can help to smooth the appliance load profile and reduce power consumption costs with sustainable power generation. The results demonstrated the advantages of utilizing RL and V2H as potential storage technology for smart buildings.

INTEGRATED SOCIETAL RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK FOR NUCLEAR POWER AND RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES

  • LEE, SANG HUN;KANG, HYUN GOOK
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.461-471
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the estimation of the social cost of energy sources has been emphasized as various novel energy options become feasible in addition to conventional ones. In particular, the social cost of introducing measures to protect power-distribution systems from power-source instability and the cost of accident-risk response for various power sources must be investigated. To account for these risk factors, an integrated societal risk assessment framework, based on power-uncertainty analysis and accident-consequence analysis, is proposed. In this study, we applied the proposed framework to nuclear power plants, solar photovoltaic systems, and wind-turbine generators. The required capacity of gas-turbine power plants to be used as backup power facilities to compensate for fluctuations in the power output from the main power source was estimated based on the performance indicators of each power source. The average individual health risk per terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity produced by each power source was quantitatively estimated by assessing accident frequency and the consequences of specific accident scenarios based on the probabilistic risk assessment methodology. This study is expected to provide insight into integrated societal risk analysis, and can be used to estimate the social cost of various power sources.

Stochastic Gradient Descent Optimization Model for Demand Response in a Connected Microgrid

  • Sivanantham, Geetha;Gopalakrishnan, Srivatsun
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.97-115
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    • 2022
  • Smart power grid is a user friendly system that transforms the traditional electric grid to the one that operates in a co-operative and reliable manner. Demand Response (DR) is one of the important components of the smart grid. The DR programs enable the end user participation by which they can communicate with the electricity service provider and shape their daily energy consumption patterns and reduce their consumption costs. The increasing demands of electricity owing to growing population stresses the need for optimal usage of electricity and also to look out alternative and cheap renewable sources of electricity. The solar and wind energy are the promising sources of alternative energy at present because of renewable nature and low cost implementation. The proposed work models a smart home with renewable energy units. The random nature of the renewable sources like wind and solar energy brings an uncertainty to the model developed. A stochastic dual descent optimization method is used to bring optimality to the developed model. The proposed work is validated using the simulation results. From the results it is concluded that proposed work brings a balanced usage of the grid power and the renewable energy units. The work also optimizes the daily consumption pattern thereby reducing the consumption cost for the end users of electricity.

Partial Safety Factor of Offshore Wind Turbine Pile Foundation in West-South Mainland Sea (서남해안 해상풍력단지 말뚝기초의 부분안전계수)

  • Yoon, Gil Lim;Kim, Sun Bin;Kwon, O Soon;Yoo, Moo Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.1489-1504
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    • 2014
  • This paper is aimed to suggest a site specific partial safety factor of offshore wind turbine (OWT) pile foundation design for the offshore wind turbine complex at a West-South mainland sea in Korea. International offshore wind design standards such as IEC, GL, DNV, API, ISO and EUROCODE were compared with each partial safety factor and resistance factor. Soil uncertainty analysis using a large number of soil data sampled was carried out, and their results were adapted to estimate partial safety factor of OWT pile foundation through reliability analyses. The representative partial safety factor has been estimated as 1.3. When a proposed partial factor is willing to use to other sites, it is recommended that further studies on code calibration are required to validate their accuracy using more site characterization data.

Estimation of Distribution of the Weak Soil Layer for Using Geostatistics (지구통계학적 기법을 이용한 연약 지반 분포 추정)

  • Jeong, Jin;Jang, Won-Il
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.8
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    • pp.1132-1140
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    • 2011
  • When the offshore wind power plant is planned to construct, it is important for the wind farm site to figure out the distribution of the weak soil layers that might cause subsidence by the impact of the external moment from the wind plant's load and an oscillating wind load. Coring test is the optimistic method to figure out weak soil layers, but this method have some problem such as condition of the in-situ or economical limitation. In order to make up for the weak points in coring test, the researches using the geostatistics methods is actually done. In this study, setting a fixed coastal area that offshore wind plants construct firstly and Estimation of distribution on the thickness of the weak soil layer through the geostatistic method is conducted. The weak soil layer is sorted by result of the Standard penetration test, geostatistic method is used to ordinary kring and sequential gaussian simulation and compared to both method's result. As a results of study, we found that both methods show similar estimations of deep weak soil layer and we could evaluate quantitatively the uncertainty of the result.

Wind Tunnel Test for the Propeller Performance of the High Altitude UAV (고고도 무인기용 프로펠러 성능특성 풍동시험)

  • Cho, Teahwan;Kim, Yangwon;Park, Donghun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.189-196
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    • 2018
  • Propeller performance measurement system for high altitude UAV was designed and applied to the wind tunnel test for 2 propeller models with a diameter around 1 m. Mechanical power of the propeller was directly measured by using the torque sensor installed on the rotating axis. The thrust of whole operation body including the propeller was measured by thrust road cell. The guide rail system was suggested to reduce the weight influence of operation body on the thrust road cell. The influence of each measured variables on the aerodynamic coefficients was studied with the repeatability and uncertainty analysis. This analysis result shows that the accuracies of the road cell and the wind velocity were major factors for the thrust coefficient. Propeller performance with typical RPM was measured with various wind speeds and the test results was summarized by performance coefficients for 5 different RPM.

Uncertainty Analysis of Improved Speed Performance of a Ship with an Air-Lubrication System in a Sea Trial (공기윤활시스템 적용 선박의 시운전 속도성능에 대한 불확실성 해석)

  • Seo, Dae-Won;Oh, Jungkeun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.453-459
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    • 2020
  • A sea trial of the speed performance test is the one of the most important means of verifying a ship's performance, and the International Organization for Standardization established a standard for this test in 2015. Environmental disturbances such as wind and waves are always present under real sea conditions, however, so it is impossible to accurately estimate delivered horsepower under ideal conditions. These disruptive influences also make it difficult to evaluate the positive effect of recently developed energy-saving devices. In this study, uncertainty analysis of improved speed performance was carried out using Monte Carlo simulation to confirm the energy-saving efficiency of a ship equipped with an air-lubrication system. The findings showed the average power saving to be 3.2%, with the expanded uncertainty of ± 2.7% at a 95% confidence level (k=2).

Review of Real Options Analysis for Renewable Energy Projects (실물옵션 기법을 활용한 신재생에너지사업 경제성분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyeongseok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2017
  • Due to climate change, countries around the world are actively investing in renewable energy, reducing fossil fuel use. 23.7% of world electricity is supplied by renewable energy. As the technology continues to develop, it is in a level to compete in terms of power generation cost, and investment conditions are improving. However, investment in renewable energy projects is not easy. This study analyzed trends of domestic and international researches on economics assessment applying real options analysis to investment decisions of hydro, solar, and wind power projects, which account for a large portion of renewable energy. This study provides (1) the difference between the traditional economic method and the real options analysis, (2) the application process, and (3) the uncertainty elements and option type of the renewable energy project presented by many studies. The real options analysis is suitable for the detailed investment strategy by considering the uncertainties of the renewable energy project and applying the option to improve the profit or to avoid the risk.

Demand Shifting or Ancillary Service?: Optimal Allocation of Storage Resource to Maximize the Efficiency of Power Supply (Demand Shifting or Ancillary Service?: 효율적 재생발전 수용을 위한 에너지저장장치 최적 자원 분배 연구)

  • Wooyoung Jeon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.113-133
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    • 2024
  • Variable renewable energy (VRE) such as solar and wind power is the main sources of achieving carbon net zero, but it undermines the stability of power supply due to high variability and uncertainty. Energy storage system (ESS) can not only reduce the curtailment of VRE by load shifting but also contribute to stable power system operation by providing ancillary services. This study analyzes how the allocation of ESS resources between load shifting and ancillary service can contribute to maximizing the efficiency of power supply in a situation where the problems caused by VRE are becoming more and more serious. A stochastic power system optimization model that can realistically simulate the variability and uncertainty of VRE was applied. The analysis time point was set to 2023 and 2036, and the optimal resource allocation strategy and benefits of ESS by varying VRE penetration levels were analyzed. The analysis results can be largely summarized into the following three. First, ESS provides excellent functions for both load shifting and ancillary service, and it was confirmed that the higher the reserve price, the more limited the load shifting and focused on providing reserve. Second, the curtailment of VRE can be a effective substitute for the required reserve, and the higher the reserve price level, the higher the curtailment of VRE and the lower the required amount of reserve. Third, if a reasonable reserve offer price reflecting the opportunity cost is applied, ESS can secure economic feasibility in the near future, and the higher the proportion of VRE, the greater the economic feasibility of ESS. This study suggests that cost-effective low-carbon transition in the power system is possible when the price signal is correctly designed so that power supply resources can be efficiently utilized.

Analysis of Hebei Spirit Collision Accident by Simulation (시뮬레이션에 의한 허베이스피리트호-삼성바지선 충돌사고 분석)

  • Kim, Sun-Young;Lee, Gyeong-Joong;Park, Se-Kil;Kim, Yeon-Gyu;Lee, Moon-Jin;Son, Nam-Sun;Gong, In-Young;Kim, Mi-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2011.06a
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    • pp.85-86
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    • 2011
  • On 7 December 2007, the Hebei Spirit, a 260,000 dwt VLCC, anchored near Korea's Daesan Port, was collided with a passing crane-carrying barge Samsung1, which was under tow of two tugs Samsung T5 and Samho T3. In this study, the behaviour of Hebei Spirit at the time of the accident has been reproduced and analyzed by simulation. This study precedes the study for the investigation of any available countermeasures for Hebei Spirit to prevent the accident. The simulation has been done only for Hebei Spiri and the motion of Samsung barge is just given with recorded AIS data. Dynamic characteristics of Hebei Spirit have been modeled based on empirical data and her sea trial data. Effects of current, wave and wind are also estimateed using empirical formula. Considering uncertainty of environmental condition and control of Hebei Spirit, simulation has been done by varying engine control method and holding power coefficients of the anchor. Finally, based on simulations, the most plausible scenario on the state of anchor and engine control could cause real accidents.

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