• 제목/요약/키워드: Wind data

검색결과 3,301건 처리시간 0.027초

Error Analysis of Measure-Correlate-Predict Methods for Long-Term Correction of Wind Data

  • ;김현구;서현수
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.278-281
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    • 2008
  • In these days the installation of wind turbines or wind parks includes a high financial risk. So for the planning and the constructing of wind farms, long-term data of wind speed and wind direction is required. However, in most cases only few data are available at the designated places. Traditional Measure-Correlate-Predict (MCP) can extend this data by using data of nearby meteorological stations. But also Neural Networks can create such long-term predictions. The key issue of this paper is to demonstrate the possibility and the quality of predictions using Neural Networks. Thereto this paper compares the results of different MCP Models and Neural Networks for creating long-term data with various indexes.

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은닉 마르코프 모델을 이용하여 계절의 변동을 동반한 인공 바람자료 생성 및 검증 (Generation and Verification of Synthetic Wind Data With Seasonal Fluctuation Using Hidden Markov Model)

  • 박석영;유기완
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제49권12호
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    • pp.963-969
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    • 2021
  • 풍력발전단지 위치 선정에 있어 풍속 분포 및 발전량을 평가하기 위해 해당 지역의 기상 타워에서 계측된 바람 자료를 이용한다. 그러나 기상 타워에서 계측된 바람 자료는 종종 정보가 누락되거나 원하는 높이에 맞지 않거나, 혹은 데이터 길이가 충분하지 않아 풍력터빈 제어 및 성능 시뮬레이션 수행에 어려움을 겪게 된다. 따라서 풍력터빈 혹은 발전단지에 대한 연간 발전량 및 이용률을 평가하는데 원하는 높이에서 장기간의 연속적인 바람 자료는 매우 중요하다. 또한, 한반도와 같이 계절에 따른 풍향과 풍속 변동이 뚜렷한 경우에는 계절별 특징이 고려된 풍속과 풍향을 동반한 바람 자료를 고려해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 통계적 방법인 은닉 마르코프 모델을 이용하여 풍속과 풍향의 변동을 고려한 인공 바람을 생성하기 위한 방법을 제시한다. 통계처리를 위한 바람 자료는 전라북도 고군산군도에 있는 말도의 기상청 방재기상관측(AWS) 장비에서 계측된 자료를 사용한다. 은닉 마르코프 모델에 의해 생성된 인공 바람은 통계 변수, 풍력에너지밀도, 계절별 평균 풍속, 주 풍향 등을 계측 자료와 비교를 통해 검증하기로 한다.

Wind Vector Retrieval from SIR-C SAR Data off the East Coast of Korea

  • Kim, Tai-Sung;Park, Kyung-Ae;Moon, Woo-Il
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.475-487
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    • 2010
  • Sea surface wind field was retrieved from high-resolution SIR-C SAR data by using CMOD algorithms off the east coast of Korea. In order to extract wind direction information from SAR data, a two-dimensional spectral analysis method was applied to the normalized radar cross section of the image. An $180^{\circ}$-ambiguity problem in the determination of wind direction was solved by selecting a direction nearest to the wind vector of the ECMWF reanalysis data. Comparison of the wind retrieval patterns with the ECMWF and NCEP/NCAR dataset showed RMS errors in the range of 1.30 to $1.72\;ms^{-1}$. In contrast, comparison of wind directions revealed large errors of greater than $60^{\circ}$, which is enormously higher than the permitted limit of about $20^{\circ}$ for satellite scatterometer winds. Compared with wind speed results from different algorithms, wind vectors based on commonly-used CMOD4 algorithm showed good agreement with those derived by other algorithms such as CMOD_IFR2 and CMOD5, particularly at medium winds from 4 to $8\;ms^{-1}$. However, apparent discrepancy appeared at low winds (< $4\;ms^{-1}$). This study also addressed an importance of accurate wind direction data to improve the accuracy of wind speed retrieval and discussed potential causes of wind retrieval errors from SAR data.

WindPRO의 예측성능 평가 (Evaluation of the Performance on WindPRO Prediction)

  • 오현석;고경남;허종철
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국태양에너지학회 2008년도 추계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.300-305
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    • 2008
  • Using WindPRO that was software for windfarm design developed by EMD from Denmark, wind resources for the western Jeju island were analyzed, and the performance of WindPRO prediction was evaluated in detail. The Hansu site and the Yongdang site that were located in coastal region were selected, and wind data for one year at the two sites were analyzed using WindPRO. As a result, the relative error of the Prediction for annual energy Production and capacity factor was about ${\pm}20%$. For evaluating wind energy more accurately, it is necessary to obtain lots of wind data and real electric power production data from real windfarm.

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풍속자료(風速資料) 분석(分析)에 의한 국내(國內) 풍력가용양(風力可用量) 산정(算定) (Assessment of Domestic Wind Potential by Analyzing Wind Data)

  • 이철형;신동열;조명제
    • 태양에너지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 1985
  • This paper is concerned with the characterized method of wind speed distribution for calculation of wind power density of regional group and wind potential in Korea. It is shown that the Rayleigh distribution, K = 2, is not suitable for analyzing wind data in Korea. Simple relationship, K = 0.21 V + 0.84, is derived from Weibull wind distribution by analyzing wind data obtained from 24 meteorological station and is a suitable tool for estimation of wind power density. Application of this result, the domestic ideal and actual wind potential are estimated as $3.16{\times}10^9$ KWH/year and $7.14{\times}$10^8 KWH/year respectively for the case of 10 meter height, $1m^2$ swept area and $0.1{\times}0.1Km^2$ land area. And for the case of 50 meter height, ideal and actual wind potential are increased as $7.56{\times}10^9$ KWH/year and $2.37{\times}10^9$ KWH/year respectively.

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표준기상데이터 작성 시 누락된 풍속 데이터의 보간 방법 제안 (A Proposal of an Interpolation Method of Missing Wind Velocity Data in Writing a Typical Weather Data)

  • 박소우;김주욱;송두삼
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.79-91
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    • 2017
  • The meteorological data of 1 hour interval are required to write a typical weather data for building energy simulation. However, many meterological data are missing and the interpolation method to recover the missing data is required. Especially, lots of meterological data are replicated by linear interpolation method because the changes are not significant. While, the wind velocity fluctuates with the time or locations, so linear interpolation method is not appropriate in interpolation of the wind velocity data. In this study, three interpolation methods, using surrounding wind velocity data, Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), Revised Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW-r), were analyzed considering the characteristics of wind velocity. The Revised Inverse Distance Weighting method, proposed in this study, showed the highest reliability in restoration of the wind velocity data among the analyzed methods.

기상데이터와 웨이블 파라메타를 이용한 풍력에너지밀도분포 비교 (Comparison of Wind Energy Density Distribution Using Meteorological Data and the Weibull Parameters)

  • 황지욱;유기표;김한영
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.54-64
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    • 2010
  • Interest in new and renewable energies like solar energy and wind energy is increasing throughout the world due to the rapidly expanding energy consumption and environmental reasons. An essential requirement for wind force power generation is estimating the size of wind energy accurately. Wind energy is estimated usually using meteorological data or field measurement. This study attempted to estimate wind energy density using meteorological data on daily mean wind speed and the Weibull parameters in Seoul, a representative inland city where over 60% of 15 story or higher apartments in Korea are situated, and Busan, Incheon, Ulsan and Jeju that are major coastal cities in Korea. According to the results of analysis, the monthly mean probability density distribution based on the daily mean wind speed agreed well with the monthly mean probability density distribution based on the Weibull parameters. This finding suggests that the Weibull parameters, which is highly applicable and convenient, can be utilized to estimate the wind energy density distribution of each area. Another finding was that wind energy density was higher in coastal cities Busan and Incheon than in inland city Seoul.

Estimation of Polarization Ratio for Sea Surface Wind Retrieval from SIR-C SAR Data

  • Kim, Tae-Sung;Park, Kyung-Ae
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.729-741
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    • 2011
  • Wind speeds have long been estimated from C-band VV-polarized SAR data by using the CMOD algorithms such as CMOD4, CMOD5, and CMOD_IFR2. Some SAR data with HH-polarization without any observations in VV-polarization mode should be converted to VV-polarized value in order to use the previous algorithms based on VV-polarized observation. To satisfy the necessity of polarization ratio (PR) for the conversion, we retrieved the conversion parameter from full-polarized SIR-C SAR image off the east coast of Korea. The polarization ratio for SIR-C SAR data was estimated to 0.47. To assess the accuracy of the polarization ratio coefficient, pseudo VV-polarized normalized radar cross section (NRCS) values were calculated and compared with the original VV-polarized ones. As a result, the estimated psudo values showed a good agreement with the original VV-polarized data with an root mean square error by 0.99 dB. We applied the psudo NRCS to the estimation of wind speeds based on the CMOD wind models. Comparison of the retrieved wind field with the ECMWF and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis wind data showed relatively small rms errors of 1.88 and 1.91 m/s, respectively. SIR-C HH-polarized SAR wind retrievals met the requirement of the scatterometer winds in overall. However, the polarization ratio coefficient revealed dependence on NRCS value, wind speed, and incident angle.

미국과 유럽의 풍력터빈 풍동실험 (Wind tunnel test of wind turbine in United States and Europe)

  • 장병희
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.42-46
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    • 2005
  • In spite of fast growing of prediction codes, there is still not negligible uncertainty in their results. This uncertainty affects on the turbine structural design and power production prediction. With the growing size of wind turbine, reducing this uncertainty is becoming one of critical issues for high performance and efficient wind turbine design. In this respect, there are international efforts to evaluate and tune prediction codes of wind turbine. As the reference data for this purpose, field test data is not appropriate because of its uncontrollable wind characteristics and its inherent uncertainty. Wind tunnel can provide controllable wind. For this reason, NREL has done the full scale test of the 10m turbine at NASA-Ames. With this reference data, a blind comparison has been done with participation of 18 organizations with 19 modeling tools. The results were not favorable. In Europe, a similar project is going on. Nine organizations from five countries are participating in the MEXICO project to do full scale wind tunnel tests and calculation with prediction codes. In this study. these two projects were reviewed in respect of wind tunnel test and its contribution. As a conclusion, it is suggested that scale model wind tunnel tests can be a complementary tool to calculation codes which were evaluated worse than expected.

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국내에서 운영 중인 국산과 외국산 육상풍력발전기의 발전원가 분석 (Analysis of LCOE for Korean and Foreign Onshore Wind Turbines in Operation in Korea)

  • 이건우;고경남
    • 풍력에너지저널
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2023
  • In order to reveal the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of Korean and foreign wind turbines, a study was conducted for Korean onshore wind farms. Actual CapEx and OpEx data were obtained from audit reports for 26 onshore wind farms corresponding to 53.87 percent of the total onshore wind farms in Korea in the Data Analysis, Retrieval Transfer (DART) system. In addition, capacity factor (CF) data were calculated from data provided by Statistics Korea. Random numbers were generated from distributions that were fitted by the datasets, which were used as input data to perform a Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). The levelized fixed cost (LFC) and the levelized variable cost (LVC) were calculated from distributions of the CapEx, the OpEx and the CF. As a result, the LCOEs of the analyzed total Korean wind farms, and Korean and foreign wind turbines were 147, 148, and 146 USD/MWh, respectively. The averaged LCOE of Korea was estimated to be 4 USD/MWh lower than that of Japan, while it was much higher than German and global averages.